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标题[MLB ] Inbox: When can Lindor be expected to
时间Thu Nov 27 01:46:15 2014
Inbox: When can Lindor be expected to join Tribe?
Beat reporter Jordan Bastian answers Indians fans' questions
By Jordan Bastian / MLB.com | @MLBastian | October 13, 2014
http://ppt.cc/zZZB
What is a realistic timeframe for shortstop prospect Francisco Lindor? What
happens with Jose Ramirez if he continues to play well? Any chance second
baseman Jason Kipnis moves back to the outfield?
-- Adam S., Broken Arrow, Okla.
顶级新秀Francisco Lindor目前的计画表到底是怎样?
如果Jose Ramirez持续打的不错哩?
有可能二垒手Jason Kipnis移去守外野吗?
-- Adam S., Broken Arrow, Okla.
Barring an injury or unexpected trade, I would be absolutely stunned if we
don't see Lindor in the big leagues with the Indians at some point during the
2015 season. I do not expect that to be on Opening Day. The job out of the
gates would seem to fall to Ramirez, who played admirably at shortstop in the
second half of this season.
除非受伤或是有特别的交易,不然我会很意外我们在15年大联盟球季完全没看到Lindor。
我并不是觉得他开幕战时就会上MLB了,游击一开始看来会交给Ramirez,
他今年下半季成功地接下了游击手的位置。
Defense was an issue all season for Cleveland, but the 22-year-old Ramirez
helped shore things up some up the middle.
In his 498 2/3 innings at short, Ramirez turned in an 18.9 UZR/150 (Ultimate
Zone Rating scaled to 150 games), which ranked first in the Majors among the 30
shortstops who played at least 450 innings at the position. Atlanta's defensive
wiz, Andrelton Simmons, ranked second with an 18.4 UZR/150 in his 1,277 innings.
守备是克里夫兰一整季的罩门,但22岁的Ramirez的确帮忙填补了中线的洞。
在他镇守游击的498.2局中,Ramirez数据是18.9 UZR/150,
在大联盟三十位守超过450局的选手中名列第一,
Simmons则以1277局,18.4 UZR/150排行第二。
In the first half, Asdrubal Cabrera -- dealt to Washington prior to the July 31
Trade Deadline -- turned in a negative 10.8 UZR/150 and was hit with negative
seven Defensive Runs Saved in his 820 2/3 innings at shortstop. Ramirez, on the
other hand, was credited with four Defensive Runs Saved, even though he played
roughly 60 percent of the number of innings logged by Cabrera.
上半季时,在交易大限前被交易到国民的Asdrubal Cabrera在820.2局中,
只缴出了 -10.8 UZR/150, -7.0 DRS。
而Ramirez则有4.0 DRS,虽然他只守了Cabrera的60%的局数。
Here is the point: Ramirez provided the Indians with a clear defensive upgrade
and a sound option for shortstop for Opening Day 2015. Lindor is also
considered an above-average defender, but the reality remains that he is only
20 years old (21 in November) and has just 38 games at the Triple-A level under
his belt. He is playing in the Arizona Fall League to get further experience.
简单来说,Ramirez提供了印地安人一个明显的守备升级,
同时也是15年开幕战游击人选之一。
Lindor被认为是一个守备高於平均的选手,但他才21岁,在3A也才只出赛38场。
他目前在亚利桑纳秋季联盟中继续历练。
It's also worth noting that Lindor's signature plate discipline took a hit at
Triple-A. At all other levels combined, the switch-hitter had a 1.23
strikeout-to-walk ratio. In his brief stint at Triple-A, Lindor struck out four
times for every walk drawn. He appears poised to make an impact in the Majors,
but it is easy to spot some areas still in need of refinement.
另外值得注意的是Lindor在3A所展现的本垒板纪律。
在其他层级,他的三振保送率是1.23。
然而在他短暂的3A出赛中,他每选一次保送就被三振了四次。
他看起来是准备好冲击大联盟了,但还是很容易可以找出需要改善的部分。
So, for now, Ramirez gives the Indians a good alternative until Lindor is
deemed to be ready to join the big league club sometime next summer. If and
when Lindor does come up, Ramirez's experience around the infield gives
Cleveland a couple of options. He could rotate in as a utility man or get
increased reps at third base. I don't see Kipnis moving away from second base
anytime soon.
所以在Lindor明年夏天真的准备好加入大联盟前,Ramirez是个很好的选项。
哪天Lindor真的升上来了,Ramirez也可以以他丰富的内野经验提供克里夫兰不同的选择。
他可以担任工具人或是接手三垒的位置。
另外,短时间来看,我不认为Kipnis会从二垒移防外野的。
Given Lonnie Chisenhall's poor defense and drop in production in the second
half, what do you see happening with him next year? Also, with how well Ramirez
finished '14, combined with the addition of Zach Walters and presence of
Lindor, do you see Mike Aviles still in a Cleveland uniform next year?
-- Bryant D., West Mansfield, Ohio
考虑到Chisenhall守备掉漆、下半季打击熄火,你认为他下季定位会是?
此外,Ramirez 14球季打得很好,再加上Zach Walters的加入以及Lindor在後面等,
你觉得Mike Aviles明年还会穿克里夫兰制服吗?
-- Bryant D., West Mansfield, Ohio
I've written that third base is one position that could potentially be upgraded
this winter, and that is partially due to Chisenhall's sporadic play both in
the batter's box and in the field. The other reason is simply that the
contracts in place for 2015 leave little room around the diamond for impactful
external additions. Trades could create room elsewhere, but third is certainly
a vulnerable spot.
我之前就提过三垒是个今年冬天可以加强的位置,
主要是由於Chisenhall攻守两端不稳的表现。
另一个原因是因为15年还有些许薪资空间可以补强。
其他位置可能有交易,但三垒确实是一个问题。
Chisenhall thrived early in the season when manager Terry Francona used him as
a part-time player, picking opportunistic times to put the third baseman in the
starting lineup. Chisenhall's incredible showing at the plate understandably
earned him the full-time job, but his second-half fade raised the question of
whether he should return to a platoon-type role to maximize production.
Chisenhall今年季初作为板凳球员,在总教练Fancona的灵活调度下一度打得很好。
而这难以置信的打击成绩也当然为他争取到先发三垒手的位置。
但他下半季打击的衰退也再次显示他是不是应该回到原来轮休的角色以增加产出。
I'm sure the Indians will weigh that issue over the winter months, while
examining what alternatives (or platoon partners) might exist via trade or free
agency. Then again, maybe Chisenhall's solid overall showing with the bat will
earn him another chance as the starting third baseman. That would not surprise
me in the least, considering he is only 26 years old and had a great
developmental season.
我确定印地安人冬天会好好考虑这个问题的,
不管是要大家轮守三垒,还是要透过交易或自由市场。
不过有可能Chisenhall还是会以手中的球棒再次取得先发三垒手的资格,
毕竟他才26岁,去年球季整体来说也进步不少。
If Lindor is not in the plans for Opening Day, it might make sense to exercise
Aviles' $3.5 million team option. Having a veteran utility player capable of
handling shortstop (as well as multiple outfield and infield spots) is
valuable. There is also the chance that Cleveland tries to groom Walters for
that kind of versatile role, hoping he develops into a Ben Zobrist-type player
for the Tribe.
如果Lindor不在开幕战的计画中的话,那执行Aviles 3.5M选择权是合理的。
这样一个可以守游击、外野、内野的工具人老将很有价值。
当然也有可能克里夫兰会试着让Walters担任工具人,
期望他能成长成笑脸人的Ben Zobrist。
Josh Tomlin is due for arbitration again this offseason. I don't know what kind
of Minor League options he has left, but rather than renegotiating his
contract, do you think the Indians might part ways with him given how
inconsistent he's been?
--Bryant D., West Mansfield, Ohio
今年是Josh Tomlin第二年仲裁,我不知道他有甚麽样的小联盟选择权,
但考虑到他的不稳定性,你觉得与其重新签约,还是印地安人应该直接和他分道扬镳?
-- Bryant D., West Mansfield, Ohio
On the surface, yes, Tomlin looks like a non-tender candidate, given his injury
history and inconsistency. But he does have Minor League options remaining and
Cleveland is thin on the depth chart behind its first five starters. One more
year removed from Tommy John elbow surgery, Tomlin could work out as a starter
this winter and be ready for three possibilities: earning a spot in the big
league rotation, transitioning back to a bullpen role or being optioned to
Triple-A and providing depth. He earned $800,000 last year, so his salary will
surely climb north of $1 million. It's not a bad value for a starting pitcher
with options and experience.
表面上来看,由於不稳定及伤痛史,Tomlin显然不值得续约。
但他还是有下放小联盟选择权,而且克里夫兰除了前五号先发,轮值深度也不大够。
Tomlin一年多前才动过TJ,今年冬天应该会试着适应先发投手的脚色,
之後他可能能在大联盟担任轮值一角,或是转入牛棚,或是下放回3A。
他去年薪资是八十万美金,所以他仲裁薪资应该会比1M略高。
以一个拥有选择权和经验的先发投手来说,价钱还可以接受。
I'm sure this is going to sound crazy, but do you think there is any chance
that the Indians try to sign Justin Masterson again? After his bad contract
year, his value must have gone down. Don't you think it would be worth a risk?
-- Daniel Z., Cuyahoga Falls, Ohio
我知道这听起来有点疯狂,但你认为印地安人有可能签回Justin Masterson吗?
在他这麽惨的合约年後,他的要价应该降低很多。你不觉得这值得赌一下吗?
-- Daniel Z., Cuyahoga Falls, Ohio
I don't think it sounds crazy. Improbable, maybe, but not crazy. Masterson's
value would probably need to have come way down for that to happen. There is
certainly familiarity with Francona, and pitching coach Mickey Callaway had
success with the sinkerballer in 2013, but it seems an unlikely scenario. The
peaks of Masterson's career have been strong enough where his camp will
probably seek a multiyear deal, and there might be a team willing to take the
risk. Look no further than Scott Kazmir one year ago, though the lefty was
coming off a strong second half in '13 when he cashed in. Given Masterson's
struggles, injury issues and lost velocity, I just don't see Cleveland going
down that road.
我不觉得这很疯狂,虽然不大可能,不过也许会。
Masterson的价值在这之後的确降低许多。
和Francona及投教Callaway的搭配缔造了这个伸卡球投手13年的成功,
但这看来不是相同状况。
Masterson生涯颠峰期的强悍压制力使得他应该会寻求复数年约,
而且应该也会有球队愿意冒风险买单。
看看一年前签约的Scott Kazmir,他13年也不过才威了个下半季。
考量到Masterson的伤病问题、球速降低等种种挣扎,
我不认为克里夫兰会试图签他回来。
Do the Indians make an attempt to trade away Nick Swisher's and/or Michael
Bourn's contract this winter?
-- Steve W., Perrysburg, Ohio
印地安人今年冬天会试着交易掉Nick Swisher和Michael Bourn吗?
-- Steve W., Perrysburg, Ohio
Swisher is 33 years old, coming off surgery on both knees, just endured the
worst season of his career (.608 OPS in only 97 games) and is owed $30 million
over the next two seasons. Bourn, 31, dealt with hamstring issues throughout
2014, stole only 10 bases, played in just 106 games and is owed $27.5 million
for the 2015-16 seasons. You'd better believe the Indians would entertain trade
offers for either player. But I'm not so sure any teams will be getting in line
to chat about it.
Swisher 33岁了,而且才从双膝手术後度过生涯最差的一季,OPS .608,仅出赛97场,接
下来两年还得再付给他30M。而31岁的Bourn处理了整季的拉伤问题後,也只盗得10次垒包
,出赛106场,15、16年薪水合计27.5M。你最好希望印地安人会考虑交易他们,但我不确
定有哪队会对他们有兴趣。
--
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1F:→ adjectiveadv: 由於lag太久,更新一下状况:球队已经执行Aviles的 11/27 01:47
2F:→ adjectiveadv: 选择权,也一直在试着交易Swisher 11/27 01:47