http://prospect361.com/nl-team-prospects/Washington-Nationals/ 1. Lucas Giolito (RHP) Scouting Report: Giolito has some of the best stuff in the minor leagues. He has two double-plus pitches in his fastball and curve ball. The fastball sits 93 to 95 MPH and can touch into the upper nineties. His curve ball, a hard offering at 80 to 83 MPH with nasty and deceptive break, is his best pitch and could be Clayton-esque in quality. He shows a feel for a change-up, but it’s clearly his third pitch. He can throw all of his pitches for strikes with very good command of his fastball and curve. Giolito 坐拥全小联盟最好的stuff之一。他的速球与曲球都是plus-plus。 速球约93-95也可到high-90s，变化幅度恶心的诈欺级强力大曲约80-83，是 他最好的球种，品质甚至有可能发展到书僮的等级；他对变速也有球感，不 过毫无疑问是排名第三的球种。他的所有武器都能取得好球数，其中速球与 曲球的command更是非常优秀。 Despite his 6-foot-6 frame, Giolito has very good control. He gets this from his excellent and smooth mechanics, enhanced by the extension he gets and his high three-quarters delivery. The mechanics and stuff all point to a ceiling of a number one. While Alex Reyes and Tyler Glasnow have arguably better raw stuff, with Giolito’s combination of present stuff and command and control, the floor is higher. How high? At worse, I think he’ll be a low number two. 尽管身高六尺六寸，Giolito的control还是很好。这来自於杰出又滑顺的投 球机制与身体的延伸能力以及高四分之三出手，这样的机制与stuff 都指向 ACE。就算Alex Reyes和Tyler Glasnow 可能拥有更棒的raw stuff，以目前 Giolito 所展现的stuff与控球能力来看Giolito的天花板还是比较高。有多 高？我认为他最糟糕也能发展到比较差的二号。 Fantasy Impact: Giolito is owned in all Dynasty Leagues and should be owned in all 2016 re-draft leagues. The 2016 upside is Noah Syndergaard. The long-term upside is multiple Cy Young awards. 明年天花板是Noah Syndergaard，长时间则上看数届CYA得主。 2. Trea Turner (SS) Scouting Report: When Turner was drafted, we all knew about his double-plus speed, but what I didn’t realize was how good of hitter he had become. He has plenty of bat speed with a short and compact swing and a good approach at the plate. He sometimes will get pull-happy and try to show off his raw power, but he’s best when making hard contact to all fields. Turner 被选上的时候大家都清楚他的plus-plus speed，问题是我不了解他 会变成多好的打者。他出棒十分迅速且简洁俐落，攻击策略也很理想，有时 会为了表现一下他的raw power 而爽爽拉，但他最棒的攻击型态还是用hard contact把球打到各个角落。 His ability to control the strike zone, get on-base and steal bases will make him a quality leadoff batter in the majors. He also has all the makings of a high BABIP guy with a consistent .300 batting average possible. The speed will play and Turner should be able to build on his 18 stolen bases he posted in the minors leagues in 2015. 控制好球带、上垒与盗垒的能力都将助他成长为大联盟优质开路先锋，他也 具备高BABIP以及稳定维持三成打击率的特质。speed会帮上大忙，Turner应 能以今年小联盟18次盗垒成功为基础持续进步。 Fantasy Impact: Turner should have the inside track on the NL rookie of the year in 2016. Anything can happen and it usually does, but he has a chance to be a very good player, including next year. Once he’s fully acclimated to the big leagues, a line of a .310 hitter with 30 stolen bases, 100 plus runs scored and a handful of home runs are entirely possible. Turner应是明年NL年度新人的有力人选。虽说可能人算不如天算，但包括明 年在内他也还是有机会成为一个非常棒的球员。一旦他适应大联盟，.310打 击率、30盗、超过100的得分与少量全垒打都近在咫尺。 3. Reynaldo Lopez (RHP) Scouting Report: Lopez throws really hard. He routinely hits the upper nineties with his fastball while sitting 95 to 96 MPH. His secondary pitches are still emerging. He throws a 79 to 81 MPH curve ball that will flash plus but is still very inconsistent. He does show a feel for a change-up when he throws it, but that occurs very infrequently. As he moves to Double-A in 2016, it’s a pitch that will need to improve for him to turnover a more advanced lineup. Lopez球速真的很快。他的速球约95-96，也可以规律地冲上high-90s；第二 球种还在努力，曲球79-81偶尔闪现plus 不过仍非常不稳定。变速球有些球 感，但相当罕见。当他明年升上2A後变化球就必须改进，否则无法对抗更强 大的打线。 As with Luis Severino, which is a very good physical comparison, Lopez stands 6 feet tall with a delivery that is very top-heavy. He does have a high three- quarter delivery which helps create plane and reduce fly balls (2.02 G/F). However, the delivery as with Severino is one that usually winds up in the bullpen. That said, Severino has been very good in his first 10 starts in the big leagues and Lopez could have similar early success. Luis Severino是相当好的体格比较对象。六尺的Lopez出手动作相当仰赖上 半身，高四分之三出手能增加斜切也可减少飞球量（2.02滚飞比）。然而像 Severino这样的出手最後通常会进牛棚。尽管如此Severino大联盟生涯头十 场先发依旧表现出色，Lopez当然也有机会取得类似的成功起步。 Fantasy Impact: The Nationals will continue to push Lopez as a starter but even if he winds up in the bullpen, he has closer stuff. That’s a win-win scenario for fantasy owners. The upside is a number two starter with a strikeout an inning, low WHIP but a higher ERA than you would expect. He’ll be a Top 100 prospect for us with a chance to see Washington in the second half of next season. 国民将持续把Lopez当作先发培养，但就算他进牛棚也是头拥有终结者stuff 的好牛。天花板是一局一次夺三振的二号先发，低WHIP 但ERA会比你预期得 高。他会进入我们的百大新秀，明年下半季也有机会看他穿上国民制服。 4. Erick Fedde (RHP) Scouting Report: Fedde has a nice three-pitch mix that features a fastball that sits 91 to 94 MPH (T96) with a plus slider and a feel for a change-up. The stuff does play up because he is able to throw all of his pitches consistently for strikes. This was true in college as well as after his surgery. Fedde有三种不赖的球种可供混用，包括91-94极速96的速球、plus滑球、还 OK的变速球。stuff 引人注目是因为无论大学时期或手术後他都能持续用所 有球种取得好球数。 He has a quick delivery with good extension and balance on his landing. There is some effort to his delivery and sometimes when he rushes, he can have bouts of wildness. However, when he slows things down, he can be very effective with a ceiling of a number three starter with a chance to be a half a grade better. 他的投球动作相当迅速，身体延展性非常好，前脚落地时也能保持平衡。不 过投球时他会稍微用力催，一旦催过头就会失去控球。然而只要缓下来他就 能上看非常有效率的三号，甚至比传统三号更好上一截。 Fantasy Impact: Fedde is a really good pitcher that flies under-the-radar in Dynasty League circles. He doesn’t have a premium arsenal but there’s enough there with the ability to throw strikes that should make him a very effective fantasy starter. The upside is eight strikeouts per nine with better than league average ratios. 虽然Fedde 没有超优质武器但也够用了，而且他有投好球的能力。天花板是 每九局比联盟平均更好的八次夺三振。 5. Wilmer Difo (SS) Scouting Report: Difo has plenty of athleticism that he shows in the field and on the base paths. While he spent the majority of his time at shortstop this year, assuming he stays with the Nationals, he’ll likely be moved to second. An infield of Rendon, Turner, Difo and Zimmerman would give the Nationals a plus defender at each position, not to mention long-term team control. Difo满满的运动能力在防守与跑垒时展露无遗。虽然生涯大部分时间都守游 击，但想前进华盛顿就得换防二垒。以Rendon、Turner、Difo 与Zimmerman 组建而成的防线能提供国民每个内野位置都有plus defender ，更不用说长 时间的年资控制权了。 Offensively, Difo has a short compact swing but lacks leverage and therefore only projects to hit a handful of home runs annually with a ceiling of high single-digits. He does have double-plus speed with excellent base stealing instincts. In 466 minor league games, he has stolen 150 of 183 bases for an 82% success rate. Difo挥棒短小精悍不过缺乏以小搏大的能力，因此他能贡献的全垒打最多也 就年均近十支。他有plus-plus speed加上杰出的盗垒直觉，在他的166场小 联盟比赛里尝试过183次盗垒，成功150次，成功率82%。 Fantasy Impact: With the ability to steal 30-plus bases annually, Difo should be on all fantasy owner’s radar. He does need to improve his approach or the ceiling could drop from everyday regular to a utility player. Difo 有能力提供年均30+盗垒成功，但他得改善自己的攻击策略否则天花板 就会从先发选手降到工具人。 6. A.J. Cole (RHP) Scouting Report: As Cole has matured, his stuff has actually taken a step backwards. Just two years ago, his fastball was sitting 93 to 96 MPH but in his limited big league exposure, his fastball averaged 91.66 MPH. In his lone start, his fastball averaged 90.35; which probably explains the eight hits he gave up. Making matters worse, Cole pitches up in the strike zone and without premium velocity, he’s going to be susceptible to the long ball. His off speed pitches continue to be above-average with his change-up taking a big step up in 2015. He is throwing his slider more now than his curve ball and PitchFx data shows that it’s a quality pitch. Cole成熟之後stuff反而往下掉。两年前他的速球还能落在93-96，但短暂的 大联盟之旅却只缴出91.66的均速，唯一一次先发更剩下90.35。这或许可以 解释为何他会被当成沙包打。更严重的是没球速掩护的Cole如果把球丢进好 球带就会被轰得很惨。今年变速球取得很大的进展，也是平均之上的球种； 目前的他使用滑球的量也高於曲球，根据PitchFX 资料观察这颗滑球的品质 也很不错。 Cole’s pitching mechanics are very clean and repeatable. He has outstanding balance with good posture which is all contributing to him throwing a ton of strikes. While that’s great, with his arsenal backing up a bit and Cole liking to pitch up in the zone, continued success in the big leagues is going to be very difficult. The Nationals might want to introduce a two-seamer into the mix to neutralize some of the fly balls that he is giving up. Cole能稳定重复那非常乾净的投球机制，平衡感杰出的姿势可以帮助他投出 许多好球。即使如此，只要stuff 回不来，加上Cole又倾向把球投进好球带 上方，这都会让他大联盟的成功之路变得非常难走。球团也许会要他开始混 用二缝线来减少被打的飞球量。 Fantasy Impact: My ceiling for Cole has drop from a number two starter to a three last year; and now to a four. I’m worried about the reduction in velocity and his tendency to give up home runs. It’s not a recipe for success at the highest level and fantasy owners need to set their expectations accordingly. 去年我对Cole的天花板从二号降到三号，现在是四号。我担心他下滑的球速 与挨轰趋向，这些都不是更高阶层的生存方式。 7. Andrew Stevenson (OF) Scouting Report: Stevenson has two plus skills. He’s an outstanding defender with comps to another recent SEC centerfielder, Jackie Bradley Jr. His other plus skill is his foot-speed. Not only does he have sub 4.1 times from home to first, he has great instincts on the base paths and will be a threat to steal 40 plus bases annually. Stevenson拥有两种plus skill：惊人的防守能力能比肩另一位SEC中外野手 Jackie Bradley Jr. （Southeastern Conference Baseball Tournament， 大学联赛之一），还有一种plus skill则是跑速。不只是从本垒到一垒只需 4.1秒，他还有很棒的跑垒本能，能挑战年均40+盗垒成功。 The hit tool is very contact-oriented with no leverage and therefore very little over the fence power. He does have physical strength, but he just doesn’t incorporate his strength into his swing. 打击非常仰赖contact，没什麽惊人power。他的身体的确很有力量，不过就 是没办法运用到挥棒上。 Fantasy Impact: The ceiling for Stevenson is Ben Revere with a realistic ceiling of a fourth outfielder. However, with his ability to steal bases, he should be on all Dynasty League owner’s radar. He should be rostered in all Dynasty Leagues with 250 or fewer minor leaguers. FB天花板是Ben Revere，不过现实中的天花板更可能是四号外野手。 8. Rafael Bautista (OF) Scouting Report: Bautista’s carrying tool is double-plus speed that he shows both on the base paths and in the outfield. He does make great contact with a slappy-swing that is void of much power. He’s simply trying to get on base and then use his wheels to make things happen. Bautista 的卖点是展现在跑垒与防守双方面的plus-plus speed。他会用尽 一切手段制造contact，但也因此无法提供power；他只是纯粹把目标摆在上 垒然後用脚下的风火轮制造机会。 The big concern with Bautista is whether his approach will work once he moves to the upper minor leagues. Even speedsters like Billy Hamilton and Ben Revere have had to develop more strength to hang in against premium velocity. However , at age 23, there is concern that Bautista will develop enough strength to be more than just a fourth outfielder. Bautista最大的疑虑是当升上小联盟更高阶层後他的攻击策略还有没有用。 就算是Billy Hamilton或Ben Revere这种等级的腿哥都得培养更多力量应付 更快球速，然而Bautista 已经23岁，他能否养出足够的power以避免只当个 四号外野是个问题。 Fantasy Impact: The upside for Bautista is Ben Revere. In XXX plate appearance in 2015, Revere struck out XX times while walking only XX times. If you extrapolate Bautista’s stat line out in 2015, it comes very close to what Revere did this year. Of course, Revere did it in the majors and Bautista is only in High-A. However, there’s enough there for fantasy owners to bite. I would consider rostering him in leagues with 250 or fewer minor leaguers. 天花板是Ben Revere 。今年Revere的XXX个打席里被三振XX次，只选到XX次 保送。如果你摊开Bautista今年数据会发现跟Revere非常接近，不过Revere 是在大联盟打滚而Bautista只打到A+。 9. Chris Bostick (2B) Scouting Report: I’ve long been a fan of Chris Bostick. He’s a five tool player with speed, pop and good contactability. Granted, none of the tools are plus, but the sum of the parts are definitely better than any individual skill. He has premium bat speed with the chance for future above average power. He’s also a good runner with excellent instincts on the base paths. While there’s an outside shot for 20 HR/20 SB upside, a more realistic ceiling is a 15/15 player. 我喜欢Chris Bostick有段时间了。他是five tool guy，有speed，有power ，contact能力也很棒。当然了他没有任何plus tool，但加总起来也绝对比 只有一种skill 特别突出要来得好。他有很优质的挥棒速度，未来有机会得 到超过平均的power。他也是跑垒本能优异的跑者，即使有上看20/20的空间 还是15/15更接近现实。 Since he was drafted in 2011, he has improved his contact every year. He’s still aggressive at the plate and just doesn’t walk much. He does have very good hand-eye coordination and with his ability to barrel the ball, he should be an average hitter at the highest level. 打从2011年被选上开始他就不断精进自己的contact 。他还是很积极出棒， 不大选保送；手眼协调性非常好，加上用球棒咬住甜蜜点的能力，他在更高 阶层应能成为打出平均打击率的打者。 Fantasy Impact: I still believe Bostick is a big leaguer, but he’s best suited at second or the outfield and I just don’t think that will happen in Washington. Once he gets into the right situation, I think the upside is a 15 HR/15 SB player with a decent average but with a low on-base percentage. That should be enough for a solid middle infielder in a deeper fantasy league. 我依旧相信Bostick 属於大联盟，但最适合他的位置是二垒或外野而我不认 为他能在华盛顿找到这两个位置。一旦得到最适当的定位，我想他有 15/15 的天花板与不错的打击率。只不过上垒率会偏低就是了。 10. Austin Voth (RHP) Scouting Report: Voth is more command and control over stuff. He throws a three pitch mix with a fastball that sits 89 to 91 MPH, a change-up that has good deception and a curve ball that has taken a step up this year. None of the pitches though are plus but he can throw each for strikes with the ability to vary speeds to give hitters a variety of looks. Voth的command与control比stuff优秀。他有三种球种搭配使用：包括89-91 的速球，变化幅度优秀的变速球，以及今年有所进步的曲球。他不具备任何 plus级球种，不过他的三种武器球都能取得好球数。他也有用速差迷惑打者 的能力。 Voth has solid pitching mechanics and gets more plane on his fastball than his 6-foot-1 frame would suggest. He’s able to repeat his delivery which explains his plus control. Voth有不错的投球机制，速球斜切幅度超过他六尺一寸身材该有的样子。他 能重复复制投球动作，这也正好可以解释为何他有plus control。 Fantasy Impact: Voth should see time in the major leagues next year and could be an interesting guy to draft in a draft-and-hold league. While there’s nothing that sets Voth apart, he throws strikes and will keep the ball in the ballpark and that should give him enough upside to make him a back-of-the- rotation starter. Voth明年有机会上大联盟。就算没有特别突出的卖点，投好球与不挨轰的能 力也够让他上看轮值後段先发了。 2016 Emerging Player Victor Robles (OF) There has been a lot of buzz about Victor Robles this year and after seeing him play in only one game, I concluded that the buzz is in fact true. He’s extremely athletic with premium bat speed and strong hands that point to future plus power. At 18-years-old, he has an idea of what he’s doing at the plate with the ability to adjust his swing when the situation dictates. Finally, he’s a plus runner and the 46 stolen bases in 60 attempts are just a taste of his upside. He could be special and if you’re in a fantasy league, now might be the last time to jump on the Robles band wagon. 今年有不少人对着Victor Robles 高潮。就算只看过一次他的比赛，我也兴 奋了。他有超强体能、优秀挥棒速度与强壮手腕，在在指出未来将长出plus power ；他才年仅18就清楚自己站在打击区时该做什麽，也能试情况调整挥 棒。最後，他是个plus跑者，60次盗垒尝试46次成功也仅只牛刀小试而已。 --

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