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来源: http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/playoffs2007/insider/columns/ story?columnist=thorpe_david&page=ScoutingMagicPistons-Game3 Scouts Inc. update: Magic vs. Pistons, Game 3 Insider Thorpe By David Thorpe Scouts Inc. Archive ‧ Magic-Pistons series scouting report | Series page Detroit has beaten Orlando every game they have played this season. That's six wins total. They beat Orlando in Game 1 by eight points, despite 58 percent shooting from the Magic, thanks to 20 turnovers and 18 missed free throws by Orlando. In Game 2, Orlando reduced its missed free throws and turnovers by half, and still lost by eight points. Heading to Florida for Game 3, and facing a Detroit team that actually played a little better this season on the road than at home, it does not appear that Orlando coach Brian Hill has many options left. Still, his team has competed extremely well thus far, and they can expect a wild crowd Thursday night, so perhaps Orlando can find just a bit more magic to help them get back into the series. Nothing that Coach Hill has come up with, strategy wise, has helped get the Magic over the hump. But he can experiment some with both his personnel and his game plan to try and generate some energy. The Pistons have pounced on Dwight Howard whenever he gets the ball in the post, playing in front and behind and forcing him into tough shots and turnovers. But they can't do that when Howard catches the ball early in transition in front of the rim (post defense is at it's weakest in transition) or after long rebounds when defenders are scattered. The Magic can really make an effort to get the ball to Howard in those situations, and Howard must forget about his free throw woes and just look to make power plays when he gets a chance. Carlos Arroyo has provided some energy in both games with his scoring and passing ability, and he has a huge following in Orlando that will scream and flag-wave whenever he does anything at home. Arroyo, a former Piston, might be just the guy who gets hot in a quarter to give the Magic a breakout quarter, one they have not yet had. Hill needs to continue to give the green light to Hedo Turkoglu and Grant Hill, Orlando's most effective players by far against the Pistons, but he can look more to Darko Milicic too. Darko has been more productive than Tony Battie, and needs 30+ minutes Thursday night. The Pistons are too talented and balanced for Orlando to stop them, but better offensive production can at least put some pressure on Detroit in the hopes that that pressure ends up effecting their shooting and overall execution. Orlando can even try going small, playing Hedo at the 4 and forcing a Detroit big to defend in space. Detroit has coasted through both games, gaining a solid margin in the third quarter and then hanging on late. With a loud crowd and and some Magic players who can make big plays at home late, Detroit needs to play their best game of the series to gain a 3-0 edge. Tayshaun Prince and Chauncey Billups have been terrific and efficient, scoring and passing while using their size to gain scoring advantages. There is little Orlando can do to disrupt them due to the offensive balance the Pistons have. Detroit must exhibit an aggressive defensive attitude Thursday night, playing in the passing lanes and blitzing pick and rolls. This can lead to turnovers while disrupting Orlando's offensive rhythm. Prince and Rasheed Wallace both can hurt the Magic with their length and timing as shot blockers (or alterers). Detroit's bigs must sprint back in transition to keep Howard from getting those early touches and contest quick shots by Orlando's wings. If the Pistons play defense with purpose and energy, they likely will win Game 3; anything less and this series suddenly gets a lot more interesting. PREDICTION: Detroit wins Game 3 -- "I play in 82 Allstar games, because I play with 5 allstars every game" -Chauncey Billups --



※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 218.167.165.214
1F:推 rosegardan:这篇预测有准!XD 04/27 12:34







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