http://0rz.tw/pSVBT Pipeline Perspectives: Giolito ready to climb By Jonathan Mayo Once upon a time, pitchers would undergo elbow surgery and teams would hold their breath and hope that once-promising arms would eventually bounce back. 曾经有过一段时间，当投手进开刀房动肘伤手术时母队只能屏息以 待并祈求这些一度辉煌的手臂最後能反弹。 Today, that sounds like a fable, a tale our elders tell about how rough life was "back in the day." Now, it seems that the rule is that pitchers not only come back, but come back quickly. It is a rare exception when a pitcher doesn't return from Tommy John surgery. 如今这听起来像虚构的故事。像老人家用＂想当年啊～＂来告诉我 们过去有多艰困；现在，这样的投手不只能康复而且进度有够快。 不能从TJ中恢复的投手只是少数例外。 It's with that context that Jim Callis and I tackle this week's Pipeline Perspectives: Which young Tommy John recipient do we feel most optimistic about regarding long-term Major League success? While Jim is going with the Orioles' Dylan Bundy, I'm arguing the case for Lucas Giolito of the Nationals. 这是我跟Jim Callis这周在Pipeline Perspectives争执的主题： 我们对哪位接受TJ的年轻人能在大联盟取得长远成功感到最乐观？ Jim选了金莺的Dylan Bundy，我则认为应该是Lucas Giolito才对。 The best high school pitchers in back-to-back Drafts, the two are at different points in their recoveries. Bundy had his surgery in late June of this year. Giolito went under the knife in August 2012 and returned to competitive pitching this summer. 这两位连续两年选秀会上最优秀的高中投手处於不同的复健阶段， Bundy今年六月底才动手术，Giolito则是2012年八月就进开刀房， 并於今年夏天回来比赛。 But this isn't really about who is going to be pitching first. And truth be told, it's probably safe to assume that Jim and I believe both Bundy and Giolito will go on to have the kinds of careers many envisioned when they came out of the 2011 and 2012 Drafts, respectively. But while Bundy already made a beeline up to the big leagues, pitching in two games in September 2012, I believe Giolito is poised to start his own climb. 但这跟谁会先站上大联盟并没有多大关系。说老实话，Jim 跟我都 相信当Bundy及Giolito从2011与2012年选秀会中脱颖而出後，他们 都将拥有某些可预见的未来；这样假设或许比较安全。当 Bundy已 经一直线冲上大联盟并於2012年九月登板两次後，我认为 Giolito 也已准备好开始属於他自己的旅程。 The big right-hander from Southern California, ranked No. 69 on MLB.com's Top 100 Prospects list, came back and pitched exceptionally well in 11 well-monitored outings spanning 36 2/3 innings, throwing first in the Gulf Coast League and then in the short-season New York-Penn League. Giolito kept going in instructional league play and looks ready to take full-season ball by storm in 2014. 这位南加州出身的高大右投名列官网百大新秀第69名，归队後在11 次亮眼出赛共36.2局里展现强大能力。先於 GCL投出第一球，接着 进入短期联盟New York-Penn League。 Giolito继续在指导联盟登 板，看来也准备好迎接2014年这个完整球季。 "He's doing great in all phases," Nationals farm director Doug Harris said. "He had a terrific instructional league. The biggest things in instructs were fundamentals, like holding runners and fielding his position. His changeup grew significantly. At the start, the separation [between his changeup and fastball] wasn't where we wanted it to be. By the end, it was 12, 13 miles per hour, and he was throwing it for strikes." ＂所有阶段他都做得很棒，＂国民农场大头Doug Harris这麽说。 ＂他在指导联盟表现惊人，指导联盟里最重要的就是基础，像看管 跑者跟防守。他的变速球也有显着进展，刚开始变速球跟速球的差 别不如预期，但到最後已经有12，13英里的速差。而且他能靠这球 种取得好球数。＂ That could be a huge difference-maker. The argument for Bundy might be his overall pitchability, but if Giolito's offspeed stuff has improved that much in such a short time, it will really give him a chance to pitch at or near the top of the Nats' rotation one day, alongside or right behind Stephen Strasburg. 变速球的养成与否有可能造成巨大的差别。 Bundy的利基是他也许 有能力不依靠球威压制打者，而是用上他所有武器欺骗他们。但如 果 Giolito培养慢速球能力可以在短暂时间里有如此长进，那他真 的很有机会站上或接近国民轮值顶点，就在 Stephen Strasburg後 面甚或并驾齐驱。 That's because Giolito's other stuff is already other-worldly, and is already snapping back to pre-injury quality. He'll throw his fastball anywhere from 93-100 mph, adding and subtracting as needed. Giolito is 6-foot-6, so he throws it from a tremendous angle. He's able to get swings and misses up in the zone, but he also can bury a fastball down in the zone for strikes, making it unique beyond just pure velocity. 那是因为 Giolito的其他能力完全不属於这个次元，而且显然已经 回到受伤前的状态。他的速球可於93-100间自由穿梭，随着情况需 要加减速度，也由於6尺6寸的身高让出手角度看来如此惊人。他能 在好球带上方骗到打者挥空，也可以把速球埋进好球带底部，这也 令他的速球更独特而不只是徒具速度而已。 Giolito's breaking ball is plus, too. And now that he's on a mound and back to developing normally, it's getting better and better. Giolito 的变化球也是超人一等，如今他已经站上投手丘并依正常 方式养成，情况会越来越好。 "The breaking ball is as good as you want to see," Harris said. "I know that's a bold statement. It's a legitimate swing-and-miss power curve. He's learning to repeat it and throw it for strikes." ＂变化球就跟你希望的一样棒。＂ Harris说。 ＂我知道这说明听起来很大胆，那是能引诱挥空的正统强力曲球， 他正在学习能重复投出这样的球并投进好球带。＂ Behind rehabilitation coach Mark Grater and pitching coordinator Spin Williams, the Nationals believe they have as good a rehab program and staff as any team in baseball. So it didn't surprise them internally that they were able to see what Giolito was capable of so quickly this summer. Add in a maturity that belies his 19 years and no one doubts, myself included, that he is ready to start fulfilling the immense potential that made many think he could have been the first high school right-hander to ever be drafted No. 1 overall before his elbow shelved him during his senior year of high school. Giolito ended up going at No. 16. 有复健教练Mark Grater与投手协调员Spin Williams在，国民相信 自己的确掌握棒球界最好的重健课程及团队，因此内部对他们看到 Giolito 能这麽快在这个夏天付复出并不感到意外。基於他19岁就 有如此成熟度，包括我在内都没人怀疑他已经准备好藉由他庞大的 天份成为选秀史上第一个高中右投状元，就像许多人所想的那样。 可惜高年级伤到手肘後，最终Giolito落到第16顺位。 "He's an extremely mature young man and he's a really hard worker. That combination allows you to speed up the curve a little bit," Harris said. "He's going to have an opportunity to compete at the next level next year. Where he goes, we'll see. We're going to use the same course we've used with other pitchers. His innings, like with any young pitchers, we will have parameters. But we expect him to pitch a full season." ＂他还非常年轻并努力学习，这些优点能让你曲球速度更快些。＂ Harris说。 ＂明年他会得到前往下一个阶层挑战的机会。不管他在哪，我们拭 目以待。我们对待他的方式与其他投手没有区别，他的投球局数跟 别的年轻投手一样，都会有我们的参数。但我们也期待他能投完整 个球季。＂ Once Giolito gets through that, the gloves should start to come off and the vision of seeing him carving up National League hitters will come into much sharper focus. 一旦Giolito通过这些考验就表示他已经开始向成功的道路迈进， 而等着看他怎麽屠宰国联打者也势必将成为焦点。 --

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