作者s9527206 (悠)
看板Nationals
标题[外电] Nats' Top Offseason Priority: No. 1 Starter
时间Thu Sep 30 23:57:28 2010
以下两篇外电分别是华盛顿邮报以及 Mark Zuckerman 的文章,内容都是关於 Rizzo 对
今年季後补强所发表的看法。我把自己归纳好的结论写在最後,翻得不好请多见谅。
原文如下:
Nats' Top Offseason Priority: No. 1 Starter
Wednesday, September 29, 2010, 7:03 p.m.
By Mark Zuckerman
CSNwashington.com
The Nationals thought they had their No. 1 starter set in stone for years to
come. But Stephen Strasburg's Tommy John surgery will leave a massive void at
the top of Washington's 2011 rotation and will leave general manager Mike
Rizzo searching for a replacement this winter.
Rizzo said acquiring a No. 1 starter is his No. 1 priority this offseason.
"We need a guy to head the rotation, a front-of-the-rotation guy to put
everybody in what we feel is their proper place in the rotation," Rizzo said
Wednesday before the Nationals' final home game of the season. "That's the
No. 1 priority going into the offseason."
The pickings on the free agent market are pretty slim. Cliff Lee is the prize
catch of the group, and the left-hander is expected to be pursued by
baseball's top clubs, most notably the New York Yankees. Other potential free
agents include Kevin Millwood, Bronson Arroyo, Javier Vazquez, Ted Lilly and
Jake Westbrook.
Rizzo did say he felt it could be possible to acquire a front-line starter
via a trade and expressed confidence that the Nationals' major-league and
minor-league rosters boast the kind of depth now that would allow for a
significant trade.
"Free agency is obviously the easier option; all it costs is money," the GM
said. "And trade opportunities come in lieu of players that are probably
going to help you on the big-league level, too. But I think both ways they're
obtainable, and I think we're going to explore every avenue to get that."
Rizzo's other primary task once the season ends will be ensuring he has a
power-hitting first baseman on his roster. He insisted he still prefers to
re-sign Adam Dunn, though a year's worth of negotiations with the pending
free agent haven't yielded a deal yet and could force him to look elsewhere.
"We need to get a 4-hole hitter that plays first base. We understand that,"
Rizzo said. "We want it to be Adam Dunn. But if it isn't, we need to address
that situation."
Whether they re-sign Dunn or not, the Nationals believe they need to improve
their offensive "balance" by getting higher on-base percentages from the top
two spots in their order, providing more RBI opportunities for Ryan Zimmerman,
Dunn (or another cleanup hitter) and Josh Willingham.
Whether Nyjer Morgan figures into that equation remains to be seen. Rizzo
said the center fielder -- who regressed at the plate, in the field and on
the bases this season -- will get a shot at retaining that job, though he's
not assured of it.
"I think if he gets back to his norm as far as batting average, I think he'll
be the type of on-base percentage we need," Rizzo said. "But we're certainly
going to give him the opportunity to do it. We've always said there's going
to be open competition at a lot of spots, and that will be one of them."
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Mike Rizzo makes a No. 1 starter the Nationals' offseason priority
After fielding one of the least productive starting rotations in the majors
this season and with Stephen Strasburg's Tommy John surgery creating a one
-season void, the Nationals will make landing an elite, No. 1 starting pitcher
their first priority this offseason, Nationals General Manager Mike Rizzo said
this afternoon.
Last offseason, Rizzo sought a veteran who could stabilize their rotation and
signed Jason Marquis to a two-year, $15 million contract. This year, Rizzo
wants "more of a premium type" starting pitcher to head the rotation, not
simply suck up innings.
"I think as we've been saying for a while now, starting pitching is our
biggest need," Rizzo said. "We need a guy to head the rotation, a front-of-the
-rotation guy to put everybody in what we feel is their proper place in the
rotation. That's the No. 1 priority going into the offseason."
Finding that kind of pitcher, though, will be a considerable challenge. The
market of elite, ace-level starting pitchers who could become available this
winter is thin. Rangers left-hander Cliff Lee, 32, is the lone free agent who
meets Rizzo's description, and he will surely receive immense interest from
several big-market teams. James Shields, Matt Garza and Zack Greinke could
become available in a trade.
"I think it's obtainable either way," Rizzo said. "Free agency is obviously
the easier option. All it costs you is money. And trade opportunities come in
lieu of players that are probably going to help you on the big-league level,
too. But I think both ways, they're obtainable and I think we're going to
explore every avenue to get that. I certainly think we have depth, prospect-
wise, now in our minor-league system to pull off a deal for a pitcher."
This season, Nationals starters have posted a 4.62 ERA, fifth-highest in the
majors. They won 42 games, more than only two teams and a reflection, mainly,
of their inability to pitch deep into games. Nationals starters have accounted
for 847 innings entering tonight, second-fewest in the majors and only one
inning more than the Pirates.
"If you're going to win more games, it generally comes back to pitching,"
Manager Jim Riggleman said. "Mike is dedicated to that. Our starters, you see
growth there. But to really take a next step, to add 10 more wins, we're going
to have to up it a little bit in the starting rotation. Your starters have
got to go out there and go six, seven innings. If you go five innings, 5 1/3,
that type of stuff, you really need to add another bullpen guy. We need to
make that next jump."
This season, the Nationals counted on John Lannan and Marquis as their top
two pitchers before Strasburg arrived and Livan Hernandez blossomed as a
surprising ace. Marquis and Lannan each missed considerable owing to either
injury or ineffectiveness, but "there's a little bit of hoping going on
there," Riggleman said. "You're hoping what you saw there the last six or
eight weeks is what you're going to see next year. If what we see from those
guys is what we saw there in April and May, that's not going to work."
With Strasburg out for all of the 2011 season, the Nationals will need to
look outside their current rotation, which also includes Yunesky Maya, Ross
Detwiler and Jordan Zimmermann.
"We certainly need somebody at the top of the rotation, whether it's the top,
a No.1 type guy," Riggleman said. "We certainly need another guy that we think
can go out there, win 14, 15 ballgames, pitch 200, 220 innings. Mike talks
about it at all the time and he's dedicated to do that. Those guys just don't
show up for you."
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结论:
1. 找到一位我们期盼已久的 No. 1 starter,这是今年季後补强的第一要务!
至於这是为什麽呢??关於这点看数据应该就可以明白。今年我们先发轮值整体的ERA
高达4.62,是全大联盟第五高,而且加起来只拿下42胜,只比海盗和金莺好一点。
(Clippard 表示:怪我罗??),不过更严重的问题在於先发投手除了 Livan 之外通常
都投不久,加上今天的比赛总计先发投手群今年只吃了847局,排名倒数第二。
(相对来说,今年牛棚总计532局的工作量是全大联盟第一,而且不论从ERA还是进阶
数据来看都是名列前茅,实在令人感到欣慰)
因此 Rizzo 表示,他认为目前最迫切需要的就是找来一位前段轮值等级的先发投手
来巩固明年整个轮值。至於要怎麽做呢??签 FA 相对来说会比较简单,毕竟只要有$$
一切好说(OS:我们有吗??);但同时FO也不排除会利用交易的方式来得到。
从现实面考量,今年自由市场堪称有 No. 1 身手等级的菁英应该就只有 Cliff Lee。
不过已经年满32岁的他想必会要求一纸天价等级的复数年合约,这大概只有 NYY 那种
豪门球队才能满足他,而且他愿不愿意到华盛顿也是个问题,所以就乾脆点死心吧。
剩下勉强具有 NO. 1 潜力的人选有 Kevin Millwood,Bronson Arroyo,Javier
Vazquez,Ted Lilly 以及 Jake Westbrook 等等。
(明年成为FA的球员:
http://tinyurl.com/c3zuoj)
换言之,想从自由市场找到符合 Rizzo 所说的资格的先发投手应该是不太可能。
既然如此,透过交易应该是比较可行的方法。 James Shields,Matt Garza 还有
Zack Greinke 都是不错的人选。
2. 另一个重点:签下一个可以扛4番的重炮一垒手来加强我们薄弱的进攻火力。首选毫无
疑问就是亚当蛋,但整整一年下来双方始终无法达成共识,不排除另觅人选。
(编按:关於条件谈不拢的原因,据说FO只想给蛋哥3年的合约,不过蛋哥却想要4年合
约,至於这个传闻是不是真的就不知道了。)
3. 寻找高上垒率的一、二棒人选,让中心打线上来打击时有卤蛋可以吃,而不是只能点
阳春面。(OS:不能再同意更多了...一整年看下来那精美的OBP实在让人想哭。)
说到这个,Rizzo 也点名 Morgan 今年无论是打击还是上垒率甚至是在球场上的表现
都明显退步。虽然他现在还是勉强保住了这项工作,但不是绝对。球团会给他机会并
希望 Morgan 能够证明自己明年可以触底反弹;但如果失败了,机会就必须让给其他
人。
(完)
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