http://is.gd/27YdD2 5 Signs That Jeremy Lin's Ceiling Is Higher Than We Thought 五迹象显示林书豪的上限比我们想像的高 By Josh Martin (NBA Lead Writer) on November 28, 2012 A cursory glance at Jeremy Lin's numbers through the first month of the 2012-13 NBA season would suggest that the Houston Rockets made a mistake. For a noteworthy investment of $25.1 million over three years, the Rockets have thus far seen a player whose scoring and shooting are down, whose rebounds are slightly up and whose assist and turnover stats have held relatively steady, for better or worse. 粗略看过林书豪在2012-13NBA赛季头一个月的表现数据，会显示休士顿火箭买错了。三年 2510万美元的大手笔，目前却只见到一位不管得分与命中率双双下降，篮板稍微上升，而 助攻和失误尚保持相对稳定的球员。 But to gloss over these early returns and assume that Linsanity was nothing more than a flash in the pan is to ignore the circumstances that often dictate the difference between success and failure in the minds of the NBA's viewing public. As Matt Moore of CBSSports.com recently noted, moving into a new role on a new team in a new city is not a seamless process and often requires a length adjustment period, even for All-Stars like Andre Iguodala. 但以这些季初成绩推定林来疯不过是昙花一现，则是忽略了NBA观众心中用以区分成功与 失败的几项条件。CBSSports.com的Matt Moore最近提到，前往新城市，进新球队担任 新角色，不会是个一帆风顺的过程，经常需要漫长的调整期，连全明星级的Andre Iguodala也不例外。 Lin certainly isn't on Iggy's level, and may never be, which, in a way, makes his seemingly slow acclimation more understandable. Throw in a lethargic recovery from a knee operation that ended Lin's celebrated tenure with the New York Knicks, and the lackluster start, if not excusable, falls well within reason. 林肯定还不到Iggy的水准，或许永远也达不到，这在某方面来说，使他看似缓慢的适应过 程更加能够理解。加上那道终止尼克林来疯的膝手术复原速度趋缓，暗淡的季初表现即使 不如人意，也在情理之中。 Still, why, amidst all this apparent evidence to the contrary, would anyone think that Lin is anything more than a flash in the pan who's long lost his magical touch? Allow me to explain... 虽有种种明显的不利证据，为何仍有人认为林不是一位失去魔力的一片歌手?容我道来… Shooting: Nowhere to Go but Up 命中率：逐渐上扬 Our first invocation of the "he's hurt/adjusting to his new digs" explanation comes in relation to Lin's shooting percentages. 关於林还处在适应新角色的阵痛期，我们的第一条解释与命中率有关。 However you slice it, he's not converting his looks at a particularly pretty rate. Among point guards who average at least 10 minutes a night, Lin ranks 54th (out of 71) in field-goal percentage (.374), 55th in three-point percentage (.256), 57th in effective field goal percentage, which accounts for three-pointers (.408) and 56th in true shooting percentage, which factors in threes and free throws (.460), all per Hoopdata. 不管怎麽分析，林的命中率都不会太好看。每场至少打十分钟的控卫中，林的投篮命中率 (.374)排名54(共71)；三分球命中率排名55(.256)；有效投篮命中率排名57，三分球列入 其中；真实命中率排名56，包含三分球和罚球(.460)。数据引自Hoopdata。 So why, then, would these numbers paint anything but a grim picture? 这些数据难道还不显得前景暗淡？ For one, we know his stroke ain't broke. He's converting his free throws at an 85.3 percent clip, though he's made 2.8 fewer trips to the stripe per game compared to his sensational stint last season. 首先，我们知道他的准头还在。他的罚球命中率达85.3%，虽然与上季林来疯时期相较， 每场少罚了2.8球。 Not that he hasn't been attacking the basket. To date, Lin's taken 52.4 percent of his shots at or near the rim (see chart above, courtesy of NBA.com/stats), compared to 52.7 percent last season. His success rate in that region—45.5 percent—is comparable (albeit still troublingly low) to the 48 percent he posted in 2011-12. Those numbers should improve so long as Jeremy stays aggressive and continues to penetrate whenever he can. 他一直有在攻击篮框。至今，林有52.4%的出手是在篮框旁或篮框附近，上季为52.7%。他 在这个区域的成功率(45.5%)与上季的48%相差不远，虽然还是偏低。那些数据应该会改善 ，只要Jeremy保持攻击力，一有机会就渗透禁区。 As for his perimeter shooting, his 28.6 percent mark is also bound to recover. Rahat Huq of ESPN.com wrote on Wednesday that Lin had been working diligently on his shooting and that, in the opinion of Rockets interim coach Kelvin Sampson, he "got his swagger back against New York." Lin shot 6-of-12 from the field against his old team, followed by a 7-of-9 showing opposite the Toronto Raptors. 至於中距离投篮，也从28.6%开始反弹回升。ESPN.com的Raha Huq星期三写到，林一直在 努力练习投篮，据火箭代理教练的说法，林「在打纽约时找回气势」。林战老东家时投12 中6，接着在对抗多伦多暴龙时投9中7。 His percentages, then, should keep climbing as he grows more comfortable taking fewer shots in a relatively reduced role next to James Harden. 他的命中率应会持续上扬，他终将适应出手次数的减少，并在James Harden身边感到自在 。 Dimes Aplenty 助攻频传 Sharing a backcourt with James Harden has (rather predictably) left Lin with fewer opportunities to orchestrate his team's offense. According to Basketball Reference, Jeremy has thus far used up 18.6 percent of the Rockets' possessions when he's on the floor, compared to a whopping 28.1 percent with the Knicks last season. The latter number would put Lin on par with a near-All-Star like Brook Lopez, the former with a role player like Brandan Wright. 与James Harde分担後场，使林减少指挥全队进攻的机会。根据Basketball Reference， Jeremy迄今在场上的持球时间占火箭的18.6%，上季效力於尼克时则高达28.1%。後者使林 能与准全明星级球员如Brook Lopez并列，前者则接近像Brandan Wright这样的角色球员 。 Yet despite getting fewer touches in seven more minutes per game, Lin's raw assist numbers have held steady, if not ticked slightly upward. He's averaging 6.4 assists through his first 14 games as a Rocket, compared to 6.2 in 35 outings with the Knicks. 虽然每场持球时间少了7分多钟，林的助攻却维持稳定，甚至稍微上扬。他在火箭队的前 14场球平均交出6.4次助攻，在尼克队的35场球交出6.2次助攻。 That's still good enough for 17th in the NBA, and Lin's only just started to get cozy in Space City. 这足以使林名列NBA第17，而他才开始适应这座太空城市。 To be sure, Lin's stable assist numbers likely have something to do with the shift in systems. He's gone from a Knicks squad that ranked 22nd in helpers per game (19.6) and fifth in pace (93.1 possessions per game) to a more uptempo Rockets squad that ranks eighth in assists at 22.1 and first in pace with 94.9 possessions. 林稳定的助攻表现，肯定和新球队有关。他从每场助攻排名第22(19.6次)，步调排名第五 (每场93.1次持球)的尼克，换到助攻排名第8(22.1次)，步调排名第1(94.9次)，节奏更快 的火箭。 Lin may not be assisting on as high a percentage of Houston's makes (29.3 percent) as he was New York's (41 percent), but he's also not the only one of his teammates who can dish consistently. Harden drops 5.4 dimes a night, and sophomore swingman Chandler Parsons chips in 3.5 of his own. 林占火箭全队助攻的比率(29.3%)，或许比不上在尼克时的41%，但他已不是队中唯一能稳 定提供助攻的人。Harden每晚能送出5.4次助攻，二年级生摇摆人Chandler Parsons也能 送出3.5次。 Finding the Cornermen 寻找前锋 It's not just that Jeremy's assisting that counts. It's also how he's assisting that matters in this discussion. 重要的不只是Jeremy的助攻。本篇还要着重探讨他如何助攻。 According to NBA.com's stats tool, the Rockets shoot significantly worse in the paint when Lin's on the floor (28 percent) than they do when he's not (42 percent). To be sure, shots in the paint but outside the restricted area aren't necessarily the easiest or most efficient looks. Many teams have shifted their defensive philosophies to crowd the middle of the floor, rendering eight to 12-footers amidst a pack of opponents that much more difficult to hit. 根据NBA.com的统计工具，林在场上时，火箭於禁区内的命中率大幅下降(28%)，逊於林不 在场上时的42%。当然，在禁区之内且冲撞区之外投篮，不见得是最容易或最有效率的手 段。许多球队的防守哲学是派重兵驻守中央，想在对手林立的8至12尺处得分变得难上加 难。 And considering Lin's still-subpar numbers as a finisher, as noted earlier, this hardly comes as a surprise. 加上先前提到，林的终结能力仍低於标准，这就不难想像了。 To Lin's credit, though, the league's analysis suggests that he's doing a fine job of setting up his teammates for easy shots where he should. With Jeremy on the floor, the Rockets are shooting 58 percent in the restricted area, which is on par with their overall accuracy, and 35 percent from mid-range, which is slightly higher than the team average and significantly higher than their 28 percent sans-Lin clip. 值得赞扬的是，联盟的分析显示在为队友提供轻松出手的机会方面，林的表现很不错。当 Jeremy在场，火箭於冲撞区的命中率达58%，等同於他们的整体准确度；中距离则来到35% ，稍微高过全队平均值，并远高於无林在场时的28%。 But the best news for Lin comes from the shift in percentages on the all-important corner three. The Rockets are knocking down the second-most efficient shot in basketball (behind the dunk/layup) at a 40 percent pace with Lin, compared to a paltry 25 percent without him. 林对命中率最大的影响来自底线三分球。在篮球中第二有效率(次於灌篮/上篮)的得分手 段方面，有林在场的火箭出手命中率达40%，无林在场则降为25%。 This shouldn't come as too great a shock. Lin routinely does an excellent job of using his quickness to penetrate and collapse the defense, thereby leaving his teammates with wide-open looks from the corners. 这应该不会太令人惊讶。林经常利用他的速度，切入并瓦解对方的防守，从而使底线队友 得到空档。 So long as he keeps finding them in the right spots, his presence will be of plentiful value to the Rockets. 只要林继续在对的地方找到队友，他将是火箭阵中的重要人物。 Fueling the Fastbreak 发动快攻 As mentioned earlier, Lin has benefited from a move away from Mike Woodson's iso-heavy offense to a more uptempo situation in Houston. 正如前述，离开Mike Woodson着重单打的进攻模式，来到步调更快的休士顿，让林获益良 多。 But were the Rockets really a running team before? And to what extent might Jeremy have changed that? 但火箭之前真的是支跑轰球队?对此改变，林又有何贡献? The answer to the first question would best be described as "not exactly." The Rockets were just 11th in pace, 10th in fastbreak scoring and 13th in fastbreak efficiency prior to Lin's arrival. 第一个问题的答案，最好的描述是"不尽然"。在林加入前，火箭的步调排名第11，快攻得 分排第10，快攻效率排第13。 As for how (if at all) Lin has altered that reality, consider that Houston now checks in first, fourth and ninth in those respective categories. It would appear, then, as though Lin has played a part in helping the Rockets push the pace and pick up more easy buckets as a result. 至於林如何(如果有)改变这项事实，请想想休士顿如今在前三项数据的排名已来到第1， 第4和第9。这似乎显示林的表现有助於加快火箭的步调，拿下更多轻松的分数。 It helps that Jeremy's as good at crashing the boards as he's proven to be. He's tied for fifth among point guards with 4.6 rebounds per game, 3.8 of which have come at the defensive end. By wiping the glass, Lin can often start the break himself, be it with a long outlet pass or a speedy dribble up the court. Jeremy在篮板方面的表现也很有帮助。他以每场4.6个篮板在控卫中并列第五，其中3.8个 篮板来自防守端。经由抢下篮板，林经常能自行发动快攻，不管是长传或快速运球过半场 。 Again, it helps to have another ball-handler and scoring threat like Harden with whom to share the backcourt. But even Lin is out-boarding the bigger Bearded One, who's served as a solid finisher on many a Lin pass in the early going. 此外，有了Harden这样能控球又能得分的好手来分享後场工作，更是大有助益。虽然林的 篮板数量多过块头更大的胡子，但胡子紮实的终结能力经常能不负林的及时妙传。 Vanquishing Demons 克服心魔 Lin's defense remains a bone of contention—the Rockets allow 3.1 points per 100 possessions more when Lin's on the floor, per NBA.com. 林的防守仍是争论的焦点。根据NBA.com，有林在场的火箭，每百次持球的失分数多3.1分 。 But, to Lin's credit, he's done a solid job of attacking those against whom he has something to prove, at least of late. This past Friday, Lin helped to lead a 131-103 rout of the visiting Knicks. His numbers (13 points, seven rebounds, three assists, one steal) were hardly eye-popping, but he played with a level of confidence that'd rarely been seen this season, and that, apparently, rubbed off rather well onto his teammates. 值得赞扬的是，林在需要证明自己时总能有所表现。这个星期五，林帮助球队以131比103 击溃来访的尼克。他的数据(13分，7篮板，3助攻，1抄截)不甚亮眼，却展现出本季久违 了的自信，而这显然大大影响了队友。 For an encore, he outplayed Kyle Lowry, whose job Lin essentially took, in a 117-101 walloping of the Raptors. While Lowry was mired in a relatively subpar performance (seven points on 3-of-10 shooting, eight rebounds, five assists), Lin was busy filling it up as the Art Garfunkel to Harden's Paul Simon. Jeremy ended the evening with 16 points on 7-of-9 shooting, with four rebounds, three steals and 10 assists to boot. 之後，林再次比下被自己抢走饭碗的Kyle Lowry，以117比101痛击暴龙队。Lowry的表现 失去应有水准(投10中3得7分，8篮板，5助攻)，林则称职地担任Harden的好搭档。林最後 投9中7得16分，4篮板，3抄截，外加10助攻。 If Lin continues to play with this same sort of fearlessness, efficiency and self-belief, he'll soon be eschewing any memories of his early-season slump in favor of flashbacks to the salad days of Linsanity. 如果林继续展现出如此这般的无惧，效率与自信，他将迅速遗忘季初的那段低朝，重现林 来疯的精华片段。 And that $25.1 million contract? For a 24-year-old point guard who's still learning the NBA game, it'll look like a steal. 至於2510万的合约？以一位还在学习打NBA的24岁控卫来说，算是捡到便宜了。 --

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