刚刚看了今天比赛的Highlight与板上的推文，不禁让人有感而发，假使昨天的比赛 八局下派出今天的RP阵容，而不是让Gray硬去偷局数，结局会不会有所不同呢？ 虽然这样推断太结果论了，但是Ron Washington昨天所做的决定与之前基袜3连战 最後一场Terry Francona的调度是类似的，这表现出了一个优秀Manager对於自己 球员状况的了解与信任，还有就是他们的智慧。 RP的调度，基本上来说就是落後时控制失分，领先时保持差距，昨天Rangers的RP群 接力封锁住我们的打线，相信大家记忆犹新。而球队里的CL也可以视作RP群中的王牌 ，重要性不亚於SP群的ACE，通常都是在球队小幅领先战情吃紧具有SVO的条件下登版。 基袜的那场与昨天这场比赛，让我们看到Washington与Francona的另类用法，这也是 许多棒球专栏作家多年所争议的议题，CL到底是该放到最後领先再用，还是战情最吃 紧的时候用，因为这就像是赌博，需要运气的。 就以基袜的第三场来说，9上当洋基进攻时，洋基还以2:1领先红袜，但Francona却派 出Papelbon去冻结比分继续拉大，通常落後时派CL上场是不合常理的，谁能保证自己 球队下个半局一定能得分了？结果是让他赌到了MO的BS与Josh Reddick的walked off。 同样的情况也发生在昨天，当7下Kinsler敲了Lueke一发两分弹Washington马上把他们 现任的setup man:Adams给派上来冻结比分。可是当时条子还以5：6落後我们，之後的 发展大家都很清楚，今天要不是7局Wells那支带有一点运气成分的安打，按照ai所描述 Wedge的说法，说不定还是不会上League，再看Washington今天所排出来的RP： 上原→Adams→Feliz，这完全是要拿下比赛的阵容嘛，幸好Kinsler手下留情，不连续 两天来给我们walked off，不然真的大有机率会被Sweep掉。讲了那麽多落落长的离题 话，重点只是要推最後一句。 ~ Wedge sucks ~ 回到正题，Robinson今天的这支二垒安打是他本季（ML生涯）的第2支长打，上一支 是8/6对猴子第二场敲的HR，这篇是他在7/31交易前还在道奇的介绍文，原本只是腿 弟一个，後来长出了Power，变成一个有腿的小管炮，大家看看吧。 Prospect of the Day: Trayvon Robinson, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers prospect Trayvon Robinson is having a terrific campaign in Triple-A Is this is a Pacific Coast League/Albuquerque illusion? Trayvon Robinson was drafted by the Dodgers in the 10th round in 2005, from Crenshaw High School in Los Angeles. He was quite raw when drafted and didn't get out of rookie ball until 2007, when he hit .253/.314/.311 in 110 games for Great Lakes in the Midwest League. This was weak performance, although he did steal 22 bases. Moved up to Inland Empire in the California League in '08, he hit .276/.328/.385 with 22 steals, then returned to the same team in '09 and improved substantially, hitting .306/.376/.500 with 43 steals and 15 homers. Robinson spent 2010 with Double-A Chattanooga, hitting .300/.404/.438 with nine homers, 73 walks, 38 steals, and 125 strikeouts in 434 at-bats. In 95 games for Triple-A Albuquerque this year, Robinson is hitting .303/.380/.584 with 26 homers, 43 walks, and 113 strikeouts in 353 at-bats. Overall in his career, he's a .285/.359/.438 hitter. A 5-10, 200 pound switch-hitter, Robinson was a speedster with little power earlier in his career. His power output has steadily improved, although the 26 homers his year looks somewhat fluky to me, given that he's hit just nine doubles. Albuquerque is a great place to hit, but his home/road splits are almost even: .974 OPS at home, .952 on the road, so the home park isn't completely responsible for this. The PCL itself is great for hitting in general, of course, so the entire context itself has some inflation involved. Applying an Major League Equivalent translation to his numbers gives us an approximate .240/.310/.430 line slash line playing in Dodger Stadium and the National League. Robinson has good bat speed from both sides of the plate, but is aggressive and strikes out frequently. He'll take walks and knows how to work a count, but scouts say he sometimes sells out his hitting approach for power, which has worked in Triple-A but might cause problems once major league pitchers see him a few times. Although he's stolen just eight bases this year, he has plus speed. His technique still needs some refinement, but he should get into double-digit steals in the majors if given the green light often enough. His arm is below average, but he has enough range to handle center field and is even more effective when used in left field. Robinson's power/speed combination is highly intriguing, but if the MLE translation listed above is remotely accurate, we shouldn't expect him to replicate the .300 batting average at the major league level, at least in the short run. He is still just 23 years old, and given the great improvement in his skills over the last four years, I think Robinson has a good chance to make the necessary adjustments for major league success. -- 欲知前世因，今生受的是；欲知来世果，今生作的事。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 210.240.176.185 A大所言也有道理可循，只不过我并不这麽认为，因为就算逆转是运气好赌到了， 这也要看你拿什麽牌出来赌，因为在相同的情况下，Wedge就不会出他手中的王牌 League去冻结比分。我是认为从此点可以看出一个教练对於胜利的执着，以及对於 球员能力的了解与信任。而这种气氛是会感染到球员身上的，让他们相信自己球队 是有能力去逆转任何比赛的。所以Francona为何在9上时不派同样休息差不多天数的 Randy Williams及Andrew Miller，就是因为他相信球员有逆转的可能，他觉得应该 要赌这一局，打出他的王牌去搏MO最後BS的可能性。当成功後，他也不会要CL硬多撑 一局，赶紧换上前一天有出赛的Daniel Bard再去冻结比分，赌到了最後的胜利。 这种情形，我好像从来没看到Wedge在水手用过，不知道是不是他太缺乏信心的缘故 ，反正不到领先不上League这铁则似乎没破过。 ※ 编辑: fox391823 来自: 210.240.176.185 (08/15 10:17)