作者FreeFly ( )
看板Prospect
标题[情报] Crow v. Matusz
时间Thu May 1 11:27:19 2008
这两个应该是08年选秀最好的两个大学投手 一左一右
一个有2种完全体的plus pitch 另一个则是有3种有机会成为plus的球种
一个有Boras 另外一个不是 XD
如果光芒队因为已经有Longoria 而弃选大物三垒手Pedro Alvarez
这两个投手将有很大的机会成为状元 ..
http://thecollegebaseballblog.com/2008/04/29/crow-v-matusz/
连结原文里有影片
Crow or Matusz, Matusz or Crow? That seems to be the question.
Fortunately for comparison sake, the only similarity they really
share is they are both studs.
I am not going to get into college numbers when comparing them,
because most college numbers are useless. The fact that Matusz
struck out 16 against San Fransisco really does no good in his
future projection. Something I will bring up is the K/BB ratio
because I feel it is important no matter what division or league
a pitcher is in that they throw strikes and have dominating stuff;
Matusz with a 71:15 ratio and Crow with a 67:11. But, Crow plays
against better competition blah blah blah that it why I do not
want to get into comparing college stats. They are both dominating
the college ranks, enough said.
So here is what we got –
Crow is a dominating RHP with two plus
pitches (FB and Slider) while Matusz has 3 potential plus pitches.
You might have seen that Matusz has 3 plus pitches already. I beg
to differ. His FB sitting at 90-91 is not a plus pitch. There are
some concerns with his velocity. If teams think Matusz sits at 90-91
as a pro, his draft stock will take a hit. Because he goes from
possibly an Eric Bedard (92-94 MPH FB) to a young Jamie Moyer (not
bad, but not an ace). There are no questions about Crows velo and
his secondary pitches – they are both plus.
However, comparing deliveries, Matusz has the advantage by a good
margin on Crow. Crow SHOULD throw that hard with his effort delivery.
It is not herky jerk per se, but its also not smooth. Matusz’s
delivery actually reminds me of Jamie Moyers, nice and smooth –
almost melancholy. Matusz is also 6’5. So, it will cause some teams
to wonder if he will not actually gain velocity. Matusz doesn’t use
a lot of arm speed – he also all legs and leverage (which is a good
thing).
Projectablity:
I feel Crow’s best two pitches are better than Matusz’s best two.
However, Matusz’s third pitch is better than Crow’s third pitch.
Simply put, I think Crow is more dominating but Matusz is a safer
bet because he already has 3 workable pitches.
Here is how I view them – Crow has a higher ceiling in that if he
develops a changeup or a 3rd pitch we could be talking about his
stuff being Prior-esque. Matusz on the other hand is the safest
bet in the draft. He is going to be a major league pitcher baring
an injury. Also, I think he floor is higher than most players. At
the very least he is an innings eater 4th starter for a long time.
Lastly,
Crow is advised by Boras. Matusz is not. It is almost a
given that Boras will demand a ML deal for Crow (bringing up the
Prior comparison). So, if a team (the Rays) feels that Crow is the
best talent in the draft, is he better by 3 or 4 million than Matusz
and Beckham? Probably not.
Furthermore, Matusz is a LHP, so that is a plus. The more I think
about it, the more I think Matusz will be the first pitcher taken.
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 72.227.16.62
1F:推 ColbyRasmus:今年说不定Beckham会是一匹黑马XD 05/01 13:25
2F:→ FreeFly:XD 今年有两个贝克汉 都是SS 而且应该都会是top 10 05/01 14:06
3F:→ Roawen:碧咸~~ 05/01 20:03
4F:→ Fignon:Alvarez前阵子手骨折,复出的情况还要观察,而且应该不会留 05/01 23:54
5F:→ Fignon:在三垒 05/01 23:55
6F:→ FreeFly:今年选秀好像有满满的一垒炮(胖子?) XDD 05/02 00:17
7F:→ ColbyRasmus:Alvarez很早就复出啦,而且成绩也很好。不过进职业应 05/02 00:24
8F:→ ColbyRasmus:该会转一垒。 楼上不嫌胖子太多吗?小心客场飞机掉下来 05/02 00:24
9F:推 majohn:借转 05/06 14:58