※ 引述《ug945 (ug945)》之铭言： : Nationals pitching coach Steve McCatty believes fewer K's equals more W's, : and so far so good 简单翻译一下，有误解处请指正： 国民投教麦卡提(McCatty)相信「少拿一些三振就会多拿一些胜投」的理论 : http://goo.gl/jXGLz : WASHINGTON – The man who oversees baseball's best pitching staff does not : care for the position's most glamorous statistic. In fact the thought of it : makes Steve McCatty recoil. He crosses his arms. His head shakes. A sour : expression crosses his face. : "Strikeouts are bull[bleep]," he says. : He scoffs. Such a waste, he implies. 联盟最优投手群的投教--麦卡提--并不怎麽在意投手最迷人的数据--三振数。 「三振有个屁用!」其实，他想表达的是三振不过是浪费体力的玩意罢了。 : It is late in the morning on the last day before the All-Star break and his : Washington Nationals pitchers are grabbing their gloves in the clubhouse, : heading to the field. He watches as they walk by – Stephen Strasburg with : the sizzling fastball, Gio Gonzalez with the swooping curve, Tyler Clippard, : who is the current closer – strikeout specialists all should they want to : be, and McCatty says the empty swings aren't always worth the effort. He'd : rather have a nice, quick ground ball to shortstop. : That seems so much more efficient. 国民队的阵容里有火球小史，能投犀利曲球的Gio，还有现任关门的眼镜哥，这些人全都 想成为三振专家。不过在麦卡提的观念里面，与其费力让打者挥空，倒不如让他打出一个 游击方向滚地来得有效率。 : "If you try to strike out every hitter you're going to burn up pitches," says : McCatty, the Nationals pitching coach. "Look, just do the math. If you're : taking 15-20 pitches to get through every inning that will multiply fast." : He would rather his pitchers let the hitters hit the ball. This is an : organizational emphasis of the Nationals. Instead of two strikeouts in an : inning, how about just one along with a pop-up to second base? It's just : easier, he says. 「如果你想三振每一位打者，那你的投球数一定爆掉。这是很简单的数学问题， 每局都投上15~20球，用球数肯定累积得很快。」 所以他宁愿让打者击中球，这也是他对国民队员下达的重点观念；比起两个三振， 他倒觉得一个三振加上一个软弱二垒飞球的组合比较简单一些。 : The irony of all this is the Nationals do strike people out. They get lots of : strikeouts. The team with the National League's best record is also fifth in : the majors in strikeouts with 693. Strasburg alone has 128, Gonzalez 118. : But they could probably strike out more. A lot more. Which is where McCatty's : words seem to have settled in and Washington's pitching has it unexpectedly : in first place in the National League East. McCatty, for instance, was one of : the strongest voices pushing Strasburg to stop trying to throw 100 mph and : work at a lower, more sustainable figure like 96. The effort needed to throw : harder wasn't making Strasburg that much better. 讽剌的是国民队投手还是很会投三振。全队投手群拿下693K不但是国联最多，在整个大联 盟也排得到第5名，其中小史 128K，Gio 118K。其实他们原本可以拿下更多三振，不过 在麦卡提的观念灌输下已经有比较保守了，但还是整个国联东区最棒的。 麦卡提如何要求投手减少三振?举例来说，他强烈要求小史不要追求100mile的速球， 而是稍微把球速降低，降到一个可以让控球稳定的水准…大约96mile左右就好(这叫慢?!) 因为为了催球速所花费的力气，并不会对小史带来什麽益处。 : Strasburg's fastball is going to overwhelm most hitters. Why make it more : intimidating? The goal, in the end, is to get people out, not make the : catcher's glove crack extra hard. : Which is what McCatty keeps trying to say. : If the goal is to get outs, why not get them as quickly as you can? : "The odds are in your favor as a pitcher," he says, pointing out that most : hitters fail more than 70 percent of the time. "It's like Las Vegas. If the : odds weren't in Las Vegas's favor, the buildings would all be two feet tall." : McCatty was never much of a strikeout pitcher. Back when he played for the : Oakland A's in the early 1980s, he struck out fewer than five hitters every 9 : innings, while twice winning 14 games – the second of which led the American : League in a strike-shortened season. He remembers teammate Rick Langford : pitching complete games while throwing fewer than than 100 pitches. : "You give up a couple of hits or you give up a home run, I don't care," : McCatty says. "If you pitch quickly and throw strikes, you are going to get : outs. 「小史的速球足以压制大部分的打者，何苦还要再往上催出可怕的火球呢? 反正我们最终的目标是制造出局数，又不是轰炸捕手的手套。」 这就是麦卡提一直强调的，如果我们的目的是出局数，那何不用快一点的方式得到它呢? 「如果这是一场赌局，那一定是投手比较占赢面，因为打者有超过7成的机率打不好。 就好像在赌城(拉斯维加斯)，如果赢面不是在庄家这边，那怎麽可能会盖出这麽多 豪华赌场呢?」 (按：不知道他是不是用打击率2~3成去反推出来的结论-_-!) 麦卡提本人就不是个夺三振型的投手，80年代在运动家服役时，K/9值差不多5而己， 却有两季拿下超过14胜，其中一年还是罢工造成的缩水球季。 他记得他的队友Rick Langford拿下完投时经常用球数不到100球，这形成了他如下的 观念：「你可能让对方打出一些安打甚至全垒打，但这无关紧要；但只要你好球一球 接一球的投，总是会拿到出局数的。」 : "If I'm taking the pressure off by saying to a pitcher, 'Give up a hit or a : home run, fine. I don't care.' " 「如果我要抒解投手的压力，我就会说『就投给他打，无论安打或全垒打都没关系』。」 : Yes, McCatty understands, strikeouts matter to people. Strikeouts make : headlines. Strikeouts impress fans. Strikeouts show dominance. Strikeouts are : often seen as the best measure of how well a pitcher can overwhelm hitters. : "It's an arbitration stat, I get that," he says. : He also understands there are times when strikeouts are necessary. For : instance, there was a moment last weekend when Gonzalez had a runner on : second with less than two outs in the middle of a 1-1 tie. To McCatty that : was a perfect time for a strikeout. This way you get an out while not : allowing the runner to advance or risk a ground ball getting through the : infield for a hit. But, he adds, there aren't that many times you really need : a strikeout. 麦卡提当然知道人们很重视三振。因为三振数总能搏得版面，让球迷印象深刻，能投三振 的投手感觉就很有宰制力。是以三振数最常被拿来评估一个投手是否具有压制能力。 但他觉得这个数据的意义还有待商榷。 当然他也觉得有些时机是很需要三振的。例如在平手的局面、得点圈有跑者、又还没两出 局的情况下就需要三振的演出。因为此时让打者击出的滚地球，通常都有推进效果，甚至 有穿出内野防区的风险；而三振所制造的出局数，就可以免除这些风险。话说回来，这种 局面又不多，所以他再次强调，三振数并不需要投这麽多啦! : Perhaps McCatty's words matter more this summer because the Nationals need : their pitching staff to be as fresh as it can be in the season's final three : months. Pitching is what has made Washington the best team in the National : League. So good, that when manager Davey Johnson was asked to assess his : pitching staff the other day he said: "All I can say is stay healthy." : Yet while the Nats lead the majors in numerous pitching categories including : ERA, batting average against, walks-to-hits-to- innings pitched ratio, they : are in the bottom third of key offensive statistics including runs scored and : on-base percentage. If the Nationals are going to make their first postseason : in Washington they will have to rely on their pitching. And that's going to : be more challenging as the summer heat wears everybody down and Strasburg : creeps ever closer to the 160-inning threshold the organization has set as : his limit in his first full year back from Tommy John surgery. 或许麦卡提的这番言论对国民接下来的赛事很关键，因为国民队必须保持他们的投手战力 能够撑到季末；因为国民目前能成为国东龙头就是因为投手投得好。 DJ对於投手群的所能说的只有一句话：「身体健康最重要!」 尽管国民投手群无论在ERA、被打击率、WHIP等数据上都名列前矛，国民打线疲弱还是一 个问题，因为他们得分、上垒率等攻击数据是排在倒数三名内的。 所以如果国民队想争取首度进入季後赛，就必须仰赖他们的投手。不过夏天的热浪好像 让投手群表现有点失常，而小史更有160局的限制在。 (按：这段提到的东西其实有点旧了，打线状况也改善很多。不过作者应该是要强调 国民的投手不能倒，要省球!) : Without Strasburg there is going to be more pressure on everybody else and : therefore a need for the staff to conserve pitches. : "Outs are outs," McCatty says, still standing in the Nationals clubhouse. "If : you don't need the strikeout, why use all the pitches to get one? I'd rather : win 2-1 and have our pitcher strike out two and walk four than lose 2-1 and : have our pitcher strike out 13 and walk one." : He looks around the room. His pitchers have all left for the field. : He is left to stand here: a lone voice crying for sanity in a world obsessed : with strikeouts. : And he can only hope they are listening. 小史若缺阵，对整个球队来说无疑是个压力，所以麦卡提希望大家的用球数能精简一点。 「我们要的就是出局数! 如果三振不是必需品，那为什麽要用这麽多球去换一个三振? 我宁愿你们投出2K、4个BB，拿下一场2比1的胜利；而不要投出13K、1BB却吞下1比2的 败战。」不过当他说完这席话，投手们早就走出去练投了...... 他希望他们能听得进去… 心得： 1.滚球比三振有效率的道理，台湾人都懂的… 说不定Wang就是符合麦卡提的观念才一直给他调整的机会…要把握啊! 2.原来麦卡提每次上投手丘就是叫投手放给对方打?! DJ有同意让他赌吗?! XDD --

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