作者soilstone (imk)
看板Prospect
标题[情报] Mike Minor & Jordan Danks (节录 Ask BA)
时间Thu Nov 5 08:35:43 2009
With a good showing after he signed and a fine performance in the Arizona
Fall League, has lefthander Mike Minor shed the notion that he wasn't worthy
of being drafted seventh overall by the Braves?
(问)
Phil Jones
Burke, Va.
No one ever has disputed the fact that Minor can really pitch. He does a nice
job of mixing and locating his fastball, curveball, slider and changeup. He
has been very impressive in four starts at low Class A Rome (though that's a
small sample size) and in four brief outings in the AFL (a smaller sample
size, and you shouldn't read too much into AFL stats).
没有人会怀疑Mike Minor投球的能力。他总是成功的搭配他的速球、曲球、滑球和变速球
而且都能控到他想要的位置,在低阶1A的4场出赛和在秋季联盟他的表现都人印象深刻。
Still, Minor doesn't have a true plus pitch beyond his changeup and his
fastball usually operates in the upper 80s. His realistic ceiling is as a No.
3 starter, it's easier to project him as a No. 4 and it's not difficult to
draw parallels between him and another Vanderbilt finesse lefthander who was
a top-10 choice, Jeremy Sowers.
然而除了变速球外,Minor还缺少了一颗优质的球种,他的速球也多半只在接近90mile的
速度跑。他俱有成为3号先发的潜力,但把他视为一个未来的4号先发会比较适合。可以把
他拿来和另一个选秀会前10名的左投手Jeremy Sowers来作比较。
Was Minor a worthy first-rounder? Yes. Would have I taken him seventh
overall? Not a chance. One of the reasons teams complain that the draft
doesn't distribute talent equitably is the clubs won't take the best player
available. Atlanta wouldn't exceed MLB's bonus recommendation at No. 7,
though they mistakenly budgeted for the 2008 figure ($2.42 million) rather
than the reduced 2009 number ($2.178 million) because the commissioner's
office didn't give them the amount quickly enough. That limited their
choices, though former Braves scouting director Roy Clark (now assistant GM
with the Nationals) was a big believer in Minor. Clark loved Tyler Matzek,
too, but didn't have the budget to sign him.
那Minor值不值得球队用第1轮选秀权把他选进来呢?值得。但我不会想用第一轮的第7顺位
去选他。有些球队抱怨选秀制度不能让有天份的球员公平被分配在每一队,因为他们依然
没办法选择他们想要的球员。勇士付给Minor的签约金($2.178million)低於联盟建议该给
选秀会第7名的金额,因为他们的行政部门太晚给他们报价了,虽然这不像他们在2008年时
错误付的出2.42million的签约金那样。预算问题限制了他们的选择,虽然勇士的前球探
Roy Clark十分看好Minor没错。之前Clark也很喜欢Tyler Matzek,但当时他也没有足够
的预算去把他签下来。
(这段关於预算那几句我不太确定是不是这样翻。)
I know the AFL is a hitter's league, but White Sox outfielder Jordan Danks is
batting .388/.508/.571 through 14 games. Reality or chimera?
(问)
Cliff Jordan
Chicago
I believe this is the first time the word "chimera" has appeared in Ask BA.
Well played, Cliff.
I often say that people shouldn't read too much into AFL stats, as I just did
in the previous answer. The conditions favor hitters, there are few quality
pitching prospects and a lot of the players are worn out after the long minor
league season. Just glance at the AFL record book, and you'll see that Ken
Harvey holds the league records for batting (.479), slugging (.752) and
on-base percentage (.537); Brandon Wood owns the mark for homers (14); and
Orlando Miller set the standard for RBIs (44).
秋季联盟的成绩不太可信。那是一个偏打者的联盟,因为没什麽投手大物会去那里而且很
多球员在小联盟打了一整季都累摊了。如果你去喵一眼秋季联盟的纪录,你会发现打击率
(.475)、长打率(.752)、上垒率(.537)纪录保持人是Ken Harvey,创下14发全垒打纪录的
是Brandon Wood,而Orlando Miller曾经打下最高的44分打点。
Danks is what he is. Though he's 6-foot-4 and 210 pounds, he never has grown
into the power scouts projected he would when he was a potential first-round
pick as a high schooler. He hit 13 homers in three seasons at the University
of Texas, and he has slugged .425 in pro ball. He's 23 now, and he's not
going to have average power. So those AFL power numbers are a chimera.
Danks只能作他自己。虽然他有6尺4寸210磅的魁武身材,但他从来没有长出来像当初球探
们认为一个有选秀会第一轮潜力的高中球员应该有的power。他在大学时的3个球季里也只
打出13支全垒打,在职业生捱也只有.425的长打率。他已经23岁了,只会是个有平均水准
以下power的球员,在秋季联盟他所展现出来的长打能力只是个泡影。
That said, Danks can be a solid regular. He has the bat speed and swing to
hit for average, and he draws enough walks to post a solid OBP. He runs well
enough to steal a few bases and play center field, and he has enough arm to
move to right field if he loses a step.
他会是一个稳定的先发球员,有平均水准的挥棒速度和挥击,可以选到保送而提供稳定的
上垒率,他的跑垒能力让他可以盗一些垒然後防守二、游,如果再差一些他的臂力也足够
他去守右外野的位置。
(有错误的部分请各位大大们指证,谢谢^^。)
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 122.126.48.228
※ 编辑: soilstone 来自: 122.126.48.228 (11/05 09:26)
※ 编辑: soilstone 来自: 122.126.48.228 (11/05 09:27)