Brian McKitish特稿，本人虎烂翻译一下大意^^" 原稿出处: http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/basketball/fba/story?page=nbanb720 Before we get into this week's free-agency news, we'll have to touch on the Ron Artest and Stephen Jackson suspensions. Both Jackson and Artest will be forced to sit out the first seven games of the 2007-08 season due to their legal issues a year ago. This won't really have much of a fantasy impact, but with the way professional sports is headed (with lengthy suspensions becoming the norm), it's certainly important to keep an eye not just on those who repeatedly find themselves in legal trouble off the court, but also on those who have a history of creating problems on the court. 在讨论这礼拜有关自由球员的消息前，我们先来看看阿泰跟丑脸的禁赛问题，他们 都因为一年前的法庭诉讼案而必须被禁赛五场，就FB来说，这当然不是很严重的问题 但从这点可以看出近年来NBA的一个倾向，让我们不只是看到这些老在场外惹事的人 也要看到常在球场内惹麻烦的一些球员。 (小结:阿泰跟丑脸都会先禁赛五场，不要忘记) The way I see it, we have to start looking at these players the same way we look at those who present a serious injury risk. David Stern is trying to clean up the image of the NBA, and that means we can expect to see even more lengthy suspensions over the next few years. The Carmelo Anthony suspension last year is a perfect example. I mean, come on, he got 15 games for that? A few years back, that was just your regular run-of-the-mill NBA fight, but now it makes the list of the NBA's longest suspensions. Now more than ever, we need to weigh the risk and reward before deciding to take a chance on a legally troubled star like Artest or Jackson, or a locker room problem like Steve Francis or Zach Randolph. 就我看来，我们必须用一样的标准来看待麻烦鬼与大病号，史腾一直在努力改善NBA给 人们的观感，也就是说在可预期的状况下，禁赛的标准会越来越严苛，Melo就是一个 很适当的例子，他去年被判了有史以来最长的15禁赛，但那值得15场嘛?在以前的话 那根本只是一件很小咖的争吵罢了，现在却判罚这麽长，所以捏，我们不只是要评估 那些大病号的价值，也要小心的选择一些麻烦鬼，像是阿泰、丑脸(法律诉讼)，或是 小法、软豆腐(更衣间麻烦) (小结:要注意现在禁赛一禁都很长低，大家要小心喔XD) Free Agency: Fantasy Impact I'll be honest, I hate what the Portland Trail Blazers are doing this year. Now, before you whip out your cyber pen and rip into me, realize that I'm looking at this solely from a fantasy perspective. Real-life Blazers fans must be ecstatic; they've rid themselves of the team's biggest locker room cancer (Z-Bo) and added a bunch of emerging talent, but I look at this roster with an eye on fantasy and I see a team that will struggle to find playing time for all of its talented youngsters. General manager Kevin Pritchard is acquiring talent in waves, but where the heck is he going to play all these guys? I think I got sick when I saw that the Blazers, of all people, were able to nab Steve Blake in free agency. That's a total waste of a few potential fantasy sleepers right there. Blake could have had some nice value had he landed with say Miami or Cleveland, but in Portland, he'll have to share time with Jarrett Jack and Sergio Rodriguez. I was all set to tab Sergio as a deep sleeper this season, but I can't see him having much value now. It's possible that Jack could be on the trading block, but even if that happens, we'll still be looking at a time-share situation at the point guard position in Portland. As if the crowded point guard situation wasn't enough, the Blazers also re-signed Travis Outlaw (who oozes upside) earlier this week. Outlaw is still just 22 years old, and to give you an idea of his pure talent, he would have easily been a top-10 selection if he were in this year's draft. The problem for Outlaw will be the same problem he's been facing his entire career: playing time. Right now, he could start at the small forward position, but there's plenty of competition in the form of Martell Webster and, to a smaller extent, James Jones. My biggest concern is that Nate McMillan may be tempted to slide Brandon Roy over to small forward in certain situations in order to make room for all the quality point guards on his roster. Outlaw can also play a little power forward, so that helps, but that situation is just as crowded with LaMarcus Aldridge and Channing Frye around. I'm going to love watching Portland games this year, but I'm not sure I'll be loving the Blazers' fantasy prospects outside of Roy, Aldridge and Greg Oden. FA的影响:从FB的角度来看 老实说，我今年实在很不爽拓荒者，在你按下2嘘我之前，请了解到我是从FB的角度 才有这个看法的，现实中拓迷应该会很爽他们终於送走软豆腐又找回这麽多有天分 的球员，但我就是不爽这点，有可能让这些人全部都有发挥空间嘛? 签下Blake让我龟X趴会都烧起来了，是这样的，如果Blake去骑士、热火都会有很好 的发展，现在只好跟Jarrett Jack与Sergio一起瓜分上场时间，我曾把Sergio设定 为最值得期待的球员了，但现在就算Jack被交易走，我也不会这麽认为了，Blake 将是Sergio发光发热的障碍。 除了控球的问题以外，拓荒者又成功留下了Outlaw，他到底有多好呢， 我要提到一点，他今年也就22岁，如果他今年投入选秀随便也是前十顺位，这样你们懂了 吧ㄎㄎ，但Outlaw的问题也一样，SF的位置还有Webster、James Jones，我又很担心 教练麦克米兰会不时让Roy打SF以发挥後场的优势，好吧，就算Outlaw可以打PF又怎样 呢?拓荒者PF会缺人嘛?他还不是要跟Aldridge、Frye一起抢PF位置，所以今年我会 很喜欢看拓荒者比赛，但是除了Oden、Aldridge、Roy以外，我大概都不会选了。 (小结:拓荒者除了Oden、Aldridge、Roy以外都不要太乐观，会没时间上场) With Steve Blake gone, the Denver Nuggets went searching for a point guard, and found their man in veteran Chucky Atkins. Atkins is still a fringe fantasy player, but he should be able to knock down a few 3-pointers and dish out a few assists as the potential starting point guard in Denver. Signing Atkins will allow the Nuggets to move Allen Iverson over to shooting guard, but although Atkins may bring the ball up the court, he won't have the rock in his hands often with AI and Melo around. Atkins may also lose some time to J.R. Smith, but we'll have to see how J.R. responds after a tumultuous offseason before making that claim. That said, I'll still be looking for Atkins in the last few rounds as a 3-point specialist this season. I'm not really sure why the Sacramento Kings felt the need to go out and get another big man through free agency. Mikki Moore had a very nice season for the Nets in 2006-07, but he's a role player at best, and the Kings already have a logjam in their frontcourt. With Brad Miller, Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Kenny Thomas, Corliss Williamson, Spencer Hawes, and my personal favorite, Justin Williams, all in the mix, it's hard to imagine any one player having significant value. Injuries have made Miller a shell of his former self, and no other player in that frontcourt can really separate himself from the rest of the pack. Unless there are some trades or injuries, it's looking like the minutes will have to be spread out, which is the worst news any fantasy player could hear. Crowding seems to be the theme of the day as I've just gotten word that Steve Francis (or as I like to call him, the artist formerly known as the Franchise) has signed with the Houston Rockets. So not only do the Rockets now have Rafer Alston, Luther Head, Mike James and Aaron Brooks (who was sick in Vegas by the way), but now they have Francis too. How many point guards does one team need? Honestly, this situation isn't even worth discussing at this point of the offseason. There has to be a trade looming somewhere in the distance, and if not, we'll have to see how this situation plays out in preseason action. 金块找来了Atkins来弥补Blake留下来的空缺，Atkins是一个偶有三分与助攻的老兵 ，他来了以後可以让小爱去打SG的位置，可是Atkins的球风应该是不会在Melo与 小爱之间讨到任何便宜，而且也要看J.R Smith的状况，所以我应该会在最後几轮 考虑捡Atkins起来弥补三分球。 看没有、看没有啊?我看没有国王为什麽还需要透过交易去找来大个子球员啊 Moore去年在篮网表现的很好，但他最好还是乖乖当个绿叶球员会比较好， 摊开一看，国王的前场已经有各式兵种:大米、Rahim、Kenny Thomas、Williamson 、Hawes还有我最爱的Justin Williams，我没办法想像还会有什麽球员可以 带来更好的改变，就算大米因为受伤而退化，又有什麽球员能站在这些球员之上 打出一片天呢?除非有人受伤或交易，否则就FB角度来说这实在是很惨的一个现象。 人满为患的现象也发生在火箭队身上，自从小法加入火箭以後，火箭总共有Alston Head、Mike James跟不错的新人Brooks，一个球队到底需要几个控球啊? 老实说，现在讨论这个情形实在是太早了，毕竟距离开季还有一段时间，但如果没交易 开打後这问题就会很难桥了。 I'd much rather talk about Houston's "other" big move this week, acquiring European star Luis Scola. Playing for Euroleague powerhouse Tau Ceramica, Scola put up 15.5 points, 5.9 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocks while shooting 57.6 percent from the floor and 70.3 percent from the line in 26.3 minutes per game in 2006-07. He should step in and start immediately at the power forward spot, and he's already got a fan in head coach Rick Adelman, who is ecstatic about the power forward's off-ball movement and passing skills. The addition of Scola will be a big blow to Chuck Hayes, who was looking like a very nice sleeper after his impressive second half last season. I was just thinking that this offseason hasn't really produced many fantasy "winners" through free agency. Other than Darko Milicic, I was struggling to find a player who really benefited from any of the free-agent moves thus far. That was, until Morris Peterson agreed to terms with the New Orleans Hornets, of course. Mo Pete will immediately step in as the starting shooting guard, and with his range, he'll undoubtedly benefit from Chris Paul's ability to penetrate and dish. The fact that Peja Stojakovic's health will still be a question -- I know he's apparently healthy, but I'm not one who likes to gamble with severe back injuries -- makes Peterson all the more attractive. Look for a big bounce-back year from Peterson with averages of 15 points, 1.7 3s and 1.2 steals looking like realistic projections. 来谈谈火箭今年的另外一个"大"变化:签下欧洲第一PF的Scola，Scola在欧洲打球 的成绩相当不错，上场26.3分钟可以拿下约15分6篮板的成绩，尤其在命中率方面 相当杰出(57.3% 70.3%)他到火箭之後真的应该马上打先发PF才对，尤其对Adelman 这麽一个喜欢大前锋会传球与走位的教练来说，虽然Hayes去年季末表现不错， 但Scola应该更值得期待。 今年几笔交易看来，实在没有几个人因交易而在FB中受惠的，除了Darko到灰熊以外 ，就属Mo-P到黄蜂这一笔交易最有可看性。 Mo-P应该会马上打先发SG的位置，他的射程会让Paul在切入时又更多传球的选择， 我知道Peja今年有健康化的趋势，但是我绝对不会赌在一个背部多处严重受伤的 球员身上，因此我觉得Mo-P应该会打得比去年成绩更为出色。 (小结:选Scloa不要选Hayes，选Mo-P与Paul不要选Peja ><) For the first time since Kenyon Martin left, the Nets will finally have some presence and muscle in their frontcourt. First, they took a gamble on Sean Williams in the draft, then they went out and signed former All-Star Jamaal Magloire. Magloire averaged just 6.5 points, 6.1 boards and 0.8 blocks with the Trail Blazers last season, but then again, he only saw 21.1 minutes of action per game. His numbers were much better as a starter, when he averaged 27.3 minutes while putting up 8.5 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.0 blocks in 23 starts. Magloire isn't too light on his feet, and he may have a tough time keeping up with the fast pace of the NBA, but he can still be a useful commodity for boards and blocks. Despite my optimism, there are still plenty of concerns when it comes to Magloire's fantasy value. His signing prompted this discussion with my colleague at the TalentedMrRoto.com, Guy Lake: 篮网终於在马丁走了以後又再度建立了肌肉军团，现在他们有Sean Williams (选秀会中睹来的)而且又透过交易找到了前全明星的马个肉，马个肉去年表现 其实颇烂的，但是别忘了考虑到他上场的时间只有21.1分钟，一旦上场时间增加 他的绩效爬升的相当明显。 马个肉的速度让他在篮网快速的球风中相当吃亏(抢下篮板~跑过半场~~~X!又要回防了) 不过他在火锅篮板上的帮助不小，不知道是不是我太乐观，我跟我的同事Guy Lake 因为他的加入而有了一段对话。 下面都是老外的MSN对话就不翻译了，主要是Lake相当不以为然，他认为马个肉的手 不只是奶油手可以形容，他根本是螺丝钉机器手，堪称失误界的魔术师与掉球天王 而作者不这麽认为，他认为马个肉的进攻很烂没错，可是在篮网这麽复杂的进攻战术 中，他应该没什麽机会摸球，当然也不会失误与罚球啊， (你真的是太乐观了，木桶伯偶而都要僵屍勾射了) 以上，献给球季前严重缺水的FB版 ^_^ --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.131.86.65 ※ 编辑: JAY049 来自: 220.131.86.65 (07/25 16:42) ※ 编辑: JAY049 来自: 220.131.86.65 (07/26 02:00) ※ brokenleg:转录至看板 NBAEasyChat 07/29 01:53