作者Adonisy (Cobras才是最强的~~~)
看板KMT
标题[情报] 台北县长选举各乡镇得票统计(与四年前比较)
时间Sun Dec 4 00:44:53 2005
与四年前苏与王的比较.... 王是选前一个月空降来选
才差五万票,三重芦洲新庄较惨,中永和新店还是铁票没跑
周锡玮 王建火宣 罗文嘉 苏贞昌
板桥 140,326 51.97% 115087 44.94% 127,959 47.40% 139635 54.53%
(周是板桥立委,过半不意外,四年前板桥是浅绿,不过板桥市长林鸿池大胜)
中和 130,778
62.66% 117403 57.67% 76,605 36.70% 85491 42%
永和 78,131
67.50% 73105 62.76% 36,854 31.84% 43074 36.98%
新店 96,869
68.48% 88198 63.89% 43,681 30.88% 49443 35.82%
汐止 48,124
58.78% 43078 55.39% 32,897 40.17% 34315 44.12%
(蓝军在上面四地,一直都是传统铁票区,王建火宣拿的票其实不够多,苏是没有多输,而
罗文嘉在蓝军铁一般的票仓,完全是吃不开,所以苏可以用三重票仓补这里)
三重 86,854 45.69% 70988 39.05% 101,568 53.42% 109893
60.45%
芦洲 38,424 46.16% 27847 38.78% 44,077 52.94% 43624
60.75%
新庄 87,528 49.34% 68737 41.76% 88,837 50.09% 94951
57.69%
(周在选前扫三重芦洲新庄成功),芦洲市长李翁是无党藉,周的高中徐汇中学
有地缘关系,另一个徐汇校友林志嘉在选立委时,老师都会在上课告诉我们,请
大家的父母支持徐汇的林志嘉)
只要三重芦洲新庄补不回中永和新店,可以宣告失败,罗文嘉在铁票区
拿的成绩不理想,新庄甚至5,5波,新庄立委说,如果周锡玮票数比
罗还高,要辞立委,差点成功
土城 59,702 54.78% 50219 48.33% 48,620 44.60% 53261 51.26%
树林 37,253 49.94% 29392 42.45% 36,631 49.11% 39426 56.94%
莺歌 19,501 50.38% 14659 39.54% 18,721 48.37% 22176 59.82%
三峡 21,796 53.50% 16292 42.77% 18,516 45.45% 21533 56.53%
泰山 17,446 52.21% 13129 44.85% 15,698 46.97% 15990 54.63%
五股 17,772 49.67% 13394 42.2% 17,680 49.40% 18157 57.2%
林口 14,002 53.37% 10076 43.11% 11,931 45.47% 13169 56.35%
淡水 32,697 55.52% 24869 45.05% 25,411 43.16% 29837 54.05%
八里 8,020 52.73% 6147 44.75% 7,035 46.26% 7458 54.3%
三芝 6,613 56.98% 3970 37.28% 4,781 41.18% 6541 61.42%
石门 3,760 56.35% 2138 39.19% 2,725 40.84% 3249 59.55%
汐止 48,124 58.78% 43078 55.39% 32,897 40.17% 34315 44.12%
金山 6,416 53.78% 3769 37.93% 5,259 44.09% 6019 60.58%
万里 5,888 56.93% 3928 44.06% 4,222 40.82% 4876 54.69%
瑞芳 10,743 56.53% 10588 46.27% 7,956 41.86% 11934 52.15%
双溪 2,782 51.65% 2326 41.89% 2,503 46.47% 3142 56.59%
贡寮 3,883 41.96% 2306 34.3% 5,173 55.89% 4343 64.6%
平溪 2,051 48.57% 1126 34.2% 2,067 48.95% 2111 64.13%
深坑 6,036 55.84% 4981 51.35% 4,653 43.04% 4666 48.1%
石碇 1,800 41.76% 1331 33.51% 2,417 56.09% 2602 65.51%
坪林 1,681 37.25% 692 22% 2,736 60.62% 2434 77.39%
乌来 1,863 63.83% 1033 47.3% 1,020 34.94% 1145 52.43%
总得票
988,739 54.86% 820808 48.16%
798,233 44.30% 874495 51.31%
结论:罗拿不到苏的票,因为苏没有做完8年
目前无法估计周因为马的关系,多得了几票,毕竟之前
周的民调也一直领先10%左右
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