※ [本文转录自 NBA 看板 #1EFdxBkL ] 作者: sampsonlu919 (父亲，愿你安息) 看板: NBA 标题: [新闻] 专家解析贾奈特、邓肯、奈许明夏去向 时间: Sun Aug 7 20:02:15 2011 NBA》专家解析贾奈特、邓肯、奈许明夏去向 http://www.ltsports.com.tw/main/news.asp?no=86354&N_Class=3 （加盖） 邓肯（Tim Duncan）、贾奈特（Kevin Garnett）、奈许（Steve Nash）三员老将的 合约都将在2012年夏天到期。虽然已经无法拿到顶薪合约，但经验丰富的三人仍然 会是诸多球队眼中的抢手货。 ESPN篮球专家佩尔顿（Kevin Pelton）也对三人的前景进行了分析。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ What's left for Duncan, KG, Nash? http://bbs.hoopchina.com/2566015.html (注:此为ESPN需付费专栏Insider的文章,所以我给的是HoopChina连结) By Kevin Pelton Basketball Prospectus 邓肯 Tim Duncan Spurs coach Gregg Popovich's careful handling of Duncan's playing time has prevented him from racking up impressive per-game statistics. On offense, Duncan has dropped off. The key difference is that he no longer gets to the free throw line on a frequent basis. Historically, about 15 percent of Duncan's offense has come from free throws. That dropped to a career-low 11 percent in 2010-11. Without those easy points, Duncan's scoring efficiency has slipped below average. His role in San Antonio's attack -- already smaller than it had ever been -- might need to shrink again next season. 马刺主帅波波维奇（Gregg Popovich）对邓肯的使用可谓小心谨慎。不可否认，邓肯 在场上的威胁力正在减弱，他已经没法像以往那样多次站上罚球线了，上季罚球在 进攻中所占的比例只有11%，为生涯最低。新赛季，他在马刺的进攻作用可能会进一步 缩小。 Despite those caveats, Duncan remains one of the league's top big men. He ranked seventh among post players in Basketball Prospectus' wins above replacement (WARP) statistic last season. His per-minute performance put him as the league's 10th-best player. 但是邓肯上赛季的WARP值（wins above replacement player，用以衡量球星与其替补 球员对球队胜场所做的贡献差额），在所有低位球员中排第7位，他每分钟的贡献在 联盟排名第10位。 Presumably, Duncan will join his predecessor in retiring as a lifelong member of the Spurs. In the unlikely event he looks elsewhere, his game and temperament would be a perfect veteran complement to the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder won't have cap room in 2012 but could offer some young prospects to San Antonio as part of a sign-and-trade deal. 基本可以肯定，邓肯会终老马刺。如果真的有万一，那麽雷霆是不错的选择，他们可以 用年轻球员来交换。 贾奈特 Kevin Garnett It's rare that players can turn back the clock in their mid-30s and bounce back after battling injury, but that's just what Garnett did last season. When Garnett's athleticism waned late in the 2009-10 campaign, it seemed we might have seen the last of him playing at an elite level, but he looked healthier and more explosive from the start of 2010-11. 通常30多岁的球员在经历伤病之後，还能强势复苏是很少见的。但是上赛季贾奈特 做到了，赛季初，他看起来比以往更加健康，更具爆发力。 Defensively, Garnett remains as valuable as any player besides Dwight Howard. According to Synergy Sports' tracking, Garnett was the league's most effective defender against the pick-and-roll. 防守，贾奈特之於球队的价值仅次於哈沃德（Dwight Howard）。根据相关资料统计 显示，KG是联盟最擅长防守挡拆的球员。 On offense, Garnett has become mostly a pick-and-pop player, which means he rarely draws fouls or comes up with offensive boards, but his efficiency remains strong on the strength of making 53.0 percent of his 2-point attempts. 进攻，贾奈特也颇具威胁。 Last season, 14 players rated as more effective than Garnett on a per-minute basis. 上赛季，联盟只有14人的每分钟效率比KG更高。 Players similar to him tended to drop off at age 36, which Garnett will reach in 2012-13. However, few of them were as effective defensively as Garnett. The exception is Hakeem Olajuwon, who had a strong season at 38 before fading. On a short-term deal, Garnett should be a worthwhile risk. 到了2012-2013赛季，贾奈特将36岁，历史上这个年龄段的球员很少有人拥有他这样 出色的防守，唯一的例外是欧拉朱旺（Hakeem Olujuwon），打到38岁才开始走下坡 路。因此短期考虑，贾奈特是很不错的选择。 Because Boston might be set to rebuild if 2011-12 ends poorly, Garnett could be on the move. 如果2011-2012赛季成绩不理想，塞尔提克可能会开始重建，贾奈特也可能离队。 If Garnett's primary goal is adding a championship ring...A more intriguing possibility is for Garnett to reunite with former Celtics assistant Tom Thibodeau in Chicago if Carlos Boozer wears out his welcome and could be moved in a trade. 如果KG想再拿1枚总冠军戒指，可以去公牛。 (注:中文版其实漏译了热火的那一段,不过大意是说KG不大可能去迈阿密) 奈许 Steve Nash At 37, Nash is a couple of years older than the other "veteran" free agents on the market. Just five players have posted more WARP than Nash at 37 or older: Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Jason Kidd, Karl Malone, Robert Parish and John Stockton. 他已经37岁了，但在历史上，只有5名球员在37岁以上的年龄，打出的WARP值比奈许 更高。 Although last season produced Nash's lowest WARP total since he returned to Phoenix in 2004,...He remains as dangerous off the pick-and-roll as anyone in the league and was sixth among point guards in WARP -- ahead of players such as Chauncey Billups and Rajon Rondo. 尽管上季，奈许的WARP值是2004年重返太阳以来最低的，可他仍然是联盟最危险的 控卫之一，WARP值比毕拉普斯（Chauncey Billups）和朗度（Rajon Rondo）高。 Nash might be perfectly content to finish out his career with the Suns, who have shown no inclination to trade him despite their dim prospects for competing in the Western Conference. Should that change, the obvious fit is a reunion with Mike D'Antoni in New York if the Knicks strike out on younger point guards Chris Paul and Deron Williams. Nash also could be an asset to the Orlando Magic, whose pick-and-roll game would be ideal for him, or the Portland Trail Blazers now that their offense no longer runs through Brandon Roy. 奈许希望留守太阳，如果双方真的分道扬镳，那麽最合适他的应该是前主帅狄安东尼 （Mike D’Antoni）的尼克，前提是尼克追求保罗（Chris Paul）或德隆．威廉斯 （Deron Williams）失败。 Nash also could be an asset tothe Orlando Magic, whose pick-and-roll game would be ideal for him, or the Portland Trail Blazers now that their offense no longer runs through Brandon Roy. 魔术和拓荒者也是不错的选择。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 其实这也是ESPN Insider最近推出的暑期专题之一 不过跟5 on 5专栏不同的地方,在於Insider的专题报导 主题是比较偏重在明年的暑期自由市场 如果有兴趣的球迷,可以参考以下ESPN其他对2012自由市场的分析报导 #Dwight Howard: http://bbs.hoopchina.com/2559411.html #Deron Williams: http://bbs.hoopchina.com/2559299.html #Chris Paul: http://bbs.hoopchina.com/2559309.html #08梯新秀(Rose,Love,Westbrook..等): http://bbs.hoopchina.com/2569151.html -- / \ Ｕ　 ny ★ 小 　Ｇ　 　鹰 囧 ◆ 口 / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ Ｖ　 口 口 口 口 口 口 口 口 英囧 大囧宁 小囧宁 囧莫 囧利斯 囧杰斯 囧克 囧莱迪 囧-Roe --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.67.202.5 -- 奈来吧...许我一个好控卫...我不要看到水枪主控了 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 123.240.23.32 ※ 编辑: urbanroot 来自: 123.240.23.32 (08/07 20:36)