Inbox: Will Bourn, Swisher improve in '14? Beat reporter Jordan Bastian answers Indians fans' questions By Jordan Bastian / MLB.com | 10/21/2013 11:20 A.M. ET http://ppt.cc/WiFW Is there any reason to believe that last year's big free-agent signings -- Michael Bourn and Nick Swisher -- will improve next season after their disappointing 2013 campaigns? -- Austin H., Akron, Ohio 去年签下的FA大物Michael Bourn和Nick Swisher在经过一个令人失望的13球季後， 有任何理由相信他们会触底反弹吗？ -- Austin H., Akron, Ohio At the end of this past season, Indians manager Terry Francona and general manager Chris Antonetti both said they felt Bourn and Swisher tried to do too much in 2013. That has certainly been the case countless other times for players fresh off signing a big contract with a new team. There are pressures that go along with signing a lucrative deal that can't be quantified. I prefer to look within the stats for signs that Bourn and Swisher can turn things around. 在今年球季的尾声，印地安人总教练Francona和总经理Antonetti都表示他们觉得 Bourn和Swisher试着做太多事情了。 在签大约的同时，伴随而来的压力实在无法量化。 但我倾向从数据上来看Bourn和Swisher是否有止跌回升的迹象。 Bourn's high strikeout rate and low walk rate -- both career worsts -- were definitely discouraging, as was his inability to get his running game going in terms of stolen bases. There are signs, however, that the center fielder can bounce back. For starters, his 22 percent line-drive rate (per baseball-reference.com) was the second highest of his career, and his .338 batting average on balls in play (BAbip) was nearly in line with his career mark (.342). Bourn的高三振和低保送率--两样都是生涯最糟，完全让人失望透顶。 从盗垒来看，他也没办法运用自己的速度。 不过看起来还是有机会他会反弹： 先发时他击出的平飞球比率是22%，生涯次高；BAbip是.338，几乎是生涯最佳(.342) Defensively, Bourn turned in a UZR/150 (ultimate zone rate per 150 games) of -0.9 as Cleveland's center fielder a year after posting a Major League-best 23.4, according to fangraphs.com. That's a big drop off, but this is where it is worth noting that Bourn put up a -6.1 UZR/150 in 2011 and a 21.1 mark in 2010. He has already established a history of rebounding year to year in terms of defensive metrics. Bourn will also be more familiar with the American League come 2014, so perhaps that will help him improve on his career-low stolen-base success rate of 66 percent. 防守上来说，Bourn在中外野的UZR/150是-0.9，去年他还有着傲视全联盟的23.4 看起来是暴跌，不过可以发现Bourn的UZR/150在11年是-6.1，10年则是21.1 他似乎维持着偶数年守备就会爆发的状况。 Bourn在14年会更习惯美联，所以这或许可以改善他今年生涯最惨的盗垒成功率(66%)。 As for Swisher, it is unclear how much his persistent left shoulder issues affected his hitting. That said, he ended with 22 homers, 27 doubles and 77 walks after averaging 26 homers, 31 doubles and 83 walks across the previous eight seasons. Despite his inconsistent showing, Swisher wound up near his career standards in multiple categories. 至於Swisher，目前还看不出来他左肩的旧伤会影响多少。 准确来说，他今年坐收22 HR 27 2B 77 BB， 而他过去八个球季平均是26 HR 31 2B 83 BB 尽管他今年表现起起伏伏，但他最後还是回复到生涯平均的状况。 Over the final 40 games of 2013, Swisher also posted a slash line of .269/.356/.506 with an .862 OPS and .294 BAbip. His other numbers within that stretch would project to 33 homers, 23 doubles, 73 walks and 86 RBIs over 600 plate appearances. In his previous four years with the Yankees, Swisher hit .268/.367/.483 with an .850 OPS, .308 BAbip, and an average of 26 homers, 34 doubles, 82 walks and 87 RBIs (in 625 plate appearances on average). 在13年的最後四十场比赛，Swisher打击三围是 .269/.356/.506 .862 OPS，.294 BAbip 如果这样维持600个打席，他会有33 HR 23 2B 73 BB 86 RBIs 而他之前在北佬的四年，是.268/.367/.483 .850 OPS， .308 BAbip 平均在625个打席中可以缴出26 HR 34 2B 82 BB 87 RBIs The point here is that Swisher performed at a more characteristic level down the stretch, when his shoulder was feeling better. In the 62 games prior to that 40-game sample, Swisher hit .208 with a .614 OPS. It was clear that he was not right at the plate, and his health likely played a big role. The strong finish brings hope that Swisher can bounce back in 2014. Swisher能否维持打击高档，端看他的肩膀状况如何。 在那40场前的62场比赛，Swisher打率只有.208 .614 OPS 很明显那时他还没准备好，而健康状况是主要的因素。 球季後半段的强力回归，让我们或可期待Swisher明年的表现。 To me, the most amazing part of the season, even more than 11 walk-offs, was the number of two-out runs scored by the Tribe. It just happened again and again. How many two-out runs were scored? How does that total compare to the 94-loss team from 2012? How does it compare to the '07 and '90s playoff teams? How many two-out runs came after it was initially two outs and no one on base? Who were the top five individual players this year for two-out RBIs (Michael Brantley first?) and who led the Majors? -- John B., currently Hiroshima, Japan (formerly Willoughby, Ohio) 对我而言，这季最让人惊讶的地方不是那11场再见胜利，而是球队在2出局後的得分。 这种情况一再出现。到底有多少两出局後得分？这和去年94败的我们、07年、90年代 相比如何？到底有多少得分是在两出局，垒上空空如也後打回来的？谁是队上的两出 局後打点王？(是Michael Brantley吗？)，联盟两出局打点王是谁呢？ -- John B., currently Hiroshima, Japan (formerly Willoughby, Ohio Is that it, John? I know it's not, actually. I have the rest of your questions stored in the ol' inbox for future research projects. The Indians hit well with two outs, but they might not have been as prolific as it felt. They ranked fifth in the AL in two-out runs (292) behind Texas (318), Boston (317), Detroit (317) and Toronto (293). The Tribe's 292 two-out runs ranked 17th in a single season for the franchise, dating back to 1947. 是这样吗？就我知道的好像不是。 印地安人的确在两出局後打得很好，但成绩可能没有球迷感觉来的优秀。 他们在两出局後得了292分，美联第五，输给TEX(318)、BOS(317)、DET(317)、TOR(293) 而回溯到1947年，这样的两出局後得分也仅只能在队史排第17。 The 2007 Indians churned out 320 runs with two outs, and the 1999 (428) and 1996 (377) rank first and second, respectively, for the franchise, going back to '47. Carlos Santana actually led the Indians in two-out RBIs with 35, but Brantley ranked first in two-out average (.305) and second in RBIs (33). With two outs and none on, the Indians had 191 hits, 83 walks and a .322 on-base percentage. While solid, none of those figures hold much historical significance for the team. Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera led the AL in two-out average (.355), home runs (19) and RBIs (60). 07年的笑脸人在两出局後得了320分，队史最高和次高分别是99年的428分和96年的377分 Carlos Santana是全队两出局打点王，35分打点。 而Brantley是两出局打击王(.305)，同时33分打点名列第二。 两出局零人在垒，印地安人一共击出191支安打，83保送，上垒率.322 尽管成绩不错，但没有一项数据是队史中特别突出的。 老虎队强打者Miguel Cabrera是美联两出局打击王(.355)、全垒打王(19)、打点王(60) Would it not be best to try the hardest to re-sign free-agents Ubaldo Jimenez and Scott Kazmir -- known commodities -- than to lose them and go after replacements? -- Gary P., North Olmsted, Ohio 重签Ubaldo Jimenez和Scott Kazmir这两个可用之才， 应该比让他们进FA然後找替代方案来的好吧？ -- Gary P., North Olmsted, Ohio Are they known commodities, though? Just one season ago, Jimenez led baseball in losses and was a disaster mechanically on the mound, and Kazmir couldn't get a big league job and was pitching in independent ball. Yes, they both had strong comeback seasons in 2013, but both would be a gamble on a long-term contract. I could see Cleveland re-signing one, but bringing both back seems unlikely. 不过他们真的堪用吗？ 才短短一年前，Jimenez上场就几乎意味着输球，在投手丘上表现也是一片灾难； Kazmir甚至还上不了MLB，只能自主训练。 的确他们在13年都强势回归了，不过给他们长约无异是赌博。 我可以想见克里夫兰签其中一个，但要同时留下两个恐怕不大可能。 Is there any chance, by some combination of his gratitude toward the Indians and his affinity for pitching coach Mickey Callaway, that Ubaldo doesn't void the $8-million team option for 2014? -- Damien C., Copley, Ohio 有可能UBall因为他对印地安人的感谢和与投教Callaway的私交 让他接受球队14年的8M选择权吗？ -- Damien C., Copley, Ohio In a perfect world -- one in which every time a bell rings an Angel gets its wings -- I guess that could happen. This isn't a perfect world, though, and baseball is a business. It would be more likely for Jimenez to void the team option (a right he earned after being traded by Colorado in 2011) and accept Cleveland's one-year qualifying offer (set at $14.1 million). That is also an unlikely scenario, because Jimenez is poised to reel in a multiyear contract due to his strong '13 season. 在理想世界里，我想是有可能的。但世界是现实的，必须在商言商。 Jimenez比较有可能拒绝球队选择，转而接受一年的合格报价(14.1M) 不过这可能性仍然不高，在经过13强势的一季後，Jimenez应该会寻求一份复数年合约。 I've read in different places that Jimenez either has a club option or a mutual option for $8 million for 2014. Can you clear that up? -- Mike E., Austin, Texas 我好像在不同地方看到Jimenez在14年有8M的球队选择权还是跳脱合约的权利？ 你可以解释一下吗？ -- Mike E., Austin, Texas As part of his original contract with the Rockies, Jimenez had a team option worth $8 million for 2014, but the right-hander was permitted to void that option in the event that he was traded. There is, however, no specified deadline for when the pitcher needs to exercise that right. It will all likely be sorted out in the days immediately following the conclusion of the World Series. 在他原本和洛矶之间的合约中，Jimenez原本在14年是有8M的球队选择权的。 但这位右投手在被交易时，他被给予了跳脱合约的权力。 然而行使这个权利并没有特别的时限。 看起来这个问题在世界大赛结束後，会很快有结果的。 What are the Indians' plans for Carlos Carrasco? It seems to me that he has nasty stuff, but he can't sustain it for more than a few innings at the Major League level at this point in his career. Do the Indians feel that he could be a possibility for the back of the bullpen? -- Grant H., Buffalo, N.Y. 之後球团对於Carlos Carrasco有甚麽想法吗？我觉得他的球路仍然难打，不过却没办法 在MLB层级上撑过几局，球团觉得他有机会转任牛棚吗？ -- Grant H., Buffalo, N.Y. During the season-end sit-down with reporters, Francona made it clear that he still wants to give Carrasco a chance to be a part of Cleveland's rotation. If the hard-throwing righty comes to spring as a starting candidate and does not win a job, the Indians could then throw him into the mix for a bullpen job. I doubt Carrasco would be given a critical late-inning role right away, though. 在和记者的季末会谈中，Francona表示他会再给Carrasco机会成为克里夫兰轮值一角。 如果他在春训时无法赢得先发位置的话，印地安人可能会先让他尝试从牛棚出发。 虽然我蛮怀疑Carrasco在比赛後半段能扮演什麽角色。 还是要请大家包涵不是很即时哩，例如像UBall几乎要跟我们说再见了QAQ 也请大家多多指教罗 --

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