※ [本文转录自 NBA 看板 #1EVitk8A ] 作者: sampsonlu919 (父亲，愿你安息) 看板: NBA 标题: [专栏] ESPN解读大西洋区 绿军已老特纳前途迷茫 时间: Sun Sep 25 14:44:59 2011 http://www.espnstar.com.tw/news/basketball/2011/0924/215697.htm ESPN解读大西洋区 绿军已老特纳前途迷茫 新赛季，波士顿三巨头还能不能带领球队冲击冠军？史塔德麦尔（Amare Stoudemire） 和安东尼（Carmelo Anthony）的联手会不会有所成效？德隆．威廉斯（Deron Williams） 能帮助篮网崛起吗？接下来，就是ESPN对大西洋区的新赛季展望。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Over/Under: Atlantic Division ESPN.com and the TrueHoop Network 原文：http://tinyurl.com/452f2kb 翻译：一线战斗 1、塞尔提克会不会季後赛第二轮就出局？ Over/Under: Second round of the playoffs for the Celtics 布鲁克斯 Maurice Brooks, ESPN.com：不会（Over） Like an aging boxer, the Celtics still have one more good fight left in them. If Ray Allen, Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce all stay healthy -- and yes, I know that's a big if -- I like Boston's chances in a seven-game series against every team in the East outside of the Heat 塞尔提克现在其实就像一个上了年纪的拳手，只要他们的三巨头能保持健康，尽管这个 很难，但他们还是有实力挑战除了热火之外的任何一个东区对手。 福特 Chad Ford, ESPN.com：会（Push） The Celtics are aging and will continue to get diminishing returns from Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen. However, if we lose a good portion of the season, I think it actually benefits Boston. Fewer games equal fresher legs. 塞尔提克越来越老了，他们能从三巨头那得到的帮助也越来越少。如果赛季缩水的话， 那对塞尔提克还比较有利。 I don't see how the C's get past the Heat or Bulls to get to the Eastern Conference finals, but an appearance in the second round sounds about right. 但无论如何，塞尔提克也没什麽理由能搞定热火或者公牛。 杰克逊 Brendan Jackson, 赛尔提克网站Celtics Hub球评：会（Push） If the Celtics end up with the third, fourth or fifth seed in the East, they have the talent to get past a first-round opponent. 如果塞尔提克最终战绩在东区第四左右，他们还比较有希望过了东区首轮。 If they limp into the playoffs and have to face the Bulls or Heat in the firstround, they could easily find themselves facing premature retirement questions. 不过，如果首轮对手是公牛或热火，塞尔提克很快就会发现自己该重建了。 肯尼 John Kenney, 尼克网站KnickerBlogger球评：不会（Under） Missing games due to a (likely) lockout means a (likely) compressed season which will (likely) put Boston's elderly Big Three in a tough spot as far as seeding goes. The first-round loss will signify the end of this Celtics era. 因为塞尔提克大概首轮就会被淘汰。 哈伯迪安 Devin Kharpertian, 篮网网站Nets Are Scorching：会（Push） They have an edge on every other Eastern Conference team except the Heat and Bulls. Unfortunately, that means there's a good chance the Celtics will face one of them in the second round. We've already seen what Miami can do to Boston, and Chicago just has too much firepower for Boston to handle 塞尔提克在东区可以挑战热火和公牛之外的任何球队。但很不幸，他们在第二轮碰到 这两支球队的机率也挺大，所以，第二轮就结束是避免不了。 2、德安东尼还能在尼克执教一个赛季以上？ Over/Under: 82 more games in New York for Mike D'Antoni 布鲁克斯：应该不止（Over） A full (I hope) season of STAT and Melo means lots of W's for the Knicks. 史塔德麦尔和安东尼完整搭档的一个赛季，意味着很多场胜利 People love a good Broadway show, and D'Antoni will enjoy getting the credit as the director and choreographer of a season that sees New York challenging Boston for the division title. 这会直接推动德安东尼继续留任。 福特：不能（Under） Knicks owner James Dolan overvalues the roster he has put together. Amare Stoudemire and Carmelo Anthony are excellent players, but they don't fit well together. 尼克老板多兰（James Dolan）错误地估计了史塔德麦尔和安东尼的搭档，这两人并不 适合在一起打球。 I think D'Antoni is ready for some relief, and if the Knicks aren't dominating by midseason, he'll be gone. 如果德安东尼到赛季中途还找不到可以让这两人有效配合的方式，他肯定会走人。 杰克逊：不止（Over） Winning goes a long way. With Amare and Melo, D'Antoni's team looks poised to win a good amount of games. Next postseason will mark the Knicks' second time making the playoffs with their two-headed monster, and barring an amicable split, D'Antoni should continue the tradition for the foreseeable future. 尼克现在的阵容还比较有希望，他们会赢下不少比赛，赢得越多，德安东尼的帅位就越 稳固。 肯尼：不能（Under） I don't think there will be 82 games played this season, and without another blockbuster trade this team will fail to improve on last season's record. 如果没有重磅交易，眼下的尼克和去年没什麽分别 D'Antoni's contract expiration will come at a convenient time for a team that will be searching for answers. 这对德安东尼显然不是好消息。 哈伯迪安：差不多（Over -- but not by much） While the Knicks are cruising for a playoff berth, they'd better go beyond one round if D'Antoni wants to keep his job. If not, expect new assistant Mike Woodson, or a defensive-minded outsider, to take the reins. 如果德安东尼想保住自己的工作，那至少要率领尼克在季後赛突破首轮，这个难度很大。 所以，德安东尼差不多也就赛季结束下岗，然後他的职位会被更看重防守的助教伍德森 （Mike Woodson）接任。 3、E.特纳会得到60+次的先发机会？ Over/Under: 60 starts for Evan Turner in his sophomore season 布鲁克斯：差不多（Push） If I have to answer this question today, the answer is under, because there is no way he is going to beat out Jodie Meeks or Andre Iguodala. 如果说现在，特纳不会有机会。 I expect Philly to deal Iggy at some point this season, opening up a starting spot inthe lineup for ET. I'm just not sure when that will happen. 但是，76人肯定会送走伊戈达拉（Andre Iguodala），到时候特纳的机会就来了。 福特：会（Over） I think it's likely that they move Andre Iguodala and that should open up more space for Turner in the offense. 伊戈达拉肯定会被送走，特纳的机会迟早会到来 I question whether Turner will ever live up to the hype he generated as a No. 2 pick, but he's a very good basketball player. 可能，特纳不会那麽容易就达到外界对他二号秀出身的期待，但他会是一个很棒的 球员。 杰克逊：不会（Under） but it's all about the Sixers' personnel. He's not starting over Iguodala, and Meeks is a pure shooting guard. Turner can play PG, SG and SF, so I see him usurping the sixth man role from Lou Williams. Of course, this all changes if Iggy is traded away. 有伊戈达拉在，特纳不会有那麽多机会。如果伊戈达拉没有被交易掉的话，那麽特纳 应该会是球队的最佳第六人人选。 肯尼：不会（Under） But this will be the last season this is true. I expect Turner to start about half of this season's games and to demonstrate enough ability to make the 76ers' inevitable parting with Andre Iguodala a little less damaging 我觉得特纳最终会先发41场左右，他需要在比赛中证明自己能取代伊戈达拉。 哈伯迪安：不会（Under） Iguodala and Turner are too similar as players to have both on the floor, as neither can space the offense well enough around the other. But If Iguodala gets traded early in the season, Turner is first in line to take his role 特纳和伊戈达拉的球风太像了，伊戈达拉不走，特纳就始终没机会。除非伊戈达拉赛季 刚开始就走人，不然特纳很难60场先发。 4、篮网最终会是东区第八？ Over/Under: The No. 8 seed in the East for the Nets. 布鲁克斯：不会（Under） Deron Williams is a tremendous talent, but as you look over the rest of the Nets' roster, there isn't enough talent in place for them to go from a 24-win team to playing in the postseason in just one year. 总不能凭着威廉斯一人就把篮网拉出泥潭，除了他之外，篮网其他球员实在没什麽优势。 上赛季才24胜的篮网，不可能凭目前的阵容，在一年内就跻身季後赛。 福特：不会（Under） The Nets will be better, but who do they dethrone from the East? The Knicks, Sixers and Pacers are the most likely candidates, but all three teams have forward momentum, too -- especially the Pacers 篮网会进步，但进步的幅度不足以帮助他们搞定尼克、76人或溜马当中的任何一个。 杰克逊：不会（Under） The Nets need more than Deron Williams, Brook Lopez and Mr. Kardashian to beat out the Pacers and Bucks. 篮网能拿得出手的球员只有威廉斯、布鲁克．洛佩斯（Brook Lopez）和卡戴珊老公（Mr. Kardashian，指Kris Humphries），就凭这三位就想搞定公鹿或者溜马？ 肯尼：不会（Under） Deron Williams is fantastic. The Nets are not. 威廉斯很棒不代表篮网也很棒。 哈伯迪安：不会（Under） But if they can add a third solid piece to the Deron Williams-Brook Lopez core via free agency or trade, I'd expect them to sneak into one of the lower seeds. 仅凭威廉斯和洛佩斯，篮网还不足以进入季後赛。除非，他们能交易到另一个实用帮手。 5、暴龙的德罗赞新赛季能场均20+？ Over/Under: 20 points per game for DeMar DeRozan next season 布鲁克斯：能(Over) His points per game average more than doubled last season (8.6 to 17.2) and there is still plenty of room for improvement in his game. The Raptors are one of the youngest teams in the league and are going through growing pains. The offensive-minded DeRozan is a nice piece of the rebuilding puzzle 两年来，这小子的场均得分从8.6提高到了17.2，而且他还有很大的成长空间。所以， 在进攻端，德罗赞拿到20+不会太难。 福特：差不多吧（Push） 20 ppg sounds about right for DeRozan. They will be largely empty points, mind you, but I don't see anyone else coming in and taking up the scoring slack in Toronto. 德罗赞本身能力不错，暴龙又没有太多其他好用的得分手，所以这个目标不难实现。 杰克逊：会的（Over） The hiring of a defensive coach in Dwane Casey coupled with the Raptors' better role players being defensive dirt dogs means that someone on that team is going to have to put the ball in the bucket. 暴龙新帅凯西（Dwane Casey）是防守至上的，这就意味着进攻权将集中在少数人手中。 Aside from Andrea Bargnani, DeRozan is the most offensively gifted player on that roster. 而在暴龙阵容，现在也就巴格纳尼（Andrea Bargnani）和德罗赞的得分能力突出。 肯尼：会(Over) DeMar takes the old adage "you have to shoot to score" very seriously. The progression in his ability combined with an increased number of shots should put him over the 20 ppg threshold easily. 新赛季德罗赞的出手机会肯定会增多，而他现在正是疯狂得分的年纪。场均20+，对 德罗赞来说，并不是多难的事情。 哈伯迪安：会(Over) DeRozan's shooting percentage from 10-15 feet leapt from 31 percent in his rookie season to a much more palatable 46 percent last season, and he should continue to improve. It won't translate into wins, but the Raptors should get a majority of their first-string points from Andrea Bargnani and a developing DeRozan. 菜鸟赛季，德罗赞在10-15英尺处的命中率是31%，上赛季提升到46%。菜鸟赛季，场均 得分是8.6，上赛季是17.2。只要保持这个进步势头，德罗赞的得分就会继续显着上升。 --

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