作者gibe (人生就是如此)
看板Kings
标题[综合] Kings Draft Needs
时间Mon Jun 22 17:31:45 2015
资讯分享 来源:
http://goo.gl/PEkOW4
After a period of front office turmoil and coaching turnover, the Sacramento
Kings seem to have finally found their pairing for the foreseeable future in
George Karl as the coach and Vlade Divac as the key basketball ops decision
maker under owner Vivek Ranadive.
在Karl担任主帅和老迪担任阿三老板底下的篮球营运部门的决策者并结束高层之乱
跟换帅失利之後,国王看起来是终於找到了可预见的未来。
We know that Karl will want to run a pretty uptempo scheme based around heavy
pick-and-roll, but the roster doesn't really totally fit that kind of scheme
yet. And with DeMarcus Cousins as the clear franchise centerpiece, it's clear
Karl will have to adjust slightly. However, Divac is a totally new element in
the scheme of basketball ops, having spent a majority of his time over the
past decade in Serbia working for the national team.
我们都知道Karl想要打着重P&R的快节奏篮球,但阵容还不够适合。并且在确认胖子是招牌
主菜之後,Karl势必是得些微的调整的。无论如何,在塞尔维亚国家队花了不少时间的
老迪在国王的篮球营运部门是个全新的冲击。
That means things could be a bit surprising with the Kings, depending on what
ends up becoming available at No. 6 overall. Here's a quick breakdown of the
needs and options for the team.
这意味着在选完6号签之後,可能会令人惊讶也说不定! 以下分析国王的需求和其它选择
NEEDS -- POINT GUARD, SHOOTING, DEFENSE, FRONTCOURT DEPTH
需求 -- 控卫,外线投射,防守,前场轮替深度
The Kings have quite a few needs, and could go in any direction that they
want with this pick. But a few overall big roster problems generally stick
out. First and foremost, it's paramount that they get better defensively next
season. The Kings finished 27th in defensive rating last season, allowing 109
points per 100 possessions. Particularly, the team was awful defending in
transition, as they gave up more points than any other team in the NBA in
that situation according to Synergy. Getting more players who will
consistently get back quickly defensively will be essential to building this
roster.
国王有几个需求,并且可能在6号签走向任何他们想要的方向。但是整体说来这阵容还是
有一些很凸显的问题。首先,在下季最重要的事情还是先改善防守。国王平均100个球权让
对手得109分在上季的防守评比中在30队排名第27。尤其在攻守转换的时候,防守简直是
烂到吓人,在这情况下的防守是联盟最差。打造一个更多球员能够一直保持快速回防的
阵容是必须的。
Still though, this defense wasn't exactly great in halfcourt situations
either, giving up 91.9 points-per-100 possessions, 27th in the NBA. There are
no playmakers on that side of the ball for this team. They finished 27th in
forced turnover rate, and they struggled to get out on spot-up shooters as
they gave up the third-most 3-point attempts in the league. Cousins has
turned into a solid defender inside both around the rim and in the post, but
surrounding him they need to start filling the roster with better talent on
that side of the ball.
尽管在半场阵地战的防守也不是太好,对手100个球权就会掉91.9分,一样排联盟27位。
队上在防守端就像是没有指挥官一样。在迫使对手失误比率上也是排27位,并且在防守
定点射手上很挣扎,对手三分出手次数排联盟第三多。胖子成为了一个防守油漆区跟篮框
都很紮实的防守者,但是国王还需要开始找些在防守上具有更好天赋的人来帮助他。
On offense, the team needs to shoot the ball better from the outside if
they're going to be successful in George Karl's system. Nik Stauskas should
give them some natural progression in that regard next season after his rough
rookie campaign, but if that never comes along they will need a backup plan
for more shooting from the wing.
在进攻端上,如果在Karl的进攻体系要成功,队上是需要更好的外围投射能力的。
Nik Stauskas在经过起伏的新人球季之後在下季应该能给队上带来一些外线的进步,
但如果没有成真的话国王想必是要在侧翼的外线攻击上作个备案的。
Another need for the team is at point guard, where Darren Collison had a
solid season in his maiden voyage with the Kings, but could certainly be
upgraded upon. Even if they feel comfortable with Collison in the mix as the
starter, they undoubtedly need depth behind him. Andre Miller is a free agent
and, despite being joined at the hip with Karl, is on his last legs as a pro,
and Ray McCallum hasn't shown anything quite yet to get terribly excited
about.
另一个队上的需求是控球後卫,Darren Collison在国王的首个球季表现的相当不赖,
但好还能更好。即使Collison在先发表现的令国王舒服,毫无疑问在他之後还是需要轮替
深度的。A米是个自由球员,尽管是因为跟Karl的好交情才来到国王,也是到了他职业生涯
的末端了,接着Ray还没能证明过些什麽呢。
FIVE POTENTIAL OPTIONS
Emmanuel Mudiay | PG | Guangdong, China | Ranking: No. 3
Mudiay would represent a perfect fit in Karl's system as a pick-and-roll
heavy guard that can get into the lane whenever he wants. He not only makes
plays for others and finds open spot up shooters with ease, but he also
scores at the rim and has a projectable frame defensively. If he fell to No.
6, it would be hard to see why they would pass on him, given his value and
schematic fit.
Mudiay在打P&R的时候很如鱼得水,大概能够完美适应Karl体系下的PG一职。他不仅能够
作球给队友,简单的找到外围的定点大空档,而且他也能杀入篮下得分又有计划性的
防守策略。如果他掉到#6还没人要,在他的球技价值跟体系适合度下,很难想像国王会
跳过他。
Willie Cauley-Stein | C/PF | Kentucky | Ranking: No. 8
Cauley-Stein is reportedly the guy that Cousins wants the Kings to pick, and
it's not the worst idea to keep your star happy, especially when it involves
a player of this potential defensive star's stature. Cauley-Stein would be a
pretty perfect fit defensively with Cousins, hopefully allowing the big man
to take on easier defensive assignments that fit his skillset better. There
would be some offensive problems while Cauley-Stein gets used to more plays
in the pick-and-roll (Kentucky used it rarely last season), but this would
also be a terrific fit.
WCS根据报导指出是胖子想要国王选的人,让胖子心情好也是个好主意,尤其又是个汉草
好的潜力防守悍将。WCS会是个很搭胖子的防守球员,希望能减轻他防守端的工作让他在
其它方面发挥得更好。WCS在大量的P&R进攻下可能会出现一些问题(Kentucky上季很少
使用P&R),但选他还是一个很好的决定。
Justise Winslow | SG/SF | Duke | Ranking: No. 6
He hasn't really been linked to the Kings yet, but he'd fit pretty well in a
positionless lineup in between Ben McLemore and Rudy Gay. They would combine
to give the Kings a lot of athleticism and versatility, and would also have
the potential to really shoot the ball if Winslow and McLemore could keep
developing in that regard. That kind of lineup screams "George Karl" to me.
Winslow还没跟国王有太多的眉来眼去,但他在有Ben跟Gay在的阵容中会发挥得很不错。
他们三位能给国王带来很多运动能力跟多功能的用途,如果Winslow和McLemore能继续在
保持外线的进步这件事作的好的话,他们是有潜力有良好外线能力的。这种阵容让我想
大喊:"囧卡style"。
Mario Hezonja | SG/SF | Barcelona | Ranking: No. 7
Another potential shooter that would give them some athleticism on the wing.
Karl would really have fun with him, allowing him to run out in transition
with his point guard and shoot the heck out of the ball. He also has some
pretty underrated playmaking skills from the wing that could be interesting
in this system. He wouldn't help their defense at all, but he'd have a good
chance of reaching his ceiling with this team.
Mario是另一个能够带来些活动能力的侧翼潜力射手。Karl应该能用他用的很爽,让他在
攻守转换跟PG一起跑动并打出一些豪小球。他在侧翼上也有些被低估的playmaking技能,
在囧卡体系下会很有趣。他也许无法帮防守加太多分,但他会有很好的机会在国王队发展
得很好。
Kristaps Porzingis | PF | Sevilla | Ranking: No. 5
Porzingis would be an incredible fit here next to Cousins, but he goes at the
bottom of this list for a few reasons. First and foremost, it seems like this
team wants to win soon to prove to Cousins that they're moving in the right
direction. Porzingis is a terrific long-term prospect, but it might take him
two years to really adjust to the NBA physically and speed-wise. Second, I
don't think he'll be here for them when their pick comes around, as the Magic
and Sixers seem pretty high on him.
KP会是胖子的绝佳搭挡,但在这个清单的底部才提到他是有些原因的。首先,国王队
看起来是想要证明给胖子看他们是走在正确的方向上的,要快点赢球。KP是个需要长期
培养的优秀潜力股,但他至少也要花两年时间来适应NBA等级的身体对抗强度跟速度。
再来,我不觉得他会掉到#6,魔术跟七六人看起来对他是有高度兴趣的。
TRADE
交易选项
Trade up: I would guess that the Kings do not look to move up in the draft
simply because there are so many options that fit for them where they are.
Any of the five potential options fit the way this roster is likely going,
and you've got to assume that at least three of them will be on the board as
Karl Towns, Jahlil Okafor and D'Angelo Russell will be safely taken.
向上交易:我猜国王不会往上交易啦,简单来说就是那公认的三~五个潜力股人家要自己
选来养不想换啦!
Trade down: To me, this is more likely, although I don't know that I see it
happening. There are a lot of options here, so moving down a couple of spots
could still ensure them getting one of their guys. But having said that, I
don't think it would be crazy if instead of trading down, they...
向下交易:在我看来这是比较有可能的,虽然我不知道会不会发生。还是有一些好货在
後面可以挑,所以向下交易几个顺位也许还是能够补到需要的人。但说起来嘛,我不认为
向下交易是愚蠢的行为,毕竟他们...(应该是在酸说近几年选秀都蛮失败的意思)
Trade out: The Kings could very well decide to try to light this proverbial
candle and make their move for contention now. Ty Lawson is sitting there on
the trade market, and we know that he is a perfect fit with George Karl. He's
also probably just straight up worth the sixth overall pick. He has two years
remaining on his deal, and he's pretty close to being an elite offensive
point guard in this league. The Kings would probably be lucky to get someone
as good as Lawson with this pick in a couple of years. Plus, he's young
enough still to where you can continue to build around him once his contract
runs up after two seasons. There might need to be some additional pieces from
both sides to make something like this work, but there are worse ideas.
交易选秀权:国王队现在要好好讨论这个可能性。Ty Lawson已经被摆在交易市场上了,
而且大家都知道他在Karl手下适应的很好。他也的确值得用#6来换。他的约还剩下两年,
进攻端在联盟PG中也是顶尖的。国王如果能用#6得到像Ty Lawson这麽棒的球员在未来几
年是很幸运的。加上他在两年後约到之後还是很年轻,依旧可以继续围绕他打造阵容。
两边要完成这个交易可能都还要再加些配菜,不过这不是好主意。(所以没换成啊)
SOMETHING OUT OF THE BOX
弦外之音
Vlade Divac has already said he has no desire to trade Cousins, but the
spectre of that potential move will likely inform their decisions for the
next couple of seasons -- either until he's made happy by the team becoming a
winner, or by him demanding out after getting sick of the organizational
problems. If Divac decides the time is right to make a move, I don't think
anyone could say that they didn't see it coming, at the very least.
老迪已经说他不会把胖子交易掉的,不过这潜在的可怕念头在未来几季中也许还是会出现
高层的决定之中--要嘛国王队变成赢家让胖子很爽,要嘛让胖子受够高层乱搞的毛病
要求闪人。如果老迪真的作出这决定,最起码没人敢说不可能发生吧。
It's also worth noting that, flat out, we have absolutely no idea what Divac
values in prospects, which gives this pick the potential for some fireworks.
If Mudiay is gone and he decides in concert with Karl that a point guard is a
necessity, maybe someone crazy like Cameron Payne ends up in play here. Maybe
they fall in love with Myles Turner's size, shooting ability, and potential
to protect the rim next to Cousins. We just don't know yet what kind of
basketball ops guy Vlade will be.
大家现在也还没确定老迪怎麽评价这些潜力股,在选秀会会作什麽惊人之举。如果Mudiay
被选走了,在跟Karl的合作下控球後卫是个必须的要素,也许Cameron Payne最终会来国王
也说不定。也或许他们会对Myles Turner的身体条件、投篮能力、能在胖子旁保护篮框的
潜力一见锺情。我们还不知道老迪会是个什麽样的篮球营运部门管理人。
个人意见
前几天看到的,今天闲来无事翻一下。乱翻後面更乱翻,有错请指正,重点是一起讨论。
--
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※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Kings/M.1434965508.A.E49.html
※ 编辑: gibe (218.173.102.252), 06/22/2015 17:32:10
※ 编辑: gibe (218.173.102.252), 06/22/2015 17:38:06
1F:→ gibe: 我观点跟这篇差不多,1.选WCS加强防守端解放胖子压力 06/22 17:39
2F:→ gibe: 2.选Mudiay让他带替补,伺机而动打先发。 06/22 17:40
3F:→ gibe: 3.交易泰劳没必要更别说加菜,除非他们加菜让我们赚很大。 06/22 17:46
4F:推 RonArtest93: 推最後一句XD 我常觉得来国王板的最大收获不是 06/22 17:49
5F:→ RonArtest93: 谁又很强大,而是可以一次看到不同的人平等的一起 06/22 17:50
6F:→ RonArtest93: 讨论。 06/22 17:50
7F:→ RonArtest93: 06/22 17:51
8F:→ RonArtest93: 这篇算蛮中肯的文了,作者没排斥任何可能性 06/22 17:52
9F:→ RonArtest93: 要知道国外乡民个人喜恶常常会带到分析文里的 XD 06/22 17:52
10F:→ RonArtest93: 就我个人而言,KP Mario纯论天份都是这届top3 06/22 17:54
11F:→ RonArtest93: 可是纯天分的选择往往只能开季後才知道事有蹊跷 06/22 17:57
12F:→ RonArtest93: (包括Mario的脾气、KP的适应程度) 06/22 17:57
13F:→ RonArtest93: 当然可能老迪知道的更多,但球迷只能雾里看花 06/22 17:59
14F:→ RonArtest93: 相对而言Winslow,Wcs这类的球员反映在实战的能力 06/22 18:00
15F:→ RonArtest93: 会比较明显。尤其是他们又点到篮板与防守的基本技能 06/22 18:01
16F:推 DeAmorFati: 我们最近一次放掉的天份是抓猛 06/22 18:01
17F:→ RonArtest93: 这在夏联可能就会很突出。这类球员上限不是没有 06/22 18:02
18F:→ RonArtest93: 只是没点到明星常备的特质如运球、Iso。 06/22 18:03
19F:→ RonArtest93: (不过Winslow的技巧没话说的超龄是个特例) 06/22 18:04
20F:→ RonArtest93: 然後回到控球。Mudiay、Ty、Payne都不错。 06/22 18:06
21F:→ RonArtest93: 而控球这位置经验与沉稳相对其他位置重要 06/22 18:08
22F:→ RonArtest93: Payne会先展现出来实战面,Mudiay可能刚进联盟 06/22 18:10
23F:→ RonArtest93: 需要前辈Carry的环境才养的好。 06/22 18:11
24F:→ RonArtest93: (譬如三巨头之於菜鸟rondo) 06/22 18:11
25F:→ RonArtest93: 这六位就是起跑点不同。有些人是乌龟有些是兔子 06/22 18:14
26F:→ RonArtest93: 乌龟很慢但只要具有实在的特质慢一点无所谓 06/22 18:15
27F:→ RonArtest93: 但再慢不能慢到热中暑直接死掉。 06/22 18:16
28F:→ RonArtest93: 我是用这角度去思考这些人。撇开对「天份与平庸」 06/22 18:18
29F:→ RonArtest93: 名词的纠结 XD 06/22 18:18
30F:推 DeAmorFati: 不能慢到表弟不爽走掉 06/22 18:22
31F:→ RonArtest93: 嗯,所以不要选到死乌龟啊 XDDD 06/22 18:23
32F:→ gibe: 只剩四天了,板主有要开赌盘吗XD 06/22 18:39
33F:推 RainCityBoy: 老实讲,当届天分最好我觉得是KP MUDIAY MARIO 06/22 18:46
34F:→ RainCityBoy: 小道消息,据说MUDIAY在中国时是朱芳雨教他跑位~ 06/22 18:47
35F:推 strayfate: Mudiay KP WCS Mario Payne Winslow 这六个机率最高 06/22 18:58
36F:→ strayfate: 再加个交易还有其他就凑到8个了 06/22 18:59
37F:→ strayfate: 至於向下交易要怎麽算就看板主 06/22 19:00
38F:推 GodEyes: 早上看到一则是说,囧卡表示国王现在最需要的是能保卫篮 06/22 19:20
39F:→ GodEyes: 框、能防守的人。 (WCS 可能性增加) 06/22 19:22
40F:→ TheTruth245: 基本上就是 WCS Winslow Mudiay 三选一了 06/22 19:27
41F:推 BnLou: 还有交易 06/22 19:32
42F:→ RonArtest93: Mudiay卖的是其独特性:速度 06/22 19:41
43F:→ RonArtest93: 你想像一下掉个几城功力的健康Rose去 run 06/22 19:42
44F:→ RonArtest93: 勇士shane livingston的那个角色。 06/22 19:43
45F:→ RonArtest93: 大概就是他新人年可以给予的,外围射手更多借助他 06/22 19:43
46F:→ RonArtest93: 速度create出来的三分球。 06/22 19:44
47F:→ RonArtest93: 也就是说不能从他个人球技完成度去衡量他。 06/22 19:46
48F:→ RonArtest93: 要看他带给整体甚麽。 06/22 19:46
49F:推 RainCityBoy: Mudiay不是拒绝你们的试训了? 06/22 19:50
50F:→ RonArtest93: 我们也选过很多没来试训的,这OK 06/22 19:52
51F:推 yhes916103: 现在好不容易剩PF一个洞,补即战力吧,阵容齐,战绩起 06/22 20:00
52F:→ yhes916103: 来,替补自然好找,球员续留意愿也高,如果选择赌天 06/22 20:00
53F:→ yhes916103: 份,那还得保证运气好赌对了,不然就白白浪费一年可以 06/22 20:00
54F:→ yhes916103: 改变球队体质的机会 06/22 20:00
55F:推 pennykidd: 希望国王能选到KP 不过感觉还是会选WCS 不要选慢赢就好 06/22 20:13
56F:推 Kulan: WCS+1 06/22 20:18
57F:→ RainCityBoy: 其实慢赢算即战力,只是你们位置满了! 06/22 20:40
58F:推 starxls: WCS拜托 06/22 21:06
59F:推 z2114422: WCS我觉得最後一块拼图!季後赛冲击有望 06/22 21:48
60F:→ RainCityBoy: 万一MUDIAY掉到6,你们依然会偏好WCS吗? 06/22 21:50
61F:推 starxls: Mudiay掉到6还有得选 我还是比较偏好WCS 06/22 22:10
62F:推 starxls: 或Mario 事实上我认为最终大概也就是他跟WCS二选一 06/22 22:11
63F:推 ilovepeja: 这两只比我没太大意见 如果能透过交易或FA把PF补起来 06/22 22:12
64F:→ ilovepeja: 我会选木笛 06/22 22:12
65F:推 spongebob111: 这届选秀除了两大长人,不论是那位都不会有立即的贡 06/22 22:12
66F:→ spongebob111: 献,怎麽可能加了一个新秀马上就能打季後赛,更何况 06/22 22:12
67F:→ spongebob111: 我们是在变态的西区。 06/22 22:12
69F:推 strayfate: 怎麽都预测我们选Mudiay...感觉前面应该会有人要阿 06/22 23:31
70F:推 TheTruth245: 最近各家的预测 其实很类似我的Mock 2.0 06/22 23:34
71F:→ TheTruth245: 我想原因出在於 现代篮球对於空间的认识 06/22 23:34
72F:推 nanogiant: Okafor、Mudiay、Winslow很常出现在预测的前六顺位,请 06/22 23:47
73F:→ nanogiant: 问和现代篮球对空间的认识,有什麽关联吗@@? 06/22 23:47
74F:推 TheTruth245: Winslow Mudiay都是能打小球阵 撕裂空间的好人选 06/22 23:55
75F:→ TheTruth245: Okafor倒是例外... 06/22 23:55
76F:推 kikijuice: 个人觉得我们不太可能选到Mudiay 他已经拒绝我们视讯 06/22 23:56
77F:→ kikijuice: 很明显不想露点给我们 噢不是 是确定前面有人会选 06/22 23:56
78F:→ gibe: 我之前就觉得Mudiay只会想去大城市,看来是真的 06/23 00:06
79F:推 Highflying: #6 换泰劳真的超赚 只是换了DC真的不知道要干嘛 06/23 12:02
80F:→ gibe: 结果倒数第二段的传闻今天就发生了,真令人无言。 06/23 16:09