http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/031309.php The series on team offense continues with the New York Yankees. I plug the probable lineup from CBSSportsLine into the Lineup Analysis Tool, and fill in the numbers with Marcel the Monkey projections. The results: * Best lineup: 5.72 runs per game * Probable lineup: 5.64 runs per game * Worst lineup: 5.42 runs per game * Regressed lineup: 5.05 runs per game The Yankees scored 4.87 runs per game in 2008. Brett Gardner is having a better spring than Melky Cabrera, but Melky projects slightly better for the regular season so substituting Gardner into the lineup makes little difference. We do want to see what happens with Cody Ransom, however, since A-Rod will miss the start of 2009. Ransom's projection is pretty good, .351 OBA, .450 slugging. Most teams would be happy to get that from a third baseman. The Yankees best lineup drops to 5.52 runs per game with Cody, and with him batting sixth it would be 5.44. So the Yankees would drop 0.2 runs per game with Ransom instead of Rodriguez, but they would still score a high number of runs per game. The real danger to the Yankees, however, is that Rodriguez is the start of the injuries, not the end. Damon, Jeter, Posada and Matsui are all older players projected to put up good stats. Injuries to any or all will put the Yankees closer to their 2008 level. Swisher gives them a little depth in the outfield, so they could probably handle one outfielder and one infielder out at the same time. So this is a high scoring team if they can stay healthy. With a likely improved pitching staff, anything above five runs per game should put them in an excellent position to make the playoffs. --

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