While Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens continue to make news for off-field transgressions, it's becoming more and more obvious they won't be performing on a baseball field near you anytime soon. I get that. The problem with them is they don't merely bring considerable skills to the table, but distraction as well. 当Barry Bonds与Roger Clemens持续因球场外的事情而制造新闻时，很明显的，他们在短 期内无法回到球场在你面前打球了。他们的问题是虽然仍然保持不错的身手，但是却无法全 神贯注在球场上了。 What I don't get is why Kenny Lofton hasn't found work. Sure, the guy is 40 years old and not quite as fast as he used to be, but we all slow down at some point. For what he does, Lofton was really quite productive in 2007, on par with the other unemployed stars, as he continued to make the rounds with as many major league teams as possible. He can steal bases. He can play defense. And most importantly, he can still get on base. 我所无法理解的是为何Kenny Loften还没找到工作。当然，他已经40岁了，速度也不像以 往那麽快了，我们也都会有速度变慢的时候。当他持续游走於大联盟各队之时，和其他同 样没有工作的球星相比，Kenny Loften在2007年球季的成绩仍然相当不错。他能盗垒，能 防守，最重要的是他能够上垒。 You would be surprised at how many teams could use someone like this. For the record, the major league average for on-base percentage by leadoff hitters in 2007 was .345, a bit higher than that in the AL, a tad lower in the NL. No team finished the season with a sub-.300 OBP from its leadoff men, with Washington and Houston bringing up the rear at .308 and .309, respectively. That's bad, folks. It's so bad that the middle-of-the-order hitters on those teams who didn't accrue the RBIs you might have expected, like Ryan Zimmerman and Lance Berkman for starters, should get some sort of pass. 你将会很惊讶有多少支球队能有像Lofton这样的球员。依纪录而言，2007年球季大联盟第 一棒打者的平均上垒率是.345，美联的成绩稍高於这个数字，国联则稍低。没有一支球队 的开路先锋上垒率不到3成，但是其中华盛顿国民队与休士顿太空人队的开路先锋只分别 打出了.308与.309的上垒率。真是遭透了。你应该已经能预期这些球队的中心打者将无法 打回多少打点，像Ryan Zimmerman与Lance Berkman应该要能有多一些的打点机会。 This season there are seven teams currently floundering with a leadoff on-base percentage on the wrong side of .308, and these teams could use some help. Give Kenny a call! As not just a fantasy baseball owner, but a baseball fan and a simulation league player, I can tell you it's a lot harder to score runs when the leadoff men aren't on base. A great example of how this affects fantasy baseball is what Derrek Lee did for the Cubs in 2005. Lee hit 46 home runs that season, added 50 doubles, slugged a monstrous .662 and finished merely third in the MVP voting behind Albert Pujols and Andruw Jones (51 homers) because he knocked in a "paltry" 107 runs. Andruw Jones beat him out? It was the RBI total, I'm convinced. Lee should have had about 150, but Cubs leadoff men had an embarrassing .299 on-base percentage, thanks to Dusty Baker forcing Corey Patterson, Jerry Hairston Jr. and Neifi Perez into the top spot in the lineup. Hmm, aren't a few of those guys in Baker's current lineup? Meanwhile, I owned Lee the following season on a simulation team, gave him numerous on-base specialists at the top of the order, and he set that league's record with 201 RBIs! What a season! 今年球季目前还有七支球队的第一棒打者上垒率不到.308，这些球队可以找些帮手。打电 话给Kenny吧!身为Fantasy Baseball玩家，球迷，虚拟联盟玩家，我可以告诉你当第一棒 打者无法上垒时，想要得分就变得很困难。2005年球季，小熊队的Derek Lee就是一个最 好的例子。该球季Lee轰出了46支全垒打，再加上50支二垒安打与恐怖的.662长打率 ，但 是却在MVP票选中排在Albert Pujols与Andruw Jones(51支全垒打)之後，屈居第三。因为 他只打下了"仅仅"107分打点。Andruw Jones为何能打败他呢?我确信是打点的关系。Lee 应该能有150分打点，但是小熊队的第一棒打者只有令人感到难为情的.299上垒率，这都 要感谢 Dusty Baker硬要将Corey Patterson，Jerry Hairston Jr.与Neifi Perez摆在第 一棒。如果这几个家伙不在Baker的打线中呢?接下来的球季我将Lee放进一支模拟球队中 ，并且在前几棒排了几位上垒专家，Lee打出了破联盟纪录的201分打点!真是不可思议! That wouldn't have happened in the majors, of course, but certainly one reason the mercurial Josh Hamilton is on pace for 169 RBIs in 161 games is because the Rangers are putting men on base. Their leadoff hitters are fifth with a .372 OBP, and the No. 2 hitters are eighth. Meanwhile, Matt Holliday of the Rockies is on pace for just 91 RBIs. Blame Willy Taveras (.304 OBP), and his manager Clint Hurdle for sticking with him in the leadoff spot. 这当然不可能在大联盟发生，但是Josh Hamilton被估计能在161场比赛打回169分打点的 原因是游骑兵队的球员能够持续上垒。他们的第一棒打者拥有.372的上垒率，排名第五， 第二棒上垒率则排名第八。同时落矶队的Matt Holliday预估只有91打点，这都要怪 Willy Taveras (.304上垒率)，还有持续将他摆在第一棒的总教练Clint Hurdle。 Not every team lacking a good leadoff hitter is a perfect fit for someone like Lofton, but here are the seven teams in baseball with an embarrassingly low on-base percentage (below .308) from that spot. You tell me it doesn't make sense to sign Lofton. 并不是每一队都缺少像Lofton这样设合担任开路先锋的打者，但是大联盟中有七支球队的 第一棒打者的上垒率低的夸张(低於.308)，你告诉我有什麽理由不签下Lofton? Oakland Athletics: As a team, the A's are actually No. 10 in team OBP, thanks to the Jacks and the Sweeneys. That would be Jack Cust (.434) and Jack Hannahan (.400), as well as Mike Sweeney (.378) and Ryan Sweeney (.343). After that, it's not so pretty. Catcher Kurt Suzuki has more than half the team's plate appearances in the leadoff spot, but let me tell you, it's not working out. His batting average there is .200, his OBP is .265. Travis Buck has posted even worse numbers there. Club leadoff hitters have a .198 batting average and .254 OBP. Look, you signed Frank Thomas to a deal, so you're obviously trying to contend, and you have the pitching to do so. But something must be done about the top of the order. Lofton had a .367 on-base percentage in 2007, and .376 when he was the leadoff hitter, and you have a hole in center field and leadoff. Some catchers have the speed and on-base ability to lead off, but Suzuki isn't one of them. 奥克兰运动家: 运动家队的团队上垒目前排名第十，这都要归功於两位Jack与两位 Sweeney，他们分别是Jack Cust9(.434)与Jack Hannahan(.400)以及Mike Sweeney(.378) 和Ryan Sweeney(.343)，其他人的成绩就没那麽好看了。捕手Kurt Suzuki以第一棒的身 分上场超过球队出赛场次的一半，但是我告诉你这一点也没有用，他的打击率只有.200， 上垒率也只有.265，Travis的成绩则更糟，球队第一棒打者只打出了.198打击率与.254上 垒率。你看!当你和Frank Thomas签下合约时，很显然的你试着让球队更有竞争力，你的 投手群也够力，但是第一棒人选必须做些调整。Lofton在2007年球季有.367的上垒率，担 任第一棒时则为.376，你的中外野与第一棒人选有漏洞，某些捕手也许有速度和上垒能力 ，但是Suzuki并不是那类型的选手。 Houston Astros: The next two teams, ranked Nos. 29 and 28 in leadoff OBP, are going with newcomers in center field, speedsters who might swipe 60 bases apiece. But they can't steal first base. Michael Bourn and Carlos Gomez aren't slow. But they aren't drawing walks, either. Bourn is batting .197 as Houston's leadoff option, with a .272 OBP. He does have 17 steals in as many chances in that spot, so fantasy owners don't seem to care that he should be hitting eighth. Kazuo Matsui, incidentally, isn't much better, and please don't tell me Hunter Pence is the answer. He's talented, has power and speed and is finally taking some walks over the past week or so, but a leadoff hitter he isn't. The Astros won't sit Bourn, so Lofton, who began his 17-year career with Houston before being foolishly dealt to Cleveland with Dave Rohde for Eddie Taubensee and Willie Blair, won't be going there, but right now just about anyone other than Bourn would be a better choice. Despite this, Lance Berkman might knock in 150 runs. 休士顿太空人: 接下来的两支球队上垒率分别排名29与28，他们拥有新的中外野手，这些 有速度的选手也许能盗垒成功60次，但是他们无法盗一垒。Michael Bourn与Carlos Gomez的速度不慢，但是他们无法靠保送上垒。身为太空人队的开路先锋，Bourn的打击率 与上垒率分别为.197与.272，由於他担任第一棒时有 17次盗垒成功的成绩，所以 Fantasy Baseball玩家似乎不在意他应该打第八棒。除此之外，Kazuo Matsui也没有多好 ，但是请别告诉我Hunter Pence是个不错的选择，他有天份，力量与速度，并且终於在过 去一周获得了几次保送，但是他并不是一位合适的首棒人选。由於太空人不会让Bourn坐 板凳，所以从太空人展开17年职业生涯，并在一笔愚蠢的交易中与Dave Rhode被送至印地 安人交换Eddie Taubensee与Willie Blair的Lofton不会再回到太空人队了，但是目前大 概任何人都比Bourn更是第一棒的较佳选择。尽管如此，Lance Berkman仍有可能打回150 分打点。 Minnesota Twins: I thought Gomez was better than Bourn back in March, and I still think so. Gomez isn't drawing walks, either; he's currently on pace for 23 walks and 181 strikeouts. Wow. However, when I watch him play, I see a super-raw 22-year-old, and when I watch Bourn I see a formed Dave Roberts. Gomez is going to get a lot better. He's going to develop power and, like an Alfonso Soriano type, eventually draw some walks. The Twins have nobody getting on base other than Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau. Really, Mauer should be leading off since his slugging percentage is about the same as his on-base percentage, and he has fewer home runs than Brad Ausmus, but the Twins have nobody else to hit second. Why not add Lofton where struggling Jason Kubel and Craig Monroe are eating at-bats? 明尼苏达双城: 我在三月份时就认为Gomez应该会比Bourn表现的更好，我现在仍然这麽认 为。Gomez也无法靠保送上垒，但是当我观察他比赛时，我看到了一位22 岁的超级新人， 但是当我观察Bourn时，我只看到了Dave Roberts这类型的球员。Gomez将有更好的发展， 他的力量将会更加提升，成为像Alfonso Sorian这样的球员，偶而会获得一些保送。除了 Joe Mauer与Justin Mourneau以外，双城队其他球员的上垒率都不佳。当Mauer的长打率 跟上垒率差不多，全垒打比Brad Ausmus少时，真的应该将他排在第一棒，但是双城队就 没有人打第二棒了。为什麽不让Lofton与Jason Kubel和Craig Monroe一同竞争上场机会 呢? Chicago Cubs: This one isn't so easy to solve because Lou Piniella wants Alfonso Soriano to be happy, and Soriano says he's happy only when he's leading off. Center field remains a problem for this team, as Felix Pie just can't hit and Reed Johnson is more of a fourth outfielder than a starter. Jim Edmonds isn't the answer, unless you're looking for a broken-down guy to hit a few home runs. Lofton would clearly be this team's best leadoff and center-field option. Back in March, the division-rival Reds, who had and still have the same problem, contacted Lofton, but the two sides couldn't agree to terms. The Cubs have money to spend, and I'm surprised they'd rather have Edmonds fanning in the seventh spot of the lineup than Lofton getting on base near the top. Overall, the Cubs' leadoff hitters are hitting .225, with a .282 OBP. 芝加哥小熊: 这队的问题不容易解决，因为Lou Piniella希望能让Alfonso Soriano高兴 ，Soriano说过他只有在担任开路先锋时才会感到开心。中外野手仍然是这队的问题， Felix Pie的打击太差，Reed Johnson则比较适合担任第四号外野手而不是先发球员。而 Jim Edmonds也不是个好选择，除非你想找一个只能敲出几支全垒打又满身是伤的球员。 回到三月份，在同一分区也有相同问题的竞争对手红人队，曾与 Lofton联系过，但是双 方对合约内容没有共识。小熊队有大把的银子可花，但是我很惊讶他们宁愿将Edmonds摆 在第七棒等着被三振而不选择将能够上垒的Lofton摆在第一棒，小熊队首棒打者的打击率 为.225，上垒率则为.282。 Colorado Rockies: This doesn't surprise me one bit, as manager Clint Hurdle figures he made a scintillating September playoff run last year with Willy Taveras leading off, and he can do it again. The difference is, Taveras batted .324 as the leadoff hitter a year ago, with a .372 OBP, and Kazuo Matsui had similar stats when he led off for 30 games. This year Taveras is playing more like the guy the Astros didn't want, with a .299 OBP. Scott Podsednik, who had his moments for a few years getting on base and winning a World Series, would be a better option, but Lofton would be even better. Even Clint Barmes wouldn't be a bad choice leading off for now. Holliday isn't knocking in runs, but Garrett Atkins is, mainly because he gets to drive in Holliday and Todd Helton. 科罗拉多落矶: 我一点都不会感到惊讶，总教练Clint Hurdle还在想像他能像去年一样， 将Willy Taveras摆在第一棒并且创造出闪耀的季後赛之旅。但是不同的是Taveras去年打 第一棒时有.324的打击率，.372的上垒率，Kazuo Matsui担任第一棒的30场比赛也有类似 的成绩，今年Taveras的成绩更像那个太空人队不想要的家伙。曾经有几年拥有不错上垒 率并且曾赢得世界大赛冠军的Scott Podsednik也许是个较佳的选择，但是Lofton更好。 虽然Clint Barmes目前担任开路先锋表现也不差。Holliday打不回打点，但是Garrett Atkins却能，主要是因为他的棒次在Holliday与Todd Helton之後。 Kansas City Royals: The Royals and Tigers aren't in dire straits for Lofton because they have center fielders they like. But those guys aren't off to great starts, and they do have room for Lofton in the outfield or at DH. Kansas City didn't get production when Joey Gathright was leading off (.262 OBP over 80 at-bats), but David DeJesus has been better (.354 OBP). The problem for fantasy owners is that DeJesus has no power and not much base-stealing speed, and on most teams he wouldn't be a starter. But the Royals aren't contending and don't need a 40-something outfielder. All the other teams listed here are either contending or think they should be. As long as DeJesus plays the way he is now, and stays healthy, the Royals will generate more RBI chances for the middle of the order. Whether the punchless Jose Guillen, Mark Teahen and Billy Butler can take advantage is another story. 堪萨斯皇家: 皇家队与老虎队对Lofton并不是那麽的渴望，因为他们有自己喜爱的中外野 手。但是这些家伙都不能算是优秀的先发球员，所以这些球队在外野与指定打击的位置上 应该还有容纳Lofton的空间。当Joey Gathright(80打数，.262上垒率)担任开路先锋时， 堪萨斯皇家队的得分并不多，换成David DeJesus(.354上垒率)时则比较好。但是DeJesus 没有长打能力，速度也不快，在其他队伍也不会担任第一棒，这对Fantasy Baseball玩家 而言是个问题。但是皇家队不具有竞争力，也不需要一位40岁的外野手。其他在这里列出 来的球队都充满竞争力，或是认为自己应该要有竞争力。只要DeJesus维持现在的成绩， 并且保持健康，皇家队的中心打者将有更多打回打点的机会。虽然Jose Guillen，Mark Teahen与Billy Butler能否善加利用这些机会又是另外一回事。 Detroit Tigers: The Tigers are No. 24 in on-base percentage from their leadoff spot, but like the team just ahead of them (Philly), now that the leadoff hitter is back off the DL, this problem should get better. Then again, neither Curtis Granderson nor Jimmy Rollins is a high on-base guy. They are exciting, though. Regardless, the Tigers are currently using a Matt Joyce-Marcus Thames platoon of sorts, and Lofton gets on base better than those guys. Also, I have doubts as to how long Gary Sheffield is going to last before he's sent to the DL. The Tigers will be fine at the top of their lineup. What they really need is Barry Bonds. Ready for the circus? 底特律老虎: 老虎队第一棒打者的上垒率排名第24，但是就像排名在他们前面的球队(费 城人队)一样，原本的第一棒打者从伤兵名单回来了，问题应该会比较好转。Curtis Granderson与Jimmy Rollins都不是拥有高上垒率的家伙，虽然他们都是强悍，令人感到 兴奋的球员。不管怎麽样，老虎仍然继续让Matt Joyce与Marcus Thames轮流上场，而 Lofton的上垒率比这两个人都高。除此之外，我也很怀疑Gary Shefield还有多久之後会 进伤兵名单。老虎队的开路先锋问题不大，他们真正需要的是Barry Bonds，准备好看好 戏了吗? Kenny Lofton is owned in about half of my leagues, as owners figure this guy should find work at some point. It might not be with one of these teams, but rather the Padres or Braves or some other team that thinks it should be contending and has an outfield hole. Either way, don't forget about Lofton, as his skill set would still work at his age. What's really distracting is having your leadoff hitter not get on base. 在我的联盟中，有一半有Kenny Lofton的身影，身为联盟所有人，我认为这个家伙应该能 找到一份工作。也许不是上述的几队，但是如教士队，勇士队或其他希望能更有竞争力并 且外野有漏洞的球队，别忘了虽然年纪一大把，但是球技仍在的Lofton。当开路先锋无法 上垒时真的很令人感到烦恼。 http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?id=3397567 -- Gary says... http://www.gary711.net http://gary711.idv.st --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 221.169.150.114 ※ 编辑: supergary 来自: 61.65.104.139 (05/20 12:59)