作者a88152660 (Erictseng)
看板Orioles
标题[Note]2017 Top 20 prospects by John Sickels
时间Tue Jan 17 22:42:08 2017
QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS
Grade A prospects are the elite. In theory, they have a good chance of
becoming stars or superstars. Theoretically, most Grade A prospects develop
into stars or at least major league regulars, if injuries or other problems
don’t intervene. Note that is a major "if" in some cases.
Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will
develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the
majors, at the very least in a marginal role.
Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something
positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who
are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few
Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end
up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all.
Finally, keep in mind that all grades are shorthand. A Grade C prospect in
rookie ball could end up being very impressive, while a Grade C prospect in
Triple-A is likely just a future role player.
1) Chance Sisco, C, Grade B: Age 21, second round pick in 2013, hit
.317/.403/.430 in 426 at-bats between Double-A and Triple-A with 61 walks, 88
strikeouts; superior pure-hitting skills with rare combination of bat speed,
smooth swing, and sharp batting eye; should have no trouble producing OBP and
batting average; long-term home run power remains a question but could get to
10-15 a year with maturity; defense remains work-in-progress; decent arm and
threw out 33% of runners; receiving has improved somewhat with reductions in
error and passed ball rates; may never be more than average with the glove
but if he hits as expected that could be enough. ETA 2018.
货真价实的打击能力 长打能力还是个谜 不过随着他越来越成熟 一季10-15支全垒打应该
不成问题
防守仍在成长 有合格的臂力 接捕也有进步 失误和捕逸也随之减少
或许永远都不会长到平均之上的水准 但只要他能打出预期的成绩就够用了
2) Cody Sedlock, RHP, Grade B: Age 21, first round pick in 2016 from
University of Illinois; posted 3.00 ETA in 27 innings in New York-Penn League
with 25/13 K/BB; fastball 92-94, sometimes higher; slider, curveball, and
change-up are inconsistent with the softer pitches weaker than the slider;
tough for hitters to square up and drive the harder stuff but command of
secondaries needs improvement; some view him as future closer but will be
used as starter for now to give the change-up time to come around. ETA late
2019, or 2018 if used in bullpen.
92-94MPH 有时偏高的速球 还会投滑球 曲球
变速还不太稳定
对打者来说是个难缠的投手 但对变化球的command需要再加强
有些人将他视为未来的closer 但目前暂时还是当先发养
3) Ryan Mountcastle, SS, Grade B-: Age 19, first round comp pick in 2015; hit
.281/..319/.426 with 10 homers, 25 walks, 95 strikeouts in 455 at-bats in
Low-A; optimists love his overall athleticism and power potential, and think
his instincts will help him remain at shortstop; pessimists project a move to
third base or the outfield and worry that over-aggressive hitting approach
will compromise his bat; optimists counter worries with his birthday as he
has lots of time to improve and already holds his own production-wise even
with a somewhat raw approach; ETA late 2020.
乐观的人会喜欢他全面的运动能力和长打潜力
并且相信他的直觉能帮助他留在游击
悲观的人则认为他会被移到三垒或外野去
而且他过於积极的打击策略会拖累到打击表现
4) Trey Mancini, 1B, Grade B-: Age 24, eighth round pick in 2013 from Notre
Dame; hit .282/.357/.458 with 20 homers, 58 walks, 140 strikeouts in 546
at-bats between Double-A and Triple-A; went 5-for-14 with three homers in the
majors; can have issues with contact but hammers mistake pitches and unafraid
to work counts to find them; not a bad first baseman but limited to that
position; upside: .270ish hitter with 20-25 homers in a full season;
downside: contact problems drop him into the .230s with less consistent
power. ETA 2017.
有contact的问题 但能对犯错的投手给予痛击
也不吝於等待攻击的机会
不差的一垒手 但也被守位给局限住
顺利的话会有着.270打率 20-25支全垒打
否则会因为contact问题 只有.230打率和不稳定的长打
5) Anthony Santander, OF, Grade B- Age 22, hit .290/.368/.494 with 42
doubles, 20 homers, 54 walks, 118 strikeouts in 500 at-bats in Low-A; from
Venezuela, signed by Indians in 2011; selected by Orioles in Rule 5 draft;
switch-hitter with 60/70 grade power; a few issues with contact and swing
consistency but controls zone reasonably; may not hit for high averages at
highest levels but power should carry forward; good throwing arm, classic
right field profile; I like him a lot but health status unclear following
fall shoulder surgery; has to stick on the roster due to Rule 5 and could be
stashed on DL. ETA 2017.
两打 60/70分的power 有一些contact和挥棒稳定性的问题
但也能适度地掌握好球带
在进入更高层级时 或许没办法维持高打率 不过他的power仍能带领他继续前进
不错的臂力 典型的右外野手
肩膀的伤势还不明朗 但也因此能够藏在DL里
6) Keegan Akin, LHP, Grade B-: Age 21, second round pick in 2016 from Western
Michigan; posted 1.04 ERA in 26 innings in NY-P with 29/7 K/BB, just 15 hits;
fastball at 92-94 with peaks at 96; both change-up and slider have
above-average moments but are inconsistent; throws a heavy ball and tough to
drive, could develop into three-pitch mid-rotation starter or a two-pitch
power bullpen arm; ETA late 2019.
92-94MPH的速球 最快能摸到96
变速和滑球都有平均之上的潜力 但还不稳定
可能发展成有三种球路的mid-rotation starter
或是两种球路的强力左手牛
7) Ofelky Peralta, RHP, Grade C+: Age 19, signed out of Dominican Republic in
2013; posted 4.01 ERA with 101/60 K/BB in 103 innings in Low-A, 87 hits;
fastball 92-95 with peaks at 97-98; depending on when you see him, he can
show a decent slider, a decent change-up, or a slurvy "blah" pitch, or a
change that’s basically slow fastball, or any combination thereof; command
is also an issue; nevertheless, has the ceiling of a number three starter or
a power closer. ETA late 2019.
92-95MPH的速球 最快可以投到97-98 有时还能投出不错的滑球及变速球
或是一颗没什麽用的滑曲球 以及一颗看起来像变速 但基本上只是比较慢的速球
或是其他可能的组合 总之还不稳定
command也仍是个问题 不过他还是有三号的天花板 或是可以当个power closer
8) Garrett Cleavinger, LHP, Grade C+: Age 22, third round pick in 2015 from
University of Oregon; posted 3.07 ERA with 102/34 K/BB in 76 innings between
Low-A and High-A; fastball up to 96 along with a deceptive delivery and a
quality curveball make him overpowering; command inconsistent and lack of a
change-up makes him a reliever, albeit a high-leverage one who could close if
his command sharpens up a bit. ETA late 2018.
速球可以投到96MPH 出手诡异 而且有颗不错的曲球
command还不稳定 而且缺颗滑球 让他只能当牛
command若能改善就能够当closer
9) Tanner Scott, LHP, Grade C+: Age 22, sixth round pick in 2014 from Howard
Junior College in Texas; posted 4.76 ERA with 81/57 K/BB in 64 innings
between High-A and Double-A, 40 hits; obviously he walks too many hitters but
he also has 100 MPH fastball and a wicked slider; the K/IP and H/IP marks aren
’t lying, but neither are the BBs; highest ceiling arm in the system; at age
22, there’s still time to harness it. ETA late 2018.
有100MPH的火球和一颗能偶尔拿出来扰乱对手的滑球
不过也保送了很多人
K/IP(1.26)和H/IP(0.625)不会骗人 BBs(57 in 64 innings)也是
高天花板的投手 才22岁 还有时间去磨练他
10) Jomar Reyes, 3B, Grade C+: Age 19, hit .228/.271/.336 with 10 homers, 25
walks, 102 strikeouts in 464 at-bats in High-A; overmatched more often than
not in the Carolina League but he was very young for the level; 60-grade arm,
60-grade power, but held back by unpolished approach; despite his struggles I
think there are reasons for optimism about the bat, but most see him as a
first baseman long-term which will increase pressure on his production. ETA
2020.
60分的臂力和power 但被不成熟的打击策略给拖累 不过还不需要过於担心
长远来说 最好还是将他当作一垒手来看
11) Hunter Harvey, RHP, Grade C+: Age 22, first round pick in 2013; posted
2.13 ERA in 13 innings in short-season ball with 18/6 K/BB but ultimately
succumbed to Tommy John surgery and will miss most or all of 2017;
ranking/grading thus problematic; legitimate number two starter stuff when
healthy with 60-grade fastball and 60-grade slider, plus a workable
change-up; can’t say more until he returns. ETA no idea.
二号的stuff 但在回到球场前都说不准
12) Aneury Tavarez, OF, Grade C+: Age 24, signed by Red Sox out of Dominican
Republic in 2010; hit .335/.379/.508 with 19 doubles, 13 triples, 18 steals,
29 walks, 64 whiffs in 385 at-bats in Double-A; selected by Orioles in Rule 5
draft and has to stick on the roster; prototype fourth outfielder with
slashing contact lefty bat, 60-grade speed, solid-average defensive ability,
sparks of gap power; should be useful as a role player. ETA 2017.
典型的四号外野手
13) Chris Lee, LHP, Grade C+: Age 24, fourth round pick by Astros in 2011,
traded to Orioles for international bonus money in ’15; posted 2.98 ERA in
51 innings in Double-A with 19/13 K/BB, 41 hits, 1.95 GO/AO; season ended
early with lateral strain; fastball just 88-92 on the gun but plays up due to
excellent movement; mixes in slider and change-up but secondaries
inconsistent, reflected in low strikeout rate; most likely a middle man or
LOOGY. ETA 2018.
速球只有88-92MPH 但有很棒的尾劲
混合滑球和变速使用 但变化球并不稳定 也反映在极低的三振率上
可能是牛 甚至是一人左
14) Austin Hays, OF, Grade C+: Age 21, third round pick in 2016 from
Jacksonville University; hit .336/.386/.514 with four homers, 11 walks, 32
strikeouts in 140 at-bats in NY-P; right field tools with 60 arm, 55 power,
average speed but good defensive ability thanks to instincts and work ethic;
handled NY-P without much trouble; deserves more attention than he’s
received but we need to see how his approach holds up. ETA late 2019.
60分的臂力 55分的power 平均的速度 但有好的守备能力 要归功於他的直觉和工作伦理
15) Alex Wells, LHP, Grade C+: Age 19, brother of Lachlan Wells in the Twins
system, from Australia; posted 2.15 ERA in 63 innings in the New York-Penn
League with 50/9 K/BB; excellent pro debut; fastball just 86-90 but looks
faster to the eye due to superb change-up, already commands fastball and
change but the curveball needs more work, reflected in so-so strikeout rate;
potential four/five starter though improved breaking ball and/or more
velocity would help his chances. ETA 2021.
速球只有86-90MPH 不过多亏他一流的变速球 实际上看起来更快
已经能很好的掌控这两种球路 不过曲球仍需磨练
潜在的四五号投手 增加球速或增进变化球就能开创更多机会
16) Matthias Dietz, RHP, Grade C+: Age 21, second round pick in 2016 from
John A. Logan Community College; posted 4.82 ERA with 8/10 K/BB in 19 innings
in NY-P; fastball 92-94 with reported peaks as high as 97-98; slider and
change-up need improvement, as does his command/control; with proper
development could be workhorse starter or power bullpen arm. ETA late 2019.
92-94MPH的速球 最快据说可以来到98 滑球和变速都需要再加强 command和control也是
经过适当的成长 可能长成工作马或强力右手牛
17) Cedric Mullins, OF, Grade C+: Age 22, 13th round pick in 2015 from
Campbell; hit .273/.321/.464 with 37 doubles, 10 triples, 14 homers, 30
steals, 37 walks, 101 strikeouts in 517 at-bats in Low-A; switch-hitter,
60-grade speed and instincts to match make him legit threat on bases, covers
a lot of ground in center field; mechanically-sound swing produced more power
than expected though that may not hold at higher levels; could use more
patience to maximize OBP; a lot less publicity than D.J. Stewart but is
younger and has broader skills; good makeup rep dating back to high school.
ETA late 2019.
两打 60分的速度和不错的直觉让他在垒包间是个威胁
也能镇守中外野 需要更耐心来最大化上垒率
名气不如Stewart 但比起他更年轻 技巧上也更全面
还有从高校时期就建立起的良好态度
18) D.J. Stewart, OF, Grade C+: Age 23, first round pick in 2015 from Florida
State; hit .254/.377/.399 with 10 homers, 26 steals, 78 walks, 104 strikeouts
in 414 at-bats between Low-A and High-A; good batting eye and physically very
strong but college success hasn’t fully translated to pro ball; didn’t
struggle as much as he did in pro debut and hit well late in the year; too
soon to give up on him but questions about his swing haven’t been resolved;
can steal a base but defense not an asset; ETA 2019.
不错的选球眼 身体也很强壮 但大学的成功并没有在职业比赛中完全转换过来
放弃他还太早 不过打击上的问题也还没解决
能盗垒 但守备不算好
19) Brian Gonzalez, LHP, Grade C+: Age 21, third round pick in 2014 from high
school in Florida; posted 2.50 ERA with 111/58 K/BB in 148 innings in Low-A,
135 hits; dramatically improved after struggling at same level in ’15;
low-90s fastball with sink gets grounders, mixes in curveball and change-up;
secondaries took a step forward in ’16 but command still remains
inconsistent; could sneak up on us as back-end starter if that improves. ETA
late 2019.
low-90s的速球 会往下跑 制造不少滚地球
混合曲球和变速 变化球有进步 但command仍不稳定
如果能够进步 或许能出乎意料的成为後段先发
20) Christian Walker, 1B-OF, Grade C+: Age 25, fourth round pick in 2012 from
University of South Carolina; hit .264/.321/.437 with 18 homers, 40 walks,
138 strikeouts in 504 at-bats in Triple-A; nearly identical to his
.257/.324/.423 line at the same level in ’15; seems stagnant and likely to
need a change of scenery; solid first baseman but blocked there, spent ’16
in the outfield with uninspired results; very streaky, vulnerable to long
cold spells as well as devastating performance tears when he’s locked in.
ETA 2017.
打击成绩停滞不前 或许需要换个环境
称职的一垒手 但被局限在一垒
虽然改守外野 但也没什麽进步
OTHER GRADE C+: Christian Alvarado, RHP; Jayson Aquino, LHP; Oliver Drake;
RHP; Randolph Gassaway, OF; Joe Gunkel, RHP; Brenan Hanifee, RHP; Jesus
Liranzo, RHP; Ryan Meisinger, RHP; Yermin Mercedes, C
GRADE C: Cole Billingsley, OF; Parker Bridwell, RHP; Juan Echevarria, RHP;
Jason Garcia, RHP; Ruben Garcia, RHP; Donnie Hart, LHP; Lucas Humphal, RHP;
Ryan Moseley, RHP Ryan McKenna, OF; Alex Murphy, C-1B; Preston Palmeiro, 1B;
Jhon Peluffo, RHP; Richard Rodriguez, RHP; Erick Salcedo, SS; Adam Brett
Walker, OF; David Washington, 1B; Austin Wynns, C; Jimmy Yacabonis, RHP; Mike
Yastrzemski, OF
来源
https://goo.gl/MZ7D5e
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1F:推 Aniceplay: 满满的一垒手 01/18 13:09
2F:推 MartinEden: 金孙Yastrzemski好像还是打不太出来? 01/18 15:31
3F:→ a88152660: Yastrzemski季初在AA打得还不错啊 只是上AAA後被左杀 01/18 23:02
4F:→ a88152660: 不然单看打右投的成绩是.245/.341/.421 其实还OK 01/18 23:02
5F:→ a88152660: 而且一般对他的期待其实也就只是四号外野手而已 01/18 23:04
6F:→ MartinEden: 我只是想要看他屌打红袜!哈哈 01/19 10:56