※ [本文转录自 a-diane 看板] 作者: UmbertoEco (What Taiwan Wants ?) 看板: a-diane 标题: 全世界都在看台湾的成功 A victory for Taiwanese sovereignty 时间: Tue Mar 23 07:59:43 2004 ※ [本文转录自 a-bian 看板] 作者: banner (相信台湾坚持改革) 看板: a-bian 标题: [翻完] 全世界都在看台湾的成功 A victory for Taiwa … 时间: Tue Mar 23 04:29:48 2004 全世界都在看台湾的成功 台湾主权的成功 台湾逐渐民主, 而他的民众认为他是台湾人不是中国人. by Bruce Jacobs 台湾的总统大选发生了所有事情. 这场竞选充满了对立跟诽谤言论. 有两项公投选项让中 国抓狂. 选前的一个下午总统以及副总统在竞选时被枪击. 赢的一方在1,290万有效票中 只赢少於3万票. 而输的一方用没有任何证据的流言质疑选举也表现出缺乏领导能力. 台湾在民主的发展已经二十年. 在1990年初期台湾的领导者以及投票者决定使用直接选举 来产生总统. 在1996年的第一场总统大选在任总统李登辉赢得54%选票. 中国意图影响台 湾选情发射接近台湾的飞弹而事与愿违. 在2000年执政国民党的分裂让民进党提名的陈水扁总统赢得39.3%的选票. [广告][广告] 上一周末的选举.因为2000年主要的对手合并在让陈水扁面对艰难的选情. 连战予宋楚瑜认 为他们可以轻易的赢得选举但民进党证明了"一加一不等於二". 连与宋都有重要的特徵就是他们都是旧有独裁政府而历经1990年民主化过程. 而他们使用 旧有的系统使用谎言以及毁谤主导他的竞选. (陈有时也温和的反击. 比如, 他影射连战打 老婆.) 1945年当国民党员第一次到台湾, 他们强迫台湾人民成为"中国人"以及使用独裁"白色恐怖 "统治从中国到台湾的政权. 并制服了当地超过85%的台湾人民. 陈水扁在腹部中弹中死里逃生. 而有机会在未来四年进行改革. 因此台湾的民主化运动为" 当台湾人"带来一线生机. 这个台湾认同在这个岛屿上成长迅速. 从1992年到去年底. 由权威学术中心举办的一系列 投票表现. 台湾民众中认同自己是中国人的从26%下降到不到10%. 而认为自己只是"台湾人" 的从17%上升到41%. 而认为自己是台湾人也是中国人的仍然在40%初. 陈带领他的新思维"台湾国". 在全国性的选举中民进党第一次赢得过半数, 即使是很少. 新的思维"台湾国"也带领许多连宋的进选策略, 虽然很多投票者怀疑他对这个小岛(台湾) 最终的承诺. 选後连战的不绅士言语, 要求选举无效, 造成国际观察者的焦虑. 我相信连战又再一次的 展现他缺乏领导能力 - 但是台湾能仍然能够够在这挑战中存活下来并发展. 因为国民党新一 代的领导者将会取代连宋. 许多西方民主国家,包含澳洲, 美国 与 日本 担心陈水扁在总统大选同时提出两项公投议 题. 然而陈水扁相信公投可以加速台湾民主化的发展. 中国(他宣称台湾为他的领土)担心公投议题会成为正式独立的前奏. 而美国担心导致战争. 然而事实上这两个问题一点伤害都没有. 台湾中央选举委员会把总统投票以及公投投票分开. 而反对党怂恿足够的民众拒绝公投以 确保公投无法成立. 这撼动了陈. 但他在腹部中弹後活过来并有机会在未来四年内继续进行 他的改革政策. 许多在中国大陆工作的外国专家说他们比较倾向连宋因为他们相信连宋比较能够为中国带 来和平. 事实上连宋并没有完整的政策而大部分他们的竞选证见类似陈水扁. 海峡两岸没有进展是因为中国拒绝与陈水扁谈判. 自从1996年他们徒劳无功的在等待另外 一组候选人当选总统. 台湾对中国有许多很重要的意义. 他有许多国外的资金可以让中国经济成长. 更和平的台海环境可以让中国减少他的军事支出. 虽然中国的军方仍然倾向继续扩展 现在是最好的时间点如果中国想要谈判. 他们将会发现一个吸引人以及合理的人可以与中 国基於和平以及尊严谈. 但他们将不会发现另一个台湾的叛国者也不会有另一个接受中国台 湾是中国的"一个中国政策". 台湾已经是拥有独立主权55年. 即使是反对党当选後未来仍是. Bruce Jacobs教授 是Monash University台湾研究组主任 : ※ 引述《Hinatsu (绯夏)》之铭言： : : 重新整理 : : 然後把一些地方上色 : : 这篇文章把台湾这次大选的形势 : : 与中国对台湾的关系做了说明 : : 也说了从1945年以来台湾人在认同上的转变 : : 与对连宋的一些看法(蛮好笑的 XD) : : 这不是对台湾不够了解的人可以写出来的东西 : : 所以里面其实含有蛮多主观成分 : : 声明在先喔:) : : http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/03/22/1079939577917.html : : March 23, 2004 : : Taiwan is becoming democratic and its people feel they are Taiwanese, : : not Chinese. By Bruce Jacobs : : Taiwan's presidential election had everything. The campaign was full : : of divisive and vilifying rhetoric. There were two referendum questions : : that had China raving. On the afternoon before the election, the President : : and Vice-President were shot while campaigning. The victor won by fewer : : than 30,000 votes out of 12.9 million cast. And, to top it off, the loser : : proved he lacked leadership qualities by challenging the result without : : providing any evidence of fraud. : : Taiwan has been in a process of democratisation for the past two decades. : : In the early 1990s its leaders and voters decided to introduce direct : : elections of the president. Incumbent president Lee Teng-hui won 54 per : : cent of the vote in the first popular election in 1996. China's sending : : of missiles close to Taiwan, in a blatant effort to cow Taiwan's citizens, : : had backfired. : : In 2000, President Chen Shui-bian, of the then opposition Democratic : : Progressive Party, won with 39.3 per cent of the vote when the ruling : : Nationalist Party split. : : In last weekend's election, Chen faced an uphill battle because his two : : main opponents in 2000 had united to form a joint ticket. Lien Chan and : : James Soong thought they would easily win the election, but the DPP : : proved that "one and one doesn't always equal two". : : Lien and Soong had been key figures in both the old authoritarian government : : and in the 1990s during the democratisation process. Yet they represented : : the old system and conducted their campaign with lies and vilification. : : (Chen sometimes replied in kind. For example, he implied that Lien beat : : his wife.) : : When the Nationalists first came to Taiwan in 1945, they forced Taiwanese : : to become "Chinese" and ruled with a dictatorial "White Terror" regime : : that came from the Chinese mainland and subjugated the local Taiwanese, : : who account for more than 85 per cent of the population. : : Thus, democratisation in Taiwan has brought a sense of being Taiwanese. : : The sense of Taiwanese identity on the island has grown very quickly. : : From 1992 until late last year, a series of polls conducted by a reputable : : academic centre in Taiwan demonstrated that those who identify as only : : "Chinese" among Taiwan's population has dropped from more than 26 per cent : : to less than 10 per cent, while those who identify as only "Taiwanese" has : : grown from 17 per cent to more than 41 per cent. The proportion who identify : : as both "Taiwanese and Chinese" has remained in the low 40s. : : Chen has ridden this new sense of a "Taiwanese nation" to power. For the : : first time, the DPP has won a majority, even though very slim, in a : : national election. : : It is this new sense of a Taiwan nation that also guided much of the rhetoric : : of Lien and Soong, though many voters doubted their ultimate commitment to : : the island. : : Lien's ungracious speech after the election, urging that the election be : : declared null and void, has created some anxiety among foreign observers. : : My belief is that Lien has again shown that he lacks leadership ability - : : but that Taiwan will survive this challenge to its democratisation and move : : forward, with younger Nationalist leaders replacing Lien and Soong. : : Many Western, democratic countries including Australia, the United States : : and Japan, were concerned that Chen had put two referendum questions on the : : ballot paper at the same time as the presidential vote. Chen, however, : : believed the referendums would enhance Taiwan's democratisation process. : : China, which claims Taiwan as its territory, was concerned that the referendum : : questions were the prelude to a formal declaration of independence. The US : : was concerned that this could lead to war. In fact, the actual questions : : were quite harmless. : : Taiwan's Central Election Commission separated the presidential election : : from the referendums and the opposition urged sufficient people to abstain : : as to ensure the two referendum questions fail. This was a blow to Chen, : : but he has survived a bullet to his abdomen and now has a chance of four : : further years to implement his reform program. : : Many foreign specialists working on China have said they preferred Lien : : and Soong because they believed they would find it easier to make peace : : with the Chinese. In fact, Lien and Soong lacked a comprehensive program : : and much of their rhetoric resembled that of Chen. : : The lack of progress in cross-Straits relations is a result of the u : : nwillingness of the Chinese to speak to Chen. Since 1996 they have waited : : fruitlessly for another candidate to become president. : : Taiwan is important to China for many reasons. It provides a huge amount of : : foreign capital, which contributes to China's economic growth. : : A more peaceful cross-straits environment would also enable China to reduce : : its military budget - although China's military may prefer to maintain the : : tension that contributes to their ever-increasing resources. : : If the Chinese want to negotiate, then it is time they talked to Chen. They : : will find a charming and reasonable man who will deal with China on the : : basis of peace and dignity. But they will not find a traitor to Taiwan, nor : : a man who will accept China's so-called "one China" policy that includes : : Taiwan. : : Taiwan has been an independent, sovereign country for 55 years. It will : : remain so. And it would have remained so had the opposition won the : : presidential election. : : Professor Bruce Jacobs : : is director of the Taiwan research unit at Monash University --

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