http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12483 前11名今年选进来的新秀就占了1，4，5，8，11名。 by Kevin Goldstein Five-Star Prospects 1. Bryce Harper, OF 2. Derek Norris, C Four-Star Prospects 3. Danny Espinosa, SS/2B 4. A.J. Cole, RHP Three-Star Prospects 5. Sammy Solis, LHP 6. Wilson Ramos, C 7. Michael Burgess, OF 8. Robbie Ray, LHP Two-Star Prospects 9. Eury Perez, OF 10. Tyler Moore, 1B 11. Rick Hague, SS Nine More: 12. Cole Kimball, RHP: This power arm out of the bullpen was touching 97-98 mph in the Arizona Fall League. 13. J.P. Ramirez, OF: Ramirez has impressive hitting skills, but he needs to improve his power and plate discipline to profile in a corner. 14. Chris Marrero, 1B: Like Ramirez, Marrero can hit, but as a first baseman only, he has to do more than just that. 15. Brad Meyers, RHP: He has a deep arsenal and plus command and control; scouts just wish he threw harder. 16. Jason Martinson, SS: Martinson probably is not a shortstop in the end, but he does have intriguing tools for third or second base. 17. A.J. Morris, RHP: He's a classic sinker/slider type who might work better in a relief role. 18. Brad Peacock, RHP: Peacock has excellent command, but his fastball is straight and often up in the zone. 19. Paul Demny, RHP: Demny was much improved in a second go-round at Low-A; his sturdy frame offers some projection. 20. Destin Hood, OF: He had no power, speed, or walks in full-season debut, but he has a surprisingly adept bat. 1. Bryce Harper, OF DOB: 10/16/92 Height/Weight: 6-3/225 Bats/Throws: L/R Drafted/Signed: First round, 2010, College of Southern Nevada 2010 Stats: Did Not Play (Signed late) Best/Worst Tool: Power/glove Year in Review: The most-hyped player in draft history somehow exceeded expectations and signed for just under $10 million as the first overall pick. The Good: Harper has the potential to be a historic talent. His calling card is his power, which ranks as an easy 80 on the 20-80 scale, with multiple scouts commenting they've never seen in-game power in a player so young before Harper. He's already capable of blasting moonshots and has an excellent sense on when to turn on a ball, while being equally effective in driving balls to the opposite field. The power occasionally overshadows his pure hitting ability, as he has bat speed and hand-eye coordination that is also advanced beyond his years. He's a big athlete with solid average speed and a cannon for an arm that will be a true weapon in right field. The Bad: Harper's power comes at a cost, as he's an aggressive hitter who takes a healthy cut and could be prone to strikeouts. He commits to balls with a pre-swing hip slide that could leave him susceptible to more advanced breaking balls. Issues with his makeup are well documented; he plays the game with a chip on his shoulder that for many goes well beyond a confident style that would be valued, as he's turned off opponents and teammates with his behavior. He's never struggled in baseball, and for many he simply has some standard growing up to do. He's very big for his age, and there is concern that he could grow into a slow, massive slugger in the mold of Adam Dunn. He's new to the outfield and still working on his jumps and routes. Ephemera: A total of 42 players have been drafted out of the College of Southern Nevada. Three have reached the big leagues, and none have hit a home run. Perfect World Projection: Harper has the potential to be a consistent name at the top of the home run leaderboard and a frequent MVP candidate. Fantasy Impact: Huge. Path to the Big Leagues: Harper has the ability to move quickly, but it's important to manage expectations, as he just turned 18 years old. His pro debut at Low-A Hagerstown is among the most anticipated in recent memory. ETA: 2013. --

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