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标题[MLB ] Inbox: Closer's role an open question
时间Fri Nov 29 15:25:46 2013
Inbox: Closer's role an open question for Indians
Beat reporter Jordan Bastian answers fans' questions
By Jordan Bastian / MLB.com | 11/4/2013 2:43 P.M. ET
http://ppt.cc/Zfy5
With so many great closers on the market, is Cleveland likely to sign a closer
or find an in-house solution?
-- Daniel Z., Cuyahoga Falls, Ohio
今年自由市场上有好多CL,克里夫兰会签下一个还是从球队中找答案呢?
-- Daniel Z., Cuyahoga Falls, Ohio
The Indians' situation at closer was muddled even before the team released
two-time All-Star Chris Perez. With Perez now on the free-agent market, along
with setup man Joe Smith, Cleveland's top in-house candidates appear to be
right-handers Cody Allen and Bryan Shaw.
就算在球队释出了两次全明星终结者Perez前,谁来关门就一直是个问题。
现在Perez和布局投手Smith都进入自由市场了,那球队本身的内部选项看来只有
右投Allen和Shaw
I think the Indians are prepared to head into Spring Training with Allen and
Shaw as the top competitors for the closer's role. There are certainly plenty
of experienced closers on the open market -- Grant Balfour, Kevin Gregg, Joe
Nathan and Fernando Rodney, among others -- but most are in their mid-to-late
30s and could demand pricey contracts.
我想印地安人应该会先准备让Allen和Shaw在春训时竞争终结者的位置。
诚然今年市场上有很多有经验的救援投手--Balfour, Gregg, Nathan, Rodney等等,
但他们几乎都已经30几岁了,而且要价不斐。
What seems to make more sense for the Tribe is targeting bullpen depth in
general and leaving the closing duties up for grabs with a spring competition
(with Allen and Shaw leading the way). I can't see Cleveland overpaying for a
free agent to serve as the closer when there are younger, more affordable
alternatives already in hand.
比较合理的作法是笑脸人先普遍的补强牛棚,春训时再让大家竞争终结者。
我不认为已经有一票年轻便宜投手的克里夫兰会花大把银子请人来关门。
The 24-year-old Allen posted a 2.43 ERA in 77 games last season, striking out
88 in 70 1/3 innings with a 3.38 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The 25-year-old Shaw
had a 3.24 ERA in 70 games, but posted a 1.73 ERA (.176 opponents' average) in
his last 35 games and went 5-0 with a 0.00 ERA in September (15 1/3 innings).
Shaw also was best in high-leverage situations (.494 opponents' OPS), according
to baseball-reference.com.
24岁的Allen今年出赛77场,2.43 ERA,在70.1局中送出88次三振,三振保送比是3.38
25岁的Shaw出赛70场,3.24 ERA。但他後35场却是1.73 ERA,被打击率.176。
九月更是出赛15.1局,5W0L,没有掉过一分自责。
Cleveland will also take a look at right-hander Vinnie Pestano, who was one of
baseball's elite setup men just two years ago. Over the 2011-12 campaigns,
Pestano put up a 2.45 ERA and a 3.33 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 132 innings.
The Indians are not giving up on him just yet.
克里夫兰当然也会试试右投手Vinnie Pestano,两年前他是联盟最优秀的布局投手之一。
在11到12年间,Pestano在132局中成绩是2.45 ERA,三振保送率是3.33
印地安人还没有放弃他呢。
One free agent that is intriguing is 29-year-old Edward Mujica, who came up
through the Indians' system and pitched for the Tribe from '06-08. The righty
has a 1.00 WHIP and 6.16 strikeout-to-walk ratio over the past four years, and
posted a 2.78 ERA with 37 saves for the Cardinals this past season. Mujica
might command a three-year contract, but that seems fair given his age and
consistent performance.
颇吸引人的FA人选是29岁的Mujica,他从印地安人系统出身,於06到08年为克里夫兰
投球。这位右投过去四年是1.00 WHIP 6.16 K/BB,这季为红雀拿下了37次救援,2.78
ERA。考量到他的年纪和稳定的表现,Mujica或许会索求三年的合约。
Is there any chance that the Indians would make Danny Salazar their new closer?
I think he's got great closer potential.
-- Kathy M., Hubbard, Ohio
有可能笑脸人会让Danny Salazar当新的终结者吗?我觉得他有很好的潜力。
-- Kathy M., Hubbard, Ohio
Salazar's impressive three-pitch arsenal (fastball, slider and split-change)
definitely would make him seem like a strong closing candidate, but the young
right-hander also has the potential to be a rotation leader for the Tribe.
Cleveland might have a future ace on its hands in Salazar, and the team plans
on giving the pitcher every chance at starting next season and for years to
come.
Salazar有着令人印象深刻的三种球路:速球、滑球、叉指变速球,
这当然让他看来可能是个强力终结者的选项,
但这位年轻右投同时也很有潜力担任印地安人的前段轮值。
克里夫兰认为Salazar可能会是未来的当家王牌,明年也打算给他担任先发的机会。
Were you as shocked as I was that Michael Brantley did not even merit as a
finalist for a Gold Glove in left field this past season? I understand why
Kansasy City's Alex Gordon won, but explain to me how Oakland's Yoenis
Cespedes and Detroit's Andy Dirks were finalists ahead of Brantley.
-- Ed B., Albany, N.Y.
你会和我一样震惊Brantley没有进入左外野金手套的最後票选吗?我可以理解是皇家的
Gordon得奖,但是谁来跟我解释一下为什麽运动家的Cespedes和老虎的Dirks却赢过
Brantley进入最後票选?
-- Ed B., Albany, N.Y.
Shocked? No. But I was surprised enough to look deeper into the defensive
metrics. Among the nine American League left fielders with at least 700
innings, Brantley actually finished sixth in UZR/150 (-4.9) and eighth in
fangraphs.com's Defense rating (-10.8). While Brantley did have zero errors in
1,293 1/3 innings (only Gordon had more innings in left), the more advanced
metrics did not favor him. It was actually more surprising that Texas' David
Murphy (first in UZR/150 and Defense, and fourth in innings) was not a finalist
over Dirks or Cespedes, who ranked sixth and seventh, respectively, in innings
in left.
震惊?不会。但从守备进阶数据上来看我有点意外。在美联9个至少守700局的左外野手中
,Brantley的UZR/150是-4.9排第六,在frangraphs的守备评价中排第八。虽然Brantley
在1293.1局中零失误,但进阶数据比没有显示他比较好。反而是TEX的Murphy没进入最终
票选有点意外,他在 UZR/150及防守评价都排第一,守备局数第四。
What will the Indians do with outfielder Drew Stubbs? They could move Nick
Swisher into right field and play Carlos Santana at first base, allowing Yan
Gomes to be the starting catcher. Do you think the Indians will do something
like that?
-- Andrew S., Philadelphia
印地安人会怎麽处理Drew Stubbs?他们可能把Swisher移去右外野,让Santana站一垒,
Gomes就可以用捕手身分先发。你觉得印第安人会这样安排吗?
-- Andrew S., Philadelphia
Stubbs still has plenty of value because of his speed, defense and ability to
hit left-handed pitching, and he remains under contractual control through
2015. The emergence of Gomes has definitely thrown a wrinkle into the defensive
alignment, though. Santana will still catch, but Swisher could indeed be bumped
to right field (or designated hitter) more on days that Gomes starts behind the
plate. As has been the case for a few years now, Santana will surely see time
at first or DH when he isn't catching. With that kind of rotation, Stubbs could
be a strong platoon player in right field. The Indians might also explore what
kind of market there is for him via trade this winter.
由於他的速度、守备能力还有不错的杀左投能力,又可以在球队控制下使用到15年,
Stubbs还蛮有价值的。然而Gomes的出现的确打乱了守备的布局。Santana还是可以蹲捕,
但一旦Gomes先发捕手,Swisher就得多站右外野或指定打击了。而Santana就像这几年一
样,当他捕手轮休时,就会兼任一垒手或DH。在这样的轮值当中,Stubbs可以扮演右外野
上调度的一枚活棋。笑脸人这个冬天或许也会测试一下他的市场价值。
Is it possible some of the money marketed for free agents in the budget could
instead go to a long-term extension for Justin Masterson? I'd like to see him
fronting this rotation for a long, long time.
-- Jack B., Cleveland
有可能把部分预备签FA的钱挪去延长Masterson的合约吗?我希望他可以长久带领我们的轮
值。
-- Jack B., Cleveland
It would be surprising if the Indians were not already exploring an extension
for Masterson, who is currently eligible for free agency next winter.
如果现在印地安人还没决定要和Masterson延长合约的话,那就太让人讶异了。Masterson明
年就符合FA的资格。
In your previous Inbox, someone mentioned Billy Butler and called him a power
hitter and then you said he has averaged 20 home runs over the past five years.
Twenty home runs is not a power hitter. Albert Belle and Jim Thome were power
hitters. A power hitter hits 35-45 home runs a year.
-- Kevin W., Mansfield, Ohio
在先前的来信中,有人提到所谓的强力打者Butler,你也说他过去五年平均20轰。我想20轰
不能算是强力打者吧,要像Albert Belle和Jim Thome这样一季可以干35到45支才是强力打
者嘛。
-- Kevin W., Mansfield, Ohio
Fair enough, Kevin. That said, only three American League hitters hit at least
35 home runs in the 2013 season. I tend to consider someone with 30-homer
potential as a "power" hitter. Along those lines, Butler did belt 29 homers
just two seasons ago. There were only five Major Leaguers with at least 35
homers and just 14 with at least 30 homers in '13. If you want to redefine it
along the lines of slugging percentage, perhaps .500 is the way to go. Only 16
players in the big leagues had a slugging percentage at least that high last
season. That group averaged 29.7 homers.
有道理。话说回来,今年美联只有3个打者可以超过35轰。我倾向将有三十轰潜力的人视为
强力打者。而Butler前年的确敲了29只HR。13年只有五个打者超过三十五轰,14个打者超过
三十轰。如果你想从长打率来定义强力打者的话,.500算是可以接受的标准。而今年也只有
16个打者长打率可以超过.500,他们平均夯了29.7只。
The Indians need a right-handed power hitter in their lineup. Who in their
Minor League system can fill that need in time?
-- Stephan D. East Lyme, Conn.
笑脸人现在需要一只强力右打,小联盟现在有人顶得上来吗?
-- Stephan D. East Lyme, Conn.
One prospect to keep an eye on is right-handed first baseman Jesus Aguilar.
This past season at Double-A, the 23-year-old hit 16 homers with 28 doubles and
105 RBIs. He's averaged 18 homers per season over the past three years, which
translates into roughly 20-22 homers over a 162-game schedule. Cleveland's top
Draft pick last summer, Clint Frazier, posted a .506 slugging percentage with
five homers in 44 games in the Arizona League.
值得注意的一只新秀是右打一垒手Aguilar。他今年23岁,在2A敲出16HR,28只二安,105分
打点。过去三年他平均都有18轰,换算到162场他可以打出20到22支全垒打。去年夏天的第
一轮选秀Frazier在亚历桑纳联盟44场比赛中五轰,长打率.506
Do you think the Indians will still have Sandy Alomar Jr. as a coach for 2014?
I love the fact he is with the Tribe, but just think that he is destined to be
a manager.
-- Aaron J., Holland, Ohio
你觉得Sandy Alomar Jr.明年还会是印地安人的教练吗?我喜欢他在印地安人,只是觉得他
应该去当总教练才对。
-- Aaron J., Holland, Ohio
As of this writing, I haven't heard Alomar's name come up as a strong candidate
for any managerial openings. His name was floated last month as a possible
candidate for the Cubs' job. So, right now, Alomar is in the plans as the
Indians' first-base coach for the 2014 season.
在写这篇文章的同时,我并没有听到Alomar是甚麽教练候选人的消息。上个月据说小熊有机
会请他去当总仔。不过目前球队仍然计画Alomar会是明年的一垒指导教练。
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