来源：http://goo.gl/JQS1dT Behind the Box Score: Games 21-31 第21-31场比赛分析 The Mavs have improved from the last mile marker in more ways than one. Not only did the club boost its record to 18-13 by going 7-4 over the last 11 games, but we’re also seeing huge strides from the offense, the bench (namely J.J. Barea), and even the defense. It looks like Dallas is beginning t o come together as a team, and that’s a good thing, too, considering how difficult the upcoming hectic January schedule promises to be. 小牛近期在很多方面上都有进步。 不只过去11场比赛打出 7-4 的佳绩让战绩上升到 18-13 ， 而是进攻端、板凳（其实就在说Barea）、甚至是防守端的大幅提升。 看起来小牛正开始打得像个团队，而考虑到一月艰难的赛程，这是件好事。 Including tomorrow’s showdown with the defending champion Golden State Warriors, the Mavs will play 20 games between today and Feb. 2, with 11 of them coming on the road. The good news for Dallas, though, is that the road has been kind to the club this season: Only eight teams in the NBA have a winning road record, and Dallas is one of them. Home is where the biggest struggles had been coming, but suddenly the Mavs have turned American Airlines Center into an impenetrable force, winning four straight at home and none by fewer than seven points. That’s been great to see. 加上明天打卫冕军勇士，现在到2/2小牛将要打20场比赛，包括11场客场。 好消息是今年小牛并不太惧怕客场，小牛是这季目前为止八支客场胜率超过 五成球队中的其中一队。 反而是主场对小牛来说比较艰难，不过最近主场的四连胜让AAC变成坚固的 堡垒。 (感谢s93rm6大大帮忙抓错!) How have they done it? What’s changed? Let’s take a look at how the Mavs have fared in games 21-31. 让我们从本季第21-31场比赛的表现来看看发生了什麽事情。 CHANDLER PARSONS IS BACK 帕帅回归 After spending roughly the first quarter of the season working on a tight minutes restriction and slowly playing his way back into both shape and rhythm , Chandler Parsons appears to be back near full strength. The small forward has become much more involved in the offense as a scorer and a facilitator recentl y, getting 70-plus touches on the ball in back-to-back games for the first time all season. The Mavericks are now 8-2 when Parsons gets at least 40 touches in a game, indicating that not only are they better when he’s involved, but it’s possible that they’re better because he’s involved. 前四分之一个赛季，帕帅被严格的控制时间，还要从中慢慢找回比赛节奏和体态， 而最近的帕帅看起来已经要接近回到满血状态了。最近的他用得分、发动攻势更融 入进攻端，并且在B2B的比赛总共碰到球超过70次。 帕帅一场至少碰到球40次的比赛之中，小牛的战绩是 8-2。 Why? He’s a 6-foot-10 (with a ratchet) small forward who can handle the ball, pass, and shoot. There aren’t many players in the NBA with that physical makeup who also possess Parsons’ skill set. As well as Raymond Felton played at 2-guard in the starting lineup for nearly the entire season, Parsons simply brings a different dynamic to this group, especially in the pick-and-roll. When your small forward can run a P&R with a center, and your power forward ca n spot up for 3, you can destroy defenses because most just aren’t conditioned to defend plays like that. See below: 他会运球、传球、得分，同时他身高6-10。联盟中很少同时具备跟他差不多身材 条件和技巧的球员。帕帅提供跟这季大部分代他先发的Ray Ray不同的能量， 尤其在P&R。当球队的小前锋能够和中锋玩P&R、又配上一个可以投三分的 大前锋，别的队伍将会很头痛。如图： http://imgur.com/xL62Fzq Marc Gasol is one of the smartest defenders in the NBA, so he knows there’s no way he can leave Dirk Nowitzki wide open at the three-point line. Meanwhile , because Parsons (and not a guard) is the ball-handler, that leaves just a poin t guard and shooting guard to slide over to help against a rolling 7-footer in JaVale McGee. Parsons has the quickness to get around Zach Randolph and create enough space for a pass, and the result is a dunk. Most defenses in the league aren’t equipped to stop this kind of play, and most offenses don’t ha ve stretch-4 like Nowitzki who can create offensive space just by standing still. I combination with Parsons, that becomes pretty devastating offense. Now that he’s returned to the starting lineup and has played 34 minutes or mo re in three straight contests, it’s pretty safe to say that he’s back. Marc Gasol 是联盟中最聪明的防守者之一，他知道不能让Dirk在三分线上有空档， 同时帕帅（而不是後卫）控球，PG和SG在外游走拉开空间让七尺的Mcgee轻松 空切，Randolph跟不上帕帅让他有足够的空间传球给Mcgee灌篮。 帕帅在小前锋位置上的控球是很多队伍在防守端上难以对付的，而且大部分队伍 在进攻端也很少有像Dirk这种只要站着就能帮队友拉开空间的Stretch-4。 这两个组合在一起造就了很有破坏性的进攻。 帕帅回归先发并且连三场打超过34分钟，代表他已经可以正常的出赛了。 http://imgur.com/1uKZN6M ALL ABOUT PACE 关於PACE Earlier in the season, the Mavericks were playing faaaaast. In fairness, so wa s the rest of the league. But somewhere in the last 15-20 games, Dallas has really slowed it down, and the offensive efficiency has improved. Correlation doesn’t always imply causation — especially when Parsons is working his way back into the rotation, which certainly helps the offense — but it’s something worth thinking about. Here’s how pace has related to the team’s offensive rating in each third of the season so far. 季初的小牛PACE非常快，联盟中其他球队也是。但最近15到20场比赛小牛慢下 来了，进攻效率却不降反昇。PACE和进攻效率的升降趋势并不一定代表绝对的 因果关系，尤其还要考虑到帕帅最近正在找回比赛状态并帮助球队的进攻。 下图是本季目前小牛PACE和进攻效率的关系图。 http://imgur.com/NV8WAWP Although the Mavs are playing 4.1 fewer possessions per game in the last 11 th an they did in the first 10, Dallas is scoring 5.7 more points per 100 possession s than then. What’s more, Dallas is scoring 104.3 points per game in games 21-3 1 as opposed to the 101.7 it averaged in games 1-10 and the 99.4 it averaged in games 11-20. 虽然21~31这11场比赛小牛队场均比季初前十场少打了4.1回合，但每100回合得分 多出了5.7分。21-31平均得分是104.3，1-10平均得101.7分，11-20平均99.4。 How does pace tie into this? Part of it has to do with turnovers: The more you turn it over, the higher the pace will be, because giveaways usually lead to fast breaks. The Mavs have done a much better job of limiting catastrophic turnovers in the last few weeks, even committing a franchise-tying mark of jus t 4 giveaways in Monday’s win against Milwaukee. Secondly, the Mavericks are working to find better shots instead of settling for something easy. That’s something that’s a little more difficult to quantify, but we’ll get to it. It could also have something to do with the opponents, as the Mavs played a very East-heavy schedule in the last 11 games, and generally the East tends to play slower than the West. No matter the case, there’s some evidence to suggest that slowing it down could actually help the Mavs continue to heat up. 所以这样的趋势是因为什麽造成的？有部分原因是因为失误。失误越多会造成PACE 越快，因为失误常造成对方的快攻，也就会多算一回合。最近几周小牛队在控制低 级失误上做得更好了，甚至在上一场对公鹿的比赛只有4失误，平队史纪录。再者， 小牛致力於在场上找到更好的出手选择。这是比较难量化的，但後面会解释。最後， 对手也会影响PACE，最近11场中东区球队比例偏高，而这季东区整体的PACE比西 区低，不管怎样，有些证据证明慢下来帮助小牛状态回温。 JUMPERS, JUMPERS EVERYWHERE 处处是跳投 Perhaps the biggest reason Dallas has turned the offense around is jump shots are simply starting to fall. The Mavericks have hit 39.3 percent of their three-pointers in the last 11 games, averaging 12.1 treys per contest. When yo u can achieve a high volume of makes while doing it efficiently, the offense is usually going to surge. 小牛进攻变好的最大原因可能就只是因为投篮开始投进了：最近十一场三分命中 率39.3%、场均12.1颗三分。量大而质精的三分通常都能让进攻提升。 Deeper than that, though, is the reason why those shots are falling. Through the first 20 games of the season, just 23.6 percent of the Mavs’ jump shots were what the team considers to be “open” attempts. SportVU, for example, considers a jump shot “wide-open” when the closest defender is 6+ feet away from the shooter, but the Mavs calculate it a little differently. (Sometimes, a defender might be far away but the shot is still not really open due to circumstances or timing of the shot, and the opposite can even be true.) In the last 11 games, however, 36.4 percent of the Mavs’ jumpers have been what the team considers open. That’s an enormous leap. 季初的前20场比赛，只有23.6%的跳投是小牛队认为的”空档”出手。根据SportVU， 空档是防守者距离6尺以上，而小牛队的算法是加上了比赛情形，像是防守者离更远 但外在环境影响出手（像是进攻时间将要结束）或是防守者离比较近但外在环境 适合出手。然而最近11场空挡出手比例大幅上升到36.4%。 Some of that has to do with Parsons’ playmaking ability in the pick-and-roll, some of that has to do with Nowitzki’s floor-spacing ability, and some of it has to do with the team’s guard play. For example, in the last 11 games the Mavericks are shooting 47.0 percent on 6.0 three-point attempts per game following a Raymond Felton pass, per SportVU, and the Mavs are converting 40 percent or better on passes from five of Felton’s teammates, as well. When Dirk Nowitzki is your seventh-best three-point shooter over any extended period of time, you know your team is cooking. Some of it could be fluky or streaky shooting, sure, but considering the Mavericks are getting more legitimately open shots, it’s no surprise that the percentages are where they are. Much of it has to do with excellent ball movement like this: 原因可能就如上述的帕帅控球和Dirk拉开空间的能力，也有可能是因为後卫群的表现。 举例来说，最近11场比赛小牛球员们受到Ray Ray助攻後的场均6.0颗三分球有47.0% 的命中率。除了RayRay还有另外五名球员的传球能造成40%以上的三分命中率。当 Dirk成为对上第七名的三分手，这个队伍将会非常火烫。 整体而言，合理的出手提升了命中率。而这大部份归因於良好的传导，像是： http://imgur.com/F5K5EgA http://imgur.com/LkdKCOy If the Mavs can keep working the clock and moving the ball to find shots like this, the rest of the season is going to be pretty fun. 如果小牛继续保持在进攻时间内用球的流动找到最好的出手，剩下的赛季将会变得 非常有趣。 其他 Dirk Nowitzki passed Shaquille O’Neal last week for sixth place on the NBA’s all-time scoring list. Next up: Wilt Chamberlain. Some day we’re all going to sit back and find it hard to believe that we got to witness the career of one of the greatest players to ever set foot on the hardwood. Oh, and he’s still not finished yet, either. Dirk上周超越大欧在历史总得分排行独据第六。下一个目标是Chamberlain。 有天我们将会回首然後很难相信我们见证了联盟历史上最伟大球员之一的生涯。 喔对了，现在他的生涯还没结束。 J.J. Barea had back-to-back 25-plus point games for the first time in his career, scoring 32 points in a huge win in Brooklyn and then pouring in 26 against Chicago a few nights later. He’s been starting in Deron Williams’ stead while the point guard recovers from a strained hamstring. He shouldn’t be out much longer, but it’s got to be awfully nice to have Barea playing so well. It means that the Mavs won’t feel overwhelming pressure to rush their starting 1 back until they’re sure he’s ready. Barea生涯第一次连续两场得分25+：对篮网的32分和公牛的26分。他顶替腿伤 的D-Will上场。Barea的好表现让小牛可以安心的让D-Will养伤一直到确认他的 状态完全回复。 We’re beginning to see more minutes for JaVale McGee in the main rotation, an d it hasn’t taken long for him to show what he’s got. In one sequence against Milwaukee, for example, McGee threw down a dunk on the offensive end, conteste d a three-point shooter into a jump pass that resulted in a steal, and then the center leaked out on the fast break, caught the pass in stride, and dribbled the rest of the way for a breakaway dunk. There aren’t many centers in the league athletic enough to make those plays over the course of an entire game, let alone back-to-back-to-back within a span of 20 seconds. He and Parsons have already developed a nice bit of chemistry in the pick-and-roll game, as well. He’s got a very high ceiling at the backup center spot, so keep your eye on that moving forward. Mcgee看起来正在慢慢打入轮替中，而他也已经展现出他的能力。在对公鹿的比赛 中，McGee灌篮後在防守端迫使三分射手跳起传球最後失误，随即接获传球快攻灌 篮。联盟中很少有如此运动能力的中锋能够像这样在20秒之内做到连续三回合攻防 转换的表现。他和帕帅也在玩P&R中培养出良好的化学效应。他是一个天花板很高 的替补中锋，值得继续观察。 ======================================================== 在小牛FB看到这系列的文章，最近终於有时间翻了，近几场表现都还算不错， 明天要开启之後比较艰难的赛程，希望能有好的结果！ 话说还算蛮常看到一些帕帅的数据显示他对球队帮助很大，记得上一季也有说他得分超过 几分小牛胜率很高之类的分析。虽然最近对她有点失去信心，但不管这季结束之後留不留 都还是希望他能打出好表现！ 总之 Let's go Mavs! --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 36.224.48.169 ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Mavericks/M.1451487615.A.DAE.html 感谢!! 笔误太严重啦XD ※ 编辑: febulous2011 (223.143.227.105), 12/31/2015 07:29:11