作者vg175 (非典型废言)
看板Nationals
标题[情报] 2013 Top10 Prospects 6~10(Prospect361)
时间Thu Nov 22 19:20:34 2012
http://prospect361.com/nl-team-prospects/washington-nationals/
Let’s face it; the Washington Nationals were bad at the right time.
By having the worst record in 2008 and 2009, they were able to draft
two generational talents in Bryce Harper and Stephen Strasburg.
Both are already contributing at a high-level in the majors.
However, if you think their minor league organization is now void of
talent, guess again. While it’s a bit top heavy, there are several
elite prospects that could be in Washington over the next couple of
years, setting the Nats up to become a force for a long-time.
就来面对现实吧!国民在最棒的时间点摆出最烂的战绩,基於烂翻天的 08与09
年,国民得以选进天才洋溢的Bryce Harper及Stephen Strasburg,两个都已经
在大联盟打出顶尖成绩。然而如果你认为他们的农场已经空空如也 ,再回去多
想想。也许有点头重脚轻 ,他们还是有不少顶级新秀可以在未来几年内成为球
队的助力,帮忙将国民打造成联盟中的长期强权。
At the top of the list is third baseman Anthony Rendon. With a
promising hit-tool and future power, Rendon may only be months away
from the majors if he can just stay healthy. Brian Goodwin could be
the answer for the Nationals in center field as he brings a dynamic
speed/power combination with excellent defense. Alex Meyer is an
enormous man at 6-foot-9 with electric stuff and control that has
been better than I thought when he was drafted.
这份名单里最顶端的就是 Anthony Rendon。拥有极佳打击技巧,炮瓦未来性也
相当可期;如果他能够保持健康, Rendon距大联盟真的只有短短几个月而已。
Brian Goodwin可以是中外野的解答,他不只具备爆炸性的速度与力量,防守端
亦是相当杰出。 Alex Meyer这个6尺9寸的大家伙搭载的才能及控球都十分惊人
,甚至比当初选秀时我所预测的更为出色。
The big wildcard in the system is 2012 first round pick, Lucas Giolito.
A teenager with a huge arm that demonstrated good command in
high school had Tommy John Surgery after pitching two innings of
professional ball. He has top-of-the-rotation potential, but we
might not see much of him until 2014.
农场里最关键赌注非今年首轮的Lucas Giolito莫属。这名未成年弟弟高中时期
手臂之强大早已声名远播,可惜进入职业的第一年只投两局就进厂开 TJ。他的
潜力足以担起前段轮值,不过2014年以前我们看到他的机会并不太多。
★★★★★ 顶级全明星
★★★★ 生涯可能挤进一两次明星赛
★★★ 有机会站上且站稳大联盟
★★ 不见得有机会站稳大联盟
★ 就是个农场货
10. Sammy Solis (LHP)
Sammy Solis had a really nice 2011 season including a dominating
performance that I saw him pitch in the Arizona Fall League.
Unfortunately, shortly after that start, Solis felt a twinge in his
elbow and in March of 2012, had Tommy John Surgery. He should be
back on the mound in 2013 and if he recovers, has the ability to
pitch in the majors. He has a nice fastball that sits in the low
90’s with a good curve and change-up. He also throws strikes,
walking 11 in 56.1 innings in the Carolina League in 2011.
Sammy Solis去年有个非常棒的球季,包括我亲眼见识到他在 AFL是怎麽屠宰打
者。很不幸在那之後的短短时间里,Solis就感觉手肘剧痛,今年三月也动了TJ
解决。明年他将回到投手丘而如果他能恢复,他也将找到登上大联盟的能力 。
Solis能投不错的速球,均速在low-90左右;曲球与变速球也够水准。他也可以
把球控进好球带,去年在Carolina League投了56.1局仅有11次保送。
9. Chris Marrero (1B)
It was a bit of a lost season for first baseman Chris Marrero as he
hit the DL in early April with a hamstring problem and never got it
going. In a 179 at-bats he hit three home runs and none in 127
at-bats in Triple-A. Marrero does have power but struggles with his
mechanics which can result in a loss of contact ability or just weak
swings. I’m not sure Marrero’s ceiling is much more than a utility
player receiving 250 at-bats a year.
对Chris Marrero来说2012年失去的时间有点多了。四月初他就因为腿部肌腱问
题躺进DL,情况也没有好转。今年他在179个打数中敲出3轰,没半轰是打在127
个3A打数里。Marrero的炮瓦绝对没问题,但挣扎的挥棒机制会导致他失去击中
球的能力,或者只能虚弱地出棒。很难去说Marrero的天花板是否只会是个一年
250个打数的工具人而已。
8. Eury Perez (OF)
With seven home runs in four professional seasons, Perez is all about
making contact and stealing bases. Across three levels in 2012, Perez
stole 49 bases including three in a September call-up. While he
makes good contact, he’s also super aggressive having only walked 15
times in 515 at-bats. While I’m not sure Perez is much more than a
fourth outfielder, he could provide sneaky short-term stolen base
opportunities for fantasy owners. So fantasy players, remember the name.
四个职业球季总共只扛出7轰,Perez显然是个专靠contact与盗垒吃饭的家伙。
今年三个层级 Perez总共盗了49次,包含九月上来後也盗过3次。虽然他击球能
力不错,过於积极的出棒却使他在515个打数里只有15次保送。不敢说把 Perez
摆四号OF算低估,但他的确能靠隐密的盗垒能力制造更多机会。
7. Nathan Karns (RHP)
In his junior year in Texas Tech, Nate Karns had thoughts of going
as a top 100 player in the Year of Trout (2009). However, he pitched
poorly and once drafted by the Nats in the 10th round, doctors found a
torn labrum that cost him all of the 2010 season as well as good part
of 2011. Seemingly fully healthy, Karns had an impressive 2012,
striking out 144 batters in 166.0 innings while walking 47. Granted he
was old for Low-A, his arsenal looked solid with a 92-93 MPH fastball
and a nasty curveball that gets a lot of swing a misses. I expect him
to start 2013 in Double-A and he could be an early 2013 “Pop-up” guy.
当Karns还在德州理工念低年级时选秀顺位绝对是前百大,然而贫乏的投球内容
使他掉到第10轮才被国民选走。之後医生更发现他的右肩关节唇发生撕裂伤 ,
伤势逼使他放弃整个2010年,2011年超过半季也都没办法出赛。今年Karns看来
似乎完全恢复健康也缴出亮眼成绩,他在166局里三振144次,投出47个保送 。
以他的年纪还待在1A似乎太晚了点。 Karns用92~93左右的结实速球搭配恶心的
曲球造成不少挥棒落空,我预测他明年将从2A起步而且很快就能往上弹升。
6. Michael Taylor (OF) ★★★
DOB: March 26, 1991 BP: Florida
Ht: 6-2 Weight: 190 Bats: R Throws: R ETA: 2013-14
Year Class AB R HR RBI SB Avg OBP C% BB% BABI
2012 A+ 384 51 17 68 23 .242 .318 70.6 10.4 .333
When asked who in the Nationals system should “I know more about”.
The answer was frequently Michael Taylor. I know many of you are
thinking that he use to play for Oakland, but that’s a different
Taylor. Washington Michael Taylor is an athletic center fielder who
has great speed and power potential. Yeah, I know it sounds a lot
like Oakland Michael Taylor, but it’s really a different guy.
当问起国民农场里”我应该要更了解谁”,答案通常是 Michael Taylor。我知
道你们会想到那个在奥克兰打球的那个,但他们只是同名同姓而已 。华盛顿的
Michael Taylor是个敏捷的中外野手,拥有绝佳速度及炮瓦。好啦,我知道听
起来真的很像奥克兰那个,但他们真的不是同一个人。
The people I spoke with in prepping this profile love Taylor’s swing.
Although the swing is long and Taylor’s mechanics can get out of sync,
they believe in his natural power stroke. The approach is good with
the ability to take pitches and a plan once he gets two strikes.
While I respect the opinion, I’m not as bullish as I think he’ll
struggle against lefties and might in the end, be a platoon player or
a fourth outfielder.
给 Taylor做评估的人很喜欢他的挥棒。虽然他的挥棒幅度过大而且挥击机制不
稳定,他们还是相信他与生俱来的炮瓦。 Taylor也有能力耗费投手用球数,即
使是在两好球之後。我尊重他们的意见,但我也没在唱衰 ,我认为他对左投会
出问题,而最後可能只会是个代打或四号OF。
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※ 编辑: vg175 来自: 220.133.12.197 (11/23 20:29)