※ [本文转录自 NBA 看板 #1ET4uFst ] 作者: sampsonlu919 (父亲，愿你安息) 看板: NBA 标题: [新闻] ESPN解读西南魔鬼赛区 马刺已老灰熊生猛 时间: Sat Sep 17 15:36:44 2011 网址来源：http://www.espnstar.com.tw/news/basketball/2011/0917/215089.htm ESPN解读西南魔鬼赛区 马刺已老灰熊生猛 说到西南赛区，这可能是联盟中竞争最激烈的地方了。不但有卫冕冠军小牛，以及老牌 劲旅马刺，还有新贵生力军灰熊。那麽，在ESPN看来，这个赛区的新赛季又会呈现出 什麽样的精彩呢？ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Over/Under: Southwest Division http://tinyurl.com/3zc9ndd 注:ESPN的编辑这次给球评三个选项,Over表示不仅有达到目标甚至超越, Push代表刚好,Under明显就是没达成目标 1、新赛季小牛能杀入西区决赛吗？ The Mavs reach the Western Conference finals Note: Over means they reach the NBA Finals. Under means they do not reach the West finals. Push means they lose in the West finals. 皮特森 Rob Peterson, Hardwood Paroxysm网站球评 Under. As much as the Mavs captured (most) everyone's hearts in the Finals, I believe they will suffer from a bit of a championship hangover. Plus, they're getting a bit long in the tooth. How much do they have left in the tank? Will they be hungry? I'm thinking it will be Lakers and Thunder in the West finals. 不太可能，我觉得小牛在坚持这麽久之後夺冠，可能反而会有一些消极的冠军後遗症 影响。而且，他们太老了，还剩下多少能耐呢？他们还有对总冠军如饥似渴的需求吗？ 新赛季会出现在西区决赛的，应该会是湖人和雷霆。 帕尔默 Chris Palmer, ESPN The Magazine Push. The Mavs' miracle run to capture their first title was impressive on many levels. But nearly as impressive were the strides the young guns from Oklahoma City made. This season the Thunder will take the next step and represent the West in the Finals by toppling the Mavs in the conference finals. Sure Dallas will have Caron Butler in the mix but it won't make much of a difference against an OKC team that's a year wiser and dying to erase the sting from last season's loss to Dallas. 能进入西区决赛，但小牛在上赛季带来的惊喜实际上并不比雷霆更多，所以新赛季小牛 会杀入西区决赛，但最终代表西区出征总决赛的还会是雷霆。 麦克内尔 Andrew McNeil, 马刺网站48 Minutes of Hell球评 Push. The chances of Dallas making the NBA Finals again are slim, in my opinion, but I don't think any Western Conference contender improved itself enough through the draft or trades to keep the Mavs or Thunder from the West finals. 能进入，但也仅此而已，小牛不太可能再度杀入总决赛。要我说的话，在西区决赛中 干掉小牛的会是雷霆。 格蒂安 Graydon Gordian, 马刺网站48 Minutes of Hell球评 Push. The Mavs are that peculiar breed of team that could lose in the first round or win another title. But I think they've got enough left in the tank to make it back to the West finals, where an up-and-comer will emerge as a true contender and knock the Mavs off. 小牛能进西区决赛，然後输给对手。小牛是很特别的球队，他们可以出乎意料地夺得 总冠军，也能让人意外地首轮就被淘汰。以他们目前的实力而言，进入西区决赛问题 不大，但搞定对手不太可能。 迪福 Justin DeFeo, 篮网网站Nets Are Scorching球评 Under. Last season, the Mavericks had one of the more improbable runs in playoff history, so don't expect a repeat. They still have Dirk, but with another season on the knees of aging veterans like Jason Kidd and Shawn Marion, and with improving rosters in Oklahoma City and Memphis, the road to the Western Conference finals will be much tougher this time around. 进不了，上赛季小牛的成功多少是有些意外的，别指望他们能再来一遍。诺威斯基(Dirk Nowitzki)的确彪悍，但基德(Jason Kidd)和马里昂(Shawn Marion)这些家伙也的确更老 了。相对比来说，雷霆和灰熊可都是一直在进步，并且更年轻。 2、新赛季灰熊能拿到50胜吗？ 50 wins for the Grizzlies in 2011-12 皮特森： Over. Adding Rudy Gay back into the mix may take some time, but after their impressive run in the postseason, you have to believe they have the pieces and the desire to get to 50. 能，特别是在盖伊(Rudy Gay)回归之後，灰熊有足够的实力和慾望去拿到50+胜场。 帕尔默： Over. They won 46 with their second-leading scorer, Rudy Gay, playing only 54 games. Much like the Thunder, this is another relatively young team on the rise with the ability to out-gun opponents. With the continued development of Marc Gasol and Mike Conley, they've got a quality player at every position. 能，上赛季在队中第二号得分手(盖伊)缺席下半季下他们就拿到了46胜。灰熊和雷霆 一样，都是年轻球队且实力很强，他们每一个位置上都有不错的配备。 麦克内尔： Tentative over. Assuming the Grizzlies aren't hurt too much by free agency when it begins, there's a lot of talent on this roster, young talent. 应该可以，他们的阵容太有天赋了。 格蒂安： Over. This young Grizzlies team, beaming with newfound confidence, is going to have a great year. They played so well in the playoffs that many people forget that they were doing so without Rudy Gay, arguably their best player. They will reach 50 wins easily. 没问题，灰熊的新赛季会非常值得期待，他们上赛季的表现让人过目不忘，但别忘了， 盖伊可是不在阵中的。50胜对灰熊来说，是个轻松的任务。 迪福： Over. 50 wins is only a four-game improvement from the 2010-11 regular season -- an easy task for a team with renewed confidence after its recent playoff success. Better still, the Grizzlies will return Rudy Gay to their already- improving roster. 容易，50胜对灰熊来说就等於进步了四场而已，拥有加索尔(Marc Gasol)和康利(Mike Conley)，再加上回归的盖伊，这实在不是一个多难的挑战。 3、保罗能为黄蜂全勤吗？ 82 more games played in New Orleans for Chris Paul 皮特森： Under. Considering he's never played 82 in his career, I'll stay with the safe prediction. As for sticking around the Crescent City after the trade deadline, Paul is in the last year of his deal. Like the Nuggets with Melo, would the Hornets want to get something for Paul before he's a free agent? That would be the smart play. 不能，搞不好保罗会像安东尼(Carmelo Anthony)一样，在合约最後一年被送走。 帕尔默：Under. Things aren't exactly looking as bright as they could be in New Orleans. You gotta feel sorry for Paul having to constantly be in a situation defined by discord, turmoil and uncertainty. His desire to play for a winner or help build one in New York is well known. 不能，保罗是一心想获胜的，在黄蜂他实现不了这个愿望，很可能他会被球队拿去 交易。 麦克内尔:Over He's a fiery, competitive guy out on the court. Few superstars take offense with losing as much as him. I see him sticking around in New Orleans for a while. 能，保罗在球场上向来很有竞争慾望，联盟巨星中也就数他输的球比较多。新赛季的 保罗，肯定想带领黄蜂重新来过。 格蒂安：Under Will the Hornets realize that Paul is leaving town either way and try to get value back for him in a trade? 不能，黄蜂难道不知道保罗想走人吗？与其这样，黄蜂不如用保罗来做交易。 迪福：Under It's clear the landscape of the league is shifting, leaving Chris Paul with no other choice but to join forces with another star in order to compete for a championship. 不能，从联盟现在的趋势看，巨头抱团是主流，保罗也不例外。 so next season will be Paul's last there 新赛季，将是保罗为黄蜂效力的最後一年。 4、马刺新赛季能拿到55胜吗？ 55 wins for the Spurs next season 皮特森：不能(Under) Though, every time I think the Spurs will slide, they prove me wrong. Last season, they proved everyone wrong. I don't think they have another 55-win campaign in them. No one manages his players' minutes as well as Gregg Popovich, but not even he can make Tim Duncan or Manu Ginobili young again. They've had their time. 每一次我认为马刺要完蛋的时候，他们总让我意外。上赛季，马刺就让所有人大开 眼界，不过我还是觉得邓肯(Tim Duncan)和吉诺比利(Manu Ginobili)已经太老了， 55胜不太可能。 帕尔默：不能(Under) I think it's officially over in San Antonio. The way they got bounced in the first round by Memphis was demoralizing. Age, injuries and now apathy will finally do them in. They may creep to 50 wins but I'm seeing another first-round exit in their very near future, too. 我觉得马刺已经过了巅峰了，年龄和伤病让他们已经无可奈何。新赛季，马刺还会跟 去年一样，杀入季後赛，然後首轮被淘汰。 麦克内尔：非常难(Tough call, I'm going to say under.) A lot of things went right for the Spurs last season up until the latter stages of the regular season, and then a lot of things went wrong. The type of players the Spurs want to bring in won't help them win games in the regular season. 马刺敌不过岁月，所以他们不太能拿到这麽多胜利。 格蒂安：差不多可以(Push) Fifty-five wins sounds about right for a team that, although no longer a contender, will still be formidable. 马刺不太有机会接近总冠军，但55胜对他们倒不是太难。 迪福：不能(Under) With the core of Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker getting older by the day, the Spurs are at the tail end of a dynasty 马刺的核心阵容已经彻底老化，王朝已经结束了。 5、火箭新赛季是不是会继续糟烂？ One more season in lottery before Rockets make playoffs 皮特森：应该会(Push) Losing Yao Ming to retirement won't hurt them. Essentially, he hasn't played for them in two seasons. 姚明退役对火箭倒没有实质性影响，反正过去两年他都没怎麽打球 It's having a new coach and a shortened offseason that will hold them back. They're going to need time to learn Kevin McHale's system, style, manner. 不过，新赛季很可能会缩水，再加上火箭换帅，火箭没有足够的时间。 帕尔默：应该不会(Under) With Kevin McHale in charge of an underrated mix of young talent in Houston, the Rockets are headed in the right direction. The difference? Hasheem Thabeet finally has his breakout year. 火箭的阵容其实一直都被低估了，比如说塔比特(Hasheem Thabeet)，新赛季他应该 会有很大进步。 They'll squeak into the playoffs at the No. 8 spot. So if they're in that logically means somebody from last season is out. I'm looking at you, New Orleans Hornets. 在同区对手中，火箭的实力比黄蜂更强。 麦克内尔：会(Over) I don't think the Rockets improved themselves enough through the draft. What they really need to do is bottom out and get a high lottery pick. They're in NBA purgatory right now, contending for the playoffs and then ending up with a terrible lottery pick. 火箭在选秀大会上几乎一无所获，他们现在的处境犹如炼狱。火箭是会以季後赛为目标 奋斗，但最终他们还是会落入乐透区。 格蒂安：会(Over) Although the Rockets have plenty of young talent, and could easily make the playoffs this coming season, it will take a couple of years to fill the hole left by Yao Ming's retirement. Until they can get their hands on a true franchise player, they'll be just outside the playoff pack. 火箭有很多年轻球员，但姚明退役的空缺没几年是填补不了的。所以，在得到真正的 核心球员之前，火箭只能在乐透区混。 迪福：会(Over) I'd expect the Rockets to again be in the playoff hunt in the Western Conference. But with a roster filled with relatively unproven players (outside of Luis Scola) and a new coach, there are still too many question marks to say Houston will make the playoffs next season. This team still feels at least a year away. 我个人很希望火箭能杀入季後赛，但客观地说，他们现在的这套阵容不足以挤入季後赛 。这支球队，至少还需要一年的时间成长。 (责任编辑：一线战斗） ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 心得或短评： ESPN的东南组分析也已经推出了 中文版:http://tinyurl.com/44nf9bp 英文版:http://tinyurl.com/3gbamq3 不过不难看出中文编辑其实是有点偏心的,因为他只有翻译人气比较高的 魔术与热火两队 --

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