Fangraphs 的专栏作家 Jeff Sullivan 在1/18的Chat 本来要写开季阵容文章结果写一写不小心把暂存档案盖掉了就懒得写 英文太烂不会翻 只撷取NYY相关 https://goo.gl/n8B1N5 -- Mookie Butts: Why are the Yankees trying to win so much? It feels like a personal attack. Jeff Sullivan: It should feel like a personal attack Jeff Sullivan: Do you remember what happened in 2018 Jeff Sullivan: I don’t think the Yankees liked that very much -- Guest: For some reason folding Ottavino into the Yankees Depth Chart has the effect of lowering their RP WAR from 6.4 to 6.2. Pretty funny in the context of your article (文章:https://is.gd/KgIvoT ) Jeff Sullivan: I saw that too, and it’s amusing Jeff Sullivan: But of course, one thing the depth charts struggle to account for is…depth. Realistically Ottavino doesn’t move the Yankees’ ceiling very much, but he raises the floor of bullpen performance. One more great reliever who’d have to have something go wrong for the group to not be a strength -- cheapskate drifter: i forwarded your ottavino piece to my yankee coworker. he replied back “great article”. so there’s that. (文章:https://is.gd/KgIvoT 其实跟上面同一篇,分析Ottavino的文章 ) Jeff Sullivan: People like when articles flatter their teams Jeff Sullivan: All affection is fleeting and conditional -- stever20: which team do you give the edge to right now in the AL East? Boston or the Yankees…. Jeff Sullivan: Yankees -- LAA fan: Would someone like Patrick Sandoval be enough to get Gray from NYY? Jeff Sullivan: Only a few months ago, Sandoval was part of the return for a half-season of Martin Maldonado. Sonny Gray is more desirable than Martin Maldonado Jeff Sullivan: It would take more, in other words. Lots of teams sniffing around -- Big Joe Mufferaw: Yankees are going to strike out every batter in 2018 Jeff Sullivan: …right up until Sabathia’s turn in the rotation -- Luke: Are the Yankees better off adding 3 bullpen pieces for $30M/year or adding 1 Manny Machado/Bryce Harper for $30M/year? Jeff Sullivan: The Yankees signed Ottavino and Britton for three years. Are Machado or Harper available for three years? Jeff Sullivan: Here’s the reality, too — the Yankees, of course, could definitely afford Machado/Harper, but they don’t *need* Machado/Harper, because they’re already great. And come playoff time, the best pitchers become more valuable, while the best position players remain roughly as valuable as before Jeff Sullivan: In the playoffs, the Yankees can lean on their bullpen as much as they want, but a great hitter is still only coming up four or five times a game -- Big Joe Mufferaw: I have a feeling that the Yankees will go all Damon/Texiera and come out of nowhere and sign Harper. Gardner is NOT going to be their everyday LFer. It’s easy to slide Harper in LF, Hicks in CF, Judge in RF and Stanton as DH mostly and RF LF a few times a week. Jeff Sullivan: It is a difficult feeling to shake. I feel similarly about the Dodgers -- Guest: Thoughts on Sonny Gray landing spots? I feel Giants make sense for a potential salary dump play if the Yankees can package Ellsbury and prospects with Gray. Jeff Sullivan: I think I lean toward the Brewers, because they could use the rotation help, plus they’re an actual contender -- Bruce: Looking back no with hidsight….what were the yankees thinking when they traded for Stanton? Do you think they thought at the time it wouldnt hurt their chances of getting Harper/Machado? Jeff Sullivan: They probably thought his 2017 was more real than it was Jeff Sullivan: Stanton at 24% strikeouts is different from Stanton at 30% strikeouts Jeff Sullivan: And because of who he is and how he plays, Stanton had — and still has — the potential to be a genuine superstar in NYC --

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