作者s9527206 (悠)
看板Nationals
标题[农场] Washington Nationals Top 20 Prospects
时间Fri Dec 28 11:14:29 2012
时间不多,简单翻译,有错麻烦不吝指教,感谢各位:)
原文:
http://tinyurl.com/cu6rxbd
By
John Sickels
1) Anthony Rendon, 3B,
Grade B+: Borderline A-.I really like his bat, but I'm
concerned enough about his injury history to be a bit cautious with the grade
at this point. I think a healthy Rendon can play second base decently and the
bat should play anywhere.
B+接近A-。我对 Rendon 的打击有很高的评价,但监於他的伤痛史,在给排名上我会
比较谨慎。若 Rendon 能维持健康他会是守备很不错的二垒手,同时他的打击能够让
他站稳任何守位。
2) Brian Goodwin, OF,
Grade B+: Stellar tools and shows the skills often
enough to make people drool, but he's erratic. Dominated Low-A but struggled
after jump to Double-A, which was not really surprising.
明星级的天赋以及表现出的才华足以让球迷们直流口水,但还不够稳定。屠杀低阶1A
但升上2A後变成被屠杀,不过坦白说这不是很意外。
3) Lucas Giolito, RHP,
Grade B: I have no idea what to do with this grade. A
healthy Giolito is a Grade A prospect, but Tommy John recovery is not
automatic and we can't assume that Lucas will follow the same path as Jordan
Zimmermann and Stephen Strasburg.
我不确定该怎麽帮 Giolito 排名。健康的 Giolito 名列A级没有问题,但TJ手术的
修复率也不是100%,我们无法理所当然地断定 Giolito 能够和 Strasburg 及
Zimmermann 一样,复出後身手完全没有打折。
4) Matt Skole, 3B,
Grade B: No one ever doubted his power and he showed
better pure hitting skills than expected. His glove isn't terrible but with
Ryan Zimmerman ahead of him, Skole is bound for first base and I expect him
to be a productive power/patience slugger, though don't expect batting titles.
没人会质疑 Skole 的炮瓦,而他的打击也比预期更好。在3B的守备不算太糟,但
大联盟已经有 Ryan Zimmerman 挡在他前面,Skole 等於被绑定只能往一垒发展。
我预测 Skole 会是位兼具长打能力及选球耐心的炮手,不过别太期待他的打击。
5) Nathan Karns, RHP,
Grade B-: Recovered from labrum surgery to dominate
A-ball with 92-96 MPH sinker and nasty curveball. Projects as a number three
starter if his changeup improves, a power closer if it doesn't.
从肩关节唇手术复出後靠着 92-96 mph 的伸卡以及锐利的曲球强暴了A阶小联盟的
打者群。如果变速球能够继续进化则天花板上看 #3 SP,若否则还有机会转职成为
火球终结者。
6) Christian Garcia, RHP,
Grade B-: Survivor of two Tommy John surgeries.
Still has very impressive stuff, throws strikes, and should thrive as a major
league reliever and possible closer. Just have to hope his arm holds up.
动过两次TJ手术还能在职棒界活下来并缴出好成绩的真强者。stuff 令人惊艳,
控球也不错,应该会是很棒的牛甚至是终结者,不过前提是他的手臂能撑得住。
7) Sammy Solis, LHP,
Grade B-: Another Tommy John guy. When healthy, shows
strong pitchability with low-to-mid-90s fastball, good curveball and
changeup. Mid-rotation guy if he recovers properly.
又是一个TJ手术家族成员。健康时是一位同时拥有 90-95 mph 快速球以及不错的
曲球和变速球的优秀投手。若复健顺利天花板上看中段轮值 SP。
8) Matt Purke, LHP, Grade C+: Another injured pitcher, this one with bursitis
that required shoulder surgery, supposed to be OK by spring. He hasn't been
the same since 2010 freshman season at Texas Christian, but perhaps the
surgery will restore his previous 91-95 MPH fastball, slider, and changeup.
今年也受伤了,为了治疗黏液囊炎最终动了肩膀手术,预计春训时就能回来。如今
的 Matt Purke 已经不是当年那位一度被视为状元热门人选的 Matt Purke 了。但
也许这次手术能够帮助他重新找回过去的 stuff。
9) Eury Perez, OF, Grade C+: Speed demon, very fast, 80 speed on the 20-80
scouting scale. Hits for average but is extremely impatient, resulting in
very few walks and OBPs that are very dependent on his batting average.
That's OK if he's hitting .300, but not if he's hitting .270.
腿哥界的霸主,且具备高打击率,但极度缺乏耐心,捡保送太少,上垒率完全是靠
打击率撑起来的。如果打击率有3成还能弥补;如果只有2成7的水准就准备吃土吧。
10) Tony Renda, 2B, Grade C+: Cal Berkeley product, fast, good plate
discipline, fielding was better than advertised in the NY-P, second round
pick.Will he show enough pop to survive at higher levels?
速度快,本垒板纪律佳,守备评价比在短期1A的实际表现要来得好。但能否展现出
足够的炮瓦并且在较高层级存活下来还是个问号。
11) Zach Walters, INF, Grade C+: Good throwing arm, has some pop, performed
very well in Double-A (.293/.326/.518) and adequately in Triple-A
(.269/.304/.399). Utility profile.
臂力佳,也有一点炮瓦。今年在2A表现出色,升上3A後成绩还算OK。工具人一枚。
12) Destin Hood, OF, Grade C+: Uber-tools outfielder that I thought was a big
breakout candidate (oops) suffered through injury-plagued transition in
Double-A with lifeless .245/.301/.344 line in 94 games. Can still grow at age
23.
天分很不错的外野手,我认为 Hood 是一支很有机会翻身的潜力股。今年在2A因为
伤病折磨导致成绩非常惨澹,不过他才23岁,还有时间磨练。
13) Steven Souza, OF, Grade C+: Considered a busted prospect entering 2012
but had a rebound year, .297/.366/.572 with 14 steals in 353 at-bats in
Low-A/High-A at age 23. Has always had the tools, started to put some skill
together last year. Nobody seems to have really noticed him, but that will
change quickly in 2013 if he sustains this progress.
在去年时一度被认为已经没希望了,结果今年大反弹,以23岁的年纪在A阶小联盟
缴出 .297/.366/.572 的打击三围,附带14次盗垒成功。Souza 的天赋一直都在,
但直到今年才终於将这些天赋转为实绩。目前还没什麽人注意到 Souza,但如果他
明年能够证明今年不是侥幸成功,则一切将会完全改观。
14) Brett Mooneyham, LHP, Grade C+: Erratic Stanford product posted 2.55 ERA
in NY-P, but with just 29 strikeouts in 42 innings. Live arm, mechanical
difficulties held him back in college. A challenge for the coaching staff but
he has upside.
稳定性很差,短期1A的小样本表现算是不错,只是三振率不太好看。球速是有,
但是由於投球机制不稳定使得 Mooneyham 在大学时期成长有限,对教练团而言该
怎麽帮助他突破困境是一项很大的考验,但 Mooneyham 确实很有天分。
15) Estarlin Martinez, OF, Grade C+: 20 year old Dominican has had problems
finding a position but has a promising bat. An outfielder now, he hit
.319/.385/.455 in the pitching-oriented NY-P and is a breakout candidate for
2013.
年仅20岁的多明尼加新秀,这几年一直找不到合适的守备位置,但打击确实值得期待
。目前是担任外野手,今年在偏投手的 NY-P 联盟(短期1A)依旧缴出不错的成绩
(.319/.385/.455)。2013年值得注意的黑马之一。
16) Carlos Rivero, 3B, Grade C+: Borderline C. Forgotten prospect from
Indians and Phillies system went from obscure waiver claim to strong Triple-A
performer and 40-man roster spot, hit .303/.347/.435, followed by an
excellent winter in Venezuela. Good glove at third base, still just 24 years
old. Could be nice utility guy for someone.
C+接近C。被国民从 waiver 捡来,今年在3A成绩出色,也因此进入40人保护名单,
目前在委内瑞拉冬季联盟表现也相当杰出。在3B的守备是金手套级的,同时也才24岁
,有机会长成不错的工具人。
17) Sandy Leon, C, Grade C: Defense-oriented catcher can have long career as
a backup. Hit .322/.396/.460 this year at three minor league levels, but this
was completely out of context with the rest of his career and looks fluky to
me.
以守备着称的捕手,有机会以後备捕手的身分长期在大联盟讨生活。今年在低阶1A、
2A和3A的成绩结算是 .322/.396/.460,但是这跟他过去几年的打击表现落差太大,
以我来看这应该只是侥幸。
18) Michael Taylor, OF, Grade C: Tools outfielder saw power vanish in High-A,
hitting just three homers after 13 last year in 2011. Turns 22 in March,
still has time to develop.
天分不错,但今年在高阶1A打球炮瓦完全消失。明年3月才会满22岁,还有时间慢慢
养成。
19) Brandon Miller, OF, Grade C: Hit .292/.354/.549 in NY-P with some of the
best raw power in the 2012 draft class, but Samford product has a big swing,
is impatient, and already 23.
在短期1A的三围是 .292/.354/.549,单论 raw power 算得上是今年选秀最佳之一,
但也有不少缺点:挥棒幅度过大、缺乏耐性,且年纪23岁也不算年轻了。
20) Corey Brown, OF, Grade C: Old prospect at age 27, but has always had
tools including left-handed power, good speed, defense, and some walks.
Excessive strikeouts have held him back, but could be good fourth outfielder.
27岁的老新秀,但一直拥有不错的才能:一位具备长打能力的左打者、有不错的速度、
守备和选球。但过多的被三振次数也限制了 Brown 的未来性。应该会是不错的 4th
外野手。
OTHERS: Aaron Barrett, RHP; Robert Benincasa, RHP; Billy Burns, OF; Erik
Davis, RHP; Rick Hague, INF: Neil Holland, RHP; Jason Martinson, SS: Spencer
Kieboom, C; Pat Lehman, RHP; Chris Marrero, 1B; Christian Meza, LHP; Randolph
Oduber, OF: Ivan Pineyro, RHP; Wander Ramos, OF; Caleb Ramsey, OF; Robbie
Ray, LHP; Derek Self, RHP; Kylin Turnbull, LHP; Rob Wort, RHP.
其他C级新秀。
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
评语:
The system has thinned out massively, but that's understandable: much of the
major league roster is home-grown, and farm system products were important in
key trades. So while the current list is not impressive, it should not be
taken as an indictment of the farm system: I suspect GM Mike Rizzo, scouting
director Kris Kline, and farm director Doug Harris will refill the pipeline
quickly.
国民的农场深度大量地消失,但这完全可以理解:其一是国民队的大联盟名册就有
不少自产生养的球员(已从农场毕业),其二是利用农作物去做关键性的交易也是很
重要的。因此尽管目前这份农场名单不是很抢眼,但这不是国民组织的错。我猜测
Rizzo、球探长 Kris Kline 以及球员培养主份 Doug Harris 等人将能够迅速重建
起农场体系。
There is still some talent available. Anthony Rendon and Brian Goodwin both
have star-caliber ability. Rendon needs to stay healthy and Goodwin needs to
refine his talents, but any farm system would love to have them. Matt Skole
looks like a solid regular bat, and there are a variety of potential role
players who could help in one way or another. The Nationals usually move
their prospects slowly and many of the names on this list are old for their
levels, but several of these guys should reach Double-A this year and we'll
get a better read on their skills.
这份名单里依旧有一些可造之才。野手方面 Rendon 和 Goodwin 都具备明星级的才能
,虽然 Rendon 必须证明自己能维持健康,而 Goodwin 也还需要将潜在的天赋发挥出
来,但任何农场都会很高兴拥有这两位球员。Matt Skole 似乎会是一位不错的先发级
打者,除了这三人之外还有不少拥有潜力的功能型球员,未来有机会以特定的专才为
球队做出贡献。
国民体系对於新秀的培育步调较为缓慢,因此名单里有不少球员的年纪跟他们所在的
层级相比显得较老,其中有几位选手已经足以升上2A,到时候我们才能较精确地解析
他们的能力。
There is considerable raw material for a pitching staff, but the Nationals
are relying on good results from their doctors and rehab personnel. Giolito,
Solis, and Purke all project as starters, with Giolito a potential ace, but
they have to prove that they've recovered from surgery before their grades
reflect their full talent. Medical retread projects Nate Karns and Christian
Garcia show what is possible when things go right, and of course Strasburg
and Zimmermann are the poster boys for rehab. Beyond the talented-but-injured
group, there are a variety of possible bullpen contributors. Erik Davis is a
sleeper to watch for bullpen time in 2013.
Overall, the farm system is undoubtedly in a down phase, but the major league
roster is loaded and young. The player development guys have time to recharge.
投手方面,不少投手都拥有一定潜力,而国民一直靠着其医疗及复健部门取得了很好
的成果。Giolito、Solis 和 Purke 都预期可养成 SP,其中 Giolito 的天分无疑是
ACE 级的,但这几位都必须先证明自己已经完全自手术後恢复,其成绩才算能够反映
出他们的真正才能。Nate Karns 及 Christian Garcia 已经证明即使受过重伤,透过
医学治疗依旧能够重新再站起来,而且也别忘了 Strasburg 和 Zimmermann 这两位活
看板。除了这些充满天赋但被伤病缠身的新秀之外,还有几只不错的牛,其中 Erik
Davis 就是一位明年值得注意的潜力黑马。
总体而言,国民农场目前无疑处在跌停版,不过目前国民队的大联盟名册已经满编
且平均年纪相当年轻,球员培养部门有充裕的时间来重新充实农场体系。
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 114.24.76.149
1F:→ s9527206:Baseball America 的排名上星期就出来了,只看前10名 12/28 11:15
2F:→ s9527206:和 JS 几乎一样。不过免费文章的内容没什麽重点就是了。 12/28 11:16
3F:→ s9527206:没有钱订BA看付费文章就只能等 Byron Kerr 的摘要了。 12/28 11:17
5F:→ s9527206:nationalsprospects 有整理一些讨论,有兴趣可以看一下。 12/28 11:20
※ 编辑: s9527206 来自: 114.24.76.149 (12/28 11:54)
6F:推 vg175:官网自己的TOP20跟别人排的差不少 感觉官网非常看重"未来性" 12/28 19:46
7F:推 vg175:但是官网把Chris Marrero排第四让我觉得很谜 12/28 19:49
8F:→ s9527206:官网的部分我实在不是很认同.... 12/28 20:46
9F:→ s9527206:到底要怎麽比才可以把 Marrero 和 Perez 排在 Skole 前面 12/28 20:49
10F:→ s9527206:刚想了一想,Dsey 还是新秀的时候最好也不过就C+, 12/28 21:10
11F:→ s9527206:连国民 TOP 10 都没进过,结果现在人在大联盟当先发SS, 12/28 21:11
12F:→ s9527206:只能说新秀养成有时候真的很吃人品,排名参考即可。 12/28 21:15
13F:推 vg175:打打停停的Marrero排第四 已经证明自己的Garcia排17 这... 12/29 08:58
14F:→ vg175:单看Garcia别人肯定误会"靠国民农场也太强惹 这咖都只排17" 12/29 08:59
15F:→ VaROne:Desy当年被恶搞,打击勉强只有A-Ball水准,被硬拉上2A 12/29 18:53
16F:推 ddtddt:谢谢 12/29 19:51
17F:推 Sparksfly: 12/29 22:08