作者AnthonyReyes (偶素笑脸人)
看板Pirates
标题Re: Trades!!
时间Mon Jul 6 23:45:02 2009
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-morgan-milledge-deal
A .310 wOBA and +10 defense in center field is still a pretty nifty player,
though. Over a full season, that would make him a +2 to +2.5 win player, or
right around league average. Considering that his lack of service time means
he’ll be making the minimum the next couple of years, the Nationals are
getting a pretty significant value in this particular outfielder. The upside
isn’t super high, but he’s instantly one of the better players on that
team, and will make them better both in 2009 and going forward.
.............
Hanrahan is a nice buy low candidate, and a better bet for the future than
Burnett, but relievers just aren’t that hard to acquire. The Pirates get
worse now for some hope of getting better in the future, but that hope is
tied to a belief in Lastings Milledge’s improvement that I don’t have.
我不否认我对这两个人防守的评价有一大部分来自於印象分数
(考虑到防守数据的争议性, 这也是没办法的事)
但是就像Cameron讲的, Morgan已经是平均左右的CF (打击差一些, 防守好一些)
而Milledge现在啥都不是, 而两个人同样拿底薪, 所以你说海盗有多赚吗?
并没有.
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 219.71.38.187
1F：推 abc12812:平均左右的CF? 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:19
2F：→ abc12812:你用Endy Chavez的名字代入看看你觉得 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:20
3F：→ abc12812:他是平均CF还是万年4th OF? 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:20
4F：→ abc12812:Cameron用来支持他的论点的只是1000IP出 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:22
5F：→ abc12812:头的样本数，而且还只有单一的防守数据 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:22
6F：→ abc12812:这样就会让你觉得Morgan是"平均CF"? 140.112.5.3 07/07 08:23
7F：→ AnthonyReyes:Endy Chavez上垒率要是高个0.03 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:00
8F：→ AnthonyReyes:就是先发 但他不是 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:00
9F：→ AnthonyReyes:Cameron已经讲得很保守了 若光看UZR 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:01
10F：→ AnthonyReyes:Morgan根本不是啥平均的CF 而是全联 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:02
11F：→ AnthonyReyes:盟防守最强的CF 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:02
12F：→ AnthonyReyes:还有 你可以找找看哪家防守数据不认 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:03
13F：→ AnthonyReyes:为Morgan防守好的 起码我找不到 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:04
14F：→ AnthonyReyes:最後 Milledge连打得好的样本都没有 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:05
※ 编辑: AnthonyReyes 来自: 219.71.38.187 (07/07 09:07)
15F：→ AnthonyReyes:(在MLB)这样你就会觉得他一定比M强? 219.71.38.187 07/07 09:08
16F：推 fifth:Morgan的打击 还有两位数的CS 能看吗 = = 140.112.217.11 07/09 01:47
17F：→ fifth:这种4th OF 随便捡都有.. 140.112.217.11 07/09 01:48