作者MousePads ( )
看板Grad-ProbAsk
标题Re: [问题] 统计问题
时间Sun Mar 29 17:17:22 2009
※ 引述《heyhey1025 (heyhey)》之铭言:
: Suppose that a person plays a game in which his score must be one of the 5
: numbers 1,2...,5 and that each of these 5numbers is equally likely to be
: his score. The first time he plays the game, his score is X. He then
: continues to play the game until he obtains another score Y such that
: Y大於等於X. Assuming that all plays of the game are independent. Find the
: probability of the event that Y = 5
: 答案是137/300
: 请帮一下 谢谢
如果一开始抽到 1 (机率1/5),之後抽到1~5都会结束游戏,以5结束的机率是 1/5
如果一开始抽到 2 (机率1/5),之後抽到2~5才能结束游戏,以5结束的机率是 1/4
...
如果一开始抽到 5 (机率1/5),只有之後抽到5才能结束游戏,以5结束的机率是 1/1
1 1 1 1 1 1 137
- * [- + - + - + - + - ] = ---
5 5 4 3 2 1 300
--
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 123.194.162.148
1F:推 heyhey1025:哈哈 谢谢 我想的太复杂了 感谢感谢 03/29 17:58