作者Fitzwilliam (Out of touch)
看板MLB
标题[翻译] No Ordinary Joe Smith
时间Sun May 20 01:49:48 2007
By Marc Hulet
May 08, 2007
http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2007/05/no_ordinary_joe_1.php
每次我看到纽约大都会队的计分表,新人救援投手Joe Smith似乎都名列其中。这位
出身莱特大学(Wright University),2006年选秀第三轮(累计第94顺位)入队的投手,
在大都会队2007年球季的前29场比赛就登板17场。
这意味着Smith出赛的场次占了全队出赛场数的将近百分之六十。照这个进度下来,
Smith这整个球季会登板94场左右。他当然不是Mike Marshall那样耐用的橡皮手臂,而这
也足以让我坐立不安。
当你回顾一下新人球季出赛场次最多的救援投手名单,就会看到很多急速燃烧殆尽的
球员姓名─而且往往是手臂和肩膀出问题。别忘了,不只是投球局数和投球数而已,牛棚
里频繁的热身练投,也会损耗投手的身体。
以下是(1980年之後)在新人球季登板75场以上的菜鸟救援投手:
Sean Runyan, Detroit
Debut Season: 88 games
Last MLB Game: 26-years-old
Total Games/Seasons: 103/3
Major Injuries: shoulder surgery
Oscar Villarreal, Arizona
Debut Appearances: 86
Last MLB Game: still active
Total Games/Seasons: incomplete
Major Injuries: elbow - nerve transposition
Kelly Wunsch, Chicago
Debut Appearances: 83 games
Last MLB Game: 32-years-old
Total Games/Seasons: 258/6
Major Injuries: shoulder/hip
Mitch Williams, Texas
Debut Appearances: 80 games
Last MLB Game: 32-years-old
Total Games/Seasons: 619/11
Major Injuries: healthy
Tim Burke, Montreal
Debut Appearances: 78 games
Last MLB Game: 33-years-old
Total Games/Seasons: 498/8
Major Injuries: healthy
Ed Vande Berg, Seattle
Debut Appearances: 78 games
Last MLB Game: 29-years-old
Total Games/Seasons: 413/7
Major Injuries: healthy
Javier Lopez, Colorado
Debut Appearances: 75
Last MLB Game: still active
Total Games/Seasons: incomplete
Major Injuries: healthy
Greg McMichael, Atlanta
Debut Appearances: 74 games
Last MLB Game: 33-years-old
Total Games/Seasons: 453/8
Major Injuries: rotator cuff
Kenny Rogers, Texas
Debut Appearances: 73
Last MLB Game: still active
Total Games/Seasons: incomplete
Major Injuries: blood clot (shoulder)
Doug Corbett, Minnesota
Debut Appearances: 73
Last MLB Game: 34-years-old
Total Games/Seasons: 313/8
Major Injuries: healthy
Aquilino Lopez, Toronto
Debut Appearances: 72
Last MLB Game: still active
Total Games/Seasons: incomplete
Major Injuries: None
Kevin Walker, San Diego
Debut Appearances: 70
Last MLB Game: 28
Total Games/Seasons: 122/6
Major Injuries: Tommy John surgery
底特律经由规则五选秀从休士顿找来的左投Sean Runyan,以及出身亚利桑纳,目前
落脚在亚特兰大的右投Oscar Villareal,都是投手被滥用的典型。所幸Villareal还能继
续投球,但Runyan却始终无法从手术中复元,离开大联盟时也不过26岁。再加上白袜队的
Kelly Wunsch,这三位出赛场数名列前矛的新人投手,手肘和肩膀都严重受伤;而Smith
要是维持目前的出赛速度,出场数就会超过这三个人。
然而,大都会队是否真为了赢得世界冠军的坚定决心,而不惜危害Smith和他的大联
盟生命?要真是这样,那麽许多球队对於2007年一开始就滥用救援投手也都难辞其咎。截
至5月6日为止,共有六位救援投手在大联盟登板18场,还有九位(包括Smith)投了17场
,另外12位也出赛了16场。
IP H BB-K Pitches-Ks
NYY Brian Bruney 16.0 9 7-16 248-152
NYY Luis Vizcaino 17.0 16 11-8 247-133
NYY Scott Proctor 16.0 13 8-6 243-146
CIN Todd Coffey 15.2 19 6-17 230/149
WSH Jon Rauch 15.1 15 1-9 220-151
PIT Jonah Bayliss 14.2 20 7-11 207/128
OAK Huston Street 17.0 9 7-18 195-123
WSH Micah Bowie 14.0 11 1-10 193-117
OAK Alan Embree 14.0 19 4-11 187-124
PIT Matt Capps 16.0 13 2-9 181/129
DET Todd Jones 16.0 11 5-7 175-114
NYM Joe Smith 15.1 8 7-18 173-108
BAL Chad Bradford 12.1 14 5-6 170-110
TB Shawn Camp 10.1 20 3-8 132-82
如上所见,在这14个登板17场以上的投手之中,Smith的用球数之精简仅次於坦帕湾
的Shawn Camp。如果真要说滥用的话,看看洋基队吧,他们有三个救援投手的投球数名列
前矛。
Smith另一个正向的发展迹象是,他只在一场比赛里投了超过20球(5月2日对马林鱼
队,37球)。Smith在球季一开始就出赛这麽多场,实在不能让我感到兴奋,但开始探讨
这个专栏之後,情况看起来也并不那麽黯淡无光。而且,说真的,你对一个在大联盟前17
次登板,防御率都保持完美的投手,还有什麽好埋怨的?
--
Joe Smith的现况:
W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV SVO IP H R ER HR BB SO
2007 1 0 1.45 21 0 0 0 0 0 18.2 13 3 3 1 7 21
大都会队本季已进行41场,27胜14败。
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 210.192.171.247
1F:推 yoshiki60419:hey 刚po Oscar Villarreal就上了 XD 05/20 01:52
2F:→ mrkey:未看先推 05/20 02:08
3F:推 newbornme:push 05/20 08:13
4F:推 blueflier:推... 05/20 11:10
5F:推 Jason11982:推 05/20 22:21
6F:→ tempwind:虽然说先发跟救援很难比较,但是不知道那种要先发连续完投 05/21 01:33
7F:→ tempwind:跟这种救援投手太频繁出场的,哪种对投手比较伤? 05/21 01:34
8F:推 Fitzwilliam:似乎可以用现有的统计数字解决 但是很复杂 05/22 14:36