http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/washington-nationals-top-10-prospects/ 1. Lucas Giolito, RHP SCOUTING GRADES Fastball: 80 Curveball: 70 Changeup: 55 Control: 60 Based on 20-80 scouting scale—where 50 represents major league average—and future projection rather than present tools. Born: July 14, 1994. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-6. Wt.: 255. Drafted: HS—Studio City, Calif., 2012 (1st round). Signed by: Mark Baca. Background: Giolito’s star has only grown brighter as he gets further removed from his 2012 Tommy John surgery, and likely will shine brighter than his actress mother, Lindsay Frost, and father Rick, who both have Hollywood credentials. Giolito started the Futures Game in July, throwing two scoreless innings for the U.S. team, and has established himself as one of the top pitching prospects in the minors. Giolito has long shown that kind of promise, dating back to his high school days. He was considered the top prep pitcher in the 2012 draft class until he suffered a sprained ulnar collateral ligament and was shut down early that March. The Nationals took advantage of the slide in his draft stock, selecting him 16th overall. He had Tommy John surgery later that summer, and the Nationals have handled him carefully since he returned to the mound in 2013. In 2015, they held him back in extended spring training to delay the start to his season and manage his workload. He excelled once he got going, pitching his way to Double-A Harrisburg and finishing the season with 131 strikeouts in 117 innings, both career highs. Giolito 开完TJ过越久星度也越高，甚至将超越他那在好莱坞打滚的演员父母。七月 时Giolito 在未来之星赛为美国队先发两局无失分，也成长为全小联盟最好的投手新 秀之一。Giolito 自高中时期便已崭露头角，直到肘伤被迫提前关机前他都是2012年 度选秀会上最被看好的投手。国民因此捡到便宜，仅用16顺位就挑走他。稍後他便进 手术房TJ，隔年也受到球团格外小心看照。2015年球团要他参加延长春训以延後他的 球季并看管工作量，开始上场後表现优异，总计在2A缴出117局131次夺三振都是生涯 新高。 Scouting Report: Armed with three above-average offerings capable of generating swings and misses and an extra-large frame that allows him to throw from a steep downhill angle, Giolito is overpowering at his best. His fastball sits in the mid to upper 90s and has touched 100 mph. The velocity and angle from which he throws earn his fastball top-of-the-scale grades. His 12-to-6 curveball is a powerful offering with sharp bite and grades nearly as well as his fastball. Giolito also has made strides with his changeup, which has good sinking action. He has turned it into a true weapon against lefthanded hitters. He even produced reverse platoon splits in 2015, holding lefthanders to a .587 OPS, compared with .718 for righthanders. Giolito does a good job of repeating his sound delivery, and he can throw all three of his pitches for strikes. Like any young power pitcher, he still has room to further improve his command, particularly with his secondary pitches. He’s always done a good job of throwing strikes, though he did find Double-A hitters less willing to chase his stuff out of the zone. He is also working on some of the finer points that will prepare him for the major leagues, such as holding runners, fielding his position and learning to hit. He worked on all those during a strong instructional league stint. 他有三种高於平均且能制造挥空的武器球，特别高大的身材也能帮他拿到角度陡峭的 出手优势。情况最好时Giolito 完全宰制打者。直球球速从mid到high-90s甚至100， 速度与角度都可获得顶级评分；垂直下坠变化犀利的强力大曲几乎跟直球一样好，下 沉动作不赖的变速球也有进步。已成为左打恶梦的他2015年差距更明显，左打对他攻 击指数仅.587，右打则有.718。Giolito 能持续重复完整的投球动作且三种武器都能 投进好球带。不过就像任何年轻power pitcher，command都还有进步空间，特别是变 化球种。他投好球的功夫一直不错，同时他也知道2A打者不轻易追打好球带之外的球 。他也正在针对投球以外的其它部分努力，诸如看管垒上跑者、防守与打击等等，都 会对他上大联盟更有帮助。这部分工作他都在时间有限的指导联盟中特别努力。 The Future: Giolito is an elite talent with the stuff, size and pitching acumen to develop into an ace. Having reached Double-A to finish the 2015 season, he is closing in on the big leagues and has the stuff to pitch there. But the Nationals have shown great patience with their prized pitching prospect and will likely continue to proceed cautiously because Giolito still is just 21 and has made just eight starts above Class A. He is advanced enough to reach Washington as early as the 2016 season but should begin the year back in Double -A. His stuff and feel for the strike zone give him the ceiling of a No. 1 starter. Giolito 是stuff优异的顶尖天才，身材好也懂得用脑袋投球。这些都是他成长为ACE 的助力。2015年在2A结束球季的他离大联盟更近了，但国民对这位珍贵投手新秀表现 出相当了不起的耐心，似乎也将继续保持，因为他才21岁而且越过1A後他只先发了八 场比赛。他已经足以於明年初就进入大联盟，不过应该还是会回到2A开季，stuff 与 对好球带的球感将使他成为一号先发。 2. Trea Turner, ss Born: June 30, 1993. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 175. Drafted: North Carolina State, 2014 (1st round). Signed by: Tyler Stubblefield (Padres). Video Background: The 13th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Turner hit .323 with 23 steals in his debut summer. Despite Turner’s initial success, the Padres’ incoming front office traded him to the Nationals last December as a part of the three-team deal. As a 2014 pick, Turner could not be traded until a year after he signed, thus he played the first half of 2015 at the Padres‘ Double-A San Antonio affiliate before joining the Nationals on June 14. 2014年13顺位的Turner同年即打出.323外加23次盗垒。尽管Turner的职业debut 很成 功，教士新任制服组还是在年底以三方交易案把他送到国民。基於当时规定，Turner 签约後一年内都不得被交易，也因此他直到2015年六月14正式转到国民前都在教士2A San Antonio打球。 Scouting Report: Turner’s best tool is his speed, which grades out near the top of the scale, but he has also proven himself to be an advanced hitter. He has surprising pop thanks to the bat speed he’s able to produce, and he could consistently hit double-digit home runs. He profiles best as a top-of-the-order hitter who does a good job of hitting balls into the gaps and getting on base to take advantage of his speed. Turner is still polishing his defensive game, but he has the quickness and arm strength to be a solid shortstop. Though he also saw some time at second base for Washington, he projects to be an everyday shortstop. Turner最好的tool是几乎接近顶级的速度，不过他也已证明自己是高阶打者。因为挥 棒速度够快，他拥有令人惊喜的长打能力，也能稳定量产两位数字全垒打。他被认为 是开路先锋型，可以把球打到大空档也可以上垒後用速度制造破坏。Turner的手套还 需琢磨，但他反应快也有臂力，可以靠实力站稳游击。尽管在华盛顿偶尔得站二垒， 他还是会成为一个能够天天上场的游击手。 The Future: With Ian Desmond heading for free agency, Turner could be on deck for 2016. Ian Desmond前进自由市场後Turner应能准备好接手明年游击位置。 3. Victor Robles, of Born: May 19, 1997. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 185. Signed: Dominican Republic, 2013. Signed by: Modesto Ulloa. Video Background: Robles made his U.S. debut in 2015 and was the breakout prospect of the year for the Nationals. He signed with Washington for $225,000 in 2013 and impressed the organization in the Dominican Summer League in 2014. He wowed the Nationals’ staff again during extended spring training in 2015, and that performance carried over to the regular season in the Rookie-level Gulf Coast League and then at short-season Auburn, where the 18-year-old was the youngest regular in the New York-Penn League. Robles今年正式在北美亮相，也是国民年度爆发新秀。2013年国民以签约金225K签下 他，隔年於多明尼加夏季联盟就让球团惊艳，今年延长春训再度震撼球团人士。他也 将好手感带到新人联盟与短期1A，而他甚至是全NYPL联盟最年轻的正规先发野手。 Scouting Report: Robles is an excellent athlete with true five-tool potential. He is advanced for his age, displaying a good feel for hitting and quick hands that allow him to produce impressive bat speed. Presently, his power mostly results in hard line drives to the gaps, but as he physically matures, those balls should start going over the fence. He has well above-average speed that he makes good use of both on the basepaths and in the outfield. He tracks down balls well in center field and has plus arm strength. Robles拥有十分杰出的运动能力与five-tool 潜力。他的表现超龄，展现相当棒的击 球感，手腕转动迅速也带动令人印象深刻的出棒速度；目前他的power 几乎都转换为 打到大空档的强劲平飞球，但只要他的身体趋於成熟球就会开始飞出大墙。他能运用 超出平均不少的跑速到防守与跑垒，在中外野追踪来球的本事很不赖也有plus臂力。 The Future: Robles earns praise for his energy, high baseball IQ and eagerness to learn. He is still understandably raw in some parts of his game, but he has the look of a fast mover. He’ll get his first taste of full-season ball at low Class A Hagerstown in 2016. Robles靠能量、高棒球智商与求知若渴的态度获得赞扬。许多比赛细节的处理上他依 然生疏，可以理解。不过可以预见他将成长迅速。明年他会在1A Hagerstown 得到打 完第一个完整球季的机会。 4. Erick Fedde, rhp Born: Feb. 25, 1993. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 180. Drafted: Nevada-Las Vegas, 2014 (1st round). Signed by: Mitch Sokol. Background: A strong showing with Team USA and Nevada-Las Vegas appeared to have Fedde on his way to becoming a top-10 pick in the 2014 draft until he had Tommy John surgery that May. Despite the injury, he didn’t fall far on draft day. The Nationals snagged him with the 18th overall pick, happy to be able to snag a player with his upside at that draft spot. Fedde made his pro debut a little more than a year after the draft. After eight starts at short-season Auburn, he earned a promotion to low Class A Hagerstown. 直到2014年五月动刀前，Fedde 都靠美国代表队与Nevada-Las Vegas的精采表现一度 属於年度选秀前十大的热门人选。就算开TJ他的顺位也没掉太多，国民用18顺位选走 他。以18顺位选到这种天份是值得高兴的。选秀结束後他又花了一年多才再度站上投 手丘，短A Auburn先发八场後便升上低A Hagerstown。 Scouting Report: Fedde still was getting back to full strength this season, but he showed glimpses of the kind of stuff that made him a first-round pick. His fastball has gotten up to 97 mph in the past, but he more typically pitches in the low 90s. His fastball plays up because it has excellent sinking action, and he locates it well. His low-80s slider is still a bit inconsistent—it gets slurvy at times—but should sharpen and give him a second plus pitch when he returns to full strength. He also shows flashes of a solid changeup. 本季Fedde还在找手臂的所有力量，但也曾短暂拿出他之所以属於首轮新秀的stuff。 速球曾投到97，不过泰半坐落於low-90s 。他的速球威力建立於了不起的下沉动作， 控球也很不错。low-80s 的滑球依然有些不稳，某些时候看来像滑曲球。一旦找回所 有手臂力量应能投得更犀利也会成为他第二种plus武器。他也投过些不错的变速球。 The Future: The Nationals have had success helping young pitchers through Tommy John rehab, including Lucas Giolito, Stephen Strasburg and Jordan Zimmermann. Fedde got off to a good start in his recovery and he’ll likely pick that process back up in Class A next season. 国民应对TJ投手算是得心应手，包括Giolito、Strasburg与Zimmermann。Fedde 的复 健路有着很棒的起步，看来明年他会循着这个节奏再度从1A出发。 5. Reynaldo Lopez, rhp Born: Jan. 4, 1994. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 185. Signed: Dominican Republic, 2012. Signed by: Modesto Ulloa. Background: Lopez was an unheralded 18-year-old with a high-80s fastball when the Nationals signed him for $17,000 in 2012. He’s gotten stronger and made significant improvements since then, leading to a breakout in 2014 with a dominating performance in the low minors. The Nationals tightened the reins on Lopez in 2015, holding him back in extended spring training with Lucas Giolito to delay the start of his season and limit his workload. The pair joined high Class A Potomac together in May, and while Giolito hit the ground running, Lopez was less consistent. 2012年以17K签给国民时Lopez还只是high-80s的18岁路人，过後他越来越强壮进步幅 度也越来越大，2014年破茧而出并彻底压制低阶联盟。今年国民更小心翼翼地要他跟 Giolito一起参加延长春训以便延後他的球季并控制工作量。他们一起在五月加入高A Potomac，而当Giolito开始冲刺时Lopez却有些步履蹒跚。 Scouting Report: Lopez has come a long way already as a professional, and his fastball now comfortably sits in the mid-90s and touches triple digits. His improved strength also has helped his curveball, which is a powerful 11-to-5 offering capable of producing whiffs. His changeup gives him a solid third offering but remains a work in progress. Inconsistencies with his delivery hampered his command this season, leaving him more hittable than he should be with his stuff, and he’ll need to throw more quality strikes to remain a starter in the future. Lopez的职业路已经取得相当大的进展。他的速球能舒适地游走在mid-90s，也能触及 三位数。更强壮的手臂也帮助他运用11-to-5 的曲球制造挥空，变速球则是他第三种 可靠武器，不过还在努力。本季不够稳定的投球动作也影响他的command ，相较他的 stuff 实在不该这麽容易被打。未来若想继续留在先发就得投出更多有品质的好球。 The Future: Lopez still has a lot of room for improvement even as he advances to the upper levels of the minors for the first time in 2016. But he has the power repertoire to take off if he’s able to figure out some of the finer aspects of his craft. 有如此强大的stuff 做後盾，只要他能在更多方面多下工夫改善，明年升上更高阶层 後Lopez也都还可以变得更好。 6. Wilmer Difo, ss/2b Born: April 2, 1992. B-T: B-R. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 175. Signed: Dominican Republic, 2011. Signed by: Modesto Ulloa. Background: A late bloomer, Difo struggled in the low minors before breaking out in 2014, when he won the South Atlantic League MVP award. He built on that progress in 2015, earning a surprise callup to the big leagues in May but broke his left hand in October, ending both his season and plans to attend the Arizona Fall League. 大器晚成的Difo於2014年爆发并拿下South Atlantic League MVP 之前在低阶联盟都 过得很挣扎。今年循序渐进，五月时也曾意外获得登上大联盟的机会。不过十月弄伤 左手连带使AFL的出赛计画也随之告吹。 Scouting Report: Difo’s biggest strides have been in the mental aspect of the game. He previously struggled to cope with adversity and the failures inherent to baseball. With a better approach to the game, his tools have had a chance to shine through. He’s a well above-average runner and has an aggressive approach on the basepaths and at the plate. He has a short, quick swing with surprising raw power from both sides of the plate. He primarily played shortstop this season, except when he briefly shared an infield with Trea Turner at Double-A Harrisburg. Turner’s presence may eventually force Difo to become a second baseman, where he can be an above-average defender. Difo能大幅成长的原因在於比赛时心智的成长。以前的他不知如何面对逆境也会对错 误钻牛角尖，随着比赛时的态度日趋成熟他的tools 有机会更加耀眼。他的速度高过 平均不少，不管跑垒或打击都相当积极；挥棒简短迅速，无论站在本垒板的哪一侧都 有令人讶异的raw power。今年他主攻游击，也曾短暂与刚加入2A Harrisburg的Trea Turner共享这个位置。Difo也许终将被Turner挤到二垒，就算这样Difo也能成为防守 能力高於平均的二垒手。 The Future: Difo gives the Nats another big league shortstop option for 2016, but he’s more likely to return as Harrisburg’s shortstop to start or jump to Triple-A Syracuse. Difo是国民另一个2016年游击手选项，但他更有可能会回到Harrisburg或直接跳上3A Syracuse。 7. A.J. Cole, rhp Born: Jan. 5, 1992. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-5. Wt.: 200. Drafted: HS—Oviedo, Fla., 2010 (4th round). Signed by: Paul Tinnell. Background: The Nationals originally signed Cole for $2 million as a fourth- round pick in 2010 before trading him to the Athletics for Gio Gonzalez in November 2011. Since Washington reacquired Cole in March 2013, he has put his disappointing 2012 season in the rearview mirror. After reaching Triple-A Syracuse and pitching in the Futures Game in 2014, he made his big league debut in 2015. Cole 原本是国民2010年用2M签下的第四轮新秀。2011年11月则被交易到运动家换Gio Gonzalez，2013年三月把他换回来後他就将2012年的失败抛之於脑後。2014年升上3A Syracuse，也在同年的未来之星赛登板。2015年则完成他的大联盟debut。 Scouting Report: Cole’s velocity was down a bit early in 2015, including during his time in Washington, but after some mechanical adjustments, he got better as the season progressed. His fastball sits comfortably in the low 90s, pushing as high as 96 mph, and he commands it effectively to both sides of the plate. He has good feel for his changeup, which provides a good contrast to his fastball. He throws both a slider and a curveball, with the slider being the better of his two fringy-to-average breaking balls. Cole repeats his simple, clean delivery well and throws strikes. Cole今年季初球速下滑，包括上大联盟那段时间；不过随着球季进行经过调整机制後 表现得越来越好。速球舒适地落在low-90s ，能投到96，他也能把速球投到好球带两 侧边缘。对变速球也有不错感觉，搭配速球能取得很好的对比效果。他也投滑球跟曲 球，两种变化球都只是勘用而已。滑球则好上一些。Cole可以重复简单乾净的投球动 作，也能取得好球数。 The Future: Though Cole briefly pitched out of the big league bullpen in May, he has all the tools necessary to be a starter and could become the Nationals’ latest homegrown rotation member. With a deep pool of starters in Washington already, though, Cole may be ticketed again for Syracuse to begin the 2016 season. 即使今年五月只曾短暂地待在大联盟牛棚，Cole真的拥有成为一名先发所需要的所有 武器。他也可能是目前国民自选自养的农场新秀里最接近大联盟轮值圈的一员。不过 当前国民的先发投手深度已经足够，Cole也许还是得回Syracuse开始他明年球季。 8. Andrew Stevenson, of Born: June 1, 1994. B-T: L-L. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 185. Drafted: Louisiana State, 2015 (2nd round). Signed by: Ed Gustafson. Background: Signing Max Scherzer cost the Nationals their first-round pick in 2015, making Stevenson their top selection in the second round. He ranked as one of the best defensive outfielders in NCAA Division I and helped Louisiana State reach the College World Series in 2015. He hit the ground running in pro ball, quickly advancing to low Class A Hagerstown in his debut. 国民因为签Scherzer 丢掉首轮签，第二轮的Stevenson便成为2015年国民第一指名。 他被列为NCAA Division I防守最顶尖的外野手之一，也帮Louisiana State冲到今年 的College World Series。他的职业生涯起步快速，没多久就升上低A Hagerstown。 Scouting Report: Stevenson has exceptional range thanks to his well above- average speed and instincts. His below-average arm strength is his only defensive deficiency. In college, Stevenson had an unconventional set-up at the plate that forced him to slash at the ball. The Nationals have worked with him to adjust his hands and give a better chance to drive the ball. He will always be more of a contact hitter, but his speed and feel for the barrel are good enough to make him a top-of-the-order candidate. He is an aggressive baserunner who can impact the game with his speed. 基於高出平均不少的速度与直觉使Stevenson 拥有格外广阔的防守范围，唯一缺陷是 臂力低於平均。大学时期Stevenson 的打击准备动作相当奇葩，致使他只能用砍击方 式击球。国民要他调整手部以便将球带得更强劲。他一直都会是contact hitter，而 速度与对球棒的掌握也好到足以让他成为开路先锋的候选人。他是个能靠积极跑垒冲 击比赛的球员。 The Future: Stevenson earns praise for his high-energy play and makeup. He already has proven to be advanced enough to move quickly with the Nationals, and he may be ready to start his first full season at high Class A Potomac. Stevenson 的活力四射与情绪管控都得到赞赏。他证明自己已经准备好要快速爬升， 明年也许就将从高A Potomac开始他第一个完整球季。 9. Austin Voth, rhp Born: June 26, 1992. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 190. Drafted: Washington, 2013 (5th round). Signed by: Fred Costello. Background: Voth, when he pitched at Washington, ranked second in the Pacific- 12 Conference in strikeouts in 2013, behind only eventual No. 1 overall draft pick Mark Appel. Voth carried that momentum into pro ball when he pitched his way to Double-A Harrisburg in 2014, his first full pro season. He led the Eastern League with 148 strikeouts in 2015 and has led the Nationals system in whiffs in each of the past two seasons. 2013年当Voth就读University of Washington时名列Pacific-12 Conference 夺三振 榜第二名，仅落後当年状元Mark Appel。Voth带着这股气势进入2014年，一路升到2A Harrisburg ，这也是他第一个完整职业球季。2015年148次夺三振是Eastern League 第一，他也连续两年稳坐国民农场夺三振王。 Scouting Report: Voth pounds the zone with all three of his pitches. He relies on his fastball, which typically sits around 90-91 mph but can climb to 95. His has a good feel for his changeup, which has late sinking action. The consistency of his slider has improved, giving him a solid third pitch. His piles up strikeouts as a result of his plus control and ability to locate his pitches in all areas of the strike zone. He has a good understanding of his craft and mixes his pitches well. Built like an innings-eating starter, Voth often gets better the deeper he works into games. Voth有三种攻击好球带的武器球，主力武器是通常跑在90-91 但也能飙到95的速球。 靠近本垒板才产生下沉的变速球球感不错，第三种武器滑球也掌握得更稳定了。他靠 plus control与投进好球带任何角落的能力累积夺三振数。他相当清楚自己的能耐也 把球种混用得十分理想，Voth养得像是头工作马而且比赛中常常越投越好。 The Future: As long as Voth keeps throwing strikes, he could push his way into the mix for a spot in the big leagues by the end of the 2016 season. He lacks a plus pitch and has a small margin for error, but his control and above- average changeup give him a ceiling as a possible No. 4 starter. 只要Voth继续投丢好球他就有机会於明年季末挤身大联盟。他缺少plus级球种，容错 空间也小，但control与平均以上的变速球使他拥有上看四号先发的天花板。 10. Anderson Franco, 3b Born: Aug. 15, 1997. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-3. Wt.: 190. Signed: Dominican Republic, 2013. Signed by: Pablo Arias. Background: Franco was one of the youngest players in the 2013 international free agent class, waiting until his 16th birthday on Aug. 15 to sign with the Nationals for $900,000. He reached short-season Auburn late in 2015 as an 18- year-old. Franco是2013年国际FA最年轻的球员之一，等到同年八月15日满16岁後才与国民签下 900K的合约。2015年季末到达短A Auburn时也只有18岁。 Scouting Report: Franco’s physical build belies his youth, and his strength helps him in all facets of the game. He generates good bat speed and raw power, which he should get to more consistently as he matures. His strike-zone judgment still needs some refinement. In particular he needs to learn to lay off breaking balls away, but he showed a willingness to work a walk for a young player and has a decent offensive approach. Defensively, he profiles well at third base, with his glove being his best present tool. His plus arm strength, range and athleticism make him a good defender at the hot corner who will be able to stay at the position. 以Franco年纪拥有这种身材很犯规，他的力量更可在比赛中的所有面向都派上用场。 他有不错的出棒速度与raw power ，只要身体更成熟表现应该也能趋於稳定。他的好 球带识别能力还需要加强，特别得学习的是如何选掉外角变化球；不过身为一个年轻 球员他却愿意去磨保送，也具备很像样的攻击策略。防守上被认为是很好的三垒手， 目前手套甚至是他最好的tool。他有plus臂力，移动范围与运动能力都让防守优秀的 他能够长久站防三垒这个hot corner。 The Future: Optimistic scouts see Franco with a chance to have four above- average tools, with speed the only one lacking. He is far away from the majors and will need a strong spring with the bat to join Victor Robles—part of the same 2013 international class—at low Class A Hagerstown in 2016. 乐观的球探们觉得Franco除了速度以外的四种tools 都有机会长到平均以上。他离大 联盟还很远，也得在明年春天拿出大棒子才有机会跟着2013年的同梯Robles一起加入 低A Hagerstown。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 1.34.47.100 ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Nationals/M.1447673855.A.F47.html