作者vg175 (非典型废言)
看板Nationals
标题[情报] 老朋友A.J. Cole的季前新秀报告
时间Mon Mar 18 19:00:42 2013
A.J. Cole
右投右打21岁,身高6尺4寸,体重 180磅,出身佛罗里达Oviedo高中。
少棒时期站游击,曾被BASEBALL AMERICA选进12岁级明星队。
最大武器为两种握法的曲球与95英哩速球。
2010年选秀会上因Cole已得到 University of Miami入学许可与投球内
容不够稳定,使他的顺位从首轮前中段掉到第四轮 116顺位才被国民选
走。如果Cole选择进入大学,那他必须等到2013年才能再次投入选秀;
最後Cole接受 Rizzo开的2M加入国民。2M创下第四轮选秀签约金纪录,
其实也是首轮中段左右的价码。
2011年底与Brad Peacock/Tom Milone/Derek Norris一起被打包到运动
家换回Gio Gonzalez,2013年初经过三方交易案又回到国民农场。
MLB TOP100 Prospects(#90) WSH TOP20 Prospects(#3)
A.J. Cole is proof that you can indeed go home again. Initially drafted
by the Nationals, he was sent to Oakland in the December 2011 trade for
Gio Gonzalez. He spent a year with the A’s, struggling in the California
League, then righting the ship back down a level, before being sent back
to Washington in the three-team deal that sent Michael Morse to Seattle.
Despite Cole’s struggles in Class A Advanced ball, he still has a
considerable amount of upside. He’s tall and projectable with a fastball
that hits the mid-90s with good life, and there could be room for more as
he matures. His secondary stuff hasn’t caught up to the fastball, but he
does show a feel for a fading changeup and has a curve that is slurvy at
times. Patience can be a virtue with pitchers and if Cole can improve his
secondary offerings, he still has plenty of time to fulfill his potential
as a top-of-the-rotation starter.
Cole可以告诉你家是回得来的。被国民选进的Cole於2011年底成为 Gio
交易案的筹码。在运动家第一年,却被 California League轰得灰头土
脸,接着就被送回1A完成剩下的球季。之後再经由牵涉 Morse的三方交
易案回到国民。即使在高阶1A过得不愉快,他的成长性还是值得期待。
他够高,mid-90的速球也有生命力,发展空间依旧存在。他的第二武器
完成度不如速球,变速时好时坏,曲球也常常有一搭没一搭。但好投的
养成值得耐心等待。如果Cole能增进第二球种的输出,他还有足够时间
将潜力转换,加入前段轮值的行列。
#Jonathan Mayo updated
It often takes time for those high-ceilinged, hard-throwing high schoolers
to develop into pitchers. For some, it takes longer than others and while
Cole fits more into the latter category, there's still a lot to like about
the projectable right-hander. Clearly, the Nationals agree as they
re-acquired the player they initially drafted during this past offseason
after sending him to the A's in the December 2011 deal that brought Gio
Gonzalez to Washington. He still has the big arm that made him a big-time
prospect in the 2010 Draft, delivering fastballs that touch 96 mph with
good movement. His curve can be a bit slurvy, but has the chance to be at
least an average power breaking ball. He has good feel for a fading changeup.
There is still plenty of time for him to develop his secondary stuff and
overall command and become the frontline starter many think he has the
potential to become.
要将高天花板的速球派高中生培养成投手常花上许多时间。对某些人,
就像Cole,又要比其他人还更久些;只不过这个右投的未来性依然值得
期待。显然国民也认同这点才会同意再把他从运动家拉回来。Cole的手
臂还是如此强大,使他在2010年选秀会上成为焦点新秀。他的速球可以
达到96还兼具好的尾劲,曲球不稳定但有机会至少成为平均水准的决胜
球,变速的感觉也很好。Cole还有许多时间建立他的第二武器与控球,
并且成为那个备受许多人看好的前段先发。
BASEBALL AMERICA OAK TOP10 Prospects(#3)
Background:
A potential first-rounder going into 2010, Cole slid but still netted
a fourth-round-record $2 million bonus from the Nationals. After coming
to Oakland with Tom Milone, Derek Norris and Brad Peacock in the
Gio Gonzalez trade last offseason, Cole ranked last in the California
League with a 7.82 ERA before he was demoted to low Class A in May.
Following a rough first start, he smoothed out his mechanics in Burlington
and would have led the Midwest League in ERA (2.07) if he had logged
enough innings to qualify.
背景:
2010年潜力首轮,最後虽滑落到第四轮但也从国民手中要到2M签约金。
去年与Tom Milone/Derek Norris/Brad Peacock一起成为 Gio交易案包
裹前往运动家。五月从高阶1A下降前他在 California League只有7.82
ERA,艰困的1A初先发过後在Burlington缓步修正自己的投球机制;若
非投球局数不足,他在Midwest League的2.07 ERA足以力压群雄。
Scouting Report:
Cole’s fastball ranges from 92-97 mph with some sinking and cutting
action. His slurvy curveball lacks consistency because he keeps tinkering
with grips for it, but it shows good bite when it’s on and he tightened
its rotation in instructional league. He has nice feel for his changeup,
which has some fade and improved after his demotion. Cole’s Cal League
problems came because he opened up too quickly in his delivery, dragged
his arm and over-rotated, and left pitches up in the strike zone. The
A’s like how he comes after hitters.
球探报告:
Cole的球速落在 92-97并兼具些许下沉效果。握法太紧致使曲球缺少一
致性,只要情况好依旧具有攻击力。Cole也依此在教学联盟占有一席之
地。变速球感觉不错,从高阶1A降回1A後也有所改善。他在California
League遇到的麻烦是投球动作太早开掉,手臂也因此转过头,导致球从
好球带的上方穿过。但运动家还是喜欢他解决打者的能力。
The Future:
With his power arm, Cole has more upside than any A’s pitching prospect
and projects as a possible frontline starter.
未来性:
基於强而有力的火臂,Cole比运动家的任何投手新秀都更有看头,也有
机会进入前段轮值。
PROSPECT361 TOP100 Prospects(#98) OAK TOP10 Prospects(#3)
A.J.Cole had a disappointing start to the year as he absolutely bombed in
his promotion to High-A. He posted a 0-7 record and a brutal 7.82 ERA.
However, if you dig under the surface stats, things were not nearly as
bleak. His strikeout rate was a respectable 7.34 per nine and his control
was excellent at 2.37 walks per nine. So, what happened?
Cole的开季表现确实令人失望。毫无疑问他在高阶1A被炸得体无完肤,
0-7 7.82ERA。然而若撇开表面数据不看,好像也没那麽绝望。 K/9是
值得尊敬的7.34,控球还是很棒,BB/9只有2.37。那到底出了什麽事?
It looked like his curve ball deserted him and he became uncomfortable
throwing it and relied too much on his fastball. The fastball was very
straight and did not have any sink and batters teed off. The curve ball,
which is not a classic 12-6 or 11-5 offering, was very inconsistent.
To me, it looks like a spike or knuckle curve which can be very difficult
to control. Ultimately, Cole might be better served by throwing a more
classic curve or switching to a slider.
看来不舒服的曲球使他必须仰赖过多速球,但速球显得直线呆板也完全
无法下沉,让打者们挥得很开心。Cole的曲球不是典型的12-6或11-5,
却投得极不协调。就我看来,似乎是单指或弹指曲球的控制相当困难。
最终Cole也许乾脆回头去丢典型曲球或转丢滑球会比较好。
As bad as the first six weeks went, the remainder of the year was great as
the A’s decided to move Cole back to Low-A where he dominated with a 9.60
K/9 and a 1.79 BB/9. The curve looked better and the changeup looked like
a real swing and miss pitch. So, we are left with an obvious question…
Is Cole really a prospect with Major League potential?
开季悲惨的六周过去後运动家决定让他回到1A,他也缴出屠杀级成绩;
9.6的K/9与1.79的BB/9。曲球看来变棒了,变速也能拐到挥棒落空。因
此难免我们得问个问题,Cole真的是个拥有大联盟潜力的新秀吗?
I still really like the potential of Cole as the arsenal is good and he
throw strikes. He does need to work on his breaking pitch as it can’t be
just a chase pitch and instead he needs to learn to throw it for strikes.
It’ll be interesting to see if the A’s start him in High-A or move him
directly to Double-A.
我还是相当喜欢Cole的资质,他的武器很棒而且他会丢好球。但他得加
强他的变化球,使其不只是用来抢好球数而已,还要能三振掉打者。我
很期待看看运动家会让他从高阶1A开始或者直上2A。
MINOR LEAGUE BALL OAK TOP20 Prospects(#3) GRADE B
Hammered in High-A, turned things around in Low-A and was still decently
young for the level at age 20. Remains a very high upside arm with a
chance to be a number two starter, but we have to see how he handles a
return to Stockton.
因在高阶1A遭受重击而回到1A的Cole依然十分年轻,还是拥有值得高度
期待的手臂;也有机会成为二号。但我们得好好观察他再次回到高阶1A
会缴出什麽表现。
==============================================================
Cole的球探报告从选秀前到今年几乎没变。直球偏高,变化球无法控制
,投球机制不稳定。他也是标准的慢热型,09年11月在 University of
Miami出赛时球速甚至掉到88,随着时间过去才慢慢回到95。
如果2A到3A适应不良那可以理解,但1A跟高阶1A的落差应不至於这麽大
。Cole自己说过在 California League投到节奏都不见了,看来心理问
题还是比较严重。
话说 bleach report在1/15刊出一篇文列举各队的untouchable list,
(作者还是该站首席新秀观察家Mike Rosenbaum)
文里运动家部分的不可动新秀就是Cole。结果不到24小时就被打脸XD
http://0rz.tw/UHyCI
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