The Nationals have spent more on this team than ever. Could they add more? http://goo.gl/Y6DH7w By Chelsea Janes August 3 Deadline-day addition Brandon Kintzler joined the Washington Nationals on Wednesday night in Miami, just in time to help against the defending World Series champion Cubs in Chicago this weekend. The Nationals added four key pieces by the deadline, all of whom have made a dramatic impact in their short tenures. Could they still add more? 大限当日在迈阿密打球的华盛顿国民补进Brandon Kintzler，刚好 赶上周末对战WS卫冕军芝加哥小熊；大限截止前国民追加四名关键 球员，短短几天内这四名球员已经带来戏剧性冲击。国民仍有补强 的可能吗？ The Nationals have a history of making deals after the nonwaiver trade deadline — despite the waivers hurdle. After July 31, players can only be traded if their team places them on revocable waivers. If a team claims that player, his original team can pull him back, let the team take him and absorb his contract or work out a deal. Last season, the Nationals claimed reliever Marc Rzepczynski, then traded a prospect to the Athletics to get him. The left-hander made their playoff roster last season. Deals can still get done, and they can matter. 尽管有让渡名单的阻碍，国民过去也曾在大限後进行数次交易。大 限後，球员只有在母队将他们放进可撤回的让渡名单後才能被交易 。假使有球队要人，母队也可把人抽回来、让别队把人连同合约一 起吸收或者谈交易。上个球季，国民claim左手牛Marc Rzepczynski ，然後送一个新秀去运动家完成换人。Rzepczynski 後来也进入季 後赛名单。交易还是能做，而且可以很有意义。 Under Mike Rizzo, the Nationals have acquired relievers this way more than once. Before Rzepczynski, they got another veteran lefty, Matt Thornton, who pitched for them in the 2014 playoffs. While former all-stars such as Justin Verlander, Justin Upton and Jose Bautista could all be dealt on waivers this season — their salaries are high enough that no team would likely grab them outside a trade — the Nationals have no history of acquiring big stars at this time of year. Provided Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg are both okay, they should not need to. Given that Jayson Werth and Trea Turner seem to be nearing returns, the Nationals’ roster could be nearly set, with no more outside help to come. 在光头领军下国民靠这种方式带来不只一头牛。在Rzepczynski 之 前他们就已经拿到过左手牛老将Matt Thornton ，也在同年进入季 後赛为国民投球。今年虽然前像V中年、J-Upton或包爷这样的前全 明星都能透过让渡名单交易，但他们的薪水高到没有球队会愿意透 过用交易以外的方式挖人。国民过去也没有在这个时间点找来大星 星的历史。假如Scherzer跟小史都OK，他们应该也不需要找大星星 支援。加上Werth跟TT接近归队，国民的roster差不多可以底定， 不会有更多外援加入。 After their deadline moves, the Nationals have spent as much as they ever have on their roster, around $170 million in payroll, according to Cot’s Baseball Contracts (which has yet to be updated to include their deadline acquisitions — about $7 million in prorated salary). Last year’s end-of-year payroll, their highest ever, sat at $170 million. 大限日过後，根据Cot's Baseball Contract 国民花了几乎是队史 最高payroll的170M（网站还没更新几笔交易过後国民需要负担约7M 的薪资）。去年结算，国民就已经达到队史纪录170M了。 For the first time in their history, the Nationals are past the collective bargaining tax threshold ($195 million), in which payroll is calculated using the average annual value of contracts and includes an approximate $13 million for player benefits. Because they are first-time offenders, this will cost them 20 percent of their overage. That the Nationals are over the threshold at all signals unprecedented spending and likely means they will not be able to shoulder the kind of massive contracts that get traded this time of year, even if they did have interest. 国民将首次超越豪华税门槛（195M）。豪华税的计算方式是球员合 约中的平均年薪加总，包含约13M 的球员津贴。鉴於国民是初犯， 只需要缴交超出部分的20趴即可。所有讯号都显示史无前例花很凶 的国民今年已经没有余力在这个时间点多负担一张大约，即使他们 有兴趣。 So, barring injury and subsequent unexpected acquisitions, the roster likely is what it will be by the time October rolls around. Assuming the long list of injured Nationals returns — a phrase repeated often this season — what exactly do they have? 那麽，除了因为又出现伤兵与接着连带无法被预期的交易之外，十 月份时roster大概就是现在这个样子了。假设一长串伤兵归队，这 句话今年已经不知道重复几次了，他们到底有什麽？ They would have a starting lineup of, from left to right, Jayson Werth, Michael A. Taylor and Bryce Harper in the outfield. They have Anthony Rendon, Trea Turner, Daniel Murphy and Ryan Zimmerman in the infield, with Matt Wieters catching. They would have a bench of Jose Lobaton, Stephen Drew, Howie Kendrick, Adam Lind and likely Brian Goodwin or Wilmer Difo. 他们的先发打线从左外野到右外野分别是Werth，Taylor，Harper； 内野从三垒到一垒是Rendon，TT，山羊，Zim；Wieters蹲捕。 板凳上则有Lobaton，Drew，Kendrick，Lind，以及好赢或Difo。 Knock on wood if you must, but they would also have a playoff rotation of Scherzer, Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez and Tanner Roark, with Edwin Jackson as a fifth starter and Erick Fedde filling in along the way. And their revamped bullpen — assuming eight relievers in October — could consist of Sean Doolittle, Ryan Madson, Brandon Kintzler, Shawn Kelley, Joe Blanton, Matt Albers, Enny Romero (who left Wednesday night’s game with a forearm strain) and Oliver Perez. If Koda Glover returns, the Nationals could have a numbers problem. Matt Grace and Sammy Solis also could be left out. The Nationals would have the luxury of bullpen experience. 如果你一定得祈求安心，那麽他们也能排出Shcerzer，小史，Gio， Roark这样的季後赛轮值。E-Jax担任五号，Fedde也曾登板顶替伤兵 。而他们补强过的牛棚，假使届时要带八只牛进十月，可能将包含 怪医，Madson，Kintzler，Kelley，Blanton，Albers，Romero（ 周三晚上因前臂疼痛退场）与OP。如果Glover回归，国民会有些问 题得面对。也别忘记Grace跟Solis。球队将拥有很奢华的牛棚成员。 Assuming everyone is healthy, and that is a risky and major assumption, the Nationals have plenty of firepower now, a more-adept bullpen and are dripping with experience. Having already spent more on this team than any team prior, the Nationals seem unlikely to add much in the post-deadline days. But they have found key pieces at this time before and could do so again. 大家都健康的话，当然这麽想有风险且太自大；国民目前已经军容 壮盛，加上更加精进过的牛棚与更丰富的经验。目前球团已比以往 任何一年都花掉更多钱，似乎不会在大限日後追加更多投资。但他 们之前也曾在这个时间点找到关键拼图，当然也可能再做一次。 ─────────────────────────────────────── 这篇虽然是在写国民可能已经没有余力再吃下另一张合约， 但重点其实是在队史首度超越豪华税啊！ 这表示老是被怀疑不知道该把钱往哪里砸的老板终於肯花钱投资牛棚啦！ 另外关於实质payroll与用於计算豪华税的payroll有啥区别这篇讲得没很清楚。 实质payroll代表今年球团要实际从金库拨出去的钱， 像Scherzer今年约22M、Werth超过21M、Zim有14M， 跟其他球员全部加一加後国民今年要实付170M左右（还没加新同学）。 但计算豪华税时复数年合约一定要用年均的方式统计。 也就是说7y/210M的Scherzer就必须算30M， 这是比他实际能领到的多； 但Werth的7y/126M年均就只有18M， 比他今年能实际领到的21M少。 小史的年均25M也比今年他能领到的多。 用这种方式统计过後国民的payroll就会跨过195M， 文内所说的超过豪华税门槛就是这个意思。 --

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