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标题[外媒] 《经济学人》:马恐遭党内孤立(中英对照)
时间Tue Apr 8 22:04:19 2014
Sunflower sutra
太阳花经
Apr 8th 2014, 8:54 by J.R. | TAIPEI
李钟林/译
MA YING-JEOU, Taiwan’s president, is no doubt relieved. After three weeks
occupying the debating chamber of the Legislative Yuan, Taiwan’s parliament,
student protesters agreed on April 7th to end their sit-in within three days.
Demonstrators have fought with riot police, and some have been injured;
hundreds of thousands converged on the presidential office on March 30th. But
signs of disunity are appearing in Mr Ma’s ruling party, the Kuomintang (or
KMT). And relations with China are in danger of cooling.
台湾总统马英九现在肯定大大松了一口气。在立法院被占领近三个星期後,学生同意在三
日内,也就是四月七日当天退场。这群抗议群众和镇暴警察对抗,有些人因此受伤,在三
月三十日当天,更有成千上万的群众包围总统府。不过,马英九所属的执政党──国民党
──却开始出现杂音,而且,台湾和中国的关系也有可能面临恶化的危机。
The students’ occupation of parliament was in a bid to prevent the passage
of an agreement allowing for freer trade in services with China. They argue
that the pact was negotiated in secret and will allow China to gain greater
political control over the island. One of their main demands was for a law
allowing for greater public oversight of such cross-strait agreements, to be
implemented before this particular services pact is passed. On April 3rd Mr Ma
’s cabinet partially responded to this demand by approving a bill for
monitoring such pacts with China—but still did not agree to the idea of
enacting it first. It was only on April 6th, when Taiwan’s parliamentary
speaker, Wang Jin-pyng, pledged to halt review of the services deal until
such a law was enacted that the students agreed to call it a day.
此次学生占领议会的运动,主要诉求是阻挡和中国签订的自由贸易协议。学生指出,这份
和中国的黑箱协议将会加剧中国对台湾的政治控制,其中一项诉求是尽快立法让全民能够
共同监督两岸条例,先立法再审查。四月三日,马政府的内阁只回应了部分诉求,答应设
计监督条例,可是并未同意先立法。四月六日,台湾立法院长王金平才正式回应学生诉求
,承诺先立法在审查服贸,才有了突破性的进展。
Mr Wang’s promise (made, to much media fanfare, during a visit to the
students in the debating chamber) was glaringly at odds with the stance of Mr
Ma’s administration. Mr Ma’s spokeswoman, Garfie Li, said she had no idea
that Mr Wang, a powerful figure in the KMT, had planned to say this. The
cabinet’s spokesman, Sun Lih-chyun, did not agree with this pledge. It is
unclear what will happen next. Officials say passage of the services pact,
which opens sensitive industries including telecommunications and publishing
to Chinese investment, is vital for Taiwan’s economic development and its
participation in some regional trade blocs. But other observers say that Mr
Ma risks isolating himself within the fractured KMT if he exerts more
pressure on lawmakers to pass the contentious pact. The opposition and many
Taiwanese, fearful of greater economic integration with China, still firmly
support Mr Wang’s pledge. And not all students are ready to leave the
chamber.
王金平的承诺显然和马政府并不站在同一立场(王金平进入立法院探视学生更引起媒体一
阵骚动)。王金平在国民党的地位举足轻重,可是马政府发言人李佳霏则表示对王院长的
发言事先并不知情,行政院发言人孙立群先前也不同意这项诉求。至於情势会如何发展,
目前还不明朗。政府官员一再宣称,服贸对台湾的经济发展不可或缺,服贸更可以促进台
湾加入其他区域贸易联盟,不过这份服贸却开放中国投资通讯、出版等敏感产业。更有观
察家指出,如果马英九持续对立委施压尽速通过协议,在国民党已被分化的情形下,他将
面临在党内被孤立的风险。目前,在野党和恐惧中国经济干预加重的台湾人一概支持王金
平的承诺。不过,也并非所有学生都打算退出立院。
Some students say Mr Wang’s high-profile visit also generated expectations
among the public that the protests would soon end. Even before his promise, a
poll conducted between April 2nd and 3rd by TVBS, a broadcaster, suggested
that many Taiwanese are weary of parliamentary paralysis. Fully 43% opposed
the services pact—but more than half (56%) thought the students should
either end their protest or take it to another venue. Oliver Chen, a student
spokesman, says that their protest has now gained enough influence, but also
that students are wilting. “Our comrades are really tired. We are physically
and spiritually exhausted.”
有些学生表示,王金平高调探视,让社会开始期待这场抗称能早日结束。早在他做出承诺
前,台湾新闻媒体TVBS在四月二日、三日的民调就显示多数台湾民众担心议事瘫痪,其中
,有四成三的受访者反对服贸,但也有超过半数(五成六)的受访者认为学生应该结束抗
争或转往其他管道。学生代表陈瑞光则表示,他们的抗争已经累积了足够能量,可是学生
仍然在等待,他说:「大家都累了,我们现在身心俱疲」。
Mr Ma and Mr Wang are bitter enemies. Their animosity intensified after Mr Ma
attempted to expel Mr Wang from the party last September. Last month a court
ruled in Mr Wang’s favour, allowing him to keep his party membership. Liu
Bih-rong, a political scientist at Soochow University in Taipei, thinks Mr
Wang is trying to win kudos for resolving the crisis in order to shore up his
power. This would allow him eventually to challenge Mr Ma for dominance in
the KMT ahead of presidential elections in 2016. If the monitoring bill is
passed before the services pact, as Mr Wang has pledged, protracted
parliamentary negotiations—and the possibility that the pact could be
scrapped altogether—would seriously hurt Mr Ma’s credibility with China.
Already nine months have passed since Taiwan and China concluded the pact.
马王向来就是死敌。早在去年九月,马英九企图将王金平逐出国民党起,两人更加水火不
容,而就在上个月,马英九任下的法官还保留了王金平的党籍。台湾东吴大学政治系教授
刘必荣认为,王金平试着解决这次危机来赢得掌声,进一步巩固他的权力,更要在2016总
统大选前挑战马英九在国民党党内的势力。如果正如王金平亲口承诺的,监督法案通过之
後,势必拖延审议时间,届时将严重伤害马英九对中国政府的诚信,因为台湾和中国早在
九个月前就签署了这项协议。
Mr Ma, who has been in power since 2008, has staked both Taiwan’s economic
recovery and his political legacy on the historic detente he has fostered
with the mainland. A landmark visit by China’s minister for Taiwan affairs,
Zhang Zhijun, planned for this month, has been postponed, say Taiwanese
government officials. The trip would have been the first formal visit to
Taiwan from a mainland official since 1949. The invitation to visit Taiwan
was extended by Taiwan’s mainland minister when the two met in Nanjing
nearly two months ago in the first meeting between Taiwanese and Chinese
officials since the Chinese civil war. China watchers say the government in
Beijing wants to see the services pact approved before it considers any other
form of rapprochement, such as a proposed deal to liberalise the cross-strait
goods trade. Mr Ma's dream of meeting China’s leader, Xi Jinping, before the
end of his presidential term in 2016, may have become a little more distant.
马英九自2008年掌权开始,一方面希望复苏台湾经济,一方面又想在两岸关系和缓之际提
高自己在大陆累积的政治资本,让自己每一步都走在钢索上。台湾政府官员表示,中国国
台办主任张志军在本月到台湾的历史性访问计画,现在也宣布暂停。这原先是自1949年以
来中国大陆官员到台湾的正式参访。这次的邀请,延续自两个月前台湾陆委会主委到南京
的参访,同时也也是国共内战以来台湾和中国政府官员首度正式会面。中国观察家说,北
京政府希望看到服贸通过,才能考虑其他协议,像是两岸货贸。现在,马英九朝思暮想的
马习会,在2016年总统任期结束前,可能又更遥远了些。
(出处:
http://www.economist.com/blogs/banyan/2014/04/politics-taiwan)
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※ 编辑: joelee828 (36.237.125.199), 04/08/2014 22:07:08
1F:推 mydeargod:外交部加班赶稿中 04/08 22:08
2F:→ iiooiioou:驻英代表表示:内容不实 要求撤稿呵呵 04/08 22:12
3F:推 budapest:朝圣推 04/08 22:22
4F:→ joelee828:驻英代表表示致电「关怀」杂志编辑 04/08 22:24
5F:推 DRIariel:国外都知道他想要马习会了.... 04/08 22:30
6F:推 TWkiller:拿自己国家当筹码去争取和平奖的生物根本混蛋 04/08 22:32
7F:推 clauslee:谢谢用心翻译! 04/08 22:36
8F:推 trtc:外交部又要去函要求撤稿了,干,是有没有这麽忙啊 04/09 06:27