作者charliee (Double E)
看板FBaseball
标题[闲聊] BABIP投手
时间Mon Feb 1 17:59:49 2010
Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP)
is the batting average against a pitcher, removing at-bats that go for HRs or
strikeouts. The normal BABIP or Hit Rate is 30%, meaning for every 10 balls
that have a chance to get fielded, three will find a hole and count as a hit.
Unlucky pitchers with have a BABIP above 30% likely resulting in a high ERA
and WHIP. Since their BABIP should regress back toward the mean of 30% these
pitchers are typically undervalued and good buy low candidates to add to your
team.
Cole Hamels, Derek Lowe and Ricky Nolasco are all starting pitchers that had
high Hit Rates last season.
BABIP:投手所投出的球,被击进场内形成安打的机率(扣掉HR及K)。
一个投手正常的BABIP是30%左右,代表每被击出的十颗球当中,正常说来应该有
三颗会找到洞钻出去,这取决於後方的防守者,跟投手本身的投球能力较无直接
关系。
因此正常来说,投手的BABIP值最终都会接近30%左右这个数字,而09年当中有些
投手因为过高的BABIP导致过高的ERA和WHIP就变成我们今年可以逢低买进的好投
资。例如Cole Hamels,Derek Lowe,Ricky Nolasco等都是这类型的代表人物。
PS:请问除了这三位之外,还有谁啊?一个一个查好累@@
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1F:推 stk11:fangraphs 02/01 18:13
2F:→ charliee:谢了 我去看看 02/01 18:15
3F:推 Frederico:感谢查理大哥~ 今年开盟记得找我唷~ 02/01 20:21
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5F:推 catera:冏 去年玩两个盟中两只 02/02 22:24