http://prospect361.com/nl-team-prospects/washington-nationals/ 5. Matt Skole (3B/1B) ★★★ DOB: July 30, 1989 BP: Georgia Ht: 6-4 Weight: 230 Bats: L Throws: R ETA: 2013-14 Year Class AB R HR RBI SB Avg OBP C% BB% BABI 2012 A-A+ 413 84 27 104 11 .291 .426 67.8 24.0 .362 Anybody who hits 27 home runs in only 343 at-bats, no matter what the level, gets your attention. That stat line belongs to Matt Skole of the Washington Nationals. 只要有任何人能在343个打数里敲个27轰，不论是哪个层级都值得你多加留意。 例如说华盛顿国民的Matt Skole。 Skole was a fifth round pick in the 2011 draft out of Georgia Tech. His best tool is bat speed that he leverages to hit balls a long way. The swing is fairly long as you might imagine which helps to explain his 68% contact rate. Also part of his profile is a 24% walk rate. 就读乔治亚理工的Skole是2011年第五轮新人，他最棒的武器是可以把球夯很远 的挥棒速度；然而挥棒幅度大相对就可以想像为何他的击球率只有68%。另外保 送率则有24%。 So, if you combine a lefty hitting 6-foot-4, 230 pound player who makes scary-poor contact with the ability to take a walk, you start having visions of Adam Dunn or Carlos Pena. Candidly, that’s the upside of Matt Skole and while I don’t think he’s the next Adam Dunn, a Carlos Pena type player might not be out of the question, although he’s a below average defender. 因此，如果你看到一个6尺4寸230磅，挥空率惊人却又能凹保送的左打，你会联 想到 Adam Dunn或Carlos Pena。公平一点，往好的方面想我认为他也有可能不 会长成Dunn/Pena那一型的球员，虽然他也是个低於平均的悲剧防守者。 A similar profile is surfacing in the Arizona Fall League. In 46 at-bats, he has 18 strikeouts, nine walks, and two home runs. Will this play at the highest level? The margin of error is razor thin but the bat speed is special and that just might be enough to push him there. I do believe it will be as a first baseman　 or left fielder. 类似的小样本也发生在 AFL。46个打数里吞了18K，9次保送与2轰。这样的球员 还能有更好的发展吗？也许无利可图。不过他的挥棒速度真的很特别 ，这也许 就足够将他推往更高层级。我相信他会被养成一垒或左外野手。 4. Lucas Giolito (RHP) ★★★★ DOB: July 14, 1994 BP: California Ht: 6-6 Weight: 225 Bats: R Throws: R ETA: 2016 Year Class IP H ER HR BB/9 K/9 ERA WHIP 2012 R 2.0 2 1 0 0 2 4.50 1.00 Lucas Giolito was viewed as a potential number one overall pick in the 2012 draft, but an elbow injury in the second game of his senior season in high school, dropped him to the 16th pick and the Washington Nationals. 只论潜力的话Lucas Giolito被认为足以在今年选秀里居冠。但今年在高中主投 的第二场比赛手肘就出问题，也使他掉到16顺位才被华盛顿国民选上。 At 6-foot-6 and 225 pounds, Giolito not only has size but a pitching arsenal that exceeds his age and experience. He throws a mid 90’s fastball that can hit triple digits, a knock-out curve and a plus change-up. His mechanics are excellent with great posture and balance, in fact the follow through and landing is nearly picture-perfect. His delivery is easy with a long extension in his throwing elbow, almost telling the pitching Gods, no inverted W. Yet, he blew out his elbow in August and had Tommy John Surgery (TJS) a few weeks later. 6尺6寸加上225磅的身材， Giolito有的不只是尺寸，蕴含的投球能力也帮助他 超越年龄及经验的不足。他能投出 mid-90甚至三位数的速球，用作决胜球的曲 球与水准以上的变速；他的投球机制十分杰出，姿势及平衡度都很棒 ，事实上 动作开始到左脚落地为止简直就接近一幅画那般完美。球的出手相当流畅 ，从 投球手肘延展过来，几乎可以说是投球动作教科书，而非inverted W。 （inverted W是容易受伤的投球姿势，像 http://0rz.tw/K0aMd 这张小史） 然而他手肘还是在八月炸开，几周後也进厂TJ去了。 With a combination of elite stuff, good command and excellent pitching mechanics, you can see why the Nationals took the risk and signed Giolito with their first round pick knowing full well, there was a good chance that he needed TJS. He has number one starter potential and with the success of TJS, this could be just a blip on the radar. Remember, he’ll just turn 19 next July and should be back pitching shortly thereafter. 看看这样一个同时拥有顶尖才能，优质控球与超凡投球机制的投手 ，不难理解 为何国民在了解他很可能必须TJ下还愿意在首轮将赌注压到他身上 。他具备一 号先发的潜质，只要手术成功，这段历程也不过是浮光掠影而已 。别忘了他明 年七月才会满19岁，应该也会在那之後很短的时间内就回到投手丘。 3. Alex Meyer (RHP) ★★★★ DOB: January 30, 1990 BP: Indiana Ht: 6-9 Weight: 220 Bats: L Throws: R ETA: 2014-15 Year Class IP H ER HR BB/9 K/9 ERA WHIP 2012 A-A+ 129 97 41 6 3.14 9.70 2.86 1.10 And now playing power forward for your Washington Bullets…I mean Wizards, is 6-foot-9 Alex Meyer. Right…that sounds more plausible then 6-foot-9 Alex Meyer taking the mound, but that’s what we have. 现在为您介绍华盛顿子弹．．．我是说巫师啦，的6尺9寸大前锋 Alex Meyer。 是的，6尺9寸的 Alex Meyer似乎该去打篮球，但我们真的有这麽一个巨人。 Usually tall and long pitchers struggle with their release point and therefore their control, but Meyer hit the ground running in 2012 and pitched well with a 3.14 BB/9 in 129.0 innings. It wasn’t always pretty, particularly in the beginning of the year where he had a stretch of 11 walks in 22.2 innings. However, he improved as the year went on and had some down-right dominating performances towards the end of the year as he moved to High-A. 通常高大投手的放球点容易出麻烦，这也会影响他们的控球。但Meyer今年全力 以赴，129局里BB/9是很OK的3.14。也并不是一直这麽理想，特别是球季开始的 22.2局中就送出11次保送。然而随着球季进行他能够不断改进 ，季末升到高阶 1A後也有几次屠杀性的演出。 The arsenal is impressive with a fastball that sits in the mid 90’s, a plus slider that really gets a lot of swing and misses, and a change-up that looks pretty good as well. His splits are fine and in fact, he’s nearly unhittable by both right and left-handed batters. Throw in the size and his G/F rate of over 2.10 and Washington just might have something special with Meyer. 他的武器是 mid-90的速球，搭配够水准的滑球取得相当多挥棒落空；变速看来 也很赞。不管打者站在哪边他都能解决。事实上 ，不管左打右打几乎没人能碰 到球。以他的身材加上 2.10滚飞比，华盛顿也许真的拿到一个很特别的家伙。 Meyer’s pitching mechanics are pretty good with nice balance and posture but the delivery is far from easy. It really looks like he’s trying to throw hard; everything from his arm speed and facial expression show an exaggerated effort. Over time, I think these mechanical issues will be smoothed out and the delivery improved. Meyer也有很棒的投球机制，姿势与平衡都没问题。但出手还不够流畅。从出手 速度及脸部表情看得出来他真的很用力在投，只不过真的是操过头了 。我想这 部分的问题会随着时间改善。 In the end, I believe the path to success will not be linear for Meyer but he should move to Double-A next year and could get a look in 2014. There is a lot to like. 我相信通往成功的路对Meyer来说绝非一帆风顺。但他明年应该可以从2A开始并 且有望在2014年能有一番作为，真的很有机会。 2. Brian Goodwin (OF) ★★★★ DOB: November 2, 1990 BP: North Carolina Ht:6-1 Weight: 195 Bats: L Throws: L ETA: 2014 Year Class AB R HR RBI SB Avg OBP C% BB% BABI 2012 A-AA 382 64 14 52 18 .280 .384 76.7 16.0 .329 I had a chance to see Brian Goodwin play several times in 2012 with the latest in the Arizona Fall League in November. I really liked what I’ve seen and believe he has all-star potential with a nice power/speed combination. 我今年有几次机会观察 Brian Goodwin的比赛，包括11月举行的AFL。我真的很 喜欢自己看到的，也相信他包含炮瓦与速度方面都具有全明星级的天赋。 Goodwin’s mechanics are solid with a nice compact swing and great bat speed. The setup is a little noisy, but he’s able to get the bat head into the zone quickly and rotate his hips well to drive the ball. I saw him hit an absolute bomb in the Rising Stars Game that showed the kind of power that Goodwin should be able to delivery in the future. Goodwin的挥棒机制十分完整，挥击速度非常快。准备动作稍嫌杂乱，但他能很 快就把棒头滑过打击区，转得很漂亮的屁屁可以帮助他把球打得结实 。我曾在 未来之星赛见识过他纯粹的炮瓦，Goodwin的未来绝对值得期待。 As an outfielder, I think he has a chance to be a first division center fielder. He uses his speed well but his tracking of outfield balls could use some improvement. While the Nationals have been playing Bryce Harper in center, Goodwin would be an upgrade defensively, albeit with a weaker arm. I could see Harper holding down the fort until Goodwin is ready for the 2014 season. 作为一个 OF，我想他有机会成为最强分区的中外野手。他把自己的速度运用得 很棒，但追踪落点方面还需要加强。国民已经有Harper负责中外野，Goodwin取 代 Harper的话对防守部分是升级，虽然臂力比不上Harper。Harper可以继续目 前的守位直到Goodwin准备好在2014接班为止。 1. Anthony Rendon (3B) ★★★★★ DOB: June 6, 1990 BP: Texas Ht:6-0 Weight: 195 Bat: R Throws: R ETA: 2013-14 Year Class AB R HR RBI SB Avg OBP C% BB% BABI 2012 R-AA 133 28 6 12 0 .233 .363 78.2 17.3 .253 Very few right-handed hitters have a beautiful swing, but Anthony Rendon is an exception. His setup is quiet; gently sliding his hands back into his load before exploding the bat through the zone. His swing is compact giving his bat maximum contact ability as it travels through the zone. It’s a plus hit-tool , with future plus power potential. However, it’s hard to perform when you’re constantly sitting on the DL. 很少右打者能挥出如此美丽的弧度， Anthony Rendon除外。他的准备动作很沉 静，猛烈出棒前先温和地将他的手滑向後方 ，强而有利的挥击使他的棒子能以 最大力量轰炸好球带。这是跟随着充满天赋的炮瓦而来的加分工具 。然而如果 三不五时就得躺平，真的很难在伤兵名单里找到什麽表演空间。 When you talk about Anthony Rendon, you have to talk about his injury history. He had both shoulder and ankle injuries in college that limited his ability to play at a high-level. His ankle injury had lasting effects as he lost some of his speed and now is considered an average runner. Seemingly fully healthy, he fractured his ankle (his other ankle) in the second game of his professional career and missed most of the 2012 season. Some will say the injuries were freak in nature, but at what point do you start labeling him as injury-prone? 当你谈到 Anthony Rendon，就非得提伤病史不可。他的脚踝与两个肩膀在大学 时代都受过伤，限制了他在高层级的表现；膝盖伤势影响到他的速度 ，他现在 被认为只是个平均水准的跑者。就在看起来完全健康的时候 ，他的另一个脚踝 又骨折了。这不过发生他在职业生涯的第二场比赛 ，今年也因此错过绝大部分 球季。有些人说痛痛是天生的，但你什麽时候会把他归类在痛痛人里？ The other question that has surfaced with Rendon is where he will play? First, Rendon is an above-average third baseman with gold-glove potential. However, Ryan Zimmerman plays that position in Washington and is signed through the end of the century. There has been a lot of discussion about moving Rendon to second, but I don’t believe he has the quickness to play the position. Furthermore, do you want to put a guy who has a history of injuries at one of the most physically demanding positions on the diamond? 另一个必须面对的问题是 Rendon要摆哪？首先，Rendon是水准以上的金手套级 三垒手，然而 Ryan Zimmerman与球团签下的延长合约已经够他卡三垒卡到世纪 末。有不少关於让 Rendon移防二垒的讨论，但我不相信他的敏捷度能够站稳。 再说了，你真的想把一个伤病史丰富的家伙摆在对身体负担这麽高的位置吗？ As I look back through what I’ve written about Rendon in this profile, it might appear that I’m not high on him. Actually, I’m not only high on Rendon, I think he has a chance to be a future star. The swing will play, the power will come, and the defensive position will work itself out; and this might all happen in 2013. 当我回头看自己对 Rendon所做的描绘，也许我并没有高估他。事实上我不只看 好 Rendon，我想他有机会成为明日之星。他会继续挥棒，他的炮瓦将降临，而 守位也能自己找到出路。或许这全部都将发生在2013年。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.133.12.197 ※ 编辑: vg175 来自: 220.133.12.197 (11/23 20:29) ※ 编辑: vg175 来自: 220.133.12.197 (11/24 09:30)