※ 引述《appshjkli (折耳猫)》之铭言： : http://0rz.tw/o7Vou : Early on in camp this year, the story to end all stories has been : uber-prospect Jesus Montero. A career .700-.750-1.400 hitter in big league : Spring Training, he has already made a big impression with his batting : practice showings this year despite being in camp for just over a week. He : going to begin the 2010 season as the everyday catcher for Triple-A Scranton : though it’s still hard to believe that through his age-19 season, Montero : is a .325-.379-.509 hitter in 1,071 minor league plate appearances despite : reaching Double-A. 在今年才开始不久的春训营里，比起任何其他事情都值得讨论的， 只有一件事(或者应该说只有一个人)，那就是我们的超级新秀--Jesus Montero!!! 今年春训也不过才一个礼拜，他已经在打击练习的时候吓死一堆人了， 而他生涯在大联盟春训的打击三围是.700/.750/1.400。 今年，他会在3A以每日先发捕手的身分展开他的2010球季。 更让人难以置信的是，尽管他在19岁时就从1A升上2A，打击成绩还是一样威猛， 生涯在小联盟累计成绩是1071个打席，打击三围.325/.379/.509。 : PECOTA pegs Montero as a .299-.352-.498 hitter with 23 homers if given 528 : plate appearances in the big leagues next year, which is obviously an : extremely optimistic projection. For comparison’s sake, Jorge Posada has : matched that OBP and SLG in a single season just three times in his career. : "He's going to hit,” said one evaluator that Buster Olney spoke to."There's : no question about that. Some guys just know how to hit; he’s like that.” : Yeah, he’s going to hit, but not like that this early in his career. PECOTA预测: 明年如果让Montero在大联盟打到528个打席， 他可以打出.299/.353/.498外带23轰的成绩(这根本是All-Star等级的捕手)。 当然，这个预测很明显地太乐观了一些。 让我们来做个小小的比较，你就知道这个预测有多乐观了。 我们的当家Posada，在他的整个生涯里， 也只有三季可以达到这种的上垒率跟长打率。 「他会打得很好的。」球评Buster Olney说: 「有的人就是知道怎样把球打好，他就是这种人。」 对啦对啦~ 我们知道他会打得很好啦!! 不过应该不会这麽这麽早啦!! : Of course, Montero’s bat was never the question, defense in. Olney discussed : some of the things the Yankees are trying to help Montero become a passable : catcher, including a unique set of throwing mechanics. Instead of popping up : on both feet and firing to second, bench coach Tony Pena and the Yanks have : him keeping his right foot in place while taking a short stride with his left : foot. It sounds awkward, and I tried it a handful of times in my living room : while writing this post, and it’s definitely not a natural feeling. : (Disclaimer: I’m most likely less athletic than Montero). Basically, the : only way someone could pull this off consistently is if they have a strong : arm, which Montero does. 当然，Montero的打击从来就不是个问题，他的问题在於守备。 Olney谈了一些关於洋基想要帮助Montero成为一位还OK的捕手的事， 包括一个量身订做的课程，来训练Montero的传球动作。 洋基要Montero在往二垒传球的时候，不要双脚同时弹(站)起来， 而是把右脚维持在原来的位置，只要将左脚向前跨一小步就好。 这听起来还真是怪怪的。笔者在写这篇文章的时候，自己在家里客厅试了几次， 嗯... 那感觉就是不大自然。(译者: 这家伙的客厅也太大了一点...) 不负责评论: 笔者不像Montero是个专业运动员， 这个传球动作到底好不好，笔者只能嘴炮一下而已。 基本上，能够做到这种传球动作的人，必须要有一条强壮的手臂， 而这刚好是Montero拥有的。 : I’m not sure how long he’s been throwing like this, however he did thrown : out 32% of attempted basestealers during his Double-A Trenton stint last : season. Of course, he caught a grand total of 33 games for the Thunder, so : this is statistically insignificant. Montero’s thrown out just 23% of all : attempted basestealers during his career, but that number isn’t trustworthy : at all because the Yanks don’t emphasize their pitchers holding baserunners : at the A-ball level and below. Frankly, we just don’t know how well this : has/will work. 我不大确定他已经用这种方法传球多久了，然而， 他在2A当捕手的时候，的的确确让32%试图在他手上盗垒的人被他阻杀掉。 不过他在2A雷霆队也只蹲了33场，样本数还太少，这个阻杀率在统计上并不显着。 Montero的小联盟生涯阻杀率是弱弱的23%，但这个数字并没有什麽大不了的。 因为洋基向来都不会叫他们1A(或更低层级)的投手盯紧垒上的跑者。 坦白说，我们其实没办法知道Montero的阻杀到底好不好。 : The consensus is that Montero will not be a catcher moving forward, however : the Yankees are coming up with creative ways to make it work back there, even : if it’s just for the time being. It’s not often catchers jump right into : the big league lineup full-time as rookies, so all the Yanks will need : Montero to do for the next few years is be able to fake it back there two or : three times a week. The bat is so special, none of us will mind the defense. 球评们一直有个共识，那就是: Montero未来应该不会是个捕手。 不过洋基想出了一堆创意无限的方法，就是想让Montero能蹲， 就算只是暂时性的也好。 反正，也没有几个菜鸟捕手可以一升上大联盟就天天蹲， 所以洋基只需要Montero在未来几年里，成为一个每周能蹲个两三场的捕手就够了。 Montero的棒子太特别了，我们没有人会去介意他防守好不好的。 -- 让Montero撑个两三年，等到FA有大物捕手再去抢，这才是洋基作风嘛~ --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 163.29.130.56 ※ 编辑: KennyKuo 来自: 163.29.130.56 (02/26 11:06)