资料来源: http://0rz.tw/343SH 很长的一篇对小联盟专家John Sickels的访问, 翻一下大意 Expert analysis of the Yankee farm system Posted by Ed Valentine in New York Yankees April 9th, 2008 洋基农场的专业分析 A little something different for you Yankees’ fans today. There is intense, increasing interest in following the prospects in the team’s minor league system, and with that in mind I reached out to get you guys some expert information. 现在洋基迷和过去有点不同的是, 对球队小联盟农场系统的兴趣越来越来高, 这里 就给大家一些专业的分析。 What I have for you today is a Q&A style chat with ‘MinorLeagueBall’ editor John Sickels. Author of two books about minor league baseball, Sickels has been posting info on prospects at MinorLeagueBall since 2005. John Sickels是'MinorLeaqueBall'的编辑, 也是两本小联盟棒球书籍的作者, 从2005 年开始也一直提供小联盟新秀选手的资讯。 I’m thrilled that he was willing to spend some time answering my questions about the Yankees’ farm system. 我很惊讶他愿意花时间回答我关於洋基农场系统的问题。 Here is our chat. 以下是我们的谈话。 Bugs & Cranks: Let me start with a Phil Hughes question. We were always given the impression that his minor-league velocity was 93-95. He has only been hitting 88-91 last year and so far this year. Is there cause for concern there? Bugs & Cranks问: 让我们从Phil Hughes的问题开始吧。我们一直对他在小联盟时投出 93-95的球速感到印象深刻, 但去年以及目前今年他一直只能投出88-91的球速, 有令人 担心的因素吗? John Sickels: Minor league velocity reports are sometimes exaggerated, even by the best sources. However in Hughes’ case he was legitimately hitting those numbers. The fall-off last year was supposedly due to the nagging injuries he suffered. This year, I’m not sure. It is not uncommon for young pitchers to lose velocity … sometimes they gain it, sometimes they lose it. It’s a case by case thing. Remember, it’s not necessary to have a 95 MPH fastball to be successful. Obviously it helps, but if Hughes can show good command of his fastball and his secondary pitches, even 90-91 should be enough. Nevertheless, its’ possible that he may end up being a number two or three type starter rather than a dominating ace-type. John Sickels答: 小联盟球速的报告有时会有些夸大, 即使是最棒的资料来源。然而 Hughes的情况是的确球速的数字是差了一点。去年掉的球速应该是去年受的伤造成的影响 。今年我则无法确定, 年轻选手掉了球速不是什麽不寻常的事...有时候他们增加球速, 有时候则掉了球速, 事情是因人而异的。记得一点, 不一定有95mph的快速球就一定会 成功,显然这麽快的球速是可以有所帮助, 但是假如Hughes能对速球和他第二好的球路, 有更好的控制能力的话, 即使90-91的球速就足够了。只是无疑的是, 这样可能他最後只 会成为2-3号型态的先发投手, 而不是宰制大联盟的Ace级投手。 John Sickels: The other possibility is that the velocity drop is an indicator of an underlying health issue that we don’t know about yet. John Sickels: 其他的可能性则是, 他球速掉下来的原因, 基本上是他的身体上存在着 我们不知道的健康上的问题。 Bugs & Cranks : Yankee fans don’t want to hear that. It’s the thing that scares us most. Am I right, though, that his minor-league velocity was better? Bugs & Cranks问: 洋基的球迷可不希望见到是这样, 这样会吓坏我们的。这麽说他小联 盟的球速真的比现在要好了? John Sickels: To the best of my knowledge, yes it was. John Sickels答: 就我所知, 的确是这样。 John Sickels: At times at least. There were reports as early as 2006 that he was down “just” in the 92-94 range. John Sickels答: 有时候至少, 像2006的报告他的球速是也只掉到了一点到92-94的范 围。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. You may have posted this somewhere but I haven’t seen it. Where does the Yankee farm system currently rank among all major league teams? Bugs & Cranks问: 好。你是否在我没注意到的地方发表过, 洋基农场系统目前在全大联盟 的球队排名是在那? John Sickels: Well it would be above average. I don’t have an exact ranking, as I think ranking systems like that is often misleading. But they would rank above average, assuming you count Chamberlain and Kennedy as prospects still. They are pretty deep in pitching, but are weaker with hitters at the upper levels. John Sickels答: 嗯应该是平均值以上。我没有准确的排名, 就我认为像那样的农场排名 经常会有误导性。但是洋基应该排名在平均值以上, 假如你还把Chamberlain和Kennedy算 到农场新秀中。农场投手的深度是相当的够, 但是好的打者的数量则嫌弱了点。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. Here’s a Yankees-Red Sox question. Given your choice would you take Buchholz/Lester or Hughes/Chamberlain? Why? Bugs & Cranks问: 好。这是洋基-红袜的问题。假如让你在Buchholz/Lester或 Hughes/Chamberlain作选择你会选谁? 为什麽? John Sickels: Well I like Buchholz slightly more than Chamberlain. So it comes down to Lester vs. Hughes, and that’s real tough. Do I take the power lefty? Those are harder to find. But Hughes could be special. I think I would probably take Hughes/Chamberlain but it is close Bugs & Cranks: Yankee fans will love you for that. OK, you mentioned the Yankee pitching prospects. Can you run down the guys not currently in New York who you feel are likely to make the biggest major league impact? John Sickels: 嗯我喜欢八扣子比张伯伦略多一点。所以来看Lester相对Hughes, 这就 很难选了。我是不是会去选有球威的左投? 因为很难找到好的左投。但是Hughes可能是 很特别, 所以我会选Hughes/Chamberlain这一组, 但是两组真的很接近。 Bugs & Cranks问: 洋基球迷会很高兴你这样说。好, 你提到洋基的投手新秀。你可不可 以列出现在不在大联盟的投手, 有那些日後可能进到大联盟对洋基队造成影响? Bugs & Cranks: If you want, I can throw names at you and you can tell me what you think. Bugs & Cranks问: 假如你需要, 我可以提出他们的名字, 然後你告诉我你的看法。 John Sickels: Alan Horne is the main guy I have my eye on. He could be excellent if his command sharpens a bit more, and he should be ready soon. John Sickels答: Alan Horne是我主要注意到的家伙。假如他的控球再好一点很快就会 进到大联盟。 John Sickels: Go ahead and throw names. John Sickels答: 来吧丢名字出来。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. Bugs & Cranks: Tell me a little more about Horne, then I’ll throw names at you. Bugs & Cranks问: 多告诉我一点关於Horne的事, 我会再提其他名字的。 John Sickels: OK. Horne had a rather odd college career, moved around some, had Tommy John, then had some command troubles in 2006 in his first look at pro ball. But he started to take off last year. He’s got plus stuff, just needs to improve the command a bit more. I really think he’s underrated by a lot of people. John Sickels答: 好。Horne有个相当怪异的大学时期的投球生涯, 状况起起伏伏, 有过 Tommy John手术, 2006年首次出现在联业棒球时有控球的问题。他有好的球威(stuff), 只需要提昇一点控球能力。我真的认为他被很多人低估了。 Bugs & Cranks: Could he make an impact this year? John Sickels: Yes. Bugs & Cranks问: 需要的话, 今年他可不可帮助洋基队? John Sickels答: 可以。 Bugs & Cranks: Andrew Brackman. John Sickels: Skeptical at this point. Even before the injury I thought he was overrated. I know he’s 6-10 and all but he’s very raw for a college pitcher and the injury was ill-timed. Bugs & Cranks问: Andrew Brackman呢? John Sickels答: 这位我有点置疑, 即便他受伤前我都认为他被高估了。我知道他有 6尺10寸的身材, 但是以大学的投手的程度而言他还很粗糙, 而且伤得不是时候。 Bugs & Cranks: Jeff Marquez. John Sickels: Ground ball guy, will need a good defense behind him. Possible inning-eater type starter, or a get-the-double-play reliever. Bugs & Cranks问: Jeff Marquez呢? John Scickels:滚球投手, 身後需要有好的守备能力。可能是吃局数型态的投手, 或制 造双杀的後援投手。 Bugs & Cranks: Anybody in that Scranton bullpen right now who should really help eventually? Albaladejo, Britton, Ramirez, Veras, Patterson? I’m particularly interested to know if you think Patterson’s spring was a mirage. John Sickels: Well Patterson has been effective at every level. I don’t see any reason why he can’t be an effective short reliever in the majors. He has enough stuff as long as his command stays strong. He’d be the best bet to help I think. Bugs & Cranks问: 3A的牛棚中有谁最後可以帮助洋基队的? 是Albaladejo, Britton, Ramirez, Veras, Patterson? 我特别有兴趣的是Patterson, 你认为Patterson春训的成 绩会不会只是假象? John Sickels: 嗯Patterson在小联盟每个层级都证明投得不赖。我看不到任何原因让他 无法成为大联盟中的短中继。只要他维持不错的控球他是有足够的球威留在大联盟。我认 为他是帮助洋基最佳的选择(赌注)。 Bugs & Cranks: Last year Joba Chamberlain and Ian Kennedy came all the way from A ball to help the big-league team, which is unheard of for the Yankees. Anyone at that level right now who could be in the Yankee bullpen by season’ s end? John Sickels: I don’t think so. The guys at the A-ball level right now with the highest upside won’t be ready in 2008. Bugs & Cranks问: 去年张伯伦和Kennedy从1A坐直通车上大联盟, 洋基队里有没有一些名 不见经传的选手, 在季末时可以进到洋基牛棚。 John Sickels答: 我不认为会有。即使现在洋基一A等级的最有潜值的球员, 在2008年没 有任一个有能力可以直升大联盟。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. The one guy who is at the A level Yankee fans are probably most interested in is Mark Melancon. What can you tell me about him? Bugs & Cranks问: 好。1A的洋基球迷可能最有兴趣的是Mark Melancon, 你的看法如何? John Sickels: University of Arizona guy, missed last year due to Tommy John. If healthy, has an impressive fastball/slider combination and was very successful in college. If his arm is OK and his command is back at previous levels, I think he could help in 2009. John Sickels答: Arizona大学来的家伙, 去年因Tommy John而休息。假如健康的话, 他 有令人印象深刻的速球/滑球球路组合, 在大学时期非常成功。假如他的手臂好了的话, 控球又回到先前的水准, 2009年就可以帮助洋基队。 Bugs & Cranks: Bullpen? John Sickels: Probably, yes. MAYBE late 2008 if everything goes well. 问: 牛棚吗? 答: 或许是, 假如一切进展不错2008季末可能就会上来。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. The Yankees traded Gary Sheffield to the Tigers for three prospects before last season. They have yet to get anything from any of those guys. Will any of the young arms the Yankees acquired ever pitch for the Yankees? 问: 上个球季用Sheffied换来的三位, 又怎麽样? John Sickels: (Humberto) Sanchez if healthy has a good chance. I’ve liked (Kevin) Whelan a lot but he was weird last year, velocity was up and down. John Sickels: I don’t remember who the third guy was, lol. 答: Sanchez如果健康的话很有机会, 我比较喜欢Whelan多一点, 但他去年状况怪怪的, 球速时好时坏。我不记得第三位是谁了, 哈(大笑)。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. Before we move on, the obligatory Kei Igawa question. Will this guy ever help the Yankees? John Sickels: Maybe in a small role, but I don’t think he’ll be a major part of anything. 问: 嗯。再问下去前, 有义务问一下井川庆的问题, 这家伙真能帮洋基队吗? 答: 可能的话会担任个小角色, 但我不认为他会对大局有所影响。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. Who is the best position player prospect in the entire Yankee system? John Sickels: (Austin) Jackson or (Jose) Tabata. In the past I have leaned Tabata but Jackson is really intriguing and I’m thinking about moving him ahead. 问: 好。洋基农场系统里9个守备位置里最佳的新秀是那一位? 答: Austin Jackson 或 Jose Tabata。过去我认为是Tabata, 但Jackson真的表现得 不错, 我考虑把他提到前面。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. I was going to ask you to compare those two guys. So, can you give us the low-down on each of them? John Sickels: Sure. Jackson is the better athlete of the two, should keep his speed longer and started to develop more power last year. His strike zone judgment needs work but he cut his strikeouts last season, a good sign. Tabata is a year and a half younger, which is important. He’s getting thick in his lower half but still runs well right now. Hasn’t shown as much power as Jackson did last year, but has been more consistent with his batting average. Both are Grade B/B+ type prospects, both project as regulars. John Sickels: Both have a chance to be stars if they can continue refining their tools. Don’t expect them to be ready until 2009 or 2010. 问: 好。我希望你比较一下这两位。 答: 当然, Jackson是两位中比较好的, 应该将他跑垒速度维持久一点, 去年开始长出更多 的长打能力。他的选球能力要再好一点, 但去年三振数已经减掉一半。Tabata则年轻了一 岁半, 这很重要。他的下半身了长壮了点却仍然跑得很快。但还没有长出像Jackson去年 的长打力, 但打击率维持的不错。这两位评价都是B/B+等级的新秀, 是计画中养成先发的 打者, 他俩都有机会变成名星选手, 只要他们把Tools再养好点, 2009或2010就可以上来 了。 Bugs & Cranks: So, if the Yankees need an outfielder from their farm system this season it will probably be Brett Gardner. What can you tell us about him? Is he a guy who can be a regular, or is he Bubba Crosby? John Sickels: Very fast, gets on base, no power and unlikely to develop any. I see him as a Jason Tyner type, more useful as a fourth outfielder in my opinion than as a starter. 问: 所以, 假如洋基需要从他们农场拉人上来来, 可能的球员是Brett Gardner。你可不 可以说对他的看法? 他会是个一般的先发打者, 或只是Bubba Crosby那样的球员? 答: 跑得很快, 有上垒能力, 没有长打能力或不可能长出任何长打能力。我觉他会是 Jason Tyner型态的打者, 就我的意见他会是个第四号外野手, 而不是先发的外野手。 Bugs & Cranks: OK. Look to 2010. I know these are the Yankees and I know they love to bring in big-name guys. But, any chance by then that we have an outfield of Tabata-Cabrera-Jackson with Gardner as the fourth guy? John Sickels: In theory, lol. John Sickels: But I doubt it. They will bring in a big name. 问: 好, 那展望2010。我了解洋基队的习性, 喜欢找些名气响亮的家伙来。但是, 是不是 有机会洋基的外野会是Tabata-Cabrera-Jackson, 然後Gardner当第四号外野手? 答: 理论上是这样, (大笑...)。但我觉得应该不会, 洋基应该会找些大物外野手来。 John Sickels: However, fans of the Yankees farm system should not despair. The system is improving, and having a good farm system is ALWAYS a good thing. 答: 但是, 洋基农场系统的球迷不应该沮丧。洋基的农场一直在提昇之中, 有好的农场系 统"总是"一件好事。 Bugs & Cranks: Yes. Are there any guys in the system we haven’t mentioned who Yankee fans should be aware of? John Sickels: Most Yankees fans nowadays are pretty decently informed about the farm system. A couple of sleeper pitchers I think are interesting are Daniel McCutchen and Zach McAllister. Both of them could be pretty interesting. McCutchen would be up sooner, McAllister is more of a long-term guy with high risk but an interesting reward. He was a high school pitcher from Illinois who is still putting his game together but has some upside, and he pitched better than the 5.17 ERA he put up in the NY-P last year indicates. 问: 是的。那农场系统里是不是还有一些值得洋基球迷注意, 但还没有被我们提到的球 员。 答: 现在洋基大部球迷已经相当熟知农场系统的情况。我想一些还在沈睡中但有趣的球员 是Danile McCutchen和Zach McAllister。这俩会成为大家有兴趣的球员。McCutchen会成 长得快一点, McAllister则是值得长期培养但有高风险的选手, 但是养出来可能会有令人 惊奇的成果。他是位从Illinois来的高中投手, 有着一些成长性, 实际上投得比他5.17的 ERA还要好, 这是他去年在NY-P的层级中表现出来的结果。 Thanks again to John for sitting down to chat with me. I’m not going to offer daily minor league coverage here, but I will try to periodically give you guys updates on what is going on down on the farm. You can check MinorLeagueBall for updates, as well as Chad Jennings outstanding SWB Yankees Blog. --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.130.155.141 ※ 编辑: leddy 来自: 220.132.198.21 (04/11 09:12)