※ 引述《abc12812 ()》之铭言： : http://tinyurl.com/25ybkq 不配使用说明书太说不过去了XD – These values are projected based on recent past performance. 价值的估算是奠基於过去的表现 – The estimates account for aging and league revenue growth. 有考虑年纪和联盟收入的成长 – These values are just for 2011. Over a longer term, value will diminish with age, but increase with revenue growth. Revenue growth is stronger than aging decline; therefore, even as players age their value tends to increase. If a player signs a five-year contract, he will typically get more than five-times the value projected in 2011. 这些价值只适用2011，长期来说球员价值随着年纪会降低，但是因为联盟的收入会成长 （Bernanke表示：让我证明你是错的！），造成的增值大过年纪造成的贬值。 因此即使球员变老了他们的价值还是会增加。 如果一个球员签下五年合约，大致而言他的真实价值会超过2011这个价值的五倍 （例如Huff的估算价值是11M，拿到22M/2yrs的合约，实际上球团是赚到的，因为 他在2012年的价值不止11M） – Values assume the player signs with an average team. Players who sign with winning teams are worth considerably more than their value to an average team. Example: Clill Lee is worth nearly $10 million/year more to a top team than an average team. 这个价值是假设签约对象是平均水准的球队，对於赢球的球队而言，这个价值要往上修 举例来说，Cliff Lee对强队的价值高过这个价值10M/year -- 他没有把计算方法列出来，下面的回覆留言JC说他估算腊肉哥值9.5M(?!) -- My Blog，关於诚泰Cobras、NY Yankees与棒球数据 http://atlyankees.blogspot.com/ --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 67.240.191.113 ※ 编辑: nickyang 来自: 67.240.191.113 (12/09 10:38)