作者zxc906383 (无无)
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标题Fw: [情报] 从建队基石变成四号外野的国民Dylan Crews
时间Wed Jun 10 23:22:42 2026
※ [本文转录自 Baseball 看板 #1gAO4oHi ]
作者: zxc906383 (无无) 看板: Baseball
标题: [情报] 从建队基石变成四号外野的国民Dylan Cre
时间: Wed Jun 10 23:22:23 2026
https://reurl.cc/7E13mb
Back in 2023, it seemed like the Washington Nationals drafted the future face of
their franchise when they selected LSU star outfielder Dylan Crews at pick No.
2.
2023年时,当国民以第二顺位选进来自LSU的明星外野手Dylan Crews时,外界普遍认为国民
队选中了未来的球队门面
Crews was the total package coming out of college. He had a storied prep career
where he played for USA Baseball twice and won a gold medal on the 18U team. He
then lived up to the hype at LSU where he won the Golden Spikes Award during his
final season while winning the College World Series as the team's best all-arou
nd player. He could hit, field, run and throw exceptionally well, and it appeare
d like he was a true "can't-miss" prospect.
Crews在大学毕业时可说是具备一切条件的完整型球员,他的高中生涯相当辉煌,曾两度入
选美国国家代表队,并随18U国家队夺得金牌,之後他在LSU也不负众望,最後一个赛季获得
金靴奖,并以队中最全面球员的身分率队夺下CWS冠军,他的打击、守备、跑垒与传球
能力都极为出色,看起来就是那种「绝对不会失败」的顶级新秀
But he has struggled as a professional, let alone as a big league player. Not on
ly has Crews been a massive disappointment compared to his lofty superstar expec
tations, but there is a real worry that he might be considered one of the bigges
t busts of all time if things don't get turned around soon.
然而进入职业体系後,他的发展并不顺利,更别说是在大联盟的表现了,Crews不仅远远未
达外界对超级巨星的期待,甚至有人开始担心,如果他无法尽快扭转局面,未来可能会被视
为史上最令人失望的新秀之一
Currently Profiling as a Fourth Outfielder
目前的定位更像是第四号外野手
The Crews conundrum continues to baffle analysts and evaluators alike. Dave Scho
enfield of ESPN is the latest one share his thoughts about the situation, and
what he wrote about Crews in his latest piece that evaluates former top prospec
ts at this stage of their careers is concerning.
Crews的困境至今仍让分析师与球探评估人员感到困惑,来自ESPN的Dave Schoenfield是最
新一位对此发表看法的人,而他在最近一篇评估昔日顶级新秀现阶段发展状况的文章中,对
Crews的评语相当令人担忧
"This has been one of the most surprising developments in recent years, as Crews
projected as one of the most polished, ready-for-the-majors college hitters in
a long time. He just hasn't hit as expected. ... Crews can run and has played go
od defense, but right now he's profiling as a fourth outfielder instead of the f
oundational player the Nationals expected when they drafted him," he wrote.
他写道:
「这是近年来最令人意外的发展之一,因为Crews原本被认为是近年最成熟、最具备立即升
上大联盟能力的大学打者之一,但他的打击表现始终没有达到预期……Crews有速度,也有
不错的防守能力,但目前看起来,他更像是一名四号外野手,而不是国民队当初选秀时所期
待的建队核心球员」
It goes without saying that's a massive disappointment. When he was drafted, the
Nationals believed they were getting a future multi-time All-Star. And based on
the way he had played up to that point in his career, there was no reason to th
ink that wouldn't be the case.
毫无疑问,这样的结果令人非常失望,当国民队选中他时,球队相信自己得到的是一位未来
能多次入选明星赛的球员,而根据他当时一路以来的表现,也确实没有任何理由怀疑他做不
到这一点
But now, even after putting him in Triple-A at the start of this season to have
him work on things, he has returned to the majors and has slashed just .208/.255
/.292 with an OPS+ that is 44 points below the league average mark of 100.
然而本季开始时,即使球队先将他下放3A调整状态,他重返大联盟後的成绩依然只有 .208/
.255/.292,而OPS+更是只有56,比联盟平均值100低了44个百分点
This Could Just Be What Dylan Crews Is in the Majors
这或许就是Crews在大联盟的真实样貌
The biggest cause for concern is the fact that there are a bunch of little thing
s he can improve upon, but it's not a certainty that those will elevate his game
and turn him into a star at this level.
最令人担忧的是,他确实还有许多小细节可以改善,但没有人能保证这些调整足以让他的表
现提升到明星球员的等级
For example, he strikes out 22.2% of the time, which is right below the league a
verage mark. His chase rate is just above league average and his in-zone contact
percentage is league average. He even has a higher exit velocity and hard-hit r
ate than average, yet he continues to be a well below average hitter in the MLB.
例如他的三振率为22.2%,略优於联盟平均水准;追打率仅略高於联盟平均,而好球带内击
球率则与联盟平均相当,他甚至拥有高於平均值的击球初速与强劲击球率,但最终仍是一名
远低於联盟平均水准的打者
One thing that would potentially help him is to elevate the ball more often. He
hits grounders 52.4% of the time, which is something that they tried to remedy d
own in Triple-A. Unfortunately, things haven't clicked for him this year just ye
t, as his ground-ball rate is 55.3% through 13 games.
其中一项可能帮助他的调整,是提高击球仰角、减少滚地球,他有52.4%的击球是滚地球,
这也是球队在3A期间试图改善的问题,然而截至目前为止,这项调整仍未见成效,因为他在
本季前13场比赛的滚地球率甚至高达55.3%
It's hard to give up on Crews, though. He's just 24 years old and has a pedigree
that is difficult to ignore. But so far, he hasn't pieced everything together i
n The Show, and that continues to baffle people.
尽管如此,现在就对Crews失去信心仍然很困难,毕竟他才24岁,而且拥有极其耀眼的业余
与大学资历,不过到目前为止,他仍未能在大联盟将所有天赋整合并转化为实际成绩,而这
也持续让许多人感到困惑
Dylan Crews
2023年大联盟选秀榜眼
签约金900万美金
LSU双雄(Paul Skenes & Dylan Crews)
https://i.imgur.com/O5y9lQ7.jpeg
但进入职业後目前表现蛮掉漆的
MLB成绩
2024 22岁 31G 132PA 3HR wRC+80 fWAR 0.5
2025 23岁 85G 322PA 10HR wRC+77 fWAR 0.2
2026 24岁 18G 71PA 2HR wRC+48 fWAR -0.2
3A成绩
2024 22岁 wRC+106
2025 23岁 wRC+92
2026 24岁 wRC+103
https://i.imgur.com/oXZ1Yp9.jpeg
https://i.imgur.com/wkEZI1g.jpeg
NCAA最後一年
71G 344PA .426//.567/.713 18HR OPS 1.280
https://i.imgur.com/rCHX0K7.jpeg
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 1.162.26.28 (台湾)
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Baseball/M.1781104946.A.46C.html
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
※ 转录者: zxc906383 (1.162.26.28 台湾), 06/10/2026 23:22:42
※ 编辑: zxc906383 (1.162.26.28 台湾), 06/10/2026 23:24:10
1F:→ choobii: 屠杀大学的打者应该是风险最低的 可惜刚好抽到鬼牌06/10 23:24
※ 编辑: zxc906383 (1.162.26.28 台湾), 06/10/2026 23:27:58
2F:推 Scherzer31: 才24岁也没啥好失望的 只能说同梯的Skenes对比下显得C 06/10 23:28
3F:→ Scherzer31: rews很差 06/10 23:28
4F:→ ashilol: 给酒人修一下保证兑现天赋 06/10 23:30
5F:→ saidon: 大物变大误 06/10 23:55
6F:→ laking: 没想到跟Skenes的职业道路差好多 06/11 00:24
7F:→ JustinIdiot: 其实他大学的时候就有三振过多和滚地太多的隐忧 这也 06/11 02:29
8F:→ JustinIdiot: 是为什麽海盗当初放弃他选了Skenes 06/11 02:29
9F:→ AHEAD099: 23同梯甚至22前10顺位好几个大物还没摸到MLB 急啥 06/11 04:39
10F:→ JustinIdiot: 那年选秀前五顺位都被认为是状元等级的新秀 3个大学 06/11 06:36
11F:→ JustinIdiot: 生都已经打滚一段时间了 两个高中生也都在新秀排行 06/11 06:36
12F:→ JustinIdiot: 中排在10左右或更前面一点的位置 06/11 06:36
13F:推 vg175: 他现在抢CF还真的抢不过Jacob Young 06/11 07:11
14F:推 aborwang: 应该还有修好的机会,毕竟不是完全打不到球 06/11 07:41
15F:推 nuggets0916: 24岁其实也差不多到该兑现的年纪了 06/11 10:31
16F:推 sunnyyoung: 换个队吧 06/11 14:56
17F:推 cenwandino: 其实她可以参考Bleday 一样是成熟度高的新秀结果这两 06/11 19:23
18F:→ cenwandino: 年才开始破茧而出 06/11 19:23
19F:推 skatekid: James wood 强多了 左打的法官 06/11 23:50
20F:推 ShockHo222: 还好海盗选对人 06/12 09:14