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标题[新闻] 白宫修改抒困方案
时间Sun Oct 12 22:34:17 2008
标题:White House Overhauling Rescue Plan
By EDMUND L. ANDREWS and MARK LANDLER
Published: October 11, 2008
WASHINGTON — As international leaders gathered here on Saturday to grapple
with the global financial crisis, the Bush administration embarked on an
overhaul of its own strategy for rescuing the foundering financial system.
Two weeks after persuading Congress to let it spend $700 billion to buy
distressed securities tied to mortgages, the Bush administration has put that
idea aside in favor of a new approach that would have the government inject
capital directly into the nation’s banks — in effect, partially
nationalizing the industry.
As recently as Sept. 23, senior officials had publicly derided proposals by
Democrats to have the government take ownership stakes in banks.
The Treasury Department’s surprising turnaround on the issue of buying stock
in banks, which has now become its primary focus, has raised questions about
whether the administration squandered valuable time in trying to sell
Congress on a plan that officials had failed to think through in advance.
It has also raised questions about whether the administration’s deep
philosophical aversion to government ownership in private companies hindered
its ability to look at all options for stabilizing the markets.
Some experts also contend that Treasury’s decision last month to not use
taxpayer money to save Lehman Brothers worsened the panic that quickly
metastasized into an international crisis.
The administration’s new focus was announced late Friday as part of a rescue
plan in coordination with six of the world’s richest nations. It came during
a week when the Dow Jones industrial average plummeted 18 percent, one of the
worst weeks in stock market history.
While the Treasury says it still plans to buy distressed assets, the scope of
that plan is unclear. Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. has refused to
say whether the capital infusion program for banks would be bigger than the
original plan to buy troubled assets.
Still, Treasury has directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the
government-controlled mortgage giants, to ramp up their purchases of
hard-to-sell mortgage bonds, in what could be a speedier and less formal
process than the auctions proposed by the Treasury.
Underscoring the gravity of the situation, President Bush convened an early
morning meeting at the White House on Saturday with finance ministers from
the Group of 7 industrialized countries.
“All of us recognize that this is a serious global crisis, and therefore
requires a serious global response, for the good of our people,” Mr. Bush
said afterward in the Rose Garden, flanked by the ministers, who are in
Washington for the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the
World Bank.
Mr. Bush said the countries had agreed to general principles to respond to
the crisis, including working to prevent the collapse of important financial
institutions and protecting the deposits of savers. But he offered no details
on other measures, suggesting that there were still differences among
countries about which steps to take to shore up their respective financial
systems.
To some extent, the effort to agree on a coordinated plan is being driven
less by the hope that such measures will carry more punch than by the fear
that nations acting alone could destabilize the system.
Those worries grew in recent days when Iceland seized its three major banks,
which were failing, and appeared to guarantee the deposits of Icelanders over
those of foreigners. That provoked a fierce reaction from Britain, which is
now in talks with Iceland to get back the deposits of British citizens.
With the United States and Europe working together on ways to secure their
banking systems, economists are concerned that money may flow out of other
countries, particularly emerging markets, to Western countries if investors
decide that those markets are not as safe.
The United States sought to reassure these countries in a meeting on Saturday
evening of the Group of 20, which includes countries with large emerging
markets, like China and Russia.
“We want to reaffirm, reinforce our commitment that we’re going to take
these actions in a way that doesn’t undermine the economies of other
countries,” said David H. McCormick, the under secretary of the Treasury for
international affairs.
Like the United States, Britain plans to provide capital directly to banks.
But the United States and other countries have not adopted Britain’s
proposal to guarantee lending between banks as a way to unlock the credit
market.
Germany has been reluctant to put state capital directly into banks, though
officials said there were signs of movement in that position on Saturday.
Europeans leaders were scheduled to meet in Paris on Sunday, amid reports
that Germany may announce a large rescue plan of its own.
Some experts said the delay in carrying out the Bush administration’s $700
billion bailout plan had only hurt its prospects for success.
“Even if it was adequate before, it’s not adequate now,” said Frederic
Mishkin, a professor of economics at Columbia University’s business school
who stepped down as a Federal Reserve governor at the end of August. “If you
delay and create uncertainty, the amount of money you have to put up goes up.
”
As recently as late September, the idea of letting the government buy part of
the banking system had been unthinkable in the Bush administration. To many
officials, such intervention seemed like a European-style government
intrusion in the markets.
“Some said we should just stick capital in the banks, take preferred stock
in the banks. That’s what you do when you have failure,” Mr. Paulson told
the Senate Banking Committee on Sept. 23. “This is about success.”
Mr. Paulson told lawmakers it made more sense to jumpstart the frozen credit
markets with “market measures,” by which he meant buying up assets rather
than institutions. He staunchly resisted Democratic proposals to require that
the government receive an equity stake in the companies it was helping.
But on Friday, Mr. Paulson not only confirmed his intention to buy stakes in
banks but gave the idea central billing. “We can use the taxpayer’s money
more effectively and efficiently, get more for the taxpayer’s dollar, if we
develop a standardized program to buy equity in financial institutions,” Mr.
Paulson said.
Treasury officials said they hoped to make the first capital investments
within the next two weeks. That would be earlier than any government
purchases of unwanted mortgage-backed securities. One reason for Mr. Paulson’
s rapid reconsideration was that global financial markets have been going
downhill faster than anyone had seen before.
Credit markets seized up and all but stopped functioning, making it
impossible for most companies to borrow money on more than an overnight
basis. Bank stocks plummeted, making it much more difficult to shore up their
balance sheets by raising more capital from investors.
Investors panicked as the House initially rejected the bailout bill on Sept.
29. They panicked even more after Congress passed a bill on Oct. 3 that was
packed with sweeteners that added $110 billion to the price tag.
By the closing bell last Friday, the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index had
suffered its worst week since 1933. A growing number of analysts argue that
Mr. Paulson’s original plan, called the Troubled Assets Relief Program,
would have been unhelpful and possibly unworkable. Some noted that Mr.
Paulson presented Congress a proposal that was only three pages long and that
Treasury officials have yet to provide details how the auctions will work.
As envisioned, the Treasury or its agents would hold so-called “reverse
auctions” in which financial institutions are invited to compete against
each other in offering to sell their mortgage-backed securities at a low
price.
Though auctions are common for all sorts of products, including electricity
that utilities sell one another, experts said that mortgage-backed securities
would pose difficult headaches because they are extraordinarily complex,
difficult to value and come in almost limitless varieties.
The bonds for a single pool of mortgages are divided into more than a dozen “
tranches,” or slices, which have different seniority, different credit
ratings and different rules for being paid off. The performance of the
underlying mortgages varies greatly from one pool to another, even if both
pools are made up of seemingly similar loans.
“I am not aware that the Treasury Department presented any evidence on
auctions that have been successful when they are used for assets that are so
heterogeneous,” said William Poole, who retired in August as president of
the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Because Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage giants, buy and sell
mortgage securities every day, they could absorb some of the hard-to-sell
securities without going through the untested auction process.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which last month seized the companies and
placed them into a conservatorship, lifted capital restrictions on them last
week and effectively gave them a green light to buy more mortgage securities
of all types, including those backed by subprime loans, given to borrowers
with weak credit.
The companies have a lot of money; Congress authorized Treasury to lend them
as much as $100 billion each as part of the rescue plan created for them.
That could free up money in the separate $700 billion bailout plan for
injecting capital directly into the banks. People familiar with the early
planning efforts for a systemic bailout said the chairman of the Federal
Reserve, Ben S. Bernanke, argued that it would be easier and more efficient
to inject capital directly into banks. But Treasury officials balked, in part
because they were ideologically opposed to direct government involvement in
business.
But as the financial markets spiraled further downward during the last 10
days, a growing number of top-tier institutions, including Goldman Sachs and
Morgan Stanley, became worried about their survival.
“The crisis in confidence goes way beyond the actual losses that will be
incurred from debt securities,” Mickey Levy, chief economist for Bank of
America, said in an interview on Friday. “It’s truly incumbent on policy
makers to address that crisis.”
Treasury officials began canvassing banks and investment firms about the
possibility of having the government buy stakes in them. The new bailout law
gave the Treasury the authority to buy up almost any kind of asset it wanted,
including stock or preferred shares in banks.
Industry executives quickly told Mr. Paulson that they liked the idea, though
they warned that the Treasury should not try to squeeze out existing
shareholders. They also begged Mr. Paulson not to impose tough restrictions
on executive pay and golden-parachute deals for executives who are fired.
Mr. Paulson heeded those pleas. In his remarks on Friday, he carefully noted
that the government would acquire only “nonvoting” shares in companies. And
officials said the law lets the Treasury write most of its own restrictions
on executive pay, and those restrictions can be lenient if they are applied
to a set of fairly healthy companies.
Mark Landler contributed reporting.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/12/business/12imf.html?pagewanted=2&_r=
1&th&emc=th
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