这是一篇 ESPN Kevin Pelton (就是季初出把勇士排在西区14的那位仁兄) 回应网友提问的文章 因为他的分析比较算是看数据说话 我觉得可以参考一下 发表的时间是美国时间1/23所以数据不一定是最新的 "What's wrong with the Golden State Warriors' starting lineup?" - Kevin, Los Angeles Although the Warriors are currently 8-7, it's despite and not because of their starting five. Among the league's 16 lineups that have played at least 100 minutes together this season, Golden State's minus-14.6 net rating is far and away the worst, according to NBA Advanced Stats. (Naturally, teams' most-used lineups tend to be pretty good, so 11 of the 16 lineups have outscored their opponents while on the court.) 尽管勇士的战绩是不差的8-7(现在是8-8) 那并不是因为先发五人的贡献 在联盟16组打超过100分钟的lineup中 勇士先发的-14.6 net ratings是 最差而且遥遥落後 (通常一个球队最常使用的lineup应该蛮好 因此16组当中 的11组赢过对手) Our first inclination with any outlier stat should be to look at how it might be fluky. In this case, the Warriors' starters have shot atypically poorly when on the court together. That lineup is shooting 27% on 3s (25-of-93) even though the players in it are shooting a collective 35.5% (97-of-273) in all other combinations. Given we're talking about a sample of fewer than 100 3-point attempts,that will surely even out to some extent. 我们要看看有没有什麽离群值让这个数据只是运气成分造成的 勇士的先发五人 同时在场上的三分命中率只有27% (25/93) 而这五人在其他组合的三分命中率 却是35.5% (97/273) 因为93次出手算是小样本 之後或许某种程度会回归平均 Still, randomness alone probably can't explain how Golden State's success this season has been almost entirely the inverse of what I expected. I figured the Warriors would build leads with Stephen Curry on the court and give them back when he hit the bench. Instead, they've been better so far with Curry on the bench and have seen only a slight offensive drop-off without the two-time MVP despite his offensive heroics. 我本来以为勇士会在curry在场时建立领先然後在休息的时候败一些回去 相反的 他们目前在curry坐板凳时表现较好 而且在进攻方面下降不多 It does seem like opponents' ability to sell out defensively against Curry is an issue. We've seen repeated use of box-and-one defenses against him, starting with the Toronto Raptors replicating their strategy from the 2019 NBA Finals and including former Raptors assistant coach Nate Bjorkgren importing it to the Indiana Pacers. 似乎对手针对curry的防守是个问题 自从暴龙2019冠军战开始 我们已经反覆看到box-1 前暴龙助教Bjorkgren现在也把它引进溜马 One shocking stat about Golden State's starting five stands out to me: Curry's usage rate with the starters is just 22% of the team's plays, barely better than an average player. 一个让我震惊的数据是curry在先发五人中的使用率只有22% 只稍稍比 一般平均球员好一点 In part, Curry's immense gravity is creating opportunities for teammates to convert at high efficiency. Wiggins is posting a .579 true shooting percentage with the starters and James Wiseman is at .568, both far better than their overall marks -- and, for that matter, better than Curry with the starters (.558). Nonetheless, I think Steve Kerr has to find more ways to keep defenses from taking Curry out of the game with the starters given his usage rate balloons to north of 35% as part of any other lineup. curry强大的吸怪能力还是让队友提高了效率 Wiggings和先发同场时 真实命中率是.579 Wiseman是.568 远比他们的平均水准好 也比 curry和他们在一起时好(.558)XD 尽管如此 我想Kerr应该要想办法 避免防守方让curry先发时碰不到球 curry在其他lineup使用率都可以 在35%以上 心得: 回想之前暴龙拿出box-1时大家有多惊讶 现在都变成常规操作了 过半场包夹也是大部分球队的共识 大家一直觉得curry状态不佳 事实上是他承受的防守压力逐年增加 现在先发的offensive rating 是93 比the process时期的76人还差 这对於拥有这几年全联盟进攻影响力最高球员curry的球队实在 很难让人接受 我想之後应该会有一些lineup或打法上的调整 不然有可能会没有 季後赛可打 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 114.36.129.143 (台湾) ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/G-S-WARRIORS/M.1611585152.A.7AB.html ※ 编辑: taiwanrules (114.36.129.143 台湾), 01/26/2021 00:32:45