Washington Nationals Top 20 2014 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/9/14/6076905/ washington-nationals-top-20-2014-pre-season-prospects-in-review By John Sickels on Sep 14 2014, 1:15p 引述《vg175 (非典型废言)》之铭言： 1) Lucas Giolito, RHP, Grade A-: : Has the stuff to be a number one starter but I want to see how he holds up to a : full workload coming back from Tommy John and how his changeup develops before : going with a straight A. Even with a few questions to answer, he ranks among : the very elite and with a good season he could be the top pitching prospect in : baseball six months from now. Let's give him some time first. : 拥有一号stuff但我要看到他TJ後能投完整个球季， : 与上1A前变速球练得如何。 : 即使问题还有待厘清，他的级别也在超顶尖之上。 : 未来六个月若能好好表现他将是最好的顶级投手新秀。 : 先多给他点时间吧。 Proved he was healthy from Tommy John recovery, 2.20 ERA with 110/28 K/BB in 98 innings for Low-A Hagerstown, 70 hits. All systems look go from here. Age 20. 证明已从TJ术後复原， 1A Hagerstown 98局 2.20ERA 70H 110/28三振保送比 年仅20，可以就此起步。 2) A.J. Cole, RHP, Grade B: : Borderline B+. Could wind up with B+ depending on how I want to slot him on the : Top 50 pitching prospect list, so I should have a final grade here next week. : Still some concerns about breaking ball consistency but he’s made a lot of : progress over the last year and could develop into a number two starter. : B+边缘。能不能升到B+得看我把他塞在Top50投手新秀的哪里， : 下周应该就有答案了。 : 变化球稳定度依旧是问题，但他去年有很大进展，有机会成为二号。 Borderline B+. Effective in both Double-A and Triple-A, combined 3.16 ERA with 111/32 K/BB in 134 innings. Ready for a trial next year. Age 22. B+边缘， 2A与3A都表现得十分有效率。 2A/3A 134局 3.16ERA 111/32三振保送比 22岁，已经准备好明年挑战大联盟。 3) Brian Goodwin, OF, Grade B: : Excellent tools but baseball skills remain erratic/inconsistent, particularly : with his swing mechanics. If a time traveler told me Goodwin became an All-Star : , I’d believe it. I’d also believe it if they told me he became a fifth : outfielder. : 超棒tools但skills还是不稳，特别是挥棒机制。 : 若有未来人告诉我他会成为全星星，我相信； : 但如果他们告诉我他是五号外野手我也会相信。 Hit .219/.342/.328 with 50 walks, 95 strikeouts in 274 at-bats for Triple-A Syracuse. Disappointing and injury-plagued season, still draws notice for tools but needs to boost bat. Age 23. 3A 274AB .219/.342/.328 50BB 95SO 不但令人失望还挂病号。 tools依旧引人注目但打击得加把劲，23岁。 4) Matt Skole, 1B-3B, Grade B-: : Power/patience hitter not likely to produce a high average in my opinion but : should be productive in OBP and SLG. Needs to shake off rust after missing : almost all of 2013 with wrist/elbow injuries suffered in a harsh collision. : 有炮瓦也有耐心， : 就我看来不会有高打击率但应该能提供上垒跟长打。 : 得从几乎因伤失落的整个2013年後振作起来。 Hit .241/.352/.399 with 14 homers, 78 walks, 127 strikeouts in 461 at-bats for Double-A Harrisburg, shaking off injury rust after missing almost all of ’13 with wrist injury. Disappointing with power but need to study detailed reports before commenting further. Age 25. 2A Harrisburg 461AB .241/.352/.399 78BB 127SO 因手腕受伤几乎错过整个2013球季後的复出年。 炮瓦令人失望，但要做更远的预测还需要读过更进一步的报告。 25岁。 5) Drew Ward, 3B, Grade B-: : Another high ceiling power/patience bat, third round pick last year out of : rural Oklahoma, has the arm to remain at third base and his hitting skills have : looked surprisingly polished so far given his background. : 另一个高天花板的炮瓦选球棒。 : 来自奥克拉荷马乡下的去年第三轮新秀， : 有足够的臂力续留三垒。 : 打击技巧精致得让人惊讶，特别是考量到他的出身之後。 Hit .269/.341/.413 with 10 homers, 42 walks, 121 strikeouts in 431 at-bats in Low-A. Age 19. I think he will improve. 1A 431AB .269/.341/.413 10HR 42BB 121SO 19岁，我认为他会成长。 6) Michael Taylor, OF, Grade B-: : Outstanding defensive outfielder, stole 51 bases in High-A last year. Has some : power potential as well, although hitting skills less refined than defense/ : baserunning. Contact troubles may prevent high batting average but his broad : base of tools will get him to the majors eventually. I am optimistic about his : bat but it will take more time. : 守备杰出的外野手。去年在A+盗垒成功51次，有些炮瓦天赋， : 但尚待磨练的打击技巧还是不如防守跟跑垒。 : 挥空率可能会导致打击率无法提升， : 但基础tools终究会引领他上MLB。 : 我乐观期待他的棒子不过需要多花些时间。 Hit combined .304/.390/.526 with 23 homers, 37 steals, 57 walks, 144 strikeouts in 428 at-bats between Double-A and Triple-A. 3-for-19 in the majors. Power/speed skills have blossomed and the tools were always here. Age 23. 2A/3A 428AB .304/.390/.526 23HR 37SB 57BB 144SO MLB 3-for-19 绽放炮瓦与速度而tools一直都在，23岁。 7) Steven Souza, OF, Grade B-: : Older prospect turns 25 this month, held back earlier in his career by injuries : , PED suspension, excessive strikeouts, and makeup issues. The Nationals : didn’t give up on him because he has intriguing power/speed combination and : will take a walk. High-shelf tools here and the skills have improved a lot. : Just needs to keep himself together. : 本月将满25岁的老新秀。早期受伤势，禁药，过多三振， : 跟心理问题阻碍。国民没有放弃他，因为他有速度有炮瓦也能选保送。 : 高规格tools就摆在这里，skills也有不小进步， : 只要他自己能维持住就好。 Hit .350/.432/.590 with 18 homers, 26 steals, 52 walks, 75 strikeouts in 346 at-bats in Triple-A. 1-for-14 in the majors. Older at age 25 but tools are sound and skills have developed nicely. 3A 346AB .350/.432/.590 18HR 26SB 52BB 75SO MLB 1-for-14 25岁年纪不小，但tools响亮而skills也培养得很好。 8) Felipe Rivero, LHP, Grade B-: : Venezuelan lefty acquired in trade with Tampa Bay Rays. I like him better than : the numbers say I should but with command refinements I think he can be a solid : number three or four starter, or at worst a power reliever. : 从光芒交易来的委内瑞拉左投。 : 应该说我喜欢他更胜过这个排名， : 只要他能改进控球我想他会是个可靠的三四号， : 最坏也会是火球牛。 4.12 ERA with 38/18 K/BB in 44 innings for Harrisburg, had injuries but finished well. Age 23. 2A 44局 4.12ERA 38/18三振保送比 虽然带伤但球季结尾收得不错，23岁。 9) Tony Renda, 2B, Grade B-: : Undersized 5-8 second baseman from University of California shows baseball : skills, polished hitter with good plate discipline and some gap power, : 48-for-57 in steals so far in his career, gets on base, steady glove, terrific : makeup. We need to see him at higher levels but he has outperformed : expectations in college as well as pro ball. Consistently plays above his tools : and I think that will continue. : 来自加州大学的矮小的5尺8寸二垒手。 : 拥有skills，本垒板纪律佳，也能把球打到外野空档。 : 生涯到目前为止57次盗垒48次成功。 : 能上垒，稳定的手套，心理素质也相当了不起。 : 我们得看他在更高层级会打得如何， : 但从大学至职业他已经大大超出预期。 : 他的表现始终高於tools而我想这也将持续下去。 Hit .307/.381/.377 with 19 steals, 43 walks, 59 strikeouts in 414 at-bats for High-A Potomac. Lacks power but an efficient OBP player, age 23. A+ Potomac 414AB .307/.381/.377 19SB 43BB 59SO 缺乏炮瓦但是个有效率的上垒者，23岁。 10) Drew Vettleson, OF, Grade C+: : Acquired from Rays after he hit just four homers in the Florida State League. : Supplemental first round pick in ’10 has across-the-board average tools, cut : down on his swing and reduced strikeouts last year but lost power in so doing. : Change of scenery could help but off to a slow start in Double-A (3-for-23). : 在A+仅击出四轰後被光芒交易到国民。 : 来自2010年三明治选秀，拥有全面而平均的tools。 : 去年减少挥棒以求降低三振但也同时扼杀他的炮瓦， : 转换环境也许有所帮助但今年在2A的起步相当缓慢（23打数仅3安打）。 Another injury case, hit .246/.275/.423 with eight homers, 11 walks, 73 strikeouts in 248 at-bats for Harrisburg. Age 23, looks like a tweener unless he can develop more power or enhanced OBP skills. 另一个伤痛case。 2A 248AB .246/.275/.423 8HR 11BB 73SO 23岁，除非能强化炮瓦或上垒技巧否则不会有什麽机会。 11) Jake Johansen, RHP, Grade C+: : Power arm drafted from Dallas Baptist in 2013, second round, can hit 98-99 MPH. : Erratic in college due to shaky secondaries but looked better in New York-Penn : League. Could be very impressive starter if slider and changeup develop : properly with relief a backup option. : 2013年第二轮被选进的达拉斯浸信会大学火球男，能催到98-99。 : 大学时期虽因不稳的第二球种惨遭海扁，但在A-看来好多了。 : 如果滑球跟变速发展方向正确有机会成为非常优秀的先发， : 後援也是预备选项。 Age 23, posted 5.19 ERA with 89/55 K/BB in 101 innings in Low-A, 120 hits. Upper-90s fastball but weak secondaries and shaky command hamper him. 23岁， 1A 101局 120H 5.19ERA 89/55三振保送比 有high-90s速球但第二球种很虚而且控球差劲。 12) Eury Perez, OF, Grade C+: : Very fast, .303 career hitter in Triple-A, good glove. Lack of power and a very : aggressive hitting approach are problematic but even with his present skill : set he should be useful on a bench. : 速度非常快，生涯在3A拥有.303打击率，好手套。 : 缺乏炮瓦跟过於积极的打击策略是问题， : 但基於他的skill套件他应该能成为有用的板凳。 Hit .311/.372/.406 with 20 steals in 57 games, 212 at-bats for Syracuse. Very fast, good glove, lacks power, age 24. 13) Zach Walters, INF, Grade C+: : Versatile infielder on defense. Stereotype of a utility infielder is a contact : hitter who lacks power but Walters is more of a Mirror Universe utility-man, : featuring impressive power but lots of strikeouts and a low OBP/batting average : . : 能站多个位置的内野手。 : 通常这种老调工具人多半是缺乏炮瓦的contact hitter， : 但Walters更像是从star trek里跑出来的工具人。 : 特色是优异的炮瓦，伴随着一堆三振跟低上垒与低打击率。 Traded to Cleveland Indians, hit .310/.361/.619 with 17 homers, 20 walks, 67 strikeouts in 268 at-bats in Triple-A, .175/.238/.417 with nine homers, nine walks, 46 strikeouts in 120 at-bats in the majors. Power stands out, versatile glove, strikes out a lot, shaky on-base skills, age 25. 14) Aaron Barrett, RHP, Grade C+: : University of Mississippi product off to good start in big league bullpen and : has multi-year track record of successful relief work. Velocity has picked up, : command is also much sharper than earlier in his career. : 密西西比大学出产。MLB起步得不错， : 也有多年成功的小联盟牛棚经验， : 球速跟控球比起生涯早年都有所提升。 Solid year in major league bullpen, 2.87 ERA with 48/19 K/BB in 38 innings. Should be effective middle man going forward. MLB 38局 2.87ERA 48/19三振保送比 在大联盟表现很好， 应能继续当个有效率的中继牛。 15) Rafael Bautista, OF, Grade C+: : Toolsy outfielder from Dominican Republic off to fast start at Low-A Hagerstown : (.343/.395/.486), following up successful ’13 GCL campaign (.322/.400/.391 : with 26 steals). Speed stands out but he could develop more punch as he matures : . A bit under the radar right now but I think that will change. : 这个来自多明尼加共和国的toolsy外野手去年在GCL相当成功 : （.322/.400/.391）。 : 今年从1A也很快就进入状况（.343/.395/.486外加26盗）。 : 速度卓越但他一旦成熟就能提供更全面的表现， : 虽然目前还不起眼但我想这将会改变。 Hit .290/.341/.382 with five homers, 69 steals, 33 walks, 72 strikeouts in 487 at-bats in Low-A. Fine campaign, power still developing but speedy, age 21. 1A 487AB .290/.341/.382 5HR 69SB 33BB 72SO 有个不错的球季，炮瓦还在养但速度有够快。 21岁。 16) Sammy Solis, LHP, Grade C+: : I’d rank him higher if he could stay healthy. Good changeup and breaking ball, : fastball velocity varies depending on health status, knows how to pitch. : Potential number four starter with good makeup if his body lets him do it. : 如能保持健康我会给他更高的名次。 : 变化球跟变速球都够好，球速依健康程度上下摆荡。 : 了解如何投球，拥有四号潜能心理素质也很好， : 重点还是身体状况。 Still hampered by health problems, pitched just 18 innings at four levels. 依然伤病缠身。今年四个层级合计只投18局。 17) Blake Treinen, RHP, Grade C: : Borderline C+ Decent results as a minor league starter but in the bullpen now : and looks like a good contributor in that role, picking up grounders with : fastball and slider. Up to 97 MPH in relief role. : C+边缘。不错的小联盟先发但已经转到牛棚， : 看来能以这个角色作出贡献。靠速球跟滑球制造滚地， : 当RP时能催到97起跳。 Borderline C+: Solid big league season, 2.18 ERA with 26/11 K/BB in 41 innings, 2.33 GO/AO. Age 26, should take a larger role going forward. C+边缘， MLB 41局 2.18ERA 26/11三振保送比 2.33滚飞比 26岁，今年在大联盟表现很好， 未来应能获得更重要的角色。 18) Jefry Rodriguez, RHP, Grade C: : Borderline C+: Very projectable high-ceiling arm, 6-5, 185, performed well in : Gulf Coast League last year. Age 20, secondary pitches need development but : could wind up as a guy with a 95-MPH fastball and at least one other plus pitch : . Watch for a breakout in the New York-Penn League, much higher grades possible : eventually. : C+边缘。非常有希望的高天花板6尺5寸185磅右投， : 去年在GCL表现很棒。第二球种还需要磨练， : 但可能长成速球95加上至少一种plus球种的投手。 : 期待他在A-大爆发，也许最後能得到更高的评价。 Borderline C+: 20 year old projectable prospect, pitched 33 innings between Hagerstown and short-season Auburn, 4.86 ERA with 20/9 K/BB, 43 hits. Didn’t pitch after July 1st, need to research this one. C+边缘，20岁，还会继续成长。 A-/1A 33局 4.86ERA 43H 20/9三振保送比 7/1後就没再出赛过，还要再研究看看。 19) Randy Encarnacion, OF, Grade C: : Borderline C+: Another GCL guy heading to the NY-P, hit .349/.437/.523 last : year at age 19. Good solid tools across the board. Began his career under the : name Randy Novas. : C+边缘。去年19岁在GCL打出.349/.437/.523， : 今年也将朝A-前进。全面且优秀的tools， : 以Randy Novas这名字开始职业生涯。 Borderline C+: Age 20, hit .216/.272/.311 in 74 at-bats in the Gulf Coast League but hit .349/.437/.523 at the same level in 2013. Another one for the research list. C+边缘， GCL 74AB .216/.272/.311 但去年同层级三围可是.349/.437/.523。 另一个需要再研究的对象。 20) Osvaldo Abreu, SS, Grade C: : Borderline C+: Another high-ceiling talent from the GCL, impressive defensive : skills with good speed, hit .286/.369/.381 with 16 steals, age 20. Lacks pop : but more may come, another guy to watch in the NY-P for a breakout. : C+边缘。又一个高天花板的GCL新秀。防守赞速度快， : 20岁时打出.286/.369/.381外加16次盗垒成功。 : 缺乏炮瓦但有机会多长些出来， : 也是个可以期待能在A-爆发的家伙。 Borderline C+: Age 20, hit .229/.279/.305 with 10 steals, nine walks, 41 strikeouts in 210 at-bats for Auburn. I thought he was a breakout candidate but it didn’t happen. Good tools but bat is currently weak. C+边缘，20岁。 A- 210AB .229/.279/.305 10SB 9BB 41SO 我认为他是个breakout候选人但没发生。 tools赞不过目前打击能力孱弱。 : OTHERS: : Dakota Bacus, RHP; Isaac Ballou, OF; Robert Benincasa, RHP; : Anderson Franco, 3B; Christian Garcia, RHP; Neil Holland, RHP; : Destin Hood, OF; Richie Mirowski, RHP; Brett Mooneyham, LHP; : Nic Pivetta, RHP; Matt Purke, LHP; Blake Schwartz, RHP; : Austin Voth, RHP : This is a system in a transitional phase, as many of their highest-ceiling : prospects are just beginning their careers. : 国民农场正处於过渡期， : 许多高天花板的新秀才刚开始他们的职业生涯。 : The big star here (hopefully) is Lucas Giolito. It feels strange to consider a : Grade A- ranking as "cautious." His talent is immense but I’d like to keep : expectations from getting out of control until we see how he looks later this : year. A.J. Cole has solid potential and there are several bullpen arms that : project well. They could use more depth here, but keep an eye on Jefry : Rodriguez as well as sleeper prospects Austin Voth and Nic Pivetta, who both : have the talent to get out of the "Others" section and vault up the list this : year. : 这里最大最有前途的星星是Lucas Giolito。 : 将一个A-的新秀标注＂小心＂感觉是有些奇怪， : 他的天份无话可说，我会保持期待但不会过分乐观， : 直到我们看见他季末表现如何为止。还可以多增加些深度， : 可以注意Jefry Rodriguez跟还不起眼的Austin Voth与Nic Pivetta， : 後面两个都有在今年挤进前20的天份。 : The hitting side doesn’t feature any projected stars at this point although : there are quite a few potential regulars. Goodwin, Skole, Taylor, and Souza : should all contribute eventually. All of them have breakout potential but which : one will actually do it? Drew Ward needs more attention than he’s received so : far, and the New York-Penn League team at Auburn should be very intriguing. : 目前看不出有能长成球星的打者，但也有少数具先发潜力的选手。 : Goodwin，Skole，Taylor，Souza最後都应该长成这样。 : 他们都有实力大爆发不过谁真的能爆出来？ : Drew Ward需要更多关爱的眼神，而国民的A-也将非常吸引人。 : The Nationals do some outside-the-box thinking, bargain hunting in Latin : America for example (although they did spend more money last year, beginning : with third baseman Anderson Franco) and taking gambles on pitchers with injury : histories. That latter strategy has paid dividends in the past and should do so : again with Giolito, although Matt Purke hasn’t panned out as hoped. : 国民也朝向外发展的方向思考， : 例如在拉美寻找好手（他们去年已经花不少钱在三垒手Anderson Franco身上） : 与将筹码赌在有伤病史的投手。 : 後者已经开始回收，Giolito应该也是如此， : 虽然Matt Purke并未如预期般成功。 : Overall I think this is an average system currently but it has the potential to : improve quickly. : 总而言之我想目前这是个平均的农场系统，但有潜力快速成长。 The most important news for the Nationals farm system in 2014: Lucas Giolito showed what he can do when he’s healthy. Other positives include valuable big league pitching contributions from Aaron Barrett and Blake Treinen, outstanding performance in the upper minors from outfield prospects Michael Taylor and Steven Souza, and the emergence of pitching prospect Austin Voth (rated as a sleeper pre-season, he posted a 2.77 ERA with a 133/38 K/BB in 127 innings at three levels) as one of the rapid risers from the 2013 draft. 国民农场2014年最重要的新闻是Lucas Giolito展现出健康时有多棒。 其它正面讯息包括在大联盟呈现相当价值的Aaron Barrett与Blake Treinen， 小联盟高阶表现突出的外野手Michael Taylor及Steven Souza， 以及窜出的投手新秀Austin Voth： 季前评为sleeper， 三层级合计127局 2.77ERA 133/38三振保送比 他也是快速崛起的2013梯新秀之一。 22-year-old infielder Wilmer Difo had a fine season in Low-A, hitting .315/.360/.470 with 14 homers and 49 steals, taking some of the sting out of weak seasons from Randy Encarnacion and Osvaldo Abreu. Another positive came from toolsy outfielder Destin Hood, who has tempted scouts for years and finally came through with a .298/.348/.460 season between Syracuse and Harrisburg. 22岁内野手Wilmer Difo今年在1A三围.315/.360/.470 14HR 49SB 从表现不佳的Randy Encarnacion与Osvaldo Abreu身上捞走一些目光。 另一个正面消息是toolsy外野手Destin Hood， 多年来都能引起球探兴趣， 今年终於打出2A/3A合计三围.298/.348/460。 The 2014 draft class adds UNLV right-hander Erick Fedde, who hopes to duplicate what Giolito did recovering from Tommy John, and highly-regarded catching prospect Jakson Reetz. 2014选秀会後加入UNLV右投Erick Fedde， 希望复制像Giolito那样的TJ术後成功。 另外高评价的捕手新秀Jakson Reetz同样出自今年选秀会。 On the negative side, there were several key injuries as noted above. Brian Goodwin did not have a good season. Matt Purke has gone the opposite direction from Giolito with his health issues. 不好的一面是有许多需要注意的病号。 Brian Goodwin今年表现不佳， Matt Purke也走向与Giolito相反的道路。 Pre-season, the farm system ranked slightly below average at number 22, clearly in a transitional phase. I think enough positive things occurred to move them up into the middle ranks, although we’ll have to see where things stand after full analysis of all systems during the winter. 季前农场评价是稍逊於平均的22名，显然处於过度阶段。 尽管今年冬天还得先完成所有球队的系统分析才能下定论， 我想还是有足够的正面讯息显示国民农场正往中间靠拢。 另外Sickels也有回顾季前被排进sleepers新秀的本季表现， http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/10/3/6904811/ 2014-sleeper-alert-list-review-part-one http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/10/4/6908219/ 2014-sleeper-alert-list-review-part-two-letters-m-through-z 国民农场有三位选手入选季前sleepers。 Osvaldo Abreu, SS, Washington Nationals: Age 20, hit .229/.279/.305 with 10 steals, nine walks, 41 strikeouts in 210 at-bats for Auburn in the New York-Penn League. Weak season with the bat and his glove was rather disappointing as well. From the Dominican Republic. 20岁。 A- 210AB .229/.279/.305 10SB 9BB 41SO 棒子跟手套都比令人失望还更糟糕， 来自多明尼加共合国。 Rafael Bautista, OF, Washington Nationals: Age 21, hit .290/.341/.382 with 69 steals, 33 walks, 72 strikeouts in 487 at-bats for Low-A Hagerstown. More power would be nice but the speed is standout, a successful jump from rookie ball. From the Dominican Republic. 21岁。 1A 487AB .290/.341/.382 69SB 33BB 72SO 炮瓦多点会更好不过速度超群， 从rookie ball层级有成功的出发。 来自多明尼加共合国。 Austin Voth, RHP, Washington Nationals: Age 22, excellent season, 2.77 ERA with 133/38 K/BB in 127 innings between Low-A Hagerstown, High-A Potomac, Double-A Harrisburg. Low-90s fastball, sometimes faster, sharp control, good breaking ball. Fifth round pick in 2013 from University of Washington. 22岁，球季表现精采。 1A/A+/2A 127局 2.77ERA 133/38三振保送比 速球low-90s，有时会更快一些； 控球犀利，有不错的变化球。 2013年第五轮来自University of Washington。 --

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