※ [本文转录自 Prospect 看板] 作者: YGJHSU (杰) 看板: Prospect 标题: [翻译]Looking at the 2005 Draft 时间: Sat Apr 12 19:36:44 2008 原文出处： http://www.minorleagueball.com/ by John Sickels on Apr 10, 2008 1:02 PM EDT : Normally it takes at least five years to determine how strong a draft class : is/was. But sometimes a class is strong enough and deep enough to stand out : right away, and 2005 looks to have been a potentially very special year. Just : a review of the first round is revealing. Note the big disparity in quality : between the hitters and pitchers. 每次选秀通常需要5年以上的时间，才能检验这批球员到底够不够强，但是偶尔会有一年， 选秀进来的球员无论在强度与深度上都立刻引起大家的瞩目。 2005年选秀看起来就有这种潜力。我们只要重新检查第一轮名单，就可以看出端倪。 注意这些球员里面，投手跟打者在品质方面的巨大差异。 1) Justin Upton; 2) Alex Gordon; 3) Jeff Clement; 4) Ryan Zimmerman; 5) Ryan Braun. : Wow. Three guys already established in the majors. Upton should be a : superstar, and Clement should be good once he gets to play. 哇，前五顺位已经有3个人站稳大联盟了(编按：应该是少算Upton跟Clement)，Upton应该 会成为超级巨星，Clement一旦开始先发，应该也会表现不错。 6) Ricky Romero; 7) Troy Tulowitzki; 8) Wade Townsend; 9) Mike Pelfrey; 10) Cameron Maybin. : Big split shows up with the pitching, as none of these arms have done as well : as expected, Pelfrey being a particular disappointment. However, you have : Tulowitzki who is excellent and Maybin who is a top prospect. 投手表现落差实在太大，没有人表现符合他们的顺位，Pelfrey尤其令人失望。 但是，在6~10顺位仍然可以找到像Tulowitzki这样优异的选手， Maybin也是目前马大鱼的Top prospect。 11) Andrew McCutchen; 12) Jay Bruce; 13) Brandon Snyder; 14) Trevor Crowe; 15) Lance Broadway; 16) Chris Volstad; 17) C.J. Henry; 18) Cesar Carillo; 19) John Mayberry; 20) Mark Pawelek : The only total bust on the hitting side is Henry, as even the worst of the : others still have a shot at being useful. None of the pitchers have emerged : as certain stars, though Volstad is still very projectable. It wasn't a great : year for high school pitchers. 11~20顺位打者里最糟糕的是Henry，第二糟糕的仍然有机会成为有用的球员。 这里面没有投手看起来像是准明星，不过Volstad仍然很好预测。05年不是高中投手的一年 21) Cliff Pennington; 22) Aaron Thompson; 23) Jacoby Ellsbury; 24) Brian Bogusevic; 25) Matt Garza; 26) Craig Hansen; 27) Joey Devine; 28) Colby Rasmus; 29) Jacob Marceaux; 30) Tyler Greene : Some bust-ish guys there, with Ellsbury and Rasmus standing out as particular : bargains. Pennington was a polished college guy who hasn't done much. Greene : was a raw college guy who hasn't done much. Bogusevic has stagnated. 这边看起来有些球员选得很差，而Ellsbury跟Rasmus则是特别划算。Pennington在大学时 期战功彪炳，进入职业棒球却没有什麽建树。Greene大学时期就未经雕琢，现在看起来也 没有太多进步。Bogusevic则是停滞不前。 : Other interesting picks in the Top 100: 31) Matt Torra; 36) Travis Buck; 42) : Clay Buchholz; 45) Jed Lowrie; 46) Tyler Herron; 47) Michael Bowden; 66) : Chase Headley; 73) Kevin Slowey; 75) Yunel Escobar; 83) Micah Owings; 85) : Will Inman; 99) Taylor Teagarden. : Intriguing that Buchholz wasn't a pure first-round pick. Keep an eye on : Torra, who still has a chance to be interesting now that he's healthy again. 其他在100顺位内有趣的球员： 31) Matt Torra; 36) Travis Buck; 42)Clay Buchholz; 45) Jed Lowrie; 46) Tyler Herron; 47) Michael Bowden; 66)Chase Headley; 73) Kevin Slowey; 75) Yunel Escobar; 83) Micah Owings; 85)Will Inman; 99) Taylor Teagarden 好玩的是Buchholz甚至不是真正第一轮的球员。持续注意Torra，假设健康的情况下， 他仍大有可为。 其他轮的重点新秀: Jensen Lewis, 3rd round; Jordan Schafer, 3rd round; (编按：日前因为发现注射HGH被禁赛50场) Matt Maloney, 3rd round; Matt Gamel, 4th round; Brent Lillibridge, 4th round; Jeremy Hellickson, 4th round; Gaby Sanchez, 4th round; Jeff Larish, 5th round; Jon Meloan, 5th round; Clete Thomas, 6th round; German Duran, 6th round; Dan Cortes, 7th round; Jon Niese, 7th round; Austin Jackson, 8th round; Steve Pearce, 8th round; Josh Outman, 10th round; Alan Horne, 11th round. : Even now we don't know exactly how this is all going to pan out. Even the : best prospects fail on us, especially the pitchers. But there's no question : that, based on what we know now, the 2005 class was an outstanding one, : particularly on the hitting side, especially the high school outfielder group : and the excellent college hitters at the top of the class. 即便是现在我们也无法知道哪些球员最後会脱颖而出。最好的新秀也曾经不符预期，特别 是投手。但是毫无疑问的是，从我们目前所知道的，2005年选秀是非常杰出的一年， 特别是打者，那些前段顺位的高中外野手跟大学打者尤其令人赞叹。 : Don't forget the bizarre machinations involving Luke Hochevar, the Dodgers, : and Scott Boras. Taken 40th overall, Hochevar would have gone in the top ten : if his bonus demands hadn't been opaque. Hochevar ended up in indy ball and : ended up as the first overall pick in 2006, though so far his pro performance : has not lived up to his draft status. 另外别忘记道奇与Boras有关Hochevar的怪异举动。如果不是其他球队不了解他所要的签约 金到底是多少，Hochevar应该会在前10顺位被挑走，而不是掉到40顺位才被道奇捡去。 Hochevar05年没有跟道奇签约，最後反倒成为06年选秀状元，不过到目前为止还没有展现 出符合身价的实力。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.243.242 ※ 编辑: YGJHSU 来自: 140.112.243.242 (04/12 19:40) --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.243.242 ※ 编辑: YGJHSU 来自: 140.112.243.242 (04/12 19:44) ※ 编辑: YGJHSU 来自: 140.112.243.242 (04/12 19:55)