作者Anakin (Anakin)
看板Indians
标题2008 projections
时间Tue Nov 20 23:03:25 2007
Nate Silver对几个成绩预测系统去年表现作了检查
2007 Hitter Projection Roundup:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=564
2007 Pitcher Projection Roundup:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=569
如果你没有Baseball Prospectus帐号，看不到PECOTA
CHONE跟ZIPS这两个系统都算是不错的参考资料，也很方便取得
ZIPS还没有做到印地安人队的
而CHONE 2008年的投打预估成绩都出来了
投：
http://lanaheimangelfan.blogspot.com/2007/11/2008-pitcher-projections.html
打：
http://lanaheimangelfan.blogspot.com/2007/11/finally-hitter-projections.html
列几个印地安人队主要球员的数字
Age G GS IP HIT HR BB SO HB RUN ER ERA
Joe Borowski 37 67 0 67 65 7 23 51 2 32 29 3.90
Paul Byrd 37 31 31 194 224 24 38 92 7 106 98 4.55
Aaron Fultz 34 53 0 50 49 4 22 38 2 25 23 4.14
Rafael Betancourt 33 61 0 68 59 6 16 63 2 25 23 3.04
Jake Westbrook 30 30 30 177 200 14 66 104 7 96 89 4.53
Cliff Lee 29 30 28 166 166 20 65 116 7 87 81 4.39
Juan Lara 27 55 0 58 61 6 29 45 3 33 30 4.66
Tom Mastny 27 45 3 67 67 6 32 58 3 35 32 4.30
C.C. Sabathia 27 32 32 221 216 20 45 184 8 92 85 3.46
Brian Slocum 27 18 11 63 68 7 35 47 3 39 36 5.14
Rafael Perez 26 44 11 104 106 11 38 79 4 52 48 4.15
JD Martin 25 9 9 36 41 5 18 21 2 23 21 5.25
Reid Santos 25 38 10 87 99 12 47 60 4 58 53 5.48
Jeremy Sowers 25 28 28 162 181 19 53 81 8 92 85 4.72
Fausto Carmona 24 38 26 180 183 16 55 124 9 85 78 3.90
Jensen Lewis 24 37 9 79 79 9 34 71 3 41 38 4.33
Scott Lewis 24 24 23 101 112 13 45 77 5 61 56 4.99
Edward Mujica 24 44 0 54 53 5 17 45 2 25 23 3.83
Aaron Laffey 23 30 27 156 177 16 59 93 8 90 84 4.85
Adam Miller 23 18 14 79 85 9 36 64 4 45 42 4.78
Age PA AB Run Hits 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SA WOBA
Blake 34 572 514 68 131 28 2 19 58 4 3 50 116 .255 .330 .428 .333
Dellucci 34 313 274 39 65 13 2 10 34 3 2 36 71 .237 .332 .409 .329
Michaels 32 434 391 50 103 20 1 8 44 4 4 39 77 .263 .336 .381 .322
Hafner 31 602 499 99 139 29 1 29 88 1 0 95 113 .279 .402 .515 .399
Martinez 29 611 539 84 154 33 1 20 83 0 0 65 76 .286 .370 .462 .366
Shoppach 28 278 253 31 57 13 0 10 31 0 0 22 84 .225 .295 .395 .303
Garko 27 567 505 72 135 28 1 19 67 2 2 44 97 .267 .347 .440 .347
Francisco 26 506 467 60 122 28 2 13 57 16 7 35 86 .261 .318 .413 .321
Peralta 26 608 544 77 147 30 2 19 71 3 2 61 130 .270 .347 .438 .345
Snyder 26 516 469 57 105 22 3 13 52 12 3 43 159 .224 .295 .367 .294
Barfield 25 516 483 57 128 27 2 9 54 15 5 30 92 .265 .312 .385 .308
Choo 25 528 474 63 123 25 3 9 53 20 8 51 101 .259 .335 .382 .321
Gutierrez 25 479 441 56 114 26 1 12 53 13 6 35 101 .259 .317 .404 .318
Sizemore 25 700 602 121 173 40 6 23 77 26 9 85 129 .287 .387 .488 .383
Toregas 25 361 336 33 74 18 0 5 32 2 1 22 68 .220 .274 .318 .266
Brown 24 534 487 60 130 30 2 9 56 6 2 41 73 .267 .331 .392 .322
Marte 24 508 464 58 114 28 1 16 58 1 1 42 99 .246 .311 .414 .318
Cabrera 22 577 527 74 136 32 3 7 49 15 8 47 97 .258 .322 .370 .310
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 61.230.173.110
1F：推 sabathia:Westbrook才吃177局? 他是我们的王牌工作马耶 11/20 23:22
2F：推 LedZeppelin:PECOTA的预测不用帐号就能看吧(印象) 11/20 23:28
3F：→ LedZeppelin:试了一下记错了 XD 只能看历史成绩 11/20 23:29
4F：推 Tmk:去年只有一个礼拜能看 XD 11/21 00:45
5F：推 fAnFaNfAN:Pronk明年应该不会只打出这种成绩，他会回来的(希望XD) 11/21 00:45
6F：推 kimimaru:不准啦 司机的防御率哪有那麽好@ @ 11/22 00:22
7F：推 goopa:刚刚看完 The Lonely Star 那篇文章，Mel Harder好强... 11/25 17:04