原文 http://ppt.cc/tOjE 极简不负责翻译 Is it time for the Heat to be concerned about Dwyane Wade yet? It seems like a fair question in a vacuum, but of course, we don't operate in a vacuum. Actually, we’ve been here before. And Wade has made us look like morons for doubting him. 这其实是个好问题，不过我们也被Wade的状态搞昏了很多次， Wade让我们这些专家有时候看起来像个傻子。 If you remember in last season's playoffs, Wade looked like a shell of his former self in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference semifinals, scoring five points on 2-for-13 shooting from the floor against Indiana. Team doctors drained fluid from his troublesome left knee before the game to try to alleviate the discomfort, but the Heat fell behind 2-1 to the Pacers. It was commonly said that Wade was done and the Heat were done. 如果你记得去年此时，同样的问题也被大伙提出， 很多人看到Wade对溜马G3的表现後都大胆结论热火完罗，Wade完罗～ Wade then averaged 24.1 points, 6.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists for the rest of the playoffs, and the Heat won the 2012 championship. 然後Wade在之後的季後赛场次打出24.1ppg, 6.1rpg, 4.7apg的全能 表现并且帮助热火得到冠军。让大伙脸都被打肿了。 As if we didn’t learn our lesson the first time: Doubts about Wade's effectiveness were raised again during this past regular season. And sure enough, Wade made those concerns look foolish and premature after a torrid shooting tear, registering a preposterous 55 percent conversion rate after the All-Star break. 所以说如果人们还没学到第一次教训， 本季初类似的论调又跳出来了，然後Wade又再度打大火脸了： 在明星赛後以55%的高命中率结束球季。 Fooled us twice, shame on us. 愚弄我们两次，只能说是我们蠢了。 And now Wade is at it again. 但是Wade现在又来了... Playing through a balky knee (is there an echo in here?), Wade has averaged just 13.3 points per game in the playoffs, which is just below Reggie Jackson and a smidge above Omer Asik. He’s shooting 45.8 percent from the floor, down from 52.1 percent during the regular season. His player efficiency rating (PER) has plummeted from 24.0 in the regular season to 17.5 in the postseason. Once again, Wade's play is begging us to doubt him again. 带着一条肿腿打球的结果，Wade目前季後赛平均得分只有13.3分， 这比Reggie Jaclson还低，比阿喜略高。 他的命中率也不甚佳，只有46%, 低了季赛平均将近6%之多。 他的PER也从季赛的24降到17.5。 所以说，Wade又再次让外界有质疑他的机会了。 So what do we do with this information? Do we just move right along and pretend that it isn’t happening? 基於前两次的经验，我们是不是应该装作没有这回事发生， 以免再度被打脸咧？ Of course not. Wade very well could put up 40 points in Game 4, but that shouldn’t stop us from analyzing what has been plaguing Wade so far. What exactly is happening? 当然不。Wade的确有可能在G4就拿个40分打大家脸，不过我们也有 权利去分析Wade到目前为止出了啥问题（挺）。 Unhealthy knee, unhealthy game 不健康的膝盖，不健康的比赛 If Wade’s bruised right knee, which caused him to miss Game 4 against the Milwaukee Bucks in the first round, is limiting his game, it shows. Heat coach Erik Spoelstra has been praising Wade for his shot discipline after Wade took just seven shots in Game 3, but that discipline hasn’t carried over in other areas. Wade’ s turnover rate has jumped from 13.2 percent of his possessions ending in a turnover in the regular season to 19.8 percent in the playoffs. In other words, Wade fumbles the ball every fifth time that he finishes a play. That's not good. 如果Wade的膝盖让他在第一轮miss了G4，那似乎这一轮的确显示出 他有被此影响。Spo被问到这类问题时总是公式化的回答 Wade是为了球队牺牲了自己的数据，Wade并没有被伤病影响。 正如同Wade G3只出手了七次，你的确很难在七次出手中看出什麽鬼。 但是我们从其他的角度去看，可以看出伤病的影响。 就看看失误率吧，Wade在季赛的失误率是13%，季後赛大幅跳跃到20%， 也就是说当球权在Wade手中时，有五分之一的机会会以失误做结。 这可不是什麽好事。 And those turnovers are telling. If you watch the film, you’ll notice that Wade hasn’t been able to slalom his way to the basket like he normally does. Instead, he has routinely stopped short in the midrange area for either an off-balance jump shot or a jump pass to the perimeter where he airmails it directly to a Chicago Bulls defender. 而从失误这数据中出发，你在去看看比赛内容， 就会发现Wade的失误在於他没办法像之前一样往篮框前进， 他总是太早停球，然後投个中距离，不然就是跳传，直接传给公牛。 When healthy, Wade can hang in the air and use those jump passes as a weapon even though players everywhere are taught never to leave your feet to make a pass. But recently, Wade hasn’t shown the requisite lift to make it an effective counter. The result is gobs of turnovers off of jump passes that make youth coaches everywhere cringe. 当健康的时候，即使跳传这东西是大多数教练不以为然的传球方式， 但是却是Wade的武器之一。 但是Wade现在不够健康，腿没有力支撑他的续航力，自然也没办法 靠这套不自然的传球功夫传到正确的位置去。 Usually, Wade doesn't need those jump passes to be successful. He has made a living in the pick-and-roll where he can step around defenders and use his lightning-quick agility to maneuver his way to the rim. But that’s not the case anymore. Wade has scored a measly 14 points on 31 pick-and-roll plays this postseason, according to Synergy Sports video tracking. His efficiency on that action (0.452 points per play) ranks dead last in the playoffs among players with at least 25 pick-and-roll plays. Translation: Wade’s greatest strength has been reduced lately to a weakness. 另外一个数据就是Wade的PR成功率，Wade生涯是最好的PR手之一， 因为他如闪电般的速度使然。 然而在季後赛的Wade，PR率却是全NBA季後赛球员里最低的。 每一次PR，他只能得0.452分。大囧。 也就是说因为他的膝盖，让PR成为他的武器变成他的弱点。 No longer finding freebies 没办法站上罚球线 Without a dependable pick-and-roll game to catch his defender off-balance, Wade has watched his trips to the free throw line vanish. This postseason, he has tallied one more free throw than Chris Andersen, even though Andersen has played 102 fewer minutes. Moreover, Wade has failed to reach the free throw line in two of the three games this series. 或许跟他的PR率不在高效有关，Wade现在没办法造成防守者犯规。 目前他罚球数才领先鸟人一球，即使鸟人比他少打了102分钟。 Wade在公牛这个系列赛甚至有两场根本上不了罚球线。 Want to guess how many free-throw-less games he previously registered since LeBron James and Chris Bosh teamed up with him in 2010-11? 这个数据有多扯，让我们来看看下面这个数字： 在三巨头合体後，Wade 0 罚球数的场次： Two (not counting injury-shortened games). That’s it. 两场。 Wade remains one of the great foul-drawers in NBA history and it's one of the reasons he's a terror to guard even at age 31. Taking away Wade's free throw game is like removing James' ability to pass the ball. Wade的吸引犯规也是他的强项之一，现在他也没了这武器。 这就像是LBJ突然不会传球了一样，影响很大。 Taking a detour 改变打法 Wade has compensated for his lack of agility off the dribble by cutting to the rim and getting easy looks that way. In fact, 80 percent of his buckets in the restricted area this postseason have been assisted, whereas that number was just 57.1 percent in the regular season, according to NBA.com’s stats tool. This is when it helps to have that LeBron guy around. Wade这季无球跑切效率不错，他在篮下的被助功率在季後赛高达80% 比他季赛的57.1%高出甚多。这可说是有LBJ在同队的好处。 Yes, we have to credit Wade for finding an effective detour off the ball, but the Heat can’t afford to watch Wade transform into Avery Bradley on the offensive end. Why? Because the road to a championship will get only harder. The Bulls' defense ranked fifth in defensive efficiency this season, but the four teams ahead of them? That would be the Pacers, Grizzlies, Spurs and Thunder. Two of those four could be next if the Heat get past the Bulls. 是的，我们必须要给这项改变的Wade掌声，但是同时间， 热火也不能让Wade打得像个AVery Bradley一样只会靠无球跑切得分。 为什麽呢？因为公牛的防守今年只排联盟第五， 前四呢？ 溜马，灰熊，马刺和雷霆 也就是说非常有可能热火下两轮的对手都在这四队之中。 So you can blame the stingy Bulls defense for Wade’s struggles, but just know that it probably won’t get easier for the Heat here on out. The Heat have been able to absorb his ineffectiveness against a depleted Bulls squad thanks to Norris Cole and Ray Allen picking up the slack. 所以你可以把Wade数据的下滑归咎於公牛的防守， 但是别忘了冠军之路只会越来越难走，防守只会越来越强硬。 热火现在靠着Cole和雷枪抵消了Wade没效率的表现， 而这是因为对手是个人手短缺的公牛。 But going forward, the Heat need vintage Wade to show up. And if history repeats itself, it's only a matter of time before he does. 而热火要走得更远，他们需要Wade回复一定的身手。 而如同我们的被打脸史一般，或许Wade会在该打脸的时候就出手的。 =========================================================== 心得： 这篇文章看标题可能会被一堆Wade迷嘘，我也一直不认为Wade的伤势 有比去年此时糟。而且我认为Wade有所保留是因为 公牛的打法太机车，不止Wade，LBJ G3其实打得也很保留。 但是文章说的也没错，溜马灰熊等辈不会比较软， 到时候不可能因为怕受伤就打得保留，那可赢不了比赛了。 另外文章同时也提出了一些数据，像是失误率大幅上升和挡切成功率太低 还有上不了罚球线的问题等等，并不是完全不值一晒的观点。 基本上我对Wade的状况还维持乐观就是，如同文章结尾说的， 希望是罗。 --

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