※ [本文转录自 NBA 看板] 作者: jerry7603 (AI) 看板: NBA 标题: Re: [翻译]2006NCAA球员在NBA的成功率 时间: Thu Sep 6 03:16:47 2007 把剩下补完 NOTABLE OMISSIONS 遗珠之憾 Patrick O’Bryant, C, Bradley % Chance to Start – 18.65% Was similar to: Yinka Dare, Nazr Mohammed, Erick Dampier O’Bryant grades out as similar to Tyrus Thomas, but not nearly as high because Thomas’ numbers are generally higher across the board. He has a lot of same problems as Thomas in that his offense is still under-developed, but he has added concern of being a bit soft and undisciplined. He is doesn’t go to the foul line as much and will shy away from contact at times. Also, he is very foul prone, which will limit his minutes in the NBA. O’Bryant缴出来的成绩和Tyrus Thomas很像，但是每一项都在稍微弱一些，他和Thomas 一样在进攻上发展不够充分的，但他比Thomas更软而且比较没有纪律。他不常站上罚球线 同时也不太喜欢碰撞。另外他容易犯规，这将限制他在NBA的上场时间。 Adam Morrison, SF, Gonzaga % Chance to Start – 17.51% Was similar to: Casey Jacobsen, Calbert Cheaney, Pat Garrity Morrison’s type has not done well historically, so it may be an explanation as to why his success rate is low. He grades out as strictly a catch-and-shoot scorer who does not look to pass or put the ball on the floor. This tendency may hurt him in the NBA, because he’s not very athletic and can’t create his own shot. Defensively, he has long way to go to say the least. His stats are poor with exception to rebounds. Then from watching him, he seems to really struggle to stay in front of his man. His success really depends on the team that drafts him and the system they play. 历史上Morrison这种类型的球员成功案例并不多，这可以解释为什麽他成功的机率会比 较低，他表现出的仅仅是catch-and-shoot，没有传球，没有运球，这种倾向可能会使 他在NBA受到挫折，因为他运动能力并不强而且没办法自己得分。防守上，他还有很长的 路要走。除了篮板以外他的防守数据非常差。从观察他可以知道，他是真的很努力的 。他要成功将依赖於选择他的球队和那支球队所采用的系统。 Rodney Carney, SF, Memphis % Chance to Start – 14.40% Was similar to: Tayshaun Prince, James Jones, Kyle Korver Carney is an absolute enigma on the offensive end. He has a ton of athleticism, but doesn’t use it very much, since he spends most of his time jacking up three pointers. In fact, half of his field goal attempts over the course of his career were threes. He doesn’t look to pass, so this may be a bigger problem in the pros. His best chance to stick will probably be with his defense. He puts up solid stats and is athletic enough to stay in front of people, so that does work in his favor. Carney在进攻端上是个谜，他有良好的运动能力，但是并不太善用它，因为他花了相当多 时间去成为一个三分射手(这样翻吗？)。事实上，他生涯有一半的出手都是在三分线外。 他不太会传球，这会是他比较大的问题。能让他在联盟生存的可能是他的防守，他有坚强 的数据并且有盯人时需要的运动能力，这是他的优势。 (噢，我们家的小卡加油阿！！！) Randy Foye, SG, Villanova % Chance to Start – 10.19% Was similar to: Bob Sura, Derek Fisher, Jimmy King Foye fits the most common type of player with the highest bust rate, which is the undersized two, not really a point guard position. That doesn’t bode too well for Foye, but he does have the tools to buck the odds. Also, he shown significant improvement over his four year career, but at 22, he might have topped out. So, he projects to be player off the bench in the mold of Fred Jones. Foye符合那种大多数会变成BUST的类型，小一号的得分後卫。对Foye来说那不是个好的 预兆，但他有足够的技巧去反驳这些。而且他在大学四年里不断进步，不过，他已经22 岁了，或许这已经是他最好的极限了。所以，他可能成为像Fred Jones那样在板凳上的 球员。 J.J. Redick, SG, Duke % Chance to Start – 4.34 % Was similar to: Trajan Langdon, Shawn Respert, Terry Dehere The odds are really stacked against Redick to say the least. The problem with Redick is that he is as one-dimensional as it gets with his shooting being the only plus. He does not do anything else particularly well and on top of that, he is undersized and not athletic enough for the NBA. He might make it as a specialist, but every specialist in the past had some other plus skill in addition. Steve Kerr had point guard skills and Kyle Korver was a good rebounder in college. So, Redick might suffer a fate similar to Trajan Langdon, who was out of the league in three years. 对Redick不利的因素很多，Redick的问题是他只有投射这样技能，他并不专精於其他， 最重要的他身材太矮而且运动能力不足以适应NBA。他可能成为一个专家，但是过去每 一个专家都有其他的技能。Steve Kerr有着控球後卫的技巧，而Kyle Korver在大学是个 很好的篮板手。所以Redick可能会和Trajan Langdon有一样的命运，Langdon在三年後就 离开了NBA。 I took a few things away from running this little study Versatility will greatly improve a player’s chances of success. Guards have a higher chance to succeed if they work from inside-out. College big men drafted outside the top 5 will not become elite players 附注 全能的球员将增加在NBA中成功的机率。 後卫有执行过inside-out将有较高的成功率。 大学不在前五的大个子球员不可能成为明星球员。 This method is not going to predict the future, but it could be useful way to assess the on-court risk associated with draft prospects. Then again, I could be wrong or I could be right. As it always is with the draft, time will tell. 这个方法不能预言未来，但是他是个有效的方法去预估在场上的风险和选秀们的远景。 在一次的说，我可能会错可能会对。时间会告诉我们一切。 -- 心情、生活、NBA 我的Blog：http://blog.pixnet.net/che7603 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 123.194.81.1 ※ 编辑: jerry7603 来自: 123.194.81.1 (09/06 03:37) ※ freijaking:转录至看板 Sixers 09/06 08:25 ※ yang0325:转录至看板 Orl-Magic 09/06 08:32 ※ 编辑: jerry7603 来自: 123.194.81.1 (09/06 10:35) -- 理直，气和。 --

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