原文出处： http://dberri.wordpress.com/2008/02/28/meet-amir-johnson/ -- Eli Witus - of Count the Basket - and I are both fans of the Pistons. After my post on Carl Landry, he suggested a similar post on Amir Johnson. Count the Basket的Eli Witus和我都是活塞的球迷。在我波了Carl Landry的文章後 ，他建议我为Amir Johnson写一篇类似的文章。 Like Landry, Johnson is a big man who has been quite productive in limited minutes. Unlike Landry, this production was somewhat expected. 和Landry一样，Johnson是一个在有限上场时间内有相当生产力的大个子。和Landry不 一样的是，这些贡献有些是意料之内的。 The Unexpected Pistons 出乎意料的活塞军 Before I get to that story, though, let me talk about the unexpected performance of the Pistons. Last year this team won 53 games with a 4.6 efficiency differential (offensive efficiency minus defensive efficiency). In the off-season the Pistons lost Carlos Delfino and Chris Webber. And they added Jarvis Hayes and two rookie guards. Furthermore, the team promised to give Webber’s minutes to Jason Maxiell. Since Delfino and Webber were above average performers, and Hayes and Maxiell were below average (and the rookies were expected to be below average), I expected the Pistons to decline in 2007-08. 在正题开始前，让我先说说本季表现出乎大家意料之外的活塞。去年这支球队赢了53 场比赛，攻守效率级差是正4.6(攻击效率扣掉防守效率的数值)。季外活塞失去了Carlos Delfino和Chris Webber，另外补进了Jarvis Hayes和两名菜鸟後卫。此外，这支球队允诺 要把Webber的上场时间拨给J-Max。因为Delfino和Webber是水准以上的球员，而Hayes和 J-Max是水准以下的(菜鸟们的表现也被预期会在水准以下)，所以我原本预期活塞在 '07-'08会走下坡。 But that hasn’t happened. The Pistons have actually improved tremendously, and currently boast the second best record in the NBA. So how was this possible? 但事实并非如此。活塞真的有长足的进步，而且最近战绩还暴冲至全联盟第二。所以 这到底是如何办到的呢？ Table One: Projecting the Pistons after 57 games 表一：以57场比赛後的数据推测活塞球员全季的表现。 Table One offers two projections of Detroit’s Wins Produced. The first assumes that what we saw from these players last season (except the rookies) will be seen this year. The second projection assumes that what we have seen so far this season will be seen the rest of the 2007-08 campaign. 表一提供了两个活塞未来在Wins Produced数据上的推测。第一我们假设这些球员今年 的表现会和去年一样(除了菜鸟以外)。第二个推测假设他们本季至今的表现将会持续至'07 -'08年球季结束为止。 If the Pistons had maintained their performance from last season the team would currently be on pace to win 47 games. Again, the moves they made should have left them worse off. But when we look at what the players have done this season we see a projection of 62 wins. 如果活塞维持和上个球季一样的步调，那他们现在应该只有37胜。再一次强调，他们 球员异动的部分应该会让实力变差的。但以目前所见这些球员的表现来做推测，我们可以 得出一个62胜的结果。 When we look at the individual players we see that this leap can be linked almost entirely to the play of four players: Chauncey Billups, Rasheed Wallace, Richard Hamilton, and Maxiell. 在看球员个别表现时我们几乎可以把活塞本季的大跃进完全归功於下列四名球员：枪 蜥、溪蛙、RIP和J-Max。 To see what these players are doing better, we turn to Table Two. 要看这些球员哪里进步，我们继续来看表二。 Table Two: The Improving Pistons 表二：进步的活塞球员 Table Two reports each of these player’s statistics from 2006-07 and 2007-08. Looking over these numbers we see one consistent difference. All four players have improved with respect to shooting efficiency and assists. 表二可以看出每个球员在'06-'07及'07-'08年球季的统计数据。环视这些数据我们可 以看到有一个很一致的级差。四名球员的投篮效率和助攻数据都进步了。 So how did this happen? Flip Saunders is considered an offensive-minded coach, so it is possible he has done something to change how these players perform. Yes, coaching can impact performance and this might just be an example of this phenomena (then again, maybe it isn’t). Regardless, we can see that it is these four players - and their improved shooting efficiency - that has played a major role in Detroit’s rise. 所以这是怎麽来的？老桑被认为是一个善於进攻的教练，所以可能他做了某些事情改 变了这些球员的表现。是的，指导可以影响表现，而这可能只是导致这现象的原因之一(再 一次强调，或许根本与老桑的指导无关)。不管怎麽说，我们可以发现这四名球员 - 还有 他们进步了的投篮效率 - 是活塞战绩爆冲的主要原因。 Focusing just on Maxiell, though, we see more than just a change in efficiency. Maxiell has also improved on the boards. These changes have increased his WP48 from a mark of -0.002 last season to 0.105 in 2007-08. In other words, Maxiell has gone from well below average to average. Clearly increasing his minutes was a good idea. 只把注意力放在J-Max的话，我们可以发现他的改变不只在效率上面。J-Max的篮板数 据也有长足的进步。这些改变让他的WP48从上季的-0.002进步到'07-'08年球季的0.105。 换句话说，J-Max的表现已经从远低於平均进步到和平均相当。很明显的，增加他的上场时 间是个好主意。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.232.99.62 ※ 编辑: kerrys 来自: 118.232.99.62 (03/09 09:02)