本来觉得挺不赖，看完以後的确觉得好像也不见得有多少帮助... 原文 http://ppt.cc/tWzD Heat president Pat Riley has a thing for really tall reclamation projects. 油头喜欢难度很大的重建计划。 The soft spot becomes understandable once you realize that he has coached several current or future Hall of Fame centers in his lengthy NBA career. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Shaquille O'Neal, Patrick Ewing and Alonzo Mourning all have manned a frontcourt with Riley roaming the sideline. So when LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh combined forces to play in Miami, and Riley needed a big man, he sought out several who were down on their luck and tried to rehabilitate them into a key cog in the Heat machine. 这个性癖好其实是很容易理解的，因为在他执教或是掌权的时代， 他有调教过那麽传奇级的大只玩具，贾罢，大欧，猩猩和星星等等。 所以当LCD出现时，他也从不间断的在找大只菇满足他们。 Zydrunas Ilgauskas. Erick Dampier. Eddy Curry. Ronny Turiaf. Chris Andersen. Greg Oden. 目前已经累计有大Z，蛋皮，肥咖喱，屠夫，鸟人和大鸟人。 Most of the reclamation projects haven't panned out. Some did. One still is a work in progress. Is Andrew Bynum the next Riley reclamation project? 大部份的重建计划都失败了，有些成功。还有一个正在重建中的。 所以败男会是油头下一个重建目标吗？ Does Bynum fit? 问题是，败男适合吗？ The Heat have been tossed around as a logical destination for Bynum and his services. After being waived by the Chicago Bulls upon arrival following his trade from Cleveland, Bynum is a free agent who can sign with any team of his choosing. 很多观察家都把热火放进会热逐败男的对象之一。 Of all the suitors -- and there are eight of them, according to ESPN's Chris Broussard -- Miami seems to have garnered the most curiosity in and around the league. They are the two-time defending champions after all. How much talent could they possibly need? 在所有号称八支球队里面，热火话题性最高。 Let's pause here and throw some cold water on the Bynum-to-Miami hype. For one, the Heat already have their hands full with Oden and fellow league castoff Michael Beasley. Though Beasley came to the Heat this offseason under vastly different circumstances than Oden, the Heat have had to juggle not one, but two reclamation projects as it is. Adding Bynum would be a Riley heat check and possibly an Erik Spoelstra nightmare. 不过在你看片看得正爽时，我不得不按暂停泼你一盆冷水让你冷静冷静先。 第一，热火在拿下两个福袋後，已经忙得不可开交，即使其中一个 B-easy目前看来进度不错，但是Oden还是得花整个教练团很多心力 在其中。油头如果再拿第三个福袋，就只是在试试手气， 对Spo来说则可能会忙得焦头烂额。 Secondly, Bynum has looked rough this season. On the whole, this is what you'd expect from a 7-foot, near-300-pounder who hadn't played basketball in a year after multiple knee injuries. The only consistency is inconsistency. Twice he has put up 20 and 10 with multiple blocks, looking like the skilled All-Star we saw in LakerLand. Other nights he shoots 0-for-11 and barely saunters back on defense, functioning as the worst version of himself. 第二，败男本季打得不好。当然持平来说，一个300棒的大个儿一年多没打球 你能期待什麽呢？他的确曾经打过几场20-10-2锅的好比赛， 但是他也有打出绝世好剑过 （投11进0）。 On balance, Bynum has not been destructive. He has an above-average 15.4 player efficiency rating and he's putting up 15.1 points and 9.5 points per 36 minutes, rates which are commensurate with Roy Hibbert, though Bynum's scoring rate has been fueled by high usage rather than high efficiency. Like Hibbert, Bynum's shooting percentages are lower than you'd expect for a big man of gargantuan size, shooting 44.1 percent in his past 10 games (and that includes his 0-for-11 stinker against the Detroit Pistons). 不过总体而言，败男并不是很差的。他的PER是联盟平均。 她每36分钟可以拿下15-9.5。这个效率基本上跟西伯特相当。 当然败男的得分来自於他的高使用率，有别於西伯特的高效率。 不过如同西伯特一般，败男的投篮命中率在大个儿里也是很可悲。 You can consider Bynum a brittle, poor man's Hibbert at this point. Bynum isn't nearly as focused and willing on the defensive end, but he's also limited in his mobility like the Indiana big man and would be forced to protect the basket area with his size, rather than stunting pick-and-rolls. According to SportVU tracking data, opponents are shooting just 37.6 percent at the rim when Bynum is within five feet, which is one of the best rates in the league for a big man. The sample size qualifications apply, but there's no denying that Bynum is really good at being large. 你可以把败男想成穷人版西伯特。然而败男在防守端并没有那麽积极。 不过就如同西伯特一样，他的体型和慢慢的移动力让球队只能让他们 待在篮下而放弃去做挡拆防守。而正如同西伯特在篮下的吓阻力一样， 败男让对手在五尺内的投篮命中率低到37.6%。这在大个儿里是顶级的。 当然这有点小样本，但是你懂我的意思的，体型不会说谎，效用就是在那。 That element of Bynum's game could be problematic for the Heat because he's the last big you would want in Spoelstra's system, one that predicates itself on smothering pick-and-rolls with speed. There is no bringing Bynum into that scheme. There is only temporarily abandoning it and opting for Indiana's sag-to-the-basket defense. And that might not sit well with Spoelstra. 然而这样的打法对热火来讲却是很多问题的，基本上在热火系统而言， 他们最不想用这样拖慢速度无法轮转的中锋。 如果用败男，那就表示热火暂时放弃自己的打法，而跟着溜马打慢。 这种打法基本上Spo一直很反对。 The talent is there, but it's hard getting past the fact that Bynum represents an ill fit with the Heat's pace-and-space system. Bynum could be Oden insurance, but he's not the same player. Bynum's value tilts on the offensive end whereas Oden, if remotely healthy, is more a rebounding defensive force better aligned for Hibbert duty in the playoffs. And it's worth wondering if Bynum would be happy coming off the bench in a specialist role as it's a good bet that Spoelstra won't forgo surrounding his star trio with sharpshooters. 败男有他的天份，但是进攻上败男也无法融入热火pace-and-space 的系统。败男的确可以是Oden的保险，但是他和Oden本质上还是不同。 败男的价值在於他的进攻，而Oden则是防守，尤其是篮板的巩固。 这点在对位西伯特时更显重要。更别提败男会安於只做固定球队 固定人选时才上场的球员吗？ It's an ill fit on the books as well. After guaranteeing the contracts of Roger Mason Jr. and Beasley earlier this week, the Heat have no open roster spots and cannot waive a player without eating a contract. Yes, the Heat do still have the taxpayer's midlevel exception available, which, at full, would be $3.2 million for this season. After tax payouts, signing Bynum could cost upwards of $8 million the rest of the season because of the punitive tax structure. 败男的薪资也将会造成热火财政上的麻烦。 热火的确有小中产，但是如果用小中产签败男，代表要花八百万镁。 Does that sound like a likely investment for a team that amnestied Mike Miller this offseason? 这听起来并不像是刚把MM裁了的球队会做的事。 It's also worth pointing out that the Heat typically do not outbid other teams with salary; they outbid other teams with opportunity. This is why the taxpayer's midlevel exception is an unlikely carrot. 另外一点是热火这几年来从来都不用钱买人，而是靠安利。 所以期待热火用小中产签败男是不切实际的想法。 Remember, the Heat got Andersen on two 10-day contracts before he was signed for the rest of the season and re-signed him at a below-market deal at the minimum this offseason. And they signed Oden for the minimum as well. Ray Allen did not opt out and seek more money this offseason; he stayed under the player option. If the Heat decide to go after Bynum, expect them to play hard to get. 热火用钱很抠门。 Ultimately, bet on Riley to bet on talent. As we've seen in the past, he's willing to take a gamble on a player looking for a rebirth. Given their capped-out status, it's hard to nab players like Bynum in the offseason for the championship run. The question is whether Bynum is willing to make the necessary sacrifices to make it work. And that goes for Spoelstra and his pace-and-space system, too. 最後，我认为油头并不会错失这个天份。从历史观之，油头是喜欢赌一把的。 重点是，败男会愿意在没有一个固定地位的球队里打球吗？他愿意牺牲吗？ 又Spo会怎麽用他也是诸多问号的。 --

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