作者charliee (Double E)
看板FBaseball
标题[闲聊] Mo 老了吗?
时间Sun Jun 7 21:48:38 2009
Mariano Rivera (RP,Yankees) I hate to say this but for the first time, I think
we might be seeing some chinks in Mariano Rivera旧 armor. Thats like saying
the Grand Canyon is losing its attraction or Fenway Park needs to be replaced
by something more modern and contemporary. Is this really happening? Is Rivera
starting to slow down? Say it aint so, Mo. On Saturday night against the Rays,
Rivera took his 2nd loss of the season allowing 4 runs (3 ER), in 2/3 of an
inning, allowing 3 hits and 1 BB. Rivera's旧 ERA stands at 3.47, jumping a
full run in this outing. While that is not a bad ERA for a pitcher, it's
shocking to see Rivera with an ERA over 3.00. His K/9 and BB/9 are still
amazingly good at 11.1 and 0.4 respectively. But here's the part that
concerns me: this season Rivera has his highest H/9 at 9.1 and even more
worrisome is a HR/9 at 2.0. With the exception of his first year in the Majors,
Rivera has never has a HR/9 over 0.6. If we look at his percentage of pitches
that are swung on and missed, it's down 5% from his career average and his
CT % is up 5% over his career mean as well. While Rivera is still an elite
closer and remains a must start, there are some eyebrow raising indicators
this season that Rivera might just be slowing down. Watch him carefully to
see if his numbers fall more in line with his career averages or (gasp!!) if
they start to drop
简译:这是我第一次,但我恨我自己必须这样说,Mo无坚不摧的盔甲似乎出现缝隙了。
这样说Mo,就好像说芬威球场的绿色怪物不合时宜要被拆掉了一般痛苦。昨天下午,
Mo被光芒打爆,让他的ERA来到3.47,这对一般的投手来说还是很不错的数字,但不
是对Mo。他的K/9跟BB/9还是令人尊敬的11.1/0.4,但我还是必须拿些负面的数据
给你看。Rivera今年的H/9是生涯新高的9.1;他的HR/9是2.0,除了他在大联盟的
第一年以外,他的HR/9从未超过0.6。他让打者挥空的机率变低,相对地代表打者
对他的球棒接触率也变高许多。Mo当然还是联盟中数一数二的终结者,但我们不能
不小心谨慎地地看待这些退化中的数字。
短评:Lidge:「Mo的数据有任何问题吗?」
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1F:推 choco1202:他是老了 没以前威 但跟其他CL比还是绰绰有余 06/07 21:51
2F:→ jdtrue:在新阿灵顿被HR机率唯一没上升的人:CC Sabathia 06/07 21:52
3F:→ charliee:洋基的投手应该都开始想念老球场了 06/07 21:53
4F:→ jdtrue:不过MO每年都有人说他要退化 但他前几年的成绩也看不出来 06/07 21:54
5F:推 TrueTears:不是过去那个鬼见愁了...看着MO这样老化...有点... ww 06/07 21:54
6F:推 choco1202:球速慢了 控球似乎也不是以前那个捕手手套放着不用动 06/07 21:55
7F:→ jdtrue:或许到季末会比现在好一点 不过这样一来更佩服Hoffman了 06/07 21:55
8F:→ choco1202:不过希望他可以稳住XD 毕竟他是我的主力CL阿=口= 06/07 21:56
9F:推 TrueTears:现在几乎也看不到他把别人的棒子折断 ... 06/07 21:56
10F:推 DesertEagleX:或许是老了 不过这几年都慢热 再观察看看吧 06/07 22:11
11F:推 tomiii:今天没有SVO 不意外.... 06/07 22:47
12F:推 shongzcwea:好像是位移少了 球速感觉差没有很多 06/07 23:11